广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融衍生品： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运指数 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 6 月 10 日星期二 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资格：Z00 ...

中国 5 月通胀数据基本符合预期 我国国内物价水平偏低的问题仍在持续，出口和进口走弱的压 力均开始凸显。基本面依然利多债市。 宏观策略（股指期货） 中美经贸磋商机制首次会议在英国伦敦举行 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-06-10 宏观策略（国债期货） 日度报告——综合晨报 中美经贸磋商机制会议在英国伦敦举行 综 从 5 月外贸数据看，即便联合声明已达成，但中美经贸往来却无 明显改善，反映美国政策的不确定性已经从中期角度改变了企 业的基准预期。持续跟踪中美会谈的结果。 合 宏观策略（美国股指期货） 晨 亚马逊还考虑在美国宾州投资另外 100 亿美元 报 市场等待中美贸易协商进展，科技板块延续涨势，三大股指波 动降低，涨跌不一。 农产品（豆油/菜油/棕榈油） 全国主要地区菜油库存统计 国内豆棕油累库，等待 MPOB 数据发布。 黑色金属（焦煤/焦炭） 华东市场炼焦煤偏弱运行 短期来看，当前双焦基本面并没有发生质的变化，短期仍按反 弹对待，但宏观环境变化，因此需关注整体工业品带来的变化， 谨慎追多，建议观望为主 能源化工（原油） 中国 5 月原油进口量环比下降 油价反弹，美伊谈判进展不明朗支撑油价。 ...

Group 1 - The board of directors of Fujian Haichin Energy Group Co., Ltd. held its 31st meeting on June 9, 2025, with all 8 directors present, ensuring compliance with legal and procedural requirements [1] - The board approved the proposal to appoint Lei Anhua as a non-independent director and general manager, following the resignation of Jiang Binbin due to personal reasons [2][3] - The board also approved a proposal for a commodity hedging program, allowing a maximum contract value of 350 million RMB and a maximum premium of 70 million RMB for the next 12 months [3][5] Group 2 - A management system for commodity hedging business was established to enhance internal control and protect shareholder interests [5] - The board agreed to convene the third extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025, with details to be published on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website [5][6] - Lei Anhua's background includes previous roles in various companies, and he does not hold shares in the company nor has any conflicts of interest with major shareholders [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company Haineng Technology has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2025, indicating potential challenges in its business operations and market conditions [1]. Company Overview - Haineng Technology specializes in the production and sales of biodiesel, environmental materials, and specialty chemical products, with key products including hydrocarbon biodiesel and comprehensive energy services [1]. - The company holds several prestigious titles, including national high-tech enterprise and various innovation and technology awards, reflecting its commitment to technological advancement [1]. Financial Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, Haineng Technology reported a revenue of 241 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 53.69% [1]. - The net profit for the same period was -49.9 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase in losses of 57.60% [1]. - The company's gross profit margin was recorded at -6.65%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability [1]. Shareholder Information - As of May 20, 2025, Haineng Technology had 45,008 shareholders, a decrease of 27 from the previous count, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average shareholding of 27,600 shares per shareholder [1]. Market Metrics - The latest closing price for Haineng Technology was 3.12 yuan, reflecting a 1.96% increase, with a current price-to-book ratio of 1.23, marking a new low in 43 days [1]. - The total market capitalization of the company stands at 7.331 billion yuan [1]. Industry Comparison - Haineng Technology's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio (TTM) is -8.27, which is significantly lower than the industry average of 43.87 [2]. - The company's market capitalization of 7.331 billion yuan is also compared to the industry median of 42.87 billion yuan, indicating a smaller market presence [2].

日度报告——综合晨报 宏观策略（国债期货） 央行开展了 1350 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作 综 在稳增长必要性较高但稳汇率约束较低的情况下，流动性环境 的确存在进一步转松的基础，Q3 应有增量货币政策落地，因此 债市长线走强的方向是较为清晰的，债牛已经开始蓄力。 合 宏观策略（股指期货） 晨 商务部：已批准部分稀土出口许可申请 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-06-09 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 美国 5 月非农超预期 美国 5 月非农数据好于预期，劳动力市场继续维持韧性，短期美 元指数维持震荡。 美国 5 月非农就业数据好于预期 报 A 股投资者对于 TACO 交易的押注大获成功，随着两国领导人 直接通话的落地，市场情绪再度高企。展望后市，国内基本面 变化偏缓慢和市场情绪高涨之间的错位，仍待修复。 黑色金属（焦煤/焦炭） 吕梁市场冶金焦价格偏弱运行 短期来看，当前双焦基本面并没有发生质的变化，短期仍按反 弹对待，但宏观环境变化，因此需关注整体工业品带来的变化， 谨慎追多，建议观望为主。 有色金属（工业硅） 四川新增样本硅企！本周工业硅各地开工情况一览 左侧做多仍面临一定风险，可考虑反弹 ...

Core Insights - The provincial government has approved 11 new economic and technological development zones, which will benefit from provincial policies [1][2] - The majority of the newly recognized zones focus on new materials, while others emphasize energy and agricultural products [1][2] Group 1: Economic Development Zones - The newly approved economic development zones include: Shaanxi Tongguan, Shaanxi Huayin, Shaanxi Huazhou, Shaanxi Yanchuan, Shaanxi Fu County, Shaanxi Yuyang, Shaanxi Shenmu, Shaanxi Luoyang, Shaanxi Yangxian, Shaanxi Hanbin, and Shaanxi Zhen'an [1] - The zones are characterized by their local industrial specialties, such as the Tongguan zone focusing on specialty food processing, including meat sandwich and sauce production [2] Group 2: Industry Focus - Eight of the economic zones are primarily focused on new materials, while others like Huazhou, Yanchuan, and Fu County are centered around energy and energy chemical industries [1] - Agricultural development is also a key focus, with zones like Yanchuan and Fu County developing agricultural product processing, and Luoyang focusing on green food industries [1][2] Group 3: Government Requirements - The provincial government has set clear requirements for the newly approved zones, emphasizing efficient land use, ecological protection, and adherence to environmental laws [2] - There is a focus on attracting investment for leading industries and optimizing industrial layouts to enhance competitive advantages [2]

以"走向碳中和之路"为主题的2025上海国际碳中和技术、产品与成果博览会（以下简称"碳博 会"）6月7日闭幕。 本届碳博会，300余家企业在4万平方米的空间里汇成一片"绿色海洋"。探访其中，记者发现，越来越多的中国 企业已将"双碳"这一"必答题"视为争优的"加分题"。距离"碳达峰"目标还有5年，企业在"被动合规"之外，更多 了些"主动谋势"，通过搭建"绿色护城河"，为未来竞争抢占先机。 而盈碳科技的起源，便是河钢集团内部的低碳转型。2023年起，盈碳科技开始面向市场独立运行，并将碳中和 数字化平台与人工智能等新兴技术融合。"尤其是2025年钢铁行业纳入全国碳排放权交易市场体系后，越来越 多企业有了这些需求。"盈碳科技相关负责人说。 当下，全球正投身绿色转型浪潮中。中国企业的国际化发展迎来以ESG为核心的新机遇。通过主动对接国际 ESG标准，中企不仅能突破绿色贸易壁垒，更能从政策、标准和技术等维度，将可持续发展理念转化为持久的 市场竞争优势。 安永大中华区可持续发展报告与鉴证服务主管合伙人刘国华告诉证券时报记者，当前国际ESG监管日趋严格， 领先企业普遍建立了政策动态跟踪机制，将ESG合规纳入战略规划，并通过参 ...

Group 1: Report Information - Report date: June 6, 2025 [2] - Research team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [3] - Research fellows: Li Jie, CFA (Crude Oil and Fuel Oil); Ren Junchi (PTA/MEG); Peng Haozhou (Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon); Peng Jinglin (Polyolefins); Liu Youran (Pulp) [3] Group 2: Market Performance and Outlook Market Performance - The price of the polysilicon 06 contract has entered a stalemate stage. The closing price of PS2507 was 34,540 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.27%. The trading volume was 127,429 lots, and the open interest was 65,802 lots, with a net decrease of 2,071 lots [4] Market Outlook - After the end of the terminal rush to install and the policy being in a vacuum period, the weak spot price limits the rebound space. The supply in the first week of June is expected to remain at 22,000 tons, and the expected monthly output is less than 100,000 tons. The expected production increase during the wet season is difficult to materialize, and there is still an expected agreement to cut production in June, which supports the current futures and spot prices. The weak reality is mainly reflected in the fact that the downstream photovoltaic terminal "rush to install" is gradually coming to an end, and the demand has decreased significantly month-on-month. Overall, the logic of the shortage of deliverable goods has been falsified and is difficult to hype again. The weak reality limits the rebound space. Before the production cut is implemented, the short-term price will be in a stalemate, and it is advisable to wait and see [4] Group 3: Market News - As of June 5, the number of polysilicon warehouse receipts was 2,030 lots, a net increase of 110 lots from the previous trading day [5] - According to the Silicon Industry Branch, the number of polysilicon orders traded this week was limited, and the prices remained stable for the time being. The transaction price range of n-type recycled materials was 36,000 - 38,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 37,500 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The transaction price range of n-type granular silicon was 34,000 - 35,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 34,500 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The transaction price range of p-type polysilicon was 30,000 - 33,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 31,300 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period [5]

Group 1 - The report maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the Hong Kong stock market, highlighting external risks and the need for new momentum for upward movement [1][2] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI technology and consumer sectors, suggesting a defensive allocation in high-dividend stocks due to ongoing overseas risks [2][3] - The report lists a selection of "golden stocks" with detailed financial metrics, including Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, Kuaishou, and others, indicating their potential for growth and investment value [3][72] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings is recognized for its strong competitive advantages across multiple business areas, particularly in gaming and advertising, with expectations for EPS growth driven by high-margin business expansion [11][12] - Alibaba is noted for its leadership in AI and cloud computing, with anticipated revenue growth from its cloud services and improved profitability from its core business segments [19][20] - Kuaishou is expected to benefit from its AI capabilities and content consumption trends, with projections for significant revenue growth in the coming years [24][25] - Xiaomi is highlighted for its innovative automotive business and strong performance in the smartphone market, with expectations for continued growth in high-end products [30][31] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) is expected to see improved performance due to lower international oil prices and a high dividend payout ratio, making it attractive for income-focused investors [43][44] - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings is positioned for growth in the online investment sector, leveraging technology to enhance its product offerings and market share [51][52] - Anta Sports is recognized for its strong brand performance and strategic acquisitions, which are expected to enhance its competitive position in the market [56][57] - New Energy is anticipated to benefit from privatization efforts and improved profit structures, with a significant valuation upside [60][61] - Innovent Biologics is projected to achieve substantial revenue growth driven by its expanding product pipeline and effective cost management [66][67]

日度报告——综合晨报 美国 5 月 ADP"爆冷"！就业人数骤降至 3.7 万人 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-06-05 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 美国 5 月 ADP"爆冷"！就业人数骤降至 3.7 万人 最新的美国经济数据不及预期，美国经济下行压力加剧，美元 短期走弱。 宏观策略（美国股指期货） 美国 5 月 ISM 服务业 PMI 指数近一年来首次萎缩 经济下行风险不断积累，但在降息预期的支撑下，市场风险偏 好并未明显回落，美股延续震荡走势。 综 黑色金属（焦煤/焦炭） 合 河北炼焦煤市场持稳运行 晨 报 短期来看，焦煤基本面暂无明显变化，更多是交易基差和情绪 修复，后续需关注供应变化 有色金属（锌） 上海锌：下游企业畏高，成交表现较差 CSZTP 发布 3Q25 进口加工费指导区间于 80-100 美元/干吨，对 应国内 TC 在 4000-4500 元/吨，预计年内加工费仍有不小上行空 间。 能源化工（纯碱） 6 月 4 日华北市场纯碱价格行情 今日纯碱期价涨幅较大，一方面受益于市场整体风险偏好回升， 另一方面也是联碱法成本附近本身存在一定支撑。 | 许惠敏 | 资深分析师 ...