一、主要会计数据和财务指标 三、分红送配方案情况 不分配不转增 | 报告期指标 | 2024年年报 | 2023年年报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2022年年报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益（元） | -0.3200 | -0.4700 | 31.91 | -0.1500 | | 每股净资产（元） | 2.53 | 2.98 | -15.1 | 3.44 | | 每股公积金(元) | 0.86 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 0.83 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | 0.35 | 0.68 | -48.53 | 1.14 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 17.49 | 17.99 | -2.78 | 16.74 | | 净利润(亿元) | -0.9 | -1.29 | 30.23 | -0.41 | | 净资产收益率(%) | -11.49 | -14.56 | 21.09 | -4.17 | 前十大流通股东累计持有： 7692.47万股，累计占流通股比： 34.98%，较上期变化： 340. ...

国投期页 | | 操作评级 | 2025年04月28日 | | --- | --- | --- | | 铜 | ★☆☆ | 肖静 首席分析师 | | | | F3047773 Z0014087 | | 铝 | ☆☆☆ | 刘冬博 高级分析师 | | 氧化铝 | ☆☆☆ | F3062795 Z0015311 | | 学 | ★☆★ | | | 蜡 | ☆☆☆ | 吴江 高级分析师 | | 镍及不锈钢 ★☆☆ | | F3085524 Z0016394 | | | | 张秀容 中级分析师 | | 锡 | ★☆☆ | F03099436 Z0021022 | | 碳酸锂 | ★☆☆ | 孙芳芳 中级分析师 | | 工业硅 | ななな | F03111330 Z0018905 | | 多晶硅 | ななな | | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【铜】 周一铜价减仓震荡,价格基本收平在年线上方,临近长假,风控为先。今日现铜下调到77565元/吨,上海铜升 水180元/吨,节前备货情绪较好,SMM社库再减2.66万吨至15.51万吨,跌 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, suggesting a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the steel sector. The market anticipates that after the May Day holiday, iron water production will peak, potentially squeezing iron ore profits, leading to downward price feedback [8][13]. - The steel sector has experienced three years of adjustment, positioning it as a high-value investment opportunity. The profitability and stability of leading enterprises have significantly improved, and the supply structure of iron ore may undergo substantial changes, allowing profits to flow back to the domestic steel industry [8][13]. Summary by Sections Steel Industry - The consumption of rebar has decreased, with a reported national consumption of 2.6 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 5.07%. The average price of rebar has slightly increased to 3,323 CNY/ton, while cold-rolled prices have decreased to 3,812 CNY/ton, down 1.54% week-on-week [14][37]. - The total steel inventory has decreased significantly, with a total inventory of 1,083 million tons, down 3.68% week-on-week and 24.11% year-on-year [23]. - The profitability of long and short process rebar has increased, with long process rebar profit rising by 25 CNY/ton and short process rebar profit increasing by 350 CNY/ton [34]. Industrial Metals - The copper treatment charge (TC) and refining charge (RC) have deepened into negative territory, indicating challenges in the copper market. The LME aluminum price has risen to 2,412 USD/ton, a week-on-week increase of 3.63% [16]. - The production costs for electrolytic aluminum have decreased significantly, with costs in Xinjiang dropping by 16.22% and profits increasing by 3,455 CNY/ton [16]. Precious Metals - Tariffs may drive up demand for safe-haven assets and inflation expectations, with gold prices expected to continue rising. The COMEX gold price is reported at 3,330.2 USD/ounce, with a slight week-on-week decline of 0.33% [16][49]. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in China has significantly increased, with a reported production of 56,110 tons in February 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.44% [15][40]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is currently 69,600 CNY/ton, reflecting a slight week-on-week decrease of 1.21% [49].

锡周报 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 刘雨萱投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 锡：基本面平稳，价格震荡 强弱分析：中性 价格区间：254000-273000元/吨 2025年4月印尼出口累计4210吨 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 01-03 01-14 01-26 02-10 02-24 03-07 03-18 03-29 04-11 04-22 05-06 05-20 05-31 06-12 06-25 07-08 07-19 07-30 08-11 08-21 09-02 09-13 09-24 10-13 10-23 11-04 11-15 11-26 12-08 12-18 12-30 吨 SMM社会库存 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 最新社会库存小幅去库 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 202 ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper market is experiencing volatility due to escalating global trade disputes, with recent price fluctuations reflecting a return to previous levels after a significant drop [2][11] Group 1: Trade and Economic Impact - The U.S. has been facing significant economic challenges, including a large debt scale and trade deficits, leading to increased tariffs as a means to address domestic issues [2] - Recent tariff measures have heightened concerns about potential disruptions in global trade chains, which could negatively impact economic growth and increase inflation [3] - The U.S. administration's shift towards a more conciliatory trade stance has improved market sentiment, resulting in a rebound in risk assets that were previously affected [2][3] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Despite a slight increase in global copper production, the expansion of smelting capacity has outpaced it, leading to a tightening supply situation [4] - Recent incidents in Peru, particularly at the Antamina mine, could further strain copper supply if production is disrupted for an extended period [4] - Domestic copper smelting facilities are facing challenges due to low processing fees, which have dropped significantly, impacting their production viability [7] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Price Trends - Domestic refined copper inventories have been rapidly decreasing, influenced by high prices and a subsequent drop in purchasing enthusiasm from downstream sectors [8] - The traditional peak season for copper demand is nearing its end, and concerns about future demand are growing due to the potential impact of tariffs on exports, particularly in the machinery and electronics sectors [10] - Overall, while there is strong support for copper prices in the short term, the long-term outlook remains uncertain due to macroeconomic pressures and potential demand weakening [11]

| 锡产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年4月22日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#锡 | 259700 | 257100 | 2600 | 1.01% | | | SMM 1#锡升贴水 | 1000 | 1150 | -150 | -13.04% | 元/吨 | | 长江 1#锡 | 260200 | 257600 | 2600 | 1.01% | | | LME 0-3升贴水 | -249.00 | -264.00 | 15.00 | 5.68% | 美元/吨 | | 内外比价及进口盈亏 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 进口盈亏 | -7068.36 | -8160.60 | 1092.24 | 13.38% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 | 8.27 | 8. ...

国际铜夜盘收涨0.13%，沪铜收涨0.41%，沪铝收涨0.20%，沪锌收涨0.27%，沪铅收涨0.09%，沪镍收跌 0.18%，沪锡收跌0.40%。 氧化铝夜盘收涨0.35%。 不锈钢夜盘收平。 ...

| | 20250421申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 短期可能宽幅波动 | | | | 锌： 可能宽幅区间波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝： 可能短期震荡偏弱 | | | | 镍： 可能宽幅震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | 铜 | 铜：周末夜盘铜价收低。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价 ，考验冶炼产 量。根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电网带动电力 投资高增长，家电产量延续增长，需关注出口变化，新能源渗透率提升有望 巩固汽车铜需求，地产数据降幅缩窄。铜价短期可能宽幅波动，关注美国关 | 短期可能宽 幅波动 | | | 税谈判进展，以及美元、人民币汇率、库存和基差等变化。 | | | | 锌：周末夜盘锌价收涨。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来 看，国内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电表现良好，地产数据降幅缩 | 可能宽幅区 | | 锌 | 窄。市场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供应可能恢复，前期锌价的回落 已部分消化产量增长预期。短期锌价可能宽幅波动，关注美国关税谈判进 | 间波动 | | | 展，以及美 ...

中辉有色观点 | 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑及价格区间 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 短期调整不改黄金强势逻辑。G2 大国多方面博弈剧烈，特朗普要求鲍威尔下 | | 黄金 | 强势 | 台，多国或流动性释放刺激经济经济。长期看，国际秩序破坏，不确定困扰持 | | | | 续，各经济体购金动力积极，黄金长期战略配置价值持续存在【740-780】 | | | | 基本面上全球需求释放或再现，商品市场波动剧烈，尽管中国和欧洲刺激预期 | | 白银 | 宽幅调整 | 较大，但是短期需警惕流动性危机。品种属性方面，白银弹性大跟随黄金和基 | | | | 本金属波动，仍处于大的震荡区间附近，操作上区间思路对待。【8000-8500】 | | | | 特朗普，美国关税政策的不确定性加剧市场恐慌和混乱，美元指数走弱，铜延续反 | | 铜 | 反弹 | 弹，短期铜背靠下方均线，把握逢低试多机会，中长期依旧看好铜。沪铜关注区间 | | | | 【75000，77000】 | | 锌 | 反弹承压 | 海内外库存累积，终端需求偏弱，锌震荡偏弱，空单可部分逢低止盈兑现，中 | | | | 长期看，锌供 ...

关注微信公众号 | 产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年4月16日 | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日 涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解辑 125475 | 124600 | 875 | 0.70% | 元/吨 | | 1#송川镇 126850 | 126050 | 800 | 0.63% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镇升贴水 2900 | 3100 | -200 | -6.45% | 元/肥 | | 1#进口镇 124175 | 123150 | 1025 | 0.83% | 元/H | | 1#进口镍升贴水 225 | 200 | ર્ટ | - | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 -211 | -202 | -8 | 4.19% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 -2871 | -2840 | -31 | 1.09% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 8.07 | 8.06 | 0.0 ...