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电力设备与新能源行业周报:输美锂电及储能系统或掀囤货潮,光伏供给侧困境反转见曙光
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-19 03:00
子行业周度核心观点: 光伏&储能:在光伏行业走出过剩困境的道路上,顶层关注力度丝毫不减,但驱动行业反转的核心力量,或正从政策 强制干预向产业自发自主转移,曙光已初现;中美贸易关系缓和实质性利好大储,继续重点推荐:阳光电源、阿特斯。 风电:大金重工新签 10 亿欧洲海风基础订单,我们统计 2025-2026 年将有接近 20GW 的海风项目将进行海风基础招 标,看好公司年内订单持续落地;运达股份宣布投资巴西本地化风机及储能制造基地,金风签约阿曼 234MW 风电项目, 整机出海提速,看好头部整机企业盈利修复。 电网:1)国网发布《电力"人工智能+"白皮书》,加快推进人工智能与电力生产等深度融合,以智能化技术支撑新型 电力系统建设,建议关注电网信息化相关受益标的;2)疆电送电川渝特高压直流环评第二次公示,工程计划于 25 年 12 月开工,特高压建设持续推进,重申 25 年是特高压开工大年,看好 25 年特高压相关公司业绩弹性持续兑现。 新能源车:本周周度数据同比再次走弱,增速下滑至约 5%,引发市场对行业大贝塔的焦虑。事实上环比 4 月 2 周,市 场总量增速较好,环比+30%,说明整体销量在季节性波动上仍是正 ...
A股分析师前瞻:“欠配板块”上涨!公募新规会如何影响市场风格?
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-05-18 23:59
Group 1 - The current discussions among brokerages focus on the new public fund assessment regulations rather than clear predictions for index movements [1][2] - The expectation of future investment behavior by public funds is influencing the rise of "underweight sectors," rather than actual large-scale portfolio adjustments by these funds [1][3] - The market is expected to remain in a trend of steady upward movement despite concerns over fluctuating tariffs and profit-taking sentiments [1][2] Group 2 - The upcoming April economic data is anticipated to show a slowdown in domestic demand momentum, with limited upward catalysts for the market in the short term [2][5] - The market may enter a phase of accelerated rotation of hotspots and styles, with limited downside risks due to ongoing fundamental recovery and policy expectations [2][5] - The new public fund regulations are expected to optimize fund operation models, leading to discussions about future industry ecological changes [5] Group 3 - The market's risk appetite has improved due to unexpected decreases in US-China tariffs, which has positively impacted A-share indices [1][3] - The public fund's goal remains to outperform benchmarks, with decisions on sector allocations influenced by actual fundamentals and valuation judgments [1][3] - The active management of public funds is likely to evolve towards a more balanced allocation, reflecting the distribution of various institutional investors [1][3]
电力设备行业周报:Q2海风密集交付,贝特瑞发布固态电池解决方案
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 15:45
光伏:硅片价格继续下行,供给侧积极减产,关注后续价格企稳时机。根据硅业分 会信息,本周,N 型 G10L 单晶硅片成交均价在 0.95 元/片,周环比跌幅 5.94%; N 型 G12R 单晶硅片成交均价在 1.10 元/片,周环比跌幅 1.79%;N 型 G12 单晶 硅片成交均价在 1.30 元/片,周环比跌幅 3.70%。本周,由于下游需求疲软,供给 侧开始积极减产,目前硅片行业开工率降至 55%左右。硅料方面,目前在产企业 数量减少至 11 家。整体供给侧减产积极,关注后续价格修企稳时机。核心关注两 大方向:1)供给侧偏刚性、后续需求复苏后价格弹性更大的硅料和玻璃,核心关 注协鑫科技、通威股份、福莱特等。2)新技术背景下带来的中长期成长性机会, 核心关注爱旭股份、聚和材料等。 风电&电网:华润汕尾红海湾五海风迎来风机招标,Q2 海风密集交付。5 月 13 日,华润汕尾红海湾五海上风电项目风力发电机组(含塔筒)货物及服务启动招 标。5 月 15 日,巨大的风机叶片在江苏黄海海域与机舱实现精准对接,标志着三 峡江苏大丰 800MW 海上风电项目首台风力发电机组顺利完成吊装。5 月 16 日, 天顺风能发布 ...
输美锂电及储能系统或掀囤货潮,光伏供给侧困境反转见曙光
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 14:03
氢能与燃料电池:国家能源局发文,江苏迅速跟进,绿色液体燃料将迎来新发展。通过"试点先行 + 政策配套"模 式,构建生物柴油、SAF、绿色甲醇、绿氨等多领域协同推进的政策体系,打通下游绿氢消纳场景。跨省项目叠加高速 过路费减免政策,氢能高速渐入正轨,氢车推广提速完成十四五目标。 本周重要行业事件: 光储风:人民日报刊发国家市监总局局长关于整治"内卷式"竞争的署名文章;中美关税大幅下调(大储直接受益); 广东省发布机制电价政策征求意见稿(海风执行 14 年、其他新能源 12 年);大金重工新签 10 亿欧元海风基础订单。 电网:国家电网有限公司发布《电力"人工智能+"白皮书》;疆电(南疆)送电川渝特高压直流工程环评第二次公示。 子行业周度核心观点: 光伏&储能:在光伏行业走出过剩困境的道路上,顶层关注力度丝毫不减,但驱动行业反转的核心力量,或正从政策 强制干预向产业自发自主转移,曙光已初现;中美贸易关系缓和实质性利好大储,继续重点推荐:阳光电源、阿特斯。 风电:大金重工新签 10 亿欧洲海风基础订单,我们统计 2025-2026 年将有接近 20GW 的海风项目将进行海风基础招 标,看好公司年内订单持续落地;运达 ...
宁德时代和比亚迪的大新闻
表舅是养基大户· 2025-05-18 13:30
大家周末晚上好,上周五的时候,宁德时代和比亚迪,同时出了比较重要的消息,且都和港股相关,正 好聊一下。 我觉得,上面中石化和科威特的投资思路,我们普通人也是可以借鉴一下的——比如你的工作、生活、 资产都在中国,这时候你适度增加一些海外资产,就是一种合理的再平衡;又比如你的工作领域有两家 寡头,属于长期来看可能是你死我活的关系,这时候假如你在A公司上班,那么就不妨同时买点B公司 的股票,不要把鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里。 另外,我们上次聊宁德时代赴港上市的时候,就提到过 三条主线 : 一是国内企业出海的步伐会加快;二是优质股权投资大时代的来临;三是港交所争夺优质上市公司的步 伐进一步加快。 把宁德时代的上市进程压缩在100天以内, 且特意放在520当天 ,无异于香港向所有美股、A股上市的 大陆公司传递的爱意。 另外,大伙儿可以注意一下,正常来讲,宁德时代需要在上市三个月之后,满足恒生指数公司的 季检 条件,才能进入恒生科技等指数,但港股还有个 快速纳入机制 ——假如宁德时代 在上市首日的收盘市 值,进入恒生科技指数现有成分股前10名,则最快可在上市后第10个交易日(6月初)被纳入。这样看 来,似乎没啥压力。 .... ...
坚持创新引领 深市上市公司成长空间广阔
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-18 11:45
近年来,深圳证券交易所市场(以下简称"深市")上市公司坚持以创新驱动发展,综合实力、竞争能力不 断提升。 "深市作为我国资本市场的重要组成部分,汇聚了大量以新质生产力为驱动的创新型企业。深市作为创 新型企业的聚集地,也为其提供了良好的融资环境、政策支持和市场资源,有助于这些企业进一步做大 做强。"中关村物联网产业联盟副秘书长袁帅对《证券日报》记者表示,相关企业强劲的创收能力充分 证明了其创新实力和市场潜力。 "高成长"优势凸显 在创新驱动下,深市上市公司展现出稳健增长力。以深证100指数样本公司为例,2024年,深证100指数 样本公司全年营业收入达到7.5万亿元,其中海外营业收入1.9万亿元,同比增长11%。2025年一季度, 深证100样本公司延续向好态势,营收同比增长7%、净利润同比增长21%。 深市上市公司2024年年报及2025年一季报目前均已悉数披露。整体来看,深市上市公司经营稳健向好, 业绩稳中有进。与此同时,深市上市公司持续加大研发投入,"优创新、高成长"特色凸显。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉对《证券日报》记者表示,深市上市公司持续发力创新,正向"技 术主导"发展。随着市场"科技叙事"逻 ...
电力设备与新能源行业5月第2周周报:中美互降关税将利好新能源出口,市监局再提反内卷-20250518
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-18 10:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Insights - The reduction of tariffs between China and the US is expected to benefit new energy exports, with optimistic growth in photovoltaic demand from the US and emerging economies [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of cost reduction and efficiency improvement in photovoltaic manufacturing, focusing on the optimization of leading companies in silicon materials and battery cells [1]. - The wind power sector is anticipated to see steady progress in domestic and overseas demand, with a positive outlook for profitability recovery in the complete machine and component segments by 2025 [1]. - The government’s push for smart connected new energy vehicles is expected to sustain high sales growth throughout the year, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing industrialization of solid-state batteries, with mass production expected by 2027, benefiting companies involved in batteries, materials, and equipment [1]. - Continuous promotion of hydrogen energy development is noted, with recommendations to focus on companies with cost and technological advantages in electrolyzer production and hydrogen infrastructure [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector rose by 1.39% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 0.76% [10]. - The photovoltaic sector saw a significant increase of 2.96%, while the wind power sector experienced a decline of 0.58% [13]. Key Industry Information - In April 2025, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 1.226 million units, a year-on-year increase of 44.2%, accounting for 47.3% of total new car sales [24]. - The battery alliance reported a total of 54.1 GWh of power batteries installed in April, with a month-on-month decrease of 4.3% [24]. - The US-China trade talks resulted in a significant reduction in bilateral tariffs, which is expected to positively impact exports in photovoltaic, lithium battery, and energy storage sectors [24]. Company Developments - CATL has set the final price for its H-share issuance at HKD 263 per share, with plans for listing on May 20, 2025 [27]. - Canadian Solar has adjusted its 2025 component shipment target to 25-30 GW, down from the previous estimate of 30-35 GW [27]. - Several companies, including Sanyuan Electric and Igor, are engaging in stock repurchase plans and other strategic financial maneuvers [27].
Q2海风密集交付,贝特瑞发布固态电池解决方案
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 09:03
Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electric equipment industry [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a downward trend in silicon wafer prices, with significant reductions in transaction prices due to weak downstream demand, leading to a supply-side production cut [15][16] - The offshore wind sector is experiencing a surge in project activity, with multiple wind turbine tenders and installations scheduled for Q2 [16] - The hydrogen energy sector is advancing with a large-scale green hydrogen project in Gansu, aiming for over 10,000 tons of annual production [17] - The energy storage market is seeing competitive bidding with average prices for storage systems ranging from 0.422 to 2.29 RMB/Wh [23][26] - The solid-state battery technology is gaining traction, with companies like BETTERY launching comprehensive solutions for solid-state battery materials [30] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: Silicon wafer prices continue to decline, with N-type G10L wafers averaging 0.95 RMB/piece, a week-on-week drop of 5.94%. The industry operating rate has decreased to around 55% due to reduced demand [15][16] - **Wind Power & Grid**: The Huaren Shantou Honghai Bay offshore wind project has initiated turbine tenders, with a total capacity of 500MW. Q2 is expected to see significant performance releases in offshore wind [16] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: A green hydrogen project in Gansu is set to produce over 10,000 tons annually, contributing to carbon reduction efforts. The energy storage sector is witnessing a robust bidding environment with substantial project sizes [17][18] Energy Storage - The average bidding price for energy storage systems in May ranges from 0.422 RMB/Wh to 2.29 RMB/Wh, indicating a competitive market [23][26] - The report recommends focusing on domestic and international large-scale energy storage opportunities, highlighting companies like Sunshine Power and Shangneng Electric [26] New Energy Vehicles - BETTERY has launched a solid-state battery material solution, including high-nickel cathodes and silicon-based anodes, which are expected to enhance battery performance significantly [30][31] - The report emphasizes the long-term trend towards solid-state batteries and suggests monitoring companies involved in this technology [31]
被异化的汽车“风阻系数”,一场没有裁判的“行业内耗”
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-16 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The recent controversies surrounding the wind resistance coefficients of electric vehicles (EVs) highlight the industry's obsession with technical parameters, which have shifted from being a tool for enhancing range to a symbol of brand "technological strength" [2][4][6]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The wind resistance coefficient has become a focal point in the EV industry, with companies like Tesla setting benchmarks that others strive to surpass, leading to a competitive environment where every 0.01Cd reduction is seen as a significant achievement [4][6]. - The lack of stringent national standards in China allows manufacturers to exploit testing conditions, often leading to misleading representations of vehicle performance [4][5]. - The pursuit of lower wind resistance has led to a phenomenon where companies prioritize testing standards over genuine improvements in aerodynamic performance, potentially stifling true innovation in the industry [5][6]. Group 2: Consumer Impact - Misleading marketing practices regarding wind resistance can confuse consumers, leading them to believe that advertised performance aligns with real-world capabilities, which can affect purchasing decisions [5][6]. - The focus on wind resistance has created a disconnect between consumer preferences and vehicle design, with many consumers favoring traditional designs over the increasingly popular aerodynamic shapes [7][8]. Group 3: Design and Innovation - The obsession with achieving lower wind resistance has led to design choices that may compromise user experience, such as reducing cabin space or eliminating practical features [6][8]. - Successful examples in the industry demonstrate that it is possible to balance aesthetics, functionality, and efficiency without solely focusing on wind resistance metrics [7][8].
国内大循环工作推进会!港股消费ETF(159735)今日回调,连续2个交易日获得资金净流入
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 02:33
交银国际证券表示,消费板块在当前经济环境下展现出较强的韧性和结构性亮点,具备一定的投资价 值。2025年"五一"假期数据显示,全国重点商圈人流量明显回升,叠加地方政府发放文旅消费券等刺激 措施,有效提振了旅游及服务消费。例如,河南、四川和黑龙江三地发放的文旅消费券总规模分别达到 4000万元、6800万元和5000万元,力度远超往年,直接带动了餐饮和旅游等相关产业的增长。在零售领 域,以旧换新政策与假期效应共同推动家电、汽车、通讯器材等商品销售快速增长,重点监测零售企业 的销售额同比分别增长15.5%、13.7%和10.5%。 5月16日,港股市场大幅低开,短视频、金饰、国潮服装、汽车、消费电子等大消费方向涨势居前。港 股消费指数成分股中,哔哩哔哩-W涨超2%,思摩尔国际、周大福、滔博、比亚迪股份涨超1%,其余成 分股积极跟涨。港股消费ETF(159735)过去20个交易日成交额1.23亿元排名同指数第一。 港股消费ETF(159735)跟踪港股消费指数,是"更新的消费",相较A股消费以白酒高端消费为主,港 股消费板块中电商、消费电子、新能源车、餐饮、旅游、文娱传媒、国潮服装等新型消费比例更高,服 务消费和大 ...