Economic Growth Outlook - Morocco's GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been raised from 4.3% to 4.5% by Fitch, driven by strong investment, recovering consumer markets, and improving foreign trade conditions [1][2] Investment Dynamics - Productive investment is the main driver of the current economic recovery, with total capital formation in Q1 showing a significant year-on-year increase of 17.5%, marking a post-pandemic high [1] - The Moroccan central bank has cut interest rates by a total of 75 basis points, with expectations for further reductions, facilitating credit expansion across various sectors, including consumer loans [1] Infrastructure and Major Events - Preparations for major international events such as the 2025-2026 Africa Cup of Nations and the 2030 World Cup are underway, leading to increased investments in infrastructure, transportation, and hospitality [1] - Fixed asset investment growth is expected to reach 7.9% in 2025, with a slight decline to 5.9% in 2026, still significantly above historical averages [1] Consumer Spending Trends - Consumer spending is showing signs of recovery, driven by low inflation, agricultural recovery boosting farmer incomes, rapid tourism growth, and declining financing costs [2] - Private consumption growth is projected to reach 4.5% in 2025, with continued positive momentum expected in 2026 [2] Inflation and Trade Balance - Inflation expectations for 2025 have been revised down from 1.1% to 0.7%, benefiting from stable energy prices, a weaker dollar, and improved domestic food supply [2] - The trade deficit is expected to improve in 2025 due to reduced agricultural import demand and a recovering European market, supported by Morocco's deep integration with European supply chains [2]

Economic Growth and Contributions - China's GDP has achieved a "four consecutive jumps" over the past five years, with an expected increase of over 35 trillion yuan, equivalent to "recreating a Yangtze River Delta" [1] - The average contribution rate of domestic demand to economic growth is over 86.4%, highlighting its role as the main driver of China's economy [3] - Final consumption contributed an average of 56.2% to economic growth, an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [4] Infrastructure Development - The national comprehensive transportation network has a completion rate of over 90%, covering over 80% of counties and serving about 90% of the economy and population [7] - The logistics cost savings for society are projected to exceed 4 billion yuan in 2024, with an additional expected savings of around 3 billion yuan this year [7] - The average hourly throughput at national ports is expected to reach 38,000 standard containers by 2024, a 26% increase from 2020 [8] Innovation and Technology - R&D expenditure increased by nearly 50% compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan," reaching an increment of 1.2 trillion yuan, with R&D intensity rising to 2.68% [9] - China has achieved significant breakthroughs in innovation, including the launch of the first domestically produced aircraft carrier and the completion of the first Chinese space station [10] Governance and Efficiency - The business environment in China has improved, with over 58 million private enterprises, an increase of over 40% since the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [11] - The ability to mobilize and act effectively has been demonstrated in disaster response, such as the rapid organization of rescue efforts following a 6.8 magnitude earthquake [12] Social Welfare and Public Services - The "14th Five-Year Plan" includes seven social welfare indicators, the highest proportion in any five-year plan, aimed at enhancing people's sense of gain, happiness, and security [13] - Employment stability has been maintained with over 12 million new urban jobs created annually, and the income growth of residents is synchronized with economic growth [15] - The healthcare system has been expanded, with a significant increase in the number of practicing physicians per thousand people, from 2.9 to 3.6 [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market conditions, emphasizing the importance of market valuation levels (star ratings) in guiding investment decisions and identifying potential opportunities and risks. Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced slight fluctuations, with large-cap stocks showing minimal volatility while small and mid-cap stocks faced more significant declines [2][3]. - Consumer and pharmaceutical sectors saw minor gains, while the Hong Kong stock market, which had previously risen, faced a downturn [4]. - The article reflects on historical market discussions regarding index levels, noting the challenges of reaching significant milestones like 2000 points during bearish phases [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities by Star Ratings - The star rating system is used to assess market valuation, with 5 stars indicating the best investment opportunities due to low valuations [8][9]. - At 5 stars, the market is often at its most pessimistic, presenting the highest potential for stock and fund investments [10][13]. - A 4-star rating indicates low valuations for some stocks, allowing for selective investment opportunities [15][18]. - A 3-star rating suggests normal valuations, where low-value stocks are scarce, and it may be prudent to pause new investments [20][21]. - Ratings of 2 stars and below indicate a late-stage bull market with most stocks overvalued, where extreme investment opportunities may arise despite general market caution [24][27]. Group 3: Historical Context and Future Projections - Historical data shows that as market profitability increases, index points also rise, with examples from past bull markets illustrating this relationship [32][36]. - The article notes that the current market is at 4.8 stars, with discussions about future index levels potentially reaching 4000 or 5000 points [7][29]. - The star rating system has been consistently updated, reflecting the market's journey from 5.9 stars to 1 star over time [28]. Group 4: Tools and Resources - The article introduces a new version of the "Today’s Star" app, which provides expanded index valuation data and allows users to purchase corresponding index funds [46][47]. - The app includes features for filtering indices by categories, enhancing user experience in identifying investment opportunities [46].

Global Market Overview - Schroders has raised its rating on global equities due to weaker-than-expected tariff impacts and a significant decrease in the probability of global economic recession [1] - The resilience of U.S. corporate capital expenditure and the job market supports the equity market, leading to an upgrade of equity ratings from neutral to positive [1] - Emerging markets, particularly Europe, Greater China, and South Korea, are viewed as attractive investment opportunities [1] Fixed Income and Currency - U.S. Treasuries are seen as attractive in terms of valuation, but fiscal expansion and a steepening yield curve limit the potential for interest rate declines [1] - The U.S. dollar faces downward pressure due to narrowing interest rate differentials and macroeconomic policy uncertainties, benefiting emerging markets and local currency-denominated assets [1] Commodity Market Insights - Oil price increases driven by geopolitical risks in the Middle East are considered temporary, with expectations of a return to lower prices due to ample global supply and moderate demand in the medium term [1] - Gold remains a core asset supported by ongoing purchases from central banks, although profit-taking pressures should be monitored [1] Sector-Specific Analysis - The non-ferrous metals sector shows mixed performance, with copper prices stable due to inventory reductions and electrolytic aluminum prices supported by improved supply-demand dynamics [2] - The industrial manufacturing sector remains stable, but the automotive price war is a significant disruptive factor [2] - The solar photovoltaic industry is entering an adjustment phase after the "531" rush, preparing for future demand growth [2] Consumer and Technology Sectors - The consumer sector exhibits a new and old differentiation, with cultural exports gaining market recognition and new consumption sectors maintaining reasonable valuation levels [3] - The technology sector shows improved sentiment, driven by rising capital expenditure related to artificial intelligence in the U.S., which is expected to positively impact Chinese tech stocks [3] - The Hong Kong market is viewed positively due to an increase in high-quality companies and enhanced policy support, with many A-share companies choosing to list in Hong Kong [3]

展望后市，分析人士认为，情绪价值与体验消费精准触达当下需求痛点，其商业价值正在快速兑现，新 消费板块趋势性行情有望延续。 ● 谭丁豪 葛瑶 2025年新消费板块成港股关注焦点，7月8日老铺黄金股价盘中再创历史新高。消费逻辑正悄然发生转 变，供给侧改革成为驱动行业增长的核心引擎。同时，政策支持、消费倾向转变与产业创新三重因素共 振，推动新消费板块持续走强。 供给端驱动消费升级 7月8日，老铺黄金上涨4.54%，盘中股价触及1108港元/股，再创历史新高。今年以来，"港股三姐妹"中 的泡泡玛特、老铺黄金分别累计上涨201.96%、352.48%，蜜雪集团股价距发行价累计上涨166.17%；此 外，多只新消费标的表现同样亮眼，毛戈平累计上涨81.67%，布鲁可、古茗距发行价分别累计上涨 142.92%、178.67%。 中信建投证券纺服轻工及教育行业首席分析师叶乐认为，新消费业态的出现主要源于两方面因素：一是 消费行业投资逻辑正从需求端逐步转向供给端。过去消费增长多由需求拉动，而近年来需求端增速放 缓，市场更关注具备产品创新、技术创新能力的企业。这类企业能够通过创新开拓新需求，实现非线性 高增长。二是"95后""0 ...

Group 1 - The recent issuance of QDII products by Yongying Fund and Western Li De Fund focuses on the Hong Kong stock market, targeting the consumer and technology sectors [1][2] - The issuance of new QDII products comes as the demand for QDII investments has surged, with a notable increase in the number of funds raising their subscription limits [2][3] - The approval of new QDII investment quotas by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange has allowed several public fund institutions to receive additional quotas, generally ranging from $10 million to $50 million [3] Group 2 - The performance of QDII products has varied, with Hong Kong innovative drug-themed funds leading the gains, while U.S. biotech and oil and gas funds have underperformed [4][5] - The adjustment of subscription limits for existing QDII products indicates a shift in market dynamics, with several funds increasing their limits significantly [3][4] - The analysis of market conditions suggests that sectors such as semiconductors, hardware, software services, telecommunications, home appliances, and retail in the Hong Kong market have potential for upward movement due to recent adjustments [6]

Group 1: Overview of Grid Trading Strategy - The essence of "grid trading" is a high buy low sell strategy, which is based on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for markets with frequent price movements [3][12] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include: selecting on-market targets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being relatively suitable for grid trading [3][12] Group 2: Focused ETF Grid Strategy Targets - **Asia-Pacific Selected ETF (159687.SZ)**: This ETF tracks the FTSE Russell Asia-Pacific Low Carbon Selected Index, covering major companies in sectors like semiconductors, internet, automotive, and consumer goods across the Asia-Pacific region. In the first half of 2025, Japan's M&A activity surged with a transaction volume of $232 billion, more than doubling year-on-year, enhancing foreign investment enthusiasm [3][13] - **Photovoltaic ETF (515790.SH)**: The "anti-involution" policy is expected to alleviate overcapacity in the photovoltaic industry, leading to a bottom reversal. Recent government initiatives have aimed at addressing low-price competition and promoting high-quality development in the industry [4][16] - **Coal ETF (515220.SH)**: Extreme summer temperatures are driving up rigid demand for coal, with national electricity load reaching a historical high of 1.465 billion kilowatts on July 4, 2025, an increase of approximately 200 million kilowatts from the end of June [5][17] - **Medical ETF (512170.SH)**: Long-term global aging is driving continuous growth in medical demand. In 2025, several policies supporting the innovative drug industry have been introduced, enhancing the structural investment value of innovative drugs [6][21] Group 3: Additional ETF Grid Strategy Targets - A diverse combination of ETFs with low correlation is recommended for grid trading, such as pairing broad-based and sector-specific ETFs or combining A-shares and Hong Kong stocks to enhance capital utilization and risk diversification [24]

Key Insights - As of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at 33,174 billion USD, indicating a stable economic environment [1] - The convertible bond market showed a 3.3% increase in June, following a 4.7% rise in the stock market, driven by policy stimuli and geopolitical factors [2][3] - The life sciences upstream sector is experiencing a turning point, with a projected revenue growth of 10.75% year-on-year in 2024, driven by stable investment and domestic substitution trends [7][8] - The North Exchange is expected to maintain high trading activity and market attention, with a focus on new industries such as artificial intelligence and commercial aerospace for the second half of 2025 [12][17] Convertible Bond Market - The convertible bond market's valuation is not overly high, with structural opportunities still available, particularly in sectors showing improved economic conditions such as non-ferrous metals, machinery, agriculture, and computing [4][3] - The market is transitioning from a policy-driven focus to a fundamental pricing approach, with expectations of a 5% economic growth target being met [3][4] - Recommended convertible bonds for July include Guotou Convertible Bond, Ran 23 Convertible Bond, and others, indicating a strategic focus on sectors benefiting from policy support [4] Life Sciences Upstream Sector - The life sciences upstream sector is characterized by high specialization and significant barriers to entry, with major companies expanding and exploring international markets [7][8] - The sector is poised for growth due to the booming demand for innovative drugs, with the Chinese antibody drug market expected to reach 510.8 billion RMB by 2030 [8] - Mergers and acquisitions are becoming more prevalent, with domestic companies looking to replicate the growth paths of global giants, enhancing industry concentration and growth potential [9][10] North Exchange - The North Exchange's trading activity has slightly decreased, with an average daily turnover of approximately 279.83 billion RMB, but it remains higher than other markets [13] - The North Exchange's overall price-to-earnings ratio is around 50.4 times, indicating a slight decline but still higher than other boards, with the electronics sector showing the highest ratios [14] - The North Exchange is optimizing its evaluation system to support the high-quality development of small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on innovation and market ecology improvement [15][17]

深市港股通前十大成交活跃股中，成交额居首的是阿里巴巴-W，成交金额23.32亿港元；其次是美团- W、国泰君安国际，成交金额分别为20.55亿港元、18.34亿港元。以净买卖金额统计，有8只股为净买 入，净买入金额最多的是盈富基金，净买入6.96亿港元，该股收盘下跌0.16%。净卖出金额最多的是泡 泡玛特，净卖出2.35亿港元，收盘股价上涨2.37%。（数据宝） 7月7日港股通成交活跃股 | 代码 | 简称 | 类型 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01788 | 国泰君安国际 | 港股通(沪) | 545675.26 | 16908.70 | 10.77 | | 03690 | 美团-W | 港股通(沪) | 306729.52 | 77988.25 | -1.49 | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | 港股通(沪) | 241911.79 | 20000.14 | 0.29 | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | 港股通(深) | 233211.00 | 8487.74 | 0. ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market completed 42 IPOs in the first half of the year, raising over 107 billion HKD, which is approximately 22% more than the total for last year, making it the highest globally [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 20% in the first half of the year, marking the largest increase in points ever for this period, surpassing 4000 points [1][2] - There has been a significant increase in IPO applications, with around 200 applications received so far, doubling from the beginning of the year, including companies from the Middle East and Southeast Asia [2][3] Group 2 - The total assets under management for ETPs in Hong Kong reached nearly 510 billion HKD, a 30% increase since 2020, with average daily trading volume increasing fivefold to approximately 40 billion HKD [3] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is actively promoting the listing of various themed ETFs, including those focused on innovative technology, climate change, renewable energy, and biotechnology [3][4] - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks remains attractive, with the Hang Seng Index's PE and PB ratios at 10.65 and 1.12, respectively, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [4][6] Group 3 - The technology sector is highlighted as having significant investment value, supported by favorable policies and strong earnings growth, with expectations for further price increases [5][6] - Consumer stocks, particularly in the pharmaceutical and discretionary sectors, are expected to rise due to improved earnings growth forecasts driven by domestic consumption policies [5] - High-dividend stocks are seen as a stable return option amid global uncertainties, providing investors with a reliable income stream [5]