以下文章来源于妙投APP ，作者丁萍 妙投APP . 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌，为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解，热门赛道产业链梳理 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 丁萍 头图 | AI生图 过去我们拼命理财，是为了"跑赢通胀"，不让辛苦攒下的钱被吞噬。可现在，连通胀都"消失"了—— 自2025年2月起，CPI连续4个月为负。你甚至什么都不做，都不会"跑输CPI"。 可这真的是好消息吗？ 现实很扎心：如果你还幻想靠理财改善生活，银行存款的性价比正加速下降。四大行一年期存款利率 已经只剩0.9%。什么概念？10万元存一年，利息只有900块。未来存款利率只会越来越低，普通人想 靠存款获得理想回报，很难。 在这样的时代，如何让我们的钱不"躺平"，实现保值增值？这就涉及到了怎么做资产配置。 考虑到现在的世界，远比以往任何时候都更不确定——特朗普贸易战上反复无常、美联储货币政策扑 朔迷离、地缘冲突此起彼伏……在这样复杂的环境下， "不把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里"的多元化配置就 成了投资界共识 。 A股、黄金、国债和美债这四大类资产因具备不同风险收益特性，被视为国内投资者资产配置的"基 本盘"： A股是国内权益资产的代表；黄金 ...

自2017年7月3日债券通"北向通"正式启动以来，这一连接内地与香港债券市场的创新机制已走过八年历程。八年间，债券通不断完善制度安排，相继推 出"南向通"与"互换通"，为两地金融市场互联互通开辟了全新通道。 交易规模实现跨越式增长 债券通运行八年来，交易规模呈现爆发式增长态势。2025年5月，债券通"北向通"单月成交量达到9156亿元人民币，月度日均成交482亿元。这一数字与开通 首月日均15亿元的成交额相比，增长超过31倍，充分展现了市场活跃度的显著提升。 截至2025年5月末，通过债券通"北向通"入市的海外投资者已达835家，较2018年5月的315家实现翻倍增长。投资者结构日趋多元化，从早期以资产管理类投 资者为主，逐步扩展至海外央行、主权基金、境外商业银行、保险机构、公募基金、对冲基金等多种类型。全球前100大资产管理机构中，已有80余家通过 债券通进入中国债券市场投资。 市场开放水平持续深化 境外机构对中国债券市场的参与热情不断高涨。截至2025年5月，中国银行间债券市场已吸引来自超过70个国家与地区的1169家国际投资者。境外机构持有 中国在岸债券规模达到4.35万亿元，近5年年均复合增速约12% ...

债券通优化措施全面升级 中国人民银行金融市场司副司长江会芬在"债券通周年论坛2025"上发表重要表态，宣布三项新的对外开放优化措施。这些举措旨在深化内地与香港金融市场 互联互通，支持人民币离岸市场发展，进一步推动人民币债券成为全球高质量流动性资产。江会芬表示，今年上半年受美国关税政策影响，全球市场剧烈波 动，但中国金融市场表现相对稳定。境外机构持有中国债券总量较今年年初增长近2000亿元，表明境外机构在关税事件后普遍看好人民币资产。 人民币债券国际地位持续提升 截至2025年5月末，境外机构持有中国债券总量达4.4万亿元，较债券通开通前增长了近400%。已有1169家境外机构进入中国债券市场，涵盖70多个国家和 地区的主权类机构和商业类机构。北向通今年以来累计交易量超过5.5万亿元，互换通累计超过1.2万笔交易。 中国债券在国际指数中的权重不断提升，体现了国际投资者对人民币债券市场的认可。中国债券在富时全球国债指数中的占比升至全球第二，在彭博巴克莱 全球综合指数中的占比升至全球第三，均高于纳入指数时的预期占比。全球前100大资产管理机构已有80余家进入中国债券市场投资，境外投资者交投活 跃。在境内外各界的共同 ...

Group 1: Financial Market Developments - The People's Bank of China is actively researching measures to promote the RMB bond market as a global high-quality liquid asset [1] - The central bank aims to enhance cross-border investment and financing convenience, including establishing a one-stop account opening platform for foreign investors [1] - As of May, 835 foreign institutional investors have entered the interbank bond market through the Bond Connect, with a total of 1,169 foreign investors from nearly 80 countries and regions [5] Group 2: Offshore Repo Market Expansion - The PBOC plans to optimize the offshore repo business mechanism under the Bond Connect to facilitate liquidity management for foreign investors [2] - The scope of tradable currencies for offshore repos will expand from RMB to include USD, EUR, HKD, and other currencies [2] - The Hong Kong Central Moneymarkets Unit (CMU) will adopt international practices by removing the freeze on pledged securities to enhance liquidity [2] Group 3: Early Childhood Education Initiatives - Seven departments in China have jointly issued opinions to accelerate the construction of a universal childcare service system, establishing a "1+N" model [3][4] - The "1" refers to a comprehensive childcare service center, while "N" includes various forms of childcare services to meet diverse community needs [3] - The initiative includes providing free or low-cost facilities for childcare services, utilizing existing community resources [4] Group 4: Zero-Carbon Park Development - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments have issued a notice to support the construction of zero-carbon parks [8][9] - The initiative encourages local governments to provide financial support for zero-carbon projects through special bonds and long-term credit from policy banks [8] - The plan includes promoting renewable energy development and direct green electricity supply models in industrial parks [9] Group 5: AI Industry Support - Hangzhou is soliciting opinions on measures to support the industrialization of brain-like intelligence projects [10] - The city aims to strengthen the innovation chain around the brain-like intelligence industry and support companies in scaling up [10] - The initiative encourages the development of core technological capabilities with independent intellectual property rights [10] Group 6: Government Cloud Market Growth - The IDC report indicates that China's government cloud market is projected to reach 93.94 billion RMB in 2024, with an 18.4% year-on-year growth [11] - The dedicated government cloud market is expected to grow by 19.0%, reaching 66.33 billion RMB [11] - The public government cloud market is anticipated to grow by 12.2%, reaching 17.24 billion RMB [11]

出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 丁萍 头图 | AI生图 过去我们拼命理财，是为了"跑赢通胀"，不让辛苦攒下的钱被吞噬。可现在，连通胀都"消失"了——自2025年2月起，CPI连续4个月为负。你甚至什么都不 做，都不会"跑输CPI"。 可这真的是好消息吗？ 现实很扎心：如果你还幻想靠理财改善生活，银行存款的性价比正加速下降。四大行一年期存款利率已经只剩0.9%。什么概念？10万元存一年，利息只有 900块。未来存款利率只会越来越低，普通人想靠存款获得理想回报，很难。 在这样的时代，如何让我们的钱不"躺平"，实现保值增值？这就涉及到了怎么做资产配置。 考虑到现在的世界，远比以往任何时候都更不确定——特朗普贸易战上反复无常、美联储货币政策扑朔迷离、地缘冲突此起彼伏……在这样复杂的环境 下，"不把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里"的多元化配置就成了投资界共识。 A股、黄金、国债和美债这四大类资产因具备不同风险收益特性，被视为国内投资者资产配置的"基本盘"： A股是国内权益资产的代表；黄金则是全球公认的避险与抗通胀工具；国债波动性低、信用高，是追求稳健收益和风险对冲的投资者首选；美债作为全球最 大、最具流动性的债券市场，是人民币以 ...

// 债市综述 // 1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，7月8日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了690亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量690亿元，中标量690亿元。Wind数据显示，当 日1310亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净回笼620亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 央行公告称，7月8日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了690亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量690亿元，中标量690亿元。Wind数据显示，当 日1310亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净回笼620亿元。 （IMM） 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.6%附近，较上日变化不大。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率纷纷上行 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） | （*数据来源：Wind-成交统计BMW） | | --- | 5. 近期城投债（AAA）各期限利差走势及数据 （*数据来源：Wind-利差分析） 6. 国债期货收盘集体下跌 （*数据来源：Wind-国债期货） 2 . 中共上海市第十二届委员 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. junk bond market is showing optimistic economic signals despite recent uncertainties related to tariffs, indicating that investors do not expect a recession [1][3] - The current spread between high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasuries is approximately 2.88 percentage points, lower than any point in 2021, reflecting strong market confidence [3] - The performance of the high-yield bond market aligns with trends observed in large-cap U.S. stocks, suggesting a bullish sentiment among bond investors, who are typically more cautious than stock market participants [3] Group 2 - The total return for iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG.US) was 5% for the first half of 2025, while SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK.US) recorded a return of 4.8% [4] - In July, the junk bond market experienced a slight pullback due to renewed focus on tariff developments, particularly following announcements of new tariffs on imports [4] - The average annual yield in the U.S. high-yield bond market is currently around 7%, although this yield may fluctuate with changes in spreads [5]

两年期美债收益率跌0.40个基点，报3.8905%，日内交投于3.9176%-3.88%区间，美国总统特朗普透露铜 关税信息后刷新日高并迅速回落。 周二（7月8日）纽约尾盘，美国10年期基准国债收益率涨1.99个基点，报4.3992%，日内交投于 4.3754%-4.4331%区间。 ...

● 本报记者 彭扬 连润 中国人民银行金融市场司副司长江会芬7月8日在"债券通周年论坛2025"上宣布，将完善债券通"南向 通"运行机制，优化离岸回购业务机制安排，优化互换通运行机制。 业内人士表示，多项新举措将为债券通发展注入新动能，进一步便利境外投资者获取人民币流动性支 持，提升香港作为离岸人民币业务中心的竞争力。 择机推出跨境债券回购业务 "今年上半年，受美国关税政策影响，全球市场剧烈波动，但中国金融市场表现相对稳定，全球投资者 持续看好中国债券市场，境外机构持有中国债券总量较今年年初增长近2000亿元，表明境外机构在关税 事件后普遍看好人民币资产。"江会芬说。 具体来看，江会芬说，完善债券通"南向通"运行机制，支持更多境内投资者走出去，投资离岸债券市 场。扩大境内投资者范围至券商、基金、保险、理财4类非银机构。 优化债券通项下的离岸回购业务机制安排，便于境外投资者开展流动性管理。江会芬表示，人民银行将 拓宽离岸回购应用场景，可交易币种由人民币拓宽至美元、欧元、港币等多币种，支持香港CMU系统 参照债券回购的国际通行做法，取消对回购质押券的冻结，进一步盘活质押券，支持香港CMU系统简 化债券账户开立等业 ...

Core Insights - The Bond Connect has significantly enhanced the connectivity between the Hong Kong and mainland China bond markets since its launch in 2017, with ongoing improvements leading to increased international participation [1][2] - As of May 2025, over 70 countries and regions have engaged with the Chinese interbank bond market, with foreign institutions holding approximately 4.35 trillion yuan in onshore bonds, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of about 12% over the past five years [2] - The recent measures announced by the People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority aim to optimize and expand the Bond Connect, enhancing liquidity and competitiveness in the offshore RMB business [7][8] Group 1: Bond Connect Development - The Bond Connect has become the preferred channel for international investors to access the mainland interbank bond market, indicating a strong demand for deeper connectivity between global and onshore markets [2] - The total number of international investors participating in the Chinese interbank bond market has reached 1,169, with significant trading volumes recorded [2] - The Northbound Swap Connect has attracted 82 foreign institutions, with a total nominal principal amount of approximately 6.9 trillion yuan, showcasing substantial growth in trading activity [2] Group 2: Attractiveness of Chinese Bonds - The Chinese bond market is now the second largest globally, characterized by ample depth and liquidity, making it increasingly important in global asset allocation [4] - China's government debt-to-GDP ratio is relatively low compared to major developed economies, enhancing the appeal of its bonds [4] - The annualized volatility of onshore RMB bonds is approximately 1.3%, significantly lower than that of other developed markets, making them attractive for risk-adjusted returns [4] Group 3: Future Growth Potential - Over 30% of central banks surveyed plan to increase their holdings of RMB assets in the next five years, indicating a growing interest in Chinese bonds [5] - The expansion of the Southbound Connect is expected to facilitate greater overseas asset allocation by domestic investors, further driving growth in the bond market [5] - The current international investor participation in the Chinese bond market is only about 3%, suggesting significant room for growth as global investors seek diversification [8]