零食
Search documents
国泰海通晨报-20251211
Haitong Securities· 2025-12-11 00:28
Group 1: Food and Beverage Industry - The report emphasizes prioritizing growth while focusing on undervalued traditional consumer leaders with strong long-term growth certainty, particularly in the soft drink sector, where companies like Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage show increased valuation attractiveness [1][4] - Recommendations include growth-oriented and stable targets in the liquor sector, such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, alongside structural high-growth beverage companies like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring [2] - The snack and food raw material sectors are highlighted for growth opportunities, with companies like Bailing Chuangyuan and Three Squirrels recommended for investment [2] Group 2: Strategy and Market Trends - The AI industry continues to show high prosperity, with demand for high-end storage devices like DRAM DDR4 increasing, driven by ongoing AI infrastructure investments [5][7] - Service consumption has seen a significant year-on-year increase, with notable improvements in tourism and entertainment sectors, indicating a shift towards light consumption types [6] - The real estate and durable goods sectors are experiencing a marginal decline in prosperity, with industrial metal prices rising significantly due to global supply dynamics [5][6] Group 3: Biopharmaceuticals - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kefu Medical, highlighting a strong revenue growth of 30.72% in Q3 2025, with a focus on improving operational efficiency in its hearing aid business [9][10]
“甜蜜果”抢占健康赛道
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-11 00:10
如果说,健康化是消费者的新偏好,那么情绪价值的满足则是消费行为中的新亮点。蜜饯果干与童 年怀旧感的关联,契合了不少消费者的情绪需求。产品规格上,独立小包装占比越来越高,办公抽屉、 背包侧袋、车载储物格等空间有了越来越多小袋蜜饯果干的身影,方便人们随时随地享用休闲美味。 蜜饯果干行业总体规模不断扩大的同时,一些细分品类也呈现出快速增长。近期,猕猴桃干、南瓜 干、苹果干等产品在多个省份的成交量实现同比数倍增长。尽管面临供应链效率优化、同质化竞争等挑 战,但在消费升级的趋势下,蜜饯果干产业正稳步走向一个更健康、更富情绪价值也更可持续的未来。 (本文来源:经济日报 作者:刘 莉 数据来源:京东消费及产业发展研究院) 作为传统零食的代表,蜜饯果干有着流传千年的历史。烘干、盐渍、晾晒等加工手段起初只是保鲜 的工序,但意外催生的美味到如今也成了一种饮食文化。从《楚辞》中的蜜饵,到后来的蜜饯海棠、九 制陈皮等,这些甜而不腻、酸甜可口的蜜饯果干,成为许多人日常零食和馈赠亲友的选择。 随着更多消费者对健康饮食的追求,蜜饯果干市场也在发生变化,开辟出了前景广阔的"健康赛 道"。行业在减糖、零添加或少添加、功能性成分保留等研发新方向 ...
关厂、裁员、大砍产品线、降价……饮料巨头重大战略调整
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-10 14:07
每经编辑|金冥羽 据央视财经,百事公司与持有约40亿美元股份的激进投资者埃利奥特投资管理公司达成战略改革协议,以应对业绩下行、股价下跌和市场竞争压力。 具体措施包括,计划在2026年前削减美国市场近20%的产品线(SKU),以解决"品牌臃肿"问题,并对部分产品降价。百事公司没有透露具体细节,但据了 解,此轮调整主要涉及滞销或低利润产品,而节省下来的资金将被用作加强营销和提高产品性价比等。 百事公司将实施"平价化"与"健康化"双轨策略,扩大全渠道低价日常产品供给,并计划于2026年推出高蛋白、全谷物、零添加的"清洁标签"创新系列(如 Simply NKD零食、Doritos蛋白质产品)。 据悉,今年以来,百事公司已关闭了三家工厂和多条生产线,与此同时,该公司还计划裁员,以降低成本。公司已指示位于北美多个办事处的员工远程办 公,涉及的办事处包括位于纽约州Purchase的总部。百事集团北美首席人力资源官Jennifer Wells在周日的员工信中表示,公司将进行"业务结构性调整", 该调整将影响部分职位。 公司预计2026财年核心业务收入增长2%—4%,高于今年前九个月1.5%的增速。核心每股收益增长5%—7%( ...
“吞下”Kellanova,玛氏拓零食版图
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 13:51
Group 1 - Mars has received unconditional approval from the European Commission for its acquisition of Kellanova, with the transaction expected to be completed on December 11, 2023 [2] - The acquisition, valued at approximately $36 billion, is Mars' largest merger since its inception, with Kellanova shareholders approving the deal at $83.50 per share [2] - Following the merger, Mars' snack business is projected to generate annual revenues of around $36 billion, increasing its market share in the global snack industry from 4% to 6% [2] Group 2 - Kellanova, spun off from Kellogg in 2023, manages the company's non-North American cereal and savory snack businesses, with a net sales forecast of $12.7 billion for 2024 [3] - Mars, known for its candy products, reported net sales of $54.6 billion in 2024, with pet care contributing approximately 60% of its revenue and snacks accounting for about one-third [3] - The acquisition of Kellanova allows Mars to diversify its product offerings into savory snacks and breakfast cereals, addressing the growing market demand for these categories [4] Group 3 - The merger is expected to create significant synergies through shared channel resources, unified supply chains, and combined R&D efforts, although brand positioning and cultural integration will need careful management [4]
东吴证券:长短结合布局消费赛道 看好零食、保健及大健康龙头
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 02:00
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,五个方向选股,优先确定性,自下而上于成长和困境反转中 捕捉估值切换收益,头部零食企业、优质连锁零售业态兼具"新且快",迭代能力强,增速横向比较更领 先;低位布局积极出清的,2026年内出现拐点可能性大的白酒、乳业以及大餐饮板块,高度重视保健品 大健康领域,银发经济基本盘稳固,年轻化新消费人群扩容,品类创新迭代积极,主要公司弹性体现在 2026年。重视长生命周期与高壁垒生意龙头,以及深度价值(稳定格局,稳健经营,稳定分红)标的。 风险提示:宏观如继续承压对消费的传导,需求探底和修复不及预期,原材料价格的加大波动,食安风 险,行业内产能扩张和竞争加剧风险,估值切换收益提前兑现使得2026收益空间缩小的风险等。 以CPI指标为例,2020年9月份以来持续低位运行,其中2021年以来食品、烟、酒整体长期处于换档降 速通道,2023年中以来食品和酒类价格指数更是呈现连续负增长状态。宏观消费指标社会消费品零售总 额显示,2021年8月以来月度同比增长居于2%-5%的低速区间。结合餐饮和食品及酒类代表性上市公司 经营表现,消费持续承压已久。2024Q3以来"提振消费"被屡次提及,一方 ...
三只松鼠揽下“双金”,用全链条品质力助力坚果行业升级
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-09 14:25
12月9日,上海外滩之畔星光熠熠,2025京东金榜年度盛典启幕。京东金榜以严苛的品质标准与用户口碑数据为核心依据,见证年度优质品牌的荣耀时刻。 其中,零食品牌三只松鼠斩获"坚果炒货品质金奖",旗下核心单品每日坚果礼盒荣膺 "年度金奖"。 从单款产品热销到双金荣誉加身,从渠道合作到商品解决方案共建,三只松鼠与京东的合作正在重塑品牌与平台的协同生态。在消费升级与产业变革的双 重驱动下,这场基于品质共识与战略互信的深度合作,不仅为双方带来持续增长的商业价值,更将为中国消费市场的高质量发展注入新的活力。 品类运营深化方面,三只松鼠不仅聚焦坚果核心品类的品质升级,更依托"多品类、多渠道"战略,为京东平台提供全域消费解决方案。今年10月,三只松 鼠生活馆线上首店在京东落地,将产品矩阵从休闲零食拓展至几十个高频刚需品类,涵盖短保鲜食、日化洗护、宠物用品等家庭消费场景,通过"自有品牌 +渠道覆盖"模式,与京东高效物流体系结合,实现"品质好物一站购"的消费体验。这种品类延伸是基于京东平台的用户画像分析,精准匹配家庭消费的多 元化需求,既丰富平台的商品结构,也让三只松鼠的品牌影响力渗透到更广泛的生活场景中。 作为京东长期以来的重 ...
食品饮料2026投资策略:估值切换为抓手,三维布局2026
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-09 12:59
Core Insights - The report emphasizes a shift in valuation as a key strategy for investment in the food and beverage industry, with a relatively optimistic outlook for 2026 despite ongoing uncertainties [5][31][40] - The report identifies five key areas for stock selection to capture investment opportunities in 2026, focusing on health products, leading snack brands, quality retail chains, beverage leaders, and the recovery of the liquor and dairy sectors [5][40] Industry Trends - Consumer spending has been under pressure for an extended period, with CPI and retail sales growth remaining low, indicating a challenging environment for the food and beverage sector [5][16][23] - The overall revenue growth for the food and beverage sector has declined significantly from +14.5% in 2019 to +0.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, with net profit growth turning negative at -4.6% [23][26] - The report notes that the liquor sector is experiencing a significant downturn, with revenue and profit declines observed for the first time since 2017, highlighting the need for a recovery phase [23][26] Investment Strategy - The report advocates for a focus on certainty in investment, utilizing valuation shifts as a primary strategy, with an emphasis on continuous growth and the reversal of challenging conditions as key drivers for valuation recovery [5][31][32] - The report outlines that the recovery in consumer sentiment and spending is expected to be gradual, with specific attention to the liquor sector's potential for recovery in 2026 [5][22][39] Stock Selection - Five key areas for stock selection are identified: 1. Health products and wellness as a core growth area 2. Leading snack brands benefiting from supply chain improvements 3. Quality retail chains with expansion potential 4. Beverage leaders with long product life cycles 5. Liquor and dairy sectors poised for recovery [5][40] - The report highlights specific companies within these categories, such as Eastroc Beverage and Yili Group, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming period [5][40]
食角新赏 | 盼盼、劲仔、美心生活较量“低GI”市场,品类认知教育仍待补齐
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-12-09 09:24
Core Insights - The rising health awareness is driving the demand for low GI (glycemic index) foods, expanding from niche markets to a broader audience [1] - Numerous companies are launching low GI products, indicating a growing trend in the food industry [1][3][4] Company Developments - Panpan Foods has expanded its low GI product line, recently announcing the launch of "low GI sugar-free monkey head mushroom ginseng biscuits" and other products [1] - Meixin Life has introduced "low GI golden peony red tea-flavored cookies" at Sam's Club, which have reduced sugar content by 50% compared to the original product [3] - Jinzhai Foods has launched "Zhou Xian Xian low GI bean curd," focusing on low GI offerings primarily in the bean product category [4] Market Trends - The interest in low GI foods has surged, with a 146% year-on-year increase in related social media content and a 200% rise in engagement [6] - Searches for low GI food and beverage products have increased by 56% over the past year, reflecting a significant uptick in consumer interest [6] - Major brands like Jinlongyu and COFCO are entering the low GI market with products such as low GI rice noodles and low GI grains [6] Consumer Insights - Consumers perceive low GI products as essential for health and wellness, often associating them with a lighter dietary burden [7] - The definition of low GI is clarified, with a GI value of ≤55 indicating slower digestion and stable blood sugar levels [7] - There is a caution against "pseudo low GI" products, emphasizing the need for proper certification and nutritional balance [7][8] Industry Challenges - The proliferation of low GI labeled products raises concerns about authenticity, with some brands lacking proper certification [8] - Consumers are encouraged to develop skills to discern genuine low GI products through authoritative labels and testing reports [8]
可选消费W49周度趋势解析:海外市场风险偏好度回升,明年消费政策托底尚未落地A/H市场景气度回落-20251208
Haitong Securities International· 2025-12-08 13:32
Market Overview - Overseas market risk appetite has rebounded, while A/H market sentiment has declined as supportive consumption policies for next year have yet to materialize[1] - Weekly performance of sectors shows overseas sportswear leading with a 2.9% increase, followed by overseas cosmetics at 2.0%[11] - Year-to-date performance highlights gold and jewelry sector leading with a 138.2% increase, while overseas sportswear has declined by 13.8%[11] Sector Performance - The overseas sportswear sector's expected PE for 2025 is 31.1 times, which is 58% of the past five-year average[14] - The domestic sportswear sector's expected PE for 2025 is 14.2 times, representing 74% of the past five-year average[14] - The gold and jewelry sector's expected PE for 2025 is 23.7 times, which is 45% of the past five-year average[14] Key Stock Ratings - Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, and Haier Smart Home are rated as "Outperform"[1] - Lulu Lemon is rated as "Neutral," while other stocks like Anta Sports and Gree Electric are also rated "Outperform"[1] Economic Indicators - The U.S. stock market has surged, maintaining high expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve[6] - The core CPI data for September was reported at 2.8%, the highest since April, aligning with market expectations[6] Risks - Potential risks include changes in consumer and economic environments, intensified market competition, and tariff risks[10]
宝兰黄金完成融资;茶芭乐油柑茉莉茶上新;Nike高层大调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 09:00
Investment Dynamics - Baolan Gold has completed over 100 million RMB in Series A financing, led by Challenger Capital, with participation from Kering Group and Shunwei Capital [3] - The funds will be used to deepen brand value, expand channel layout, upgrade supply chain resilience, and empower core talent, further consolidating its advantage in the high-end gold jewelry sector [3] Acquisition Dynamics - JD.com has acquired 85.2% of Ceconomy, a leading European consumer electronics retailer, for approximately 2.2 billion euros (about 181 billion RMB) [6] - This acquisition allows JD.com to access Ceconomy's established offline store network and local supply chain, aiming to transform stores into instant retail warehouses and reduce delivery times from 2-3 days to hours [6] - This deal marks the largest acquisition by a Chinese e-commerce company in Europe, enhancing JD.com's overseas business growth [6] - Canadian plant-based snack company Trubar has been acquired by Turkish food company ETİ Gıda for approximately 201 million CAD (about 10 billion RMB) [8] - The acquisition is expected to be completed by Q1 2026, with Trubar's shares delisting from the Toronto Stock Exchange [8] - The deal may open a window for mergers among local startups in the Canadian plant snack market [8] Brand Dynamics - COS, a brand under H&M Group, will reopen its flagship store in Beijing's Sanlitun on December 24, with plans for additional stores in Dalian, Jinan, and Wuhan by early 2026 [9] - The flagship store's design integrates contemporary minimalist aesthetics with Beijing's cultural heritage, reflecting the brand's alignment with local culture [9] - COS aims to strengthen its presence in first-tier and new first-tier cities in China [9] - Let Tea has launched its "Guava Oil Kumquat Jasmine Tea" across all channels, expanding its no-sugar fruit tea category [16] - The new product features a health-focused formula with zero sugar and calories, combining guava and kumquat flavors for a unique taste [16] - This launch is expected to enhance Let Tea's position as a leader in the no-sugar fruit tea segment and drive industry upgrades [16] - French fashion brand Etam has announced its complete withdrawal from the Chinese market, closing its online stores on platforms like Tmall and Xiaohongshu [17] - This marks the end of Etam's operations in China after over 30 years in the market [17] Personnel Dynamics - Nike has announced significant executive changes, including the elimination of the Chief Commercial Officer position and the departure of the Chief Technology Officer [21] - A new Chief Operating Officer has been appointed, with expanded responsibilities including leadership of the technology department [21] - These changes are part of Nike's strategy to drive growth and performance [21] - Valentino has appointed Davide Tosi as Chief Merchandising Officer to lead global product planning and pricing strategies [24] - Tosi's experience with brands like Gucci and Prada is expected to help Valentino address revenue declines [24] - Former public relations head of Shui Jing Fang, Hong Zonghua, has joined PepsiCo as Vice President of Corporate Affairs for the Asia-Pacific region [27] - Hong's extensive background in public relations and government relations in foreign consumer companies is seen as a valuable asset for PepsiCo [27] - Fendi has appointed Francesca Leoni as the new Global Chief Communications Officer, succeeding Cristiana Monfardini [30] - Leoni brings over 25 years of experience in the luxury goods sector, aiming to enhance Fendi's brand strategy and public relations efforts [30]