在装机需求滑落与产业链价格低迷的背景下，隆基绿能依靠提效降费实现减亏。上半年，公司销售费 用、管理费用分别同比下降37%、23%，资产减值损失的大幅减少也是减亏的原因之一。 截至上周，三季度以来N型硅片价格至少环比上涨24%，隆基绿能是否能在本季度交出本轮光伏下行周 期以来的最好业绩表现并确认周期底部，是市场接下来的关注焦点。 【#隆基绿能二季度减亏显著#，#隆基绿能下半年能否打出翻身一仗#？】受光伏行业产能出清、低价竞 争、装机需求低迷影响，隆基绿能（601012.SH）上半年增收不增利，净利润续亏。 近日，隆基绿能发布2025年半年度报告，公司上半年实现营收328.13亿元，同比减少14.83%，归母净利 润亏损25.7亿元，同比增长50.88%，扣非后归母净利润亏损33.04亿元，同比增长37.38%，较去年同期 的亏损幅度已显著收窄。其中，第二季度单季净亏损收窄至约3.5亿元，环比第一季度减少近21%，释 放出企稳信号。 ...

受光伏行业产能出清、低价竞争、装机需求低迷影响，隆基绿能（601012.SH）上半年增收不增利，净 利润续亏。 近日，隆基绿能发布2025年半年度报告，公司上半年实现营收328.13亿元，同比减少14.83%，归母净利 润亏损25.7亿元，同比增长50.88%，扣非后归母净利润亏损33.04亿元，同比增长37.38%，较去年同期 的亏损幅度已显著收窄。其中，第二季度单季净亏损收窄至约3.5亿元，环比第一季度减少近21%，释 放出企稳信号。 在装机需求滑落与产业链价格低迷的背景下，隆基绿能依靠提效降费实现减亏。上半年，公司销售费 用、管理费用分别同比下降37%、23%，资产减值损失的大幅减少也是减亏的原因之一。 截至上周，三季度以来N型硅片价格至少环比上涨24%，隆基绿能是否能在本季度交出本轮光伏下行周 期以来的最好业绩表现并确认周期底部，是市场接下来的关注焦点。 提效降费，二季度环比减亏 财报显示，上半年，隆基绿能实现硅片出货量52.08GW（对外销售24.72GW），同比增长17.2%，电池 组件出货量41.85GW（其中组件出货量39.57GW），同比增长23.08%。 光伏行业上半年在供需失衡背景下同质 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yan Hongjia, a wealthy entrepreneur from Shanxi, is expanding his capital ambitions through his companies, including Mingguan New Materials and Yunnan Yuze New Energy, despite facing significant operational challenges and slow IPO progress [1][9]. Financial Performance - Mingguan New Materials reported a net profit of approximately -52.71 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking its first half-year loss since its listing in 2020 [3][4]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was about 381.89 million yuan, a decrease of 36.85% compared to the same period last year [2][3]. - The total profit for the same period was -53.25 million yuan, a decline of 762.99% year-on-year [2]. Industry Context - The solar photovoltaic industry is experiencing intense competition, leading to price wars and reduced profit margins for companies like Mingguan New Materials [3][5]. - The company attributes its revenue decline to the rapid iteration of solar cell technology and increased competition, which has resulted in lower sales prices despite a rise in sales volume for certain products [3][5]. Research and Development - Mingguan New Materials' R&D expenses decreased by 29.96% to approximately 15.24 million yuan in the first half of 2025, alongside a reduction in R&D personnel from 70 to 61 [6]. - The average salary for R&D staff increased from 119,200 yuan to 129,700 yuan, indicating a focus on retaining high-level talent [6][7]. IPO Progress - Yunnan Yuze, a subsidiary of Mingguan New Materials, has been undergoing IPO counseling for over a year and a half without significant progress [9][10]. - The company, established in 2019, focuses on N-type silicon wafer production and has multiple manufacturing bases across China [9]. Ownership Structure - Yan Hongjia is the controlling shareholder of Mingguan New Materials, holding 25.34% of the shares directly and an additional 0.475% through a subsidiary [8].

Group 1 - The main contract for polysilicon futures experienced fluctuations, reaching a peak of 43,250.0 yuan, and closed at 42,945.0 yuan with a rise of 1.50% [1] - Various institutions have differing views on the future of polysilicon prices, with some expecting a potential correction while others maintain a bullish outlook [2] - The supply side of polysilicon shows an overall increase in production, but some companies are undergoing maintenance, leading to a mixed impact on capacity [2][3] Group 2 - The current macroeconomic environment shows a positive CPI and a weakening PPI, which may influence market expectations [2] - The demand side is under pressure due to reduced production schedules in downstream solar component manufacturing, despite recent price recoveries [2] - The operating rate for polysilicon in June was reported at 35.47%, with a year-on-year production decrease of 38% but a month-on-month increase of 3% [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Glass and Soda Ash - Yesterday, the soda ash futures market sentiment weakened, with the 09 contract dropping about 30 points. Although the overall market sentiment had improved earlier, the supply - demand pattern of soda ash remains in surplus, with continuous inventory accumulation. It is recommended to watch for opportunities to short on rebounds [1]. - The glass futures market sentiment declined yesterday, while the spot market remained strong. Currently, it is the off - season, and the industry needs capacity clearance. It is advisable to wait and see for now [1]. Logs - Yesterday, the log futures market fluctuated slightly stronger. The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand due to the off - season for demand and seasonal reduction in supply from New Zealand. The 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly, and attention should be paid to market sentiment and policy expectations [2]. Industrial Silicon - The spot price of industrial silicon increased by 150 - 200 yuan/ton, and the futures price rose by 90 yuan/ton. The supply is expected to increase. In the short - term, the price will fluctuate strongly, but attention should be paid to the risk of price decline due to the increase in warehouse receipts [3]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon spot price stabilized, and the futures price increased. There is still room for the futures price to catch up with the spot price. The market has a wait - and - see attitude, and there are both positive and negative factors. Attention should be paid to the risk of price decline [4]. Natural Rubber - The natural rubber price rebounded due to macro - sentiment, but the fundamental situation is still weak. It is recommended to short at the price range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton, and pay attention to raw material supply and US tariff changes [5]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Glass and Soda Ash Price and Spread - Glass: The prices in North China, East China, and South China remained unchanged, while the price in Central China increased by 30 yuan/ton with a 2.80% increase. The 2505 and 2509 contracts decreased by 1.35% and 2.81% respectively. The 05 basis increased by 17.53% [1]. - Soda Ash: The prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. The 2505 and 2509 contracts decreased by 0.53% and 2.06% respectively. The 05 basis increased by 17.95% [1]. Supply - Soda ash: The operating rate and weekly output remained unchanged. The float glass daily melting volume increased by 0.38%, and the photovoltaic daily melting volume remained unchanged [1]. Inventory - Glass factory inventory decreased by 2.87%, while soda ash factory inventory and delivery warehouse inventory increased by 2.98% and 4.39% respectively. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days remained unchanged [1]. Real Estate Data - New construction area increased by 2.99%, construction area decreased by 7.56%, completion area increased by 15.67%, and sales area increased by 12.13% [1]. Logs Futures and Spot Prices - Log futures: The 2509, 2511, and 2601 contracts increased slightly, while the 2507 contract decreased slightly. The basis of the 09, 11, and 01 contracts decreased [2]. - Spot prices: The prices of most spot logs remained unchanged, except for a 1.39% decrease in the price of 4A small radiata pine in Taicang Port [2]. Supply - Monthly supply: Port shipments increased by 2.12%, and the number of ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased by 8.62% [2]. Inventory - Weekly inventory: The national inventory decreased by 0.31%, with a 1.66% decrease in Shandong and a 1.93% increase in Jiangsu [2]. Demand - Weekly demand: The daily average outbound volume decreased by 12% nationwide, with a 9% decrease in Shandong and a 14% decrease in Jiangsu [2]. Industrial Silicon Spot Price and Basis - The prices of East China oxygen - passed S15530 and Xinjiang 99 - grade industrial silicon increased, while the basis of some varieties decreased [3]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of 2508 - 2509, 2509 - 2510, and 2512 - 2601 increased significantly, while the spread of 2511 - 2512 decreased significantly [3]. Fundamental Data - In April, the national output and operating rate decreased, while the output and operating rate in Yunnan and Sichuan increased. In May, the output of organic silicon DMC, polysilicon, and recycled aluminum alloy increased [3]. Inventory Change - The inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 17.46%, and the social inventory decreased slightly. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 0.34% [3]. Polysilicon Spot Price and Basis - The prices of N - type granular silicon decreased slightly, and the basis of N - type and cauliflower - type decreased [4]. Futures Price and Monthly Spread - The PS2506 contract increased by 1.69%. Some monthly spreads changed significantly [4]. Fundamental Data - Weekly: The output of silicon wafers and polysilicon decreased. Monthly: The polysilicon output increased, and the import and export volumes changed [4]. Inventory Change - The polysilicon inventory increased by 1.47%, and the silicon wafer inventory decreased by 5.67% [4]. Natural Rubber Spot Price and Basis - The prices of some rubber varieties increased slightly, and the basis and non - standard spread changed [5]. Monthly Spread - The 9 - 1 spread increased by 1.69%, and the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 16.67% [5]. Fundamental Data - In May, the output in Thailand, Indonesia, India, and China increased. The operating rates of semi - steel and all - steel tires increased, and the domestic tire output decreased slightly. The tire export volume increased [5]. Inventory Change - The bonded area inventory increased slightly, and the warehouse receipt inventory in the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased significantly [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant rebound in the A-share photovoltaic sector, driven by government policies aimed at addressing "involution" competition and promoting supply-side reforms [2][3]. - As of July 11, the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index has increased by 7.66% in July, with leading stocks like Hongyuan Green Energy rising by 25.93% and Tongwei Co. increasing by 21.73% [2]. - The government has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity, indicating a shift towards more structured competition in the photovoltaic industry [2][3]. Group 2 - The price of silicon materials has surged to approximately 45,000 yuan per ton, marking a 25% increase, while N-type raw material prices have also risen by 6%-7% [3]. - Analysts suggest that the price increases in the upstream silicon sector will likely lead to price adjustments in downstream components, including batteries and modules, as supply chain expectations shift [3]. - The rebound in industry prices is seen as a crucial step towards achieving a more orderly competitive environment in the photovoltaic sector, with expectations for a solidification of the industry's fundamentals [3]. Group 3 - Globally, the photovoltaic market in Europe is expected to grow steadily, despite challenges such as the cancellation of incentive programs and slow progress in electrification [4]. - In the U.S., short-term impacts from tariff policies are affecting photovoltaic component prices and investment willingness, but long-term growth is anticipated as domestic production capacity increases [4]. - Other regions, including the Middle East, are projected to become significant sources of demand for photovoltaic installations, with substantial imports expected from China [4]. Group 4 - The Xinhua Outbound Index has shown positive performance, with the New Energy Outbound Index rising nearly 2.8%, driven by policy support and favorable mid-year earnings expectations for some companies [5]. - Notable stock performance includes Sunshine Power, which saw a weekly increase of 12.50% [5]. Group 5 - The Xinhua New Energy Outbound Index reached 2105.54, reflecting a 2.76% increase, with contributions primarily from photovoltaic equipment and communication devices [6]. - The index has shown a 40.68% return over the past year, indicating strong performance in the sector [6].

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% to 3509.68 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.47% to 10631.13 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.22% to 2189.58 points, with the SSE 50 Index up by 0.62% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 151.53 billion yuan, with sectors such as real estate, coal, brokerage, steel, pharmaceuticals, and banking showing significant gains [1] DDR4 Market Insights - The price of DDR4 continues to rise due to the exit of major players like Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix from the market, with the DXI index reaching 83072.69 points, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 86.1% [2] - Demand for niche DRAM is expected to remain strong, driven by a weak recovery in smartphones, PCs, IoT, and industrial control sectors, alongside ongoing domestic replacement trends [2] Copper Price Volatility - Following Trump's consideration of a 50% tariff on imported copper, COMEX copper prices surged to nearly $5.9 per pound, closing at $5.51 per pound, marking a daily increase of nearly 10% [3] - The divergence in price movements between COMEX and LME copper indicates potential for increased volatility in copper prices in the short term, with expectations of a return to fundamental and macroeconomic influences [3] Photovoltaic Industry Developments - The price of silicon materials has surged to approximately 45,000 yuan per ton, a 25% increase, as the industry responds to "anti-involution" policies [4] - The rise in silicon prices is expected to lead to price increases across the photovoltaic supply chain, including N-type silicon wafers and potentially batteries and components [4] Banking Sector Stability - The banking sector's foundation for "stable returns" has been strengthened, supported by macroeconomic and regulatory policies that enhance profitability stability [6] - The focus on low-valuation stocks and beta varieties is expected to continue, with institutional investors showing increased interest in stable return assets [6] Strategic Mineral Export Control - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals, including antimony and gallium, to prevent illegal outflows [8] Innovative Drug Developments - Guangshengtang's innovative drug GST-HG131 for hepatitis B treatment has been included in the list of breakthrough therapy products, indicating significant clinical advantages [9] Rare Earth Pricing Adjustments - Baotou Steel's announcement to adjust the price of rare earth concentrates to 19,109 yuan per ton (excluding tax) reflects ongoing changes in the pricing mechanism for rare earth products [10]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Natural Rubber - The fundamentals are expected to weaken. Hold short positions above 14,000 and monitor raw material supply in various producing areas and US tariff changes [1]. Polysilicon - Polysilicon is facing inventory accumulation pressure due to oversupply. Although prices are rising under policy expectations, downstream demand remains weak. It is beneficial for polysilicon - industrial silicon arbitrage and buying stocks of photovoltaic industry chain enterprises, but beware of the impact of high - cost transfer on weak demand [3]. Industrial Silicon - The spot price of industrial silicon is stable, and the futures price fluctuates. In the short term, the price is expected to fluctuate strongly supported by production cuts, but in the long term, over - supply pressure may increase. Pay attention to the impact of polysilicon production changes on demand and policy effects [4]. Glass and Soda Ash - Soda ash is in an obvious oversupply situation. Wait for the opportunity to short after the market sentiment fades. Glass has a short - term rebound, but the demand is weak. Wait for more cold - repair actions to bring a real turnaround and currently suggest waiting and seeing [6]. Logs - The log market is entering a period of weak supply and demand. The 09 contract is expected to fluctuate weakly [8]. 3. Summary by Directory Natural Rubber Spot Prices and Basis - The prices of some varieties such as Yunnan state - owned standard rubber and Thai standard mixed rubber remained unchanged on July 9 compared to July 8. The full - latex basis and non - standard price difference decreased significantly [1]. Monthly Spreads - The 9 - 1 spread remained unchanged, the 1 - 5 spread increased by 8.33%, and the 5 - 9 spread decreased by 0.53% [1]. Fundamental Data - In May, the production of Thailand, Indonesia, India, and China increased. The weekly开工率 of semi - steel and full - steel tires decreased, domestic tire production decreased slightly, and tire exports increased. The import of natural rubber decreased [1]. Inventory Changes - Bonded area inventory and factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased, while the inbound and outbound rates of dry rubber in Qingdao decreased [1]. Polysilicon Spot Prices and Basis - The average prices of N - type re - feedstock and N - type granular silicon increased on July 9 compared to July 8, with increases of 2.56% and 4.11% respectively [3]. Futures Prices and Monthly Spreads - The PS2506 contract price increased by 2.31%. Some monthly spreads changed significantly, such as the PS2506 - PS2507 spread which decreased by 298.85% [3]. Fundamental Data - Weekly and monthly polysilicon production increased. In May, polysilicon imports decreased, exports decreased, and net exports increased. Silicon wafer production decreased in the short term but increased slightly in May [3]. Inventory Changes - Polysilicon inventory increased by 0.74%, and silicon wafer inventory decreased by 4.43% [3]. Industrial Silicon Spot Prices and Main Contract Basis - The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon increased by 1.24%, and the basis of some varieties increased [4]. Monthly Spreads - Some monthly spreads changed, such as the 2507 - 2508 spread which decreased by 88.00% [4]. Fundamental Data - In June, the national industrial silicon production increased, with significant increases in Yunnan and Sichuan. Organic silicon DMC production increased, and polysilicon production also increased [4]. Inventory Changes - Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory decreased, while social inventory increased. The warehouse - receipt inventory decreased slightly, and non - warehouse - receipt inventory increased [4]. Glass and Soda Ash Glass - Related Prices and Spreads - Glass prices in some regions remained unchanged, and the prices of glass futures contracts increased slightly [6]. Soda Ash - Related Prices and Spreads - Soda ash prices in some regions decreased, and the prices of soda ash futures contracts increased [6]. Supply - Soda ash production rate and weekly output decreased slightly, while float glass daily melting volume increased and photovoltaic daily melting volume decreased [6]. Inventory - Glass factory - warehouse inventory decreased slightly, soda ash factory - warehouse inventory increased, and soda ash delivery - warehouse inventory decreased [6]. Real Estate Data - Real estate new - start area, completion area, and sales area showed positive changes compared to the previous period, while the construction area decreased [6]. Logs Futures and Spot Prices - Log futures prices fluctuated slightly, and the prices of some spot varieties decreased [8]. Import Cost - The import theoretical cost increased by 4% [8]. Supply - Port shipping volume increased, and the number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased [8]. Inventory - National log inventory decreased, and inventory in Shandong and Jiangsu also decreased [8]. Demand - The average daily log outbound volume increased [8].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Industrial silicon supply may fall short of expectations, with potential restarts in the polysilicon sector leading to a price rebound. Driven by the "anti-involution" sentiment, industrial silicon futures and spot prices are rising in tandem, and may continue to strengthen in the short term. In the long term, the selling pressure after the rebound may stimulate the resumption of production in the southwest region, and upward pressure remains [1]. - Affected by the supply - side reform expectations and market sentiment, the polysilicon market is firm. In the short term, driven by bullish sentiment, prices may continue to strengthen with increased volatility [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Price Data - **Industrial Silicon Futures and Spot Prices**: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained unchanged at 8,500 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) average price was also flat at 9,050 yuan/ton. The futures main contract closed at 8,140 yuan/ton, down 0.91% from the previous day. The basis (East China 553 - futures main) increased by 75 yuan to 360 yuan/ton [1]. - **Polysilicon Futures and Spot Prices**: N - type polysilicon material rose 2.63% to 39 yuan/kg. The futures main contract closed at 39,270 yuan/ton, up 2.31%. The basis increased by 115 yuan to - 270 yuan/ton [1]. - **Industrial Silicon Spot Prices**: Different grades and regions showed different price trends. For example, the average price of non - oxygenated 553 in Sichuan increased by 0.61% to 8,200 yuan/ton, and the average price of oxygenated 553 in Kunming increased by 0.58% to 8,650 yuan/ton [1]. - **Polysilicon Spot Prices**: N - type dense material rose 2.63% to 39 yuan/kg, while other types like polysilicon re - feedstock remained unchanged [1]. - **Silicon Wafer Prices**: N - type 210R rose 1.01% to 1 yuan/piece, and N - type 183mm rose 1.15% to 0.88 yuan/piece. On July 9th, N - type silicon wafers had a significant price increase, with an average increase of 0.1 - 0.15 yuan/piece [1]. - **Battery and Component Prices**: All battery and component prices remained unchanged on the day [1]. - **Organic Silicon Prices**: DMC, 107 glue, and silicone oil prices remained unchanged. On July 9th, a Shandong monomer enterprise raised the online DMC quote to 10,700 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan/ton from the previous level, and the DMC price is expected to fluctuate in the future [1]. Fundamental Analysis - **Industrial Silicon Supply and Demand**: On the supply side, northern large - scale factories plan to cut production, while the southwest region is about to enter the wet season with lower power costs and a slow increase in enterprise operations. On the demand side, polysilicon enterprises are reducing production, with some scheduled to resume production in July; organic silicon enterprises have a strong willingness to cut production to support prices, but demand is weak; silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and downstream low - level inventory - building willingness is insufficient [1]. - **Polysilicon Supply and Demand**: On the supply side, polysilicon enterprises are reducing production, but some may have new capacity put into operation, with an expected slight increase in output to within 100,000 tons. On the demand side, the photovoltaic market is weak, with rising inventories of silicon wafers and polysilicon. Although the downstream silicon wafer prices have followed the increase in polysilicon price expectations, the terminal market remains weak due to the over - drawn demand in the first half of the year [1]. Investment Strategies - **Industrial Silicon**: Short - term trading is recommended as prices may continue to strengthen. Long - term attention should be paid to the actual production dynamics of silicon enterprises [1]. - **Polysilicon**: Short - term trading is also recommended, and continuous attention should be paid to the actual start - up of the industrial chain and the implementation of supply - side reform [1]. Other Information - Germany's industrial output in May increased by 1.2% month - on - month and 1% year - on - year, driven by the significant growth in the automotive industry. However, the construction industry output decreased by 3.9% month - on - month, and the energy industry output increased by 10.8% month - on - month. Excluding the construction and energy industries, industrial output increased by 1.4% month - on - month [1].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Natural Rubber - In the context of expected supply increase and weak demand, the subsequent rubber price is expected to remain weak. Hold the short position at 14,000 and monitor the raw material supply in each production area and macro - event disturbances [2]. Industrial Silicon - In June, industrial silicon still faces a weak fundamental situation of oversupply, and the price remains under pressure. Recently, the rebound in coal prices brings an expectation of rising raw material prices, which supports the price, and the price may fluctuate at a low level [4]. Polysilicon - The fundamentals have not significantly improved, and the atmosphere at the Shanghai PV exhibition is bearish. However, due to the low price, hold short positions cautiously and pay attention to the pressure level around 35,000 yuan/ton. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [5]. Glass and Soda Ash - For soda ash, the excess pattern is obvious, and there will be further profit - reduction. After the photovoltaic rush - installation, the growth of photovoltaic capacity has slowed down, and the overall demand has not increased significantly. After the maintenance, inventory accumulation may accelerate. - For glass, it still faces over - supply pressure in the future, and the industry needs capacity clearance. The 09 contract fluctuates around 1000 points, and a short - term bearish strategy can be considered [6]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Price and Spread - The price of Yunnan Guofu all - latex rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai remained unchanged at 13,900 yuan/ton. The all - latex basis (switched to the 2509 contract) decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 10 yuan/ton, a decline of 140%. The Thai standard mixed rubber quote remained at 13,750 yuan/ton. The non - standard price difference decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 160 yuan/ton, a decline of 28%. The FOB mid - price of cup rubber in the international market increased by 0.40 Thai baht/kg to 47.45 Thai baht/kg, an increase of 0.85%. The FOB mid - price of glue in the international market remained at 56.75 yuan/ton. The price of natural rubber lumps in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 12,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.28%. The price of natural rubber glue in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 13,100 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.15%. The mainstream market price of raw materials in Hainan remained at 12,400 yuan/ton, and the mainstream market price of imported rubber raw materials in Hainan remained at 9,000 yuan/ton [2]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 9 - 1 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to - 850 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.8%. The 1 - 5 spread decreased by 10 yuan/ton to - 72 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.18%. The 5 - 9 spread increased by 25 yuan/ton to 915 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.81% [2]. Fundamental Data - In April, Thailand's production decreased by 435,000 tons to 1.057 million tons, a decline of 29.16%. Indonesia's production decreased by 15,200 tons to 194,100 tons, a decline of 7.26%. India's production decreased by 7,600 tons to 45,400 tons, a decline of 14.34%. China's production increased by 42,300 tons to 58,100 tons. The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires for automobile tires increased by 4.12 percentage points to 77.98%, and the weekly operating rate of all - steel tires decreased by 2.23 percentage points to 61.24%. In April, the domestic tire production decreased by 5.444 million pieces to 102.002 million pieces, a decline of 5.07%. The export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires in April decreased by 490,000 pieces to 5.739 million pieces, a decline of 7.87%. The total import volume of natural rubber in April decreased by 70,900 tons to 523,200 tons, a decline of 11.93%. The import volume of natural and synthetic rubber (including latex) in May decreased by 83,000 tons to 607,000 tons, a decline of 12.03% [2]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) decreased by 4,100 tons to 1,011,111 tons, a decline of 0.67%. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased by 13,003 tons to 34,876 tons, an increase of 59.45%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in the bonded warehouse in Qingdao increased by 1.14 percentage points to 3.34%, and the outbound rate increased by 1.44 percentage points to 4.83%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in general trade in Qingdao increased by 0.82 percentage points to 7.76%, and the outbound rate decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 7.18% [2]. Industrial Silicon Price and Spread - The price of East China oxygen - passing SI5530 industrial silicon remained at 8,150 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on oxygen - passing SI5530) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 805 yuan/ton, an increase of 15.83%. The price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon remained at 8,700 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on SI4210) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 555 yuan/ton, an increase of 24.72%. The price of Xinjiang 99 silicon remained at 7,600 yuan/ton, and the basis (in Xinjiang) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 1,055 yuan/ton, an increase of 11.64% [4]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 2507 - 2508 spread increased by 7,260 yuan/ton to - 85 yuan/ton, an increase of 98.84%. The 2508 - 2509 spread increased by 5 yuan/ton to 40 yuan/ton, an increase of 14.29%. The 2509 - 2510 spread increased by 15 yuan/ton to 45 yuan/ton, an increase of 50%. The 2510 - 2511 spread increased by 35 yuan/ton to 55 yuan/ton, an increase of 175%. The 2511 - 2512 spread decreased by 5 yuan/ton to 50 yuan/ton, a decline of 9.09% [4]. Fundamental Data - In May, the national industrial silicon production increased by 6,900 tons to 307,700 tons, an increase of 2.29%. Xinjiang's production decreased by 4,400 tons to 163,100 tons, a decline of 2.6%. Yunnan's production decreased by 3,400 tons to 10,000 tons, a decline of 25.43%. Sichuan's production increased by 12,400 tons to 23,700 tons, an increase of 109.47%. Inner Mongolia's production increased by 2,100 tons to 46,100 tons, an increase of 4.78%. Ningxia's production increased by 3,500 tons to 23,500 tons, an increase of 17.5%. The production of 97 - grade silicon decreased by 7,200 tons to 4,800 tons, a decline of 60%. The production of recycled silicon increased by 500 tons to 16,500 tons, an increase of 3.12%. The production of silicone DMC in May increased by 11,200 tons to 184,000 tons, an increase of 6.48%. The production of polysilicon in May increased by 700 tons to 96,100 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The production of recycled aluminum alloy in May decreased by 400 tons to 60,600 tons, a decline of 0.66%. The export volume of industrial silicon in April increased by 100 tons to 6,050 tons, an increase of 1.64% [4]. Inventory Changes - The factory - warehouse inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 410 tons to 18,670 tons, a decline of 2.15%. The factory - warehouse inventory in Yunnan increased by 70 tons to 2,580 tons, an increase of 2.79%. The inventory in Sichuan increased by 10 tons to 2,310 tons, an increase of 0.44%. The social inventory decreased by 1,500 tons to 57,200 tons, a decline of 2.56%. The warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 550 tons to 28,410 tons, a decline of 1.89%. The non - warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 950 tons to 28,790 tons, a decline of 3.2% [4]. Polysilicon Price and Spread - The average price of N - type re -投料 remained at 35,500 yuan/ton, the average price of P - type cauliflower material remained at 29,500 yuan/ton, and the average price of N - type granular silicon remained at 33,000 yuan/ton. The N - type material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 1,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 34.63%. The cauliflower material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 7,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 8.01%. The average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210mm remained at 1.27 yuan/piece, the average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210R remained at 1.06 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal Topcon battery wafers of 210R remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal PERC battery wafers of 182mm remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of Topcon components of 210mm (distributed) remained at 0.699 yuan/watt, and the average price of N - type 210mm components for centralized projects remained at 0.686 yuan/watt [5]. - The PS2506 contract price increased by 625 yuan/ton to 34,320 yuan/ton. The PS2506 - PS2507 spread decreased by 720 yuan/ton to 1,690 yuan/ton, a decline of 29.88%. The PS2507 - PS2508 spread increased by 290 yuan/ton to 1,215 yuan/ton, an increase of 31.35%. The PS2508 - PS2509 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 595 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2509 - PS2510 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to 265 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46%. The PS2510 - PS2511 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 370 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2511 - PS2512 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to - 1,605 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46% [5]. Fundamental Data - The weekly silicon wafer production increased by 0.06 GW to 13.1 GW, an increase of 0.46%. The weekly polysilicon production increased by 0.18 tons to 2.38 tons, an increase of 8.18%. The monthly polysilicon production in May increased by 0.07 tons to 9.61 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The polysilicon import volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.29 tons, a decline of 7.1%. The polysilicon export volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.2 tons, a decline of 10.4%. The net export volume of polysilicon in April remained at - 0.09 tons [5]. Inventory Changes - The polysilicon inventory increased by 0.6 tons to 27.5 tons, an increase of 2.23%. The silicon wafer inventory decreased by 0.68 GW to 19.34 GW, a decline of 3.4%. The polysilicon warehouse receipts remained at 2,600 tons [5]. Glass and Soda Ash Price and Spread - The glass price in North China decreased by 10 yuan/ton to 1,130 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.88%. The price in East China decreased by 30 yuan/ton to 1,230 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.38%. The price in Central China remained at 1,070 yuan/ton. The price in South China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,290 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.53%. The glass 2505 contract price decreased by 4 yuan/ton to 1,077 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.37%. The glass 2509 contract price decreased by 2 yuan/ton to 976 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.51%. The 05 basis decreased by 6 yuan/ton to 53 yuan/ton, a decline of 10.17% [6]. - The soda ash price in North China remained at 1,400 yuan/ton, the price in East China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, the price in Central China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, and the price in Northwest China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,030 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.9%. The soda ash 2505 contract price decreased by 8 yuan/ton to 1,204 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.66%. The soda ash 2509 contract price decreased by 19 yuan/ton to 1,156 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.57%. The 05 basis increased by 8 yuan/ton to 196 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.26% [6]. Supply and Demand Data - The soda ash operating rate increased by 6.33 percentage points to 84.9%, and the weekly production increased by 5,510 tons to 74,010 tons, an increase of 8.04%. The daily melting volume of float glass decreased by 100 tons to 15,570 tons, a decline of 0.7%. The daily melting volume of photovoltaic glass decreased by 1,000 tons to 98,990 tons, a decline of 1%. The mainstream price of 3.2mm coated glass decreased by 1 yuan to 20 yuan, a decline of 4.76% [6]. Inventory Changes - The glass factory - warehouse inventory increased by 192,300 weight - boxes to 6,968,500 weight - boxes, an increase of 2.84%. The soda ash factory - warehouse inventory increased by 62,000 tons to 168,630 tons, an increase of 3.82%. The soda ash delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 20,000 tons to 32,710 tons, a decline of 5.87%. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days increased by 2.9 days to 21 days, an increase of 15.91% [6]. Real Estate Data - The year - on - year growth rate of new construction area increased by 2.99 percentage points to - 18.73%, the year - on - year growth rate of construction area decreased by 7.56 percentage points to - 33.33%, the year - on - year growth rate of completion area increased by 15.67 percentage points to - 11.68%, and the year