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观察A股,为啥不能只看上证指数?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-28 14:02
▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) ...
孩子的财商教育该怎么做:4个阶段,培养孩子理财观 | 螺丝钉带你读书
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-28 14:02
Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of financial literacy education for children, emphasizing that it differs significantly from adult financial education [2][5] - It categorizes children's financial education into four developmental stages: 0-2 years, 2-7 years, 7-11 years, and 11 years to adulthood [6][31] Group 2 - In the 0-2 years stage, the focus is on establishing object permanence, where children learn that things they cannot see still exist [7][8] - From ages 2-7, children are self-centered and tend to spend money quickly; the goal is to instill good spending habits rather than savings [12][18] - The 7-11 years stage sees children developing empathy and basic mathematical skills, allowing them to understand concepts like saving and investment [23][26] - From ages 11 to adulthood, children can grasp abstract concepts and develop systematic thinking, making it a suitable time to introduce value and index investing [31][33] Group 3 - The article suggests specific books for each age group: "小狗钱钱" for ages 2-7, "蓝筹孩子" for ages 7-11, and "富爸爸穷爸爸" for ages 11 to adulthood [43] - It emphasizes that financial education should not solely focus on immediate financial gains but rather on cultivating a good consumption and investment mindset [45][46] Group 4 - Additionally, parents should consider planning for education funds, retirement, and wealth transfer to reduce future burdens on children [47][48]
别虚度大学时光:养成这4个习惯,受益终身
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-27 14:15
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of education as a high-return investment and highlights the transition from high school to university as a critical point in enhancing human capital value [2][4]. Group 1: Importance of Education and Transition - Education is viewed as a high-return investment, significantly increasing human capital value over time [2]. - The transition from high school to university marks a significant change in life, where students begin to take control of their own life direction [5][40]. - The first few years of education are aimed at enhancing the value of human capital to generate future cash flow [3]. Group 2: Financial Habits and Skills - Developing good financial habits during university is crucial, including managing living expenses and cultivating a mindset for investment [10][14]. - Students should avoid receiving large sums of living expenses at once to prevent overspending, suggesting a monthly or bi-weekly distribution instead [16][17]. - Keeping a record of expenses is essential for understanding financial habits and optimizing spending [20][23]. Group 3: Budgeting and Investment - Creating a budget for future expenses is important, allowing students to cut unnecessary costs and optimize necessary spending [26][30]. - Early investment experience is encouraged, even with small amounts, to build familiarity with market fluctuations [34][38]. - Practical investment knowledge is vital, and students are advised to start investing as early as possible to gain experience before entering the workforce [34][39].
银行指数上涨,该止盈了么?|第392期直播回放
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-27 13:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and valuation of the banking index, highlighting the cyclical nature of the banking industry and the factors driving its recent growth, including interest income, non-interest income, and risk provisions [1][5][10]. Group 1: Banking Index Performance - The banking index, represented by the China Securities Banking Index, has shown significant growth since the bear market of 2018, with a notable increase in value from 2019 to 2021, primarily driven by growth stocks [1][3]. - From 2013 to 2025, the annualized return of the China Securities Banking Index is projected to be 6.7%, increasing to 11.31% when considering dividends [14]. - The maximum drawdown of the index was 37.08%, occurring between June 8, 2015, and August 25, 2015 [15]. Group 2: Characteristics of the Banking Industry - The banking sector is characterized by strong cyclicality, with revenue derived from interest income, non-interest income, interest expenses, and risk provisions [5][10]. - Banks typically earn interest income by borrowing at a lower rate and lending at a higher rate, with the difference known as the interest margin [6][9]. - The overall profitability of banks is significantly influenced by macroeconomic conditions, with performance improving during economic upturns and declining during downturns [11][12]. Group 3: Sources of Returns for Banking Index Funds - The three main sources of returns for banking index funds are: 1. Buying undervalued assets and benefiting from valuation (price-to-book ratio) increases [19][21]. 2. Growth in net assets, which has been a major driver of the banking index's long-term rise [25][26]. 3. Increased dividends and higher dividend yields, with recent policies encouraging higher dividend payouts from listed companies [28][31]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Strategies - The valuation of the banking index is best assessed using the price-to-book ratio, which has increased from 0.87 in May 2019 to 1.14 by June 2025 [22][44]. - Investment strategies for banking index funds include profit-taking based on yield or valuation, with a recommendation to consider selling when the yield reaches 30% or when the index is deemed overvalued [36][40]. - The current valuation of the China Securities Banking Index is considered normal to slightly high, suggesting caution in new investments [44].
[6月27日]指数估值数据(港股医药回低估了么;港股估值表更新;抽奖福利)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-27 13:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market trends, focusing on the performance of various sectors, particularly technology and healthcare, and the valuation of indices in the Hong Kong stock market. Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market showed little fluctuation, closing at 4.9 stars [1] - Major indices like the CSI 300 experienced slight declines, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 saw minor increases [2] - The banking index, which had previously surged, faced significant declines, impacting large-cap stocks, alongside a downturn in the consumer sector [3] - Technology and healthcare sectors experienced overall gains [4] - The Hong Kong stock market exhibited minimal volatility [5] Group 2: Healthcare Sector Analysis - The Hong Kong healthcare index has recently corrected after a period of high growth, returning to normal valuation levels [6][31] - The healthcare industry is categorized into three common sub-sectors: medical services, biotechnology, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6] - Medical services include hospitals and medical devices, while biotechnology focuses on gene diagnostics and biopharmaceuticals [6][7] - The innovative pharmaceuticals sector primarily involves drug development, with many companies operating in both biotechnology and innovative pharmaceuticals [7] Group 3: Valuation Trends - The article outlines a "smile curve" concept, indicating that during periods of slowing growth or declining profits, valuations and stock prices tend to decrease [17] - The Hong Kong technology sector was the first to enter a recovery phase, with significant profit growth observed in 2024 after a steep decline of over 60% from 2021 to 2022 [19][20] - The healthcare sector followed a similar recovery pattern, with profit growth resuming in late 2023 and early 2024, leading to an increase in valuations [23] - The Hang Seng Index reported a 16% year-on-year profit growth in Q1 2024, indicating a dual effect of performance recovery and valuation increase [24] Group 4: Future Outlook - If the Hong Kong market maintains similar profit growth rates in Q2 as in Q1, further increases in stock prices may be anticipated [25] - The A-share market is expected to enter a recovery phase, albeit later than the Hong Kong market, with profit growth also observed in Q1 2024 [27][28] - Long-term projections suggest that returns from A-shares and Hong Kong stocks will be comparable, despite differing phases of market movements [30] Group 5: Index Valuation - After recent short-term increases, both the Hong Kong technology and healthcare sectors have returned to normal valuation levels, though they are not far from being undervalued [31][32] - A valuation table for Hong Kong indices is provided, indicating various metrics such as P/E ratios and dividend yields [36][37]
每日钉一下(想要提升收入,应该选择什么样的行业呢)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-27 13:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that investing in personal pensions can enhance retirement security while benefiting from tax deferral advantages [1]. Group 2 - Information on how to open a personal pension account and the five major investment options available is provided [2]. - A free course is offered to learn about personal pension investment methods, including course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [3].
红利策略什么时候表现好,什么时候表现低迷呢?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-26 13:50
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...
[6月26日]指数估值数据(银行指数强势,要止盈吗;红利估值表更新;指数日报更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-26 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the banking index, its historical context, and the current valuation, suggesting potential strategies for profit-taking as the index reaches a relatively high valuation level [6][18][21]. Group 1: Market Performance - The market experienced a slight decline after three consecutive days of increase, maintaining a rating of 4.9 stars [1]. - Both large-cap and small-cap stocks saw a decrease, while the banking index showed strength and reached a historical high [2][3][6]. - The value style, including dividend stocks, exhibited relatively small fluctuations during this period [4]. Group 2: Historical Context of Banking Index - The banking index has had strong performance in recent years, but historically, it has also faced periods of underperformance, leading to negative perceptions such as "three fools" and "big rotten smell" [6][8]. - From 2014 to 2015, small-cap stocks were in a bull market while large-cap stocks, including banks, were underperforming [7]. - The period from 2016 to 2017 saw a shift where large-cap stocks began to perform better as small-cap stocks faced declines due to valuation bubbles [8]. Group 3: Current Valuation and Profit-Taking Strategies - The banking index has seen significant growth in recent years, driven by both valuation increases and growth in earnings and net assets, resulting in a "double effect" [19]. - Currently, the banking index's valuation is considered normal to slightly high, with expectations that upcoming financial reports may lead to a decrease in perceived valuation [21]. - For profit-taking, two strategies are suggested: selling based on high valuation or achieving a satisfactory return, with recommendations for gradual selling [23]. Group 4: Dividend Indices and Value Style - The article differentiates between the banking index and dividend indices, noting that the banking index is weighted by market capitalization while dividend indices are weighted by dividend yield [10][11]. - Despite differences, both categories fall under the broader value style, which has shown strength from 2022 to 2024 [14][15].
每日钉一下(年轻的时候,优先工作还是优先投资呢?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-26 13:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that different regional stock markets do not move in unison, and understanding multiple stock markets allows investors to seize more investment opportunities [1] - Global investment can significantly reduce volatility risk, providing a more stable investment environment [1] Group 2 - There is a free limited-time course available that introduces methods for investing in global stock markets through index funds, aiming to share the long-term benefits of global market growth [2] - Interested individuals can obtain this course by adding the "Course Assistant" and replying with "Global" to receive additional materials such as course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [3]
方向对了,就不怕路远~
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-25 14:46
像高考、去哪个城市工作定居、找对象等等。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 前一段时间,高考结束了。 最近,分数也陆续出来了。 有朋友问螺丝钉,当年高考是什么情况,后来又是怎么走上了投资这条路的呢? 有什么想对准大学生们说的? 高考:改变人生轨迹 人生有几次重大决策。 当然,人生也不仅仅是高考一次机会。 上大学的时候,并不知道自己未来想要做什么。 这几次重大决策,如果做好几个,都会极大的改变一生。 高考就是一次改变人生轨迹的机会。 螺丝钉就是标准的 「小镇做题家」(点击查看感想文章) 。 高中是在老家读的。 标准的小镇,每年考上重点大学的也没有太多。 高中的时候,每 天早上5:30起床,去学校上早自习。 晚上9点多到家,看会儿书睡觉。 最后按照「先城市,后大学」的思路,填报志愿,觉得北京机会多,来北京读大学。 高考完,成绩还可以。 逻辑思考能力的迁移 像螺丝钉大学学的物理。 当初学的那些物理专业知识,也都快还给老师了。 不过物理学比较讲究逻辑和原理,养成了 逻辑思考的能力 。 这种能力,在后来投资、写文章的过程中,也保留了下来。 大学里学习的专业知识,很多跟自己最后从事的职业,也没啥关系。 但是学习这些 ...