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不容忽视的大趋势:稳定币--正在爆发的“数字美元霸权”
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 10:06
Core Viewpoint - Stablecoins are emerging as an unexpected ally in reinforcing the dominance of the US dollar amidst global de-dollarization discussions, with significant implications for international finance and payment systems [1][14]. Group 1: Growth and Adoption of Stablecoins - The total market size of stablecoins has surged from $20 billion in 2020 to an estimated $246 billion by May 2025, with Tether (USDT) alone growing from $67 billion in June 2022 to over $149 billion by May 2025 [7][19]. - Stablecoin transaction volume has increased by 598% since 2020, reaching $27.6 trillion in 2024, surpassing traditional payment giants like Visa and Mastercard [9][19]. - Active stablecoin wallet addresses grew from 22.8 million in February 2024 to over 35 million by February 2025, marking a 53% increase [9]. Group 2: Impact on Europe and Financial Stability - The widespread adoption of dollar-pegged stablecoins in Europe poses a threat to the European Central Bank's (ECB) control over monetary policy, as transactions may bypass the euro system, reducing the effectiveness of interest rate adjustments [2][3]. - Concerns arise regarding financial stability, as European businesses earning in euros but receiving payments in dollar stablecoins could face currency mismatch risks if the euro depreciates [2][3]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages of Dollar Stablecoins - Dollar-pegged stablecoins dominate the market, with 83% of stablecoins linked to the US dollar, while euro-pegged stablecoins hold a negligible market share, leading to higher transaction costs for euro stablecoins [5][16]. - The regulatory environment in the EU is stricter compared to the US, where there is more room for innovation and expansion due to the absence of comprehensive legislation [5][16]. - Dollar stablecoins have established a strong presence in early application scenarios, benefiting from network effects within the cryptocurrency trading ecosystem and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms [5][16]. Group 4: Strategic Asset and Political Support - Stablecoins are increasingly viewed as strategic assets, with Tether being one of the largest holders of US Treasury securities, indicating a shift in how these digital currencies are perceived [13][15]. - Political backing from figures like former President Trump and Republican lawmakers positions stablecoins as a private sector solution to digital currency, contrasting with central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) [18][19]. Group 5: Future Projections - Standard Chartered forecasts that the supply of stablecoins could grow nearly tenfold from $230 billion to approximately $2 trillion by the end of 2028, significantly impacting foreign exchange market volumes [19].
商务部:长和集团出售港口交易各方不得规避审查
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 09:34
在商务部今天(15日)召开的例行新闻发布会上,商务部新闻发言人表示,今年3月以来,有关部门已经 多次发表声明强调, 对长和集团出售港口交易将依法进行审查,保护市场公平竞争,维护社会公共利 益。交易各方不得采取任何方式规避审查,未获批准前,不得实施集中,否则将承担法律责任 。希望有 关企业对此保持清醒认识,审慎行事。 本文不构成个人投资建议,不代表 平台 观点,市场有风险,投资需谨慎,请独立判断和决策。 觉得好看,请点"在看" 来源:央视新闻 ⭐星标华尔街见闻,好内容不错过 ⭐ ...
换帅后的瑞幸,杀入加时赛
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 08:36
以下文章来源于信风TradeWind ,作者刘艺晨 信风TradeWind . 关注资本市场的趋势与发展 (图片由豆包AI生成 提示词瑞幸咖 啡) 作者刘艺晨 编辑松壑 咖啡份额战趋缓之际,瑞幸似乎在重启扩张步伐。 在新一轮加盟招募计划下,瑞幸面向全国186座城市发布超800个定向点位。 定点加盟是2024年初推出的模式,由瑞幸发布定向范围,加盟商从中提报选址。 主要目的在于借助当地加盟商的资源禀赋,占据学校、景区、医院等下沉市场的核心位置。 这是大钲资本董事长黎辉由幕后来到台前后,瑞幸对外释放的第一个扩张信号。 黎辉本人及其领导的大钲资本,是贯穿瑞幸资本运作与发展的关键人物。 早在2018年,大钲资本就参与瑞幸咖啡首轮融资。 财务造假风波爆发后,2020年7月,黎辉离开瑞幸董事会,但大钲资本对瑞幸的影响力反而持续加深。 大钲资本共持股瑞幸咖啡31.3%的股份,并掌握着53.6%的投票权,拥有着绝对的话语权。 来到了新发展阶段,瑞幸正在等待新的故事。 提速信号 2024年一季度到四季度,瑞幸新开门店2342家、1371家、1382家、997家,呈缩减趋势。 第四季度门店同比增速仅13.5%,接近2023年价格 ...
中国对巴西等5国实行免签政策
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 07:40
5月15日,外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。有记者就中方在中阿论坛第四届部长级会议期间,宣布对 巴西等5国实行免签政策一事提问。 本文不构成个人投资建议,不代表 平台 观点,市场有风险,投资需谨慎,请独立判断和决策。 对此,林剑表示,为进一步便利中外人员往来,中方决定扩大免签国家范围。自2025年6月1日起至2026 年5月31日,对巴西、阿根廷、智利、秘鲁、乌拉圭持普通护照人员实行免签政策,上述五国持普通护照 人员来华经商、旅游观光、探亲访友、交流访问、过境不超过30天,可免办签证入境。 林剑指出,中方将坚持高水平对外开放,出台更多措施,不断提升中外人员往来便利化的水平。我们也 欢迎更多外国朋友们用好来华免签和签证便利化政策,多到中国走一走,看一看,体验多彩绚烂、热情 活力的中国。 来源:央视新闻 ⭐星标华尔街见闻,好内容不错过 ⭐ 觉得好看,请点"在看" ...
国际油价,跌超3%
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 07:06
5月15日,WTI原油日内跌幅超3%,报60.7美元/桶;布油跌超3%。 本文不构成个人投资建议,不代表 平台 观点,市场有风险,投资需谨慎,请独立判断和决策。 觉得好看,请点"在看" ⭐星标华尔街见闻,好内容不错过 ⭐ ...
被市场嫌弃!高盛:如今的医药股就像“ESG高峰期的煤炭股”
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 06:42
医药股遭遇"至暗时刻"。 根据高盛欧洲医药专家Seth James的分析,当前医药股的交易表现宛如"ESG时代巅峰时期的能源股 ——仿佛正在消亡"。 数据显示, 该板块相对市盈率已降至自全球金融危机复苏期和新冠疫情高峰期以来的最低水平;相对 标普500指数的估值已降至历史新低,创下有记录以来的最大折价。 标普医疗保健行业指数基金表现逊于标普大盘,差距为24年来最大。 高盛数据显示,从市场定位来看,欧盟医药板块多空比率接近5年低点,而美国市场在空头方面甚至更 加极端——这种极端定位通常为反弹奠定基础。 然而,仍有多重政策不确定性仍继续笼罩医药板块。 分析指出,除了潜在的关税政策、特朗普要求高价处方药必须"对齐"降价的计划之外,美国CMS(医疗保 险与医疗补助服务中心)最新指导草案新增关于固定组合的段落,也引发了投资者担忧某些原为静脉注 射药物的皮下注射剂型可能比预期更早纳入IRA价格谈判。 高盛分析师Asad Haider指出,上述因素尽管可能最终成为"大妥协"的一部分,但目前仍是压制整个行 业的阴云。 推荐阅读: 巴菲特解释"退休"决定:开始偶尔失去平衡,有时甚至记不起一个人的名字。突然间,读的报纸看起来 就 ...
娃哈哈:与今麦郎确存在委托代工关系,已终止合作
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 03:46
娃哈哈就纯净水委托代工相关情况发布声明。 5月15日,娃哈哈发布声明称,公司和今麦郎确存在委托代工关系,代工期间娃哈哈自查发现个别批次纯 净水产品未通过出厂抽样检测。自2025年4月起,已终止与相关代工方的合作。 ⭐星标华尔街见闻,好内容不错过 ⭐ 本文不构成个人投资建议,不代表 平台 观点,市场有风险,投资需谨慎,请独立判断和决策。 觉得好看,请点"在看" 娃哈哈表示,目前市场上在售的娃哈哈纯净水均符合国家质量标准及公司产品质量管理标准,请消费者 放心选购。未来,娃哈哈将始终坚持自有生产模式,通过更严苛的质量管控体系,全方位保障消费者的 权益,为大家提供更优质、更安全的产品。 此前,有网友发现,娃哈哈纯净水的生产商是今麦郎,同样是24瓶的纯净水,娃哈哈卖29元,而今麦郎 只要19元,引发网友讨论。 来源:澎湃新闻 记者吴雨欣 ...
腾讯AI军备极速扩张
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 03:37
Core Viewpoint - Tencent has entered a new expansion phase driven by AI, as evidenced by its strong Q1 2025 performance, with revenue reaching 1800.2 billion yuan, a 13% year-on-year increase, and Non-IFRS net profit of 613.29 billion yuan, up 22% year-on-year [1][11]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tencent's capital expenditure reached 274.8 billion yuan, a 91% increase year-on-year, accounting for 15% of revenue [2]. - General and administrative expenses grew by 36% to 336 billion yuan, primarily due to increased R&D spending related to AI [2]. - Sales and marketing expenses rose by 4% to 79 billion yuan, despite reduced advertising spending for new game releases [3]. Workforce Expansion - As of the end of Q1 2025, Tencent's workforce increased by 4,627 employees, bringing the total to 109,414 [4]. AI Investment Strategy - Tencent plans to increase capital expenditure further in 2025, focusing on self-developed AI models and accelerating AI application development across its business groups [5]. - The company announced a significant employment initiative, aiming to add 28,000 internship positions over three years, with 10,000 new hires in 2025, primarily targeting technical talent [5][6]. AI Impact on Core Business - AI capabilities have already contributed significantly to Tencent's advertising and gaming sectors, with gaming revenue growing 24% year-on-year to 429 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [6]. - Advertising revenue also saw a 20% increase to 319 billion yuan, benefiting from AI upgrades and improved user engagement [7]. Strategic Product Development - The AI-native app "Yuanbao" is central to Tencent's strategy for capturing the next generation of traffic, with efforts to enhance its integration within the WeChat ecosystem [8]. - WeChat e-commerce is viewed as a key growth driver, with the establishment of a dedicated e-commerce division to explore new transaction models and enhance the trading ecosystem [9][10]. Market Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about Tencent's AI-driven product innovations and their potential to enhance user experience and open new commercial opportunities, projecting a target price of 544-604.45 HKD for 2025 [11].
哄特朗普开心!动辄“万亿”,中东土豪真的拿得出吗?
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 02:48
特朗普的中东之行充斥着令人眼花缭乱的数字,沙特和卡塔尔轮番上阵,许诺对美投资动辄上万亿美 元,但这些天文数字的投资承诺能否最终兑现,值得推敲。 特朗普此次中东之行为期四天,到访第一站是沙特。据白宫新闻稿披露,沙特王储萨勒曼最初承诺在四 年内向美国追加6000亿美元投资, 但特朗普声称这一数字可能达到1万亿美元。沙特王储也表态,沙特 将努力推动在美国投资额达到1万亿美元。 特朗普在沙特-美国投资峰会上得意地表示,"看看以前得那些总统,他们有时几年都拉不到一万亿美 元,而我们基本上用了两个月就做到了。" 在卡塔尔, 特朗普收获了一个更大的礼包 。白宫的公告称, 特朗普在卡塔尔签署的协议旨在促成价值 至少1.2万亿美元的"经济交换"(economic exchange) ,包括卡塔尔航空公司从波音购买160架商用 飞机的2000亿美元大单。 然而,这些数字究竟是真金白银还是只是为了制造一些哄特朗普开心的轰动性头条? 国际货币基金组织估计,沙特阿拉伯维持财政收支平衡的石油价格为每桶96美元。这意味着只有油价保 持在这一水平,沙特才能维持其全方位的福利体系并控制政治不满。 而卡塔尔的GDP更是仅有2000多亿美元,这使 ...
第一个承认“海湖庄园协议”的国家出现了?韩国确认与美国讨论了外汇政策
华尔街见闻· 2025-05-15 01:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of a meeting between South Korean and U.S. officials regarding the exchange rate of the Korean won against the U.S. dollar, suggesting potential shifts in currency policy that could lead to a weaker dollar and stronger won [1][2][6]. Group 1: Meeting Details - South Korean Deputy Finance Minister Choi Ji-young met with U.S. Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Robert Kaproth on May 5 during the 58th Asian Development Bank annual meeting in Milan to discuss the dollar-won market [1]. - The meeting has sparked market speculation that the Trump administration may prioritize currency issues in upcoming trade negotiations [2]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the news of the meeting, the U.S. dollar fell, with the dollar-won exchange rate dropping 1.92% to 1396.77, marking a one-week low [3]. - The Korean won has appreciated approximately 5% against the dollar this year amid a generally weak dollar environment [3]. Group 3: Currency Strategy Insights - Analysts suggest that the discussions between the U.S. and South Korea may indicate a shift in focus from trade to currency, potentially threatening the dollar's stability [7]. - There are concerns that the Trump administration may implement policies encouraging countries to sell dollars to address perceived economic imbalances caused by strong currencies [7][8]. Group 4: Broader Implications - The meeting reinforces previous comments by the Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong, who indicated that the rise of Asian currencies, including the won, is partly due to U.S. pressure for currency appreciation [8]. - Analysts believe that the discussions could act as a catalyst for further dollar selling, as they may lead to speculation about the inclusion of currency policy in bilateral trade negotiations [7].