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洛杉矶混乱一周,损失有多惨重?
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-13 17:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political turmoil in Los Angeles, California, triggered by President Trump's immigration enforcement actions, leading to widespread protests and clashes between demonstrators and law enforcement [1][2][10]. Group 1: Background of the Protests - The protests were ignited by Trump's "largest-ever deportation operation," which involved federal agencies conducting searches for illegal immigrants in Los Angeles [2][12]. - California has the highest number of illegal immigrants in the U.S., approximately 2.6 million, accounting for 24% of the nation's total [12]. - California's "California Values Act" provides sanctuary to illegal immigrants, limiting local law enforcement's cooperation with federal immigration authorities [13][15]. Group 2: Escalation of Violence - The protests escalated into violent confrontations, with law enforcement using riot gear and non-lethal weapons against demonstrators who retaliated with projectiles and vandalism [4][5][7]. - Hundreds were arrested, and significant property damage occurred, including looting of stores and destruction of high-tech vehicles [7][37]. Group 3: Political Implications - Trump's deployment of the National Guard and Marines in response to the protests has intensified the political conflict between him and California's Governor Gavin Newsom, with both sides exchanging harsh criticisms [9][31]. - The protests have become a political tool for both Trump and Newsom, with each seeking to gain political capital from the situation [10][35]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The protests and Trump's immigration policies are affecting local economies, particularly in sectors reliant on immigrant labor, such as construction and food services [42]. - The Los Angeles port has seen a 25% decrease in cargo volume due to Trump's tariffs, leading to significant job losses among dockworkers [44]. - The estimated cost of deploying troops to Los Angeles is around $134 million, adding to the financial strain on the local economy [37].
2025新一线城市大洗牌:成都杭州“争霸”,苏州无锡掉队,郑州合肥晋升
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
Core Viewpoint - The evaluation of cities is shifting from traditional economic indicators like GDP and housing prices to more human-centric metrics such as consumer power, brand preference, commercial maturity, hub status, and talent attraction [1][2][3]. Group 1: New First-Tier Cities Ranking - The 2025 New First-Tier Cities Charm Ranking identifies 15 cities, including Chengdu, Hangzhou, and Chongqing, based on their performance in five categories: commercial resource aggregation, hub status, urban activity, new economic competitiveness, and future potential [3][12]. - Notable changes in the ranking include Foshan returning to the list while Wuxi dropped out, with cities like Wuhan and Hefei showing significant improvements [3][34]. Group 2: Evaluation Metrics - Commercial resource aggregation assesses a city's appeal to major brands and the strength of its commercial districts, reflecting its commercial vibrancy [8]. - Hub status measures a city's ability to radiate influence through transportation and industrial collaboration [9]. - Urban activity is linked to everyday consumer behaviors such as online shopping and dining [10]. - New economic competitiveness and future potential relate to a city's development prospects, including its industrial ecosystem and talent attraction [11]. Group 3: City Comparisons - Chengdu has maintained its top position for ten years, while Hangzhou is emerging as a strong competitor, particularly in digital economy and innovation [18][23]. - Chengdu excels in urban activity, ranking just below first-tier cities like Shanghai and Beijing, with a notable night economy where nighttime consumption accounts for 54.6% of total spending [28][29]. - Hefei has shown remarkable growth, achieving a GDP of 1.35 trillion yuan in 2024, with significant increases in population and talent attraction [52][54]. Group 4: City Dynamics - Foshan's return to the new first-tier list reflects its advancements in smart manufacturing and tourism, with a 21.4% increase in tourism revenue [40]. - Wuxi's decline is attributed to a lack of differentiation in emerging industries and lower young population retention compared to other cities [42]. - Cities like Qingdao have improved their rankings due to enhanced commercial resources and hub status, benefiting from regional development initiatives [56].
黄金成全球第二大储备资产,南京打造“机器人之城” | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
点击按钮▲立即预约 随着美国逐渐与全球多国达成贸易协定,美国发生"二次通胀"的概率正在降低。美联储本月的议息会议很难作出降息决定,9月关税和通胀前景 基本明确后,再进行降息也不算迟。像欧盟一样连续降息至2%,后续货币政策空间所剩无几时,若再有超预期事件,只能再次启用非常规货币 政策。 美国5月CPI同比上涨2.4% 南京发力打造"机器人之城" 6月11日,江苏南京举行2025智能机器人发展大会。会上提出,南京计划到2027年,具身智能机器人核心产业规模力争超过100亿元,培育5家以 上整机量产企业,产业综合实力跻身全国前列。在本次大会上,南京揭牌了具身智能机器人产业园,并成立具身智能机器人产业生态联盟。去 年,南京提出打造具有影响力的"机器人之城"。今年3月,该市成立4个产业攻坚推进办公室,其中之一就是机器人产业。 近年来,南京机器人产业发展迅猛,已形成整机、关键零部件以及系统集成应用的全链条机器人产业体系,集聚产业链上下游重点企业近200 家,总体发展水平居全国前列。(澎湃新闻) |点评| 具身机器人的难点不仅在机器人制造上,在于机器人能否适应多种场景、独立完成复杂任务并自主学习技能,整个行业还处在较为早 ...
关于中美的现代化之争,一定会发生的3件事|吴晓波激荡讲堂
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
在人类的历史长河里,总有某些现象、某些趋势、某些规律,会在不同的时间、不同的地点, 以相似的方式轮番上演。 点击上图▲立即报名 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 美国著名作家马克·吐温说:"历史不会重复,但总是惊人地相似。" 当眼前迷茫、心中焦虑的时候,回到历史中,站在更高的视角、更远的站位,或许会有新的灵 感迸发出来。 6月4日到10日,"2025·吴晓波激荡讲堂"夏季课之《中国现代化180年》来到意大利,在文艺复 兴的星空下,开启一场跨越时空的文明对话。 近一周的时间,吴老师从洋务运动、民国经济讲到计划经济和改革开放,延伸至全球化变局和 中美关系,在百余年历史的宽度中,回顾"激荡四十七年"的得失;又带领大家深入米兰和威尼 斯,从理论和实践两个层面,分享最新的经济、商业思考和实战经验。 激荡讲堂已经走过了三年,这一次,除了有来自全国各地的新同学,还有近三分之一是激荡讲 堂的资深同学,更有连续三年来打卡的"元老级"同学。 苟日新,日日新,又日新,大家一同跟随吴老师在对历史的回望中攫取新的滋养。同学们纷纷 在朋友圈写下自己的感悟: 我是激荡讲堂的老同学,很高兴能跟大家再次相聚。我觉得激荡讲堂带给了我很多 ...
津上俊哉:出海没有所谓成功经验,都是交学费交出来的 | 出海峰会
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-12 16:50
点击上图▲立即报名 2025年6月19日—6月20日,相约"生而全球·共融共建"第二届出海全球峰会, 1500+企业出海掌舵人再聚狮城,与吴晓波、王辉耀、秦朔、津上俊哉、杨宇东、张 华荣等嘉宾,共 同探索中企出海从"产能迁徙"到"文明共生"的新路径。 【点击马上 报名】 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号: 吴晓波频道) 历史总是惊人的相似。今天的中国,正在经历拉锯且充满变数的中美贸易战;而1960—1990年间的日本,也经历了长达三十年之久的日美贸易摩 擦,并直接导致了日本企业大规模出海。 在许多中国人看来,《广场协议》的签订是日本经济转折的重要诱因,日本由此陷入了"失去的20年",大家把它视为前车之鉴,希望从中吸取教 训。 与此同时,日本的全球化进程加速,日本企业在海外攻城略地,再造了一个"影子日本",如今中国企业掀起新一轮出海浪潮,也希望从中获取宝贵 的经验。 可以说,贸易战只是一个表象,背后是全球产业链的分化与重构。 我们相信在历史循环中可以找到更多答案,经济周期和规律会给我们启发,日 本在出海过程中的经验教训可以为我们指点迷津。 为此,我们邀请到日本著名的国际经济学者和中国问题专家、国际问题研究所客座研究员 ...
中美贸易原则上达成框架,腾讯音乐收购喜马拉雅 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-11 18:12
点击按钮▲立即预约 中美贸易磋商原则上达成框架 伦敦时间6月10日,商务部国际贸易谈判代表兼副部长李成钢在伦敦谈到中美经贸磋商机制首次会议时表示,中美双方进行了专业、理性、深 入、坦诚的沟通。双方原则上就落实两国元首6月5日通话共识以及日内瓦会谈共识达成了框架。美国商务部长卢特尼克表示:"谈得很顺利,我 们花了很多时间一起交流。" 据悉,在这轮磋商中,美方考虑取消近期出台的一系列限制措施,涉及芯片设计软件、喷气发动机零件、乙烷以及核材料等领域。这些措施大多 是在过去几周中美关系再度紧张升级时出台的,条件是中国放宽对稀土出口的限制。(综合新华社) |点评| 中美贸易谈判达成初步框架,是双方都乐于见到的结果。中美两国已经用无数次事实证明,两国关系合则两利,斗则两伤。美国经济 增速放缓,劳动力市场降温;中国内需修复缓慢,行业复苏不均衡。中美两国现在都需要一个稳定的外贸环境,稳固国内经济发展局面,而非 给市场带来更多不确定性。 从中美两国历次谈判经验来看,最终两国需要进行多轮谈判,才能恢复到较为常态化的贸易环境中,期间甚至可能发生多次谈判停摆或重启事 件。无论如何,两国贸易代表坐在一张谈判桌上,坦诚地进行交流,远比加 ...
车圈60天账期革命,压力最大的是新势力
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-11 18:12
点击上图▲立即收听 " 如果对所有车企都是 ' 一刀切 ' ,那么对那些持续亏损、现金流不足、融资能力又一般的新势力们,恐怕将是一场灾难。 " 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 气温在升高,车圈的火药味也没降温。六月,一场由账期引发的"反内卷热浪"正在席卷汽车江湖。 周二 晚上,广汽、一汽、东风三家国企及赛力斯率先发声,承诺供应商账期不超过60 天。紧随其后,吉利、长安接力响应。 昨日凌晨一点,中国第一大车企比亚迪发文称,将供应商支付账期统一至60天内。 图源:比亚迪官微 随后,北汽、上汽、长城、奇瑞等传统车企以及小米、小鹏、零跑等造车新势力纷纷跟进。 就这样,一场由头部车企发起的"账期革命"迅速蔓延,在产业链上空缓缓荡起涟漪,一点点渗入旧有的游戏规则。 口水战 本质而言,此番密集表态,时机微妙,似乎是对近期车企内卷加剧的回应。 五月底,比亚迪宣布了年内第三次大规模价格调整,王朝网、海洋网共计22款智驾版车型最高降幅达5.3万元,创下其智驾车型价格新低。 随后,奇瑞、上汽通用等约10个车企跟进,混战拉开帷幕,引发新一轮车企价格战恐慌。 对此,工信部、汽车工业协会等纷纷发文批评此番降价,车企之间也不再保 ...
全球生育率空前下降,银行下架5年期大额存单 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-10 16:40
Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to propose significant projects in the livelihood sector, with a projected increase of over 30% in central budget investment compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [1] - The NDRC aims to enhance social security fairness, improve the balance of basic public services, expand the universality of basic livelihood services, and enhance the accessibility of diverse social services through ten specific recommendations [1][2] - The government's focus on livelihood construction is seen as essential for stimulating consumer confidence and economic growth, particularly for low-income groups [1][2] Group 2 - Seven departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, have issued a plan to accelerate the digital transformation of the food industry, targeting an 80% digital management penetration rate among key food enterprises by 2027 [3] - The current digitalization rates for key processes in the food industry are 63.3% for numerical control and 72.8% for digital design tools, indicating progress but also room for improvement [3][4] - The digital transformation aims to enhance efficiency and safety across the entire food production and supply chain, moving away from small-scale production to more regulated industrial processes [3][4] Group 3 - The United Nations warns of a historic decline in global fertility rates, attributing it to economic factors rather than a lack of desire to have children, with 39% of respondents citing financial constraints as a reason for having fewer children than desired [5][6] - The aging population and declining birth rates are leading to labor shortages and a shift in social consumption structures, necessitating more effective policies to support families and reduce living pressures [6] Group 4 - JD.com is reportedly expanding into the hotel and travel business, offering salaries up to three times higher than industry standards to attract talent, indicating a strategic move into the local lifestyle sector [7][8] - The company has quietly launched travel services on its app, including hotel and ticket bookings, with significant discounts to attract customers [7][8] Group 5 - OpenAI has announced an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $10 billion, a nearly 80% increase from the previous year, driven by its consumer products and API sales [11][12] - The company aims to reach $125 billion in annual revenue by 2029, with a growing number of paid commercial users, indicating a strong commercial outlook despite increasing competition in the AI space [11][12][13] Group 6 - Major banks in China have begun to withdraw five-year large-denomination time deposits, with some banks reducing the maximum term to two years, reflecting pressure on net interest margins [14][15] - The current interest rates for three-year large-denomination time deposits have decreased significantly, indicating a broader trend of declining rates amid a monetary easing cycle [14][15]
为什么“中国式消费”这么像投资?
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-10 16:40
5月以来,上海黄浦区在南京路、豫园、淮海路三大核心商圈多次发放大面额消费券,最低"满500-150",最高"满10000-1000",于是便有了以下 几幕: ◎ 半个月前,烈日炎炎下,上海淮海路的中国黄金店门口排起了百米长队,防晒服、遮阳帽,全副武装的上海人拿着 "黄浦消费券购物攻略",隔 着屏幕算盘珠子蹦到了小巴脸上:"抢的是满3000减600元,很划算,攻略上面说,折下来黄金价格可能就600多元一克。" ◎ 儿童节当天,阿哥阿姐们冒着大雨,拿着靠定闹钟抢到的 "满3000-600""满5000-750"消费券直冲金店;还有一些人这次选择了美妆区域:"叠 加品牌活动和消费券后,折扣力度比免税店还大。" 点击上图▲立即收听 " 让消费敢于 ' 活在当下 ' ,而非永远为未来投保。 " 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 开篇之前,先不妨来做道题。 如果此时有人发给你一张 "满3000-600"的消费券,你会怎么花? 写文章的当下,小巴还无法知晓大家的想法,但上海黄浦区的阿哥阿姐给出了他们的答案 ——排队冲黄金首饰。 黄浦区自己说,五一期间, 33家参与活动的重点企业销售额同比增长19.2%,黄金店是最大 ...
未来2—3年,AI会沿着哪几条路改变你的工作和生活?
吴晓波频道· 2025-06-10 16:40
点击上图▲锁定福利 在ChatGPT改写对话方式、DeepSeek重塑技术格局、智能体Manus重构工作形态的 今天,AI浪潮已席卷每一个角落。你是否还在: 面对日新月异的AI进化,不知如何入门? 担心职场被AI取代,却找不到提升路径? 眼馋AI创业红利,但不知从哪里下手? 吴晓波频道6月新课,《AI时代的认知重塑与技能升级》主题实战领教营昨天已经上 线,课程会围绕技术、认知、商业三大维度,详细分析这一波从2022年诞生的AI变 革,不再被网上五花八门的消息裹挟,付费来听真知识。与其焦虑,不如拥抱。 大家可选择以下两种方式加入本期领教营: 1. 免费领取试听课,满意再购买加入 【点击免费领取试听课】 2. 加入超级会员,畅学全年10期领教营。 【点击了解,立即加入】 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) AI接下来要学会动手做事 现在的AI,比如你熟悉的聊天机器人,本质上是个"超级话痨"。 它能跟你聊诗词歌赋,能写文章,知识很渊博。但让它真正帮你完成点具体工作,比如订个机票、分析 份报表、操作个软件,它就有点抓瞎了——光说不练。 未来的AI,得进化成实干家。它不能光动嘴皮子,还得学会: ◎ 记性好:就像你 ...