Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have surged, with COMEX gold futures surpassing $3600, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 30% [2] - Zijin Mining, a major player in the gold sector, has seen its stock rise by 61.44% year-to-date as of September 2 [3] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 23.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 11.5% and 54.4% respectively [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 5.847 billion yuan, which accounts for 25.1% of its net profit for the first half of the year [5] - Gold revenue is approaching that of copper, with gold sales reaching 2.645 billion yuan, nearly matching copper sales of 2.726 billion yuan [5] Operational Highlights - Zijin Mining's overall gross margin for mineral products increased by 3 percentage points to 60.23% [6] - The company produced 570,000 tons of copper, a year-on-year increase of over 9%, and 41 tons of gold, a 16% increase [6] - The contribution of gold to the company's gross profit rose from 30% in 2024 to 38.6% in 2025, nearly equal to copper's contribution of 38.5% [6] Market Position and Institutional Interest - Zijin Mining ranked first among global gold companies and fourth among global metal mining companies in the 2025 Forbes Global List [4] - As of June 30, 2025, Zijin Mining (A-shares) was held by 1,233 funds, while its H-shares were held by 117 funds [11] - Institutional interest remains strong, with significant increases in holdings from various funds, indicating a preference for Zijin Mining among active fund managers [8][12] Fund Manager Activities - Notable fund managers, such as Deng Xiaofeng and Zhou Weiwen, have significantly increased their positions in Zijin Mining, reflecting confidence in the company's prospects [13][19] - Deng Xiaofeng's funds increased their holdings by 9 million shares, while Zhou Weiwen's funds have consistently added to their positions over multiple quarters [13][22] - Wu Guoqing has maintained a long-term position in Zijin Mining, emphasizing its importance in his portfolio [50][56]

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of the investment market, highlighting the challenges faced by seasoned investors and the impact of the computing power sector on market dynamics [2][3][32]. Group 1: Market Performance and Investor Sentiment - Many seasoned investors have reported returns around 20% this year, which is above the nearly 15% increase in the CSI 300 index as of September 1 [5][4]. - Investors who heavily focused on technology and high-growth sectors have seen less favorable performance, indicating a cautious approach to investment strategies [5][6]. - The computing power sector is described as a "black hole" absorbing market funds and attention, creating pressure on investors who have not yet positioned themselves in this area [2][32]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Investors with a focus on safety margins tend to avoid high-narrative stocks, leading to a more conservative portfolio composition [6]. - Notable investors like Zhang Kun express skepticism about the long-term sustainability of current pessimistic consumer sentiment, suggesting that the underlying economic conditions may support a recovery in consumer confidence [7][15]. - The article highlights the contrasting strategies of different fund managers, with some embracing technology while others remain cautious, reflecting a diverse range of investment philosophies [8][10]. Group 3: Economic Outlook and Policy Implications - The macroeconomic consensus points to weak consumer demand and concerns about fundamentals, but some investors argue that these pessimistic views may not hold in the long term [7][15]. - The article discusses the potential for policy measures to stimulate domestic consumption and support economic recovery, which could positively impact market sentiment [18][22]. - The ongoing liquidity conditions and government support for the economy are expected to create a favorable environment for long-term investors [19][23]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - The computing power sector is experiencing significant investment, particularly from major U.S. companies, but there are concerns about potential bubbles forming if growth expectations are not met [32][33]. - Investors are advised to monitor the performance of companies in sectors like technology and healthcare, which have shown resilience and growth potential despite broader market challenges [10][20]. - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-quality companies with strong fundamentals, especially in the context of a recovering economy [23][24].

在年初近 40% 的回撤之后， AI 算力龙头英伟达很快一扫阴霾，股价在持续突破新高后，重回全球市 值第一的宝座。 身处全球算力需求飙升的黄金年代，以英伟达为代表的一众 AI 企业正光速前行，而光模块作为 AI 算 力的核心部件，也正成为全球一二级资本市场争相抢占的沃土。 在这场光模块角力中，中国企业站稳了一席之地——据 Light Counting 数据显示， 2024 年前十中中 国企业占据半壁江山，其中中际旭创的光模块出货量更是占全球市场 30% ，市占率排名全球第一。 8 年前一场备受质疑的跨界收购，让中际旭创完成从传统制造到高科技龙头的跨越，从" ST "一越成为 A 股光模块第一股，已然成为"中国名片"： 2018 年，其 400G 光模块通过谷歌认证； 2020 年，领 先友商推出业内首个 800G 可插拔光模块，现为英伟达、微软、谷歌等全球 AI 巨头供货。 去年一季度，中际旭创更是成功完成了 1.6T （每秒传输 1.6 万亿比特数据）光模块的研发，并于年底 开始小批量供货，正式开启全球光模块 1.6T 元年。 目前订单已排至明年。 1.6T 未来难以量化的发展空间，叠加全球愈加庞大的算力需 ...

2025 年保险资管新规实施，其中非标资产的配置比例被压缩至 35% 以下——曾依赖非标投资实现年 化 6%-8% 收益的 中档理财产品出现短缺。 与此同时， 公募产品谱系也面临结构性矛盾： 一边是债券利率持续下行，偏债类基金的收益空间被压 缩；另一边则是权益市场的震荡不断，偏股类产品的投资者体验受到挑战。 3800 点的大盘里， 投资者亟需一种能平衡收益与风险的中档理财产品， 在这个忽近忽远的"薛定谔的 牛市"中，既能提供一些确定性，还能保持一点儿成长性，而这却正是当前基金产品谱系中的断层地 带。 华夏基金精准捕捉到了这一需求，于近期推出了一款以 "全天候策略" 为核心的专户产品。据了解，该 产品年化收益率目标在 10% 左右，最大回撤力争控制在 10% 以内，起投金额也低于多数专户产品 ——面向的是更为广泛的投资者群体。 拟任投资经理祝青介绍 ， "全天候策略"的核心， 是通过低相关性的多资产投资，在不确定性中捕捉绝 对收益。 "区别于传统的固收加策略，除了股债，全天候策略中还加入了商品、股指期货等资产类别，利用不同 资产间的低相关性与阶段性配置来实现管理目标。" 关于具体的产品策略，首先债券资产是组合中 ...

Core Viewpoint - True wealth creation must be viewed over decades or even an entire company lifecycle to be realized [2] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - James Anderson, a prominent figure in global growth stock investment, emphasizes long-termism and imagination in identifying great companies [4][6] - The market is not a mean-reverting world but is driven by a power law, where a few winners generate most of the returns [8][22] - The real challenge in investing is not finding these great companies but enduring the inevitable significant drawdowns they experience [9][34] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Since 1926, 57% of U.S. companies have underperformed government bonds over their lifetimes, indicating that holding stocks does not guarantee systematic returns [24][25] - From 1990, one-third of excess returns in the U.S. stock market came from just 10 companies, highlighting the concentration of market performance [20][21] - Globally, only 1% of companies have generated all excess returns since 1990, reinforcing the idea of a few companies driving market value [22] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors should focus on identifying and supporting a small number of truly great companies, even if it means buying at unreasonable prices [46][48] - The investment approach should prioritize long-term value creation over short-term gains, moving away from the prevalent short-termism in the industry [38][66] - Companies that are ambitious and willing to challenge boundaries are essential for long-term investment success [94] Group 4: Future Outlook - The investment landscape is becoming increasingly inefficient, and the diversity of investment thinking is diminishing [38][56] - There is a need to shift focus back to genuinely creating value rather than merely trading and financial engineering [64] - The potential for significant advancements in sectors like healthcare and renewable energy suggests that the next wave of investment opportunities may arise from companies addressing fundamental issues [78][80]

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of defining a company's strategy, as illustrated by the examples of Jeff Bezos and Bill Miller, emphasizing that a precise definition can lead to strategic decisions on what to add or subtract in a business [1] - A conversation about Bill Miller's long-term investment in Amazon is recommended, showcasing the insights and details that contribute to understanding his investment philosophy [2] - Warren Buffett's recent activities, including increasing his stake in Mitsubishi and clarifying Berkshire Hathaway's position on railway acquisitions, are noted, reflecting his ongoing engagement in investment decisions [2] Group 2 - The article mentions various investment opportunities and insights from industry experts, such as the potential in Hong Kong stocks and the focus on innovation by companies like CATL [2] - Howard Marks' latest memo discusses the current market conditions in the U.S., indicating a shift towards a more concerning outlook, which investors should be aware of [2] - The article encourages readers to engage with investment wisdom through video content, promoting a deeper understanding of investment strategies [2]

他写过逾80封致股东的信； 他60次在伯克希尔股东会上滔滔不绝； 他几十年如一日，重复讲述简单的投资原则。 他的语言，人人都能听懂， 可几十年来，没有人能真正做到。 转载开白， 请联系小编微信【fanxiaocom】，添加备注 "转载+新媒体名+姓名" ，按顺序邀请加入媒体转载群 商务合作， 请添加聪明牛牛【微信congmingtzz1/ 手机13262200706 】，添加备注 "合作+机构名+姓名 " 具体 商议 如果方法已经摆在那儿， 为什么没有人能复制巴菲特？ 喜欢就点击 在 看 ，让微信记住你的 兴趣 看完记得 点击视频右下角头像 ， 关注【聪明投资者视频号】 ，带你看投资智慧的浓缩精华。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of fundamental research and analysis in investment decision-making, highlighting the insights of Jiang Tong, a partner and fund manager at Jinglin Asset Management, regarding market dynamics and emerging sectors [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Jiang Tong believes that the stock market's fundamentals are consistently better than the average macroeconomic performance, attributing this to the capital market's ability to represent the most dynamic and error-tolerant economic units [7]. - The government is enhancing its ability to address market failures through structured interventions, which aim to create long-term competitive advantages for industries [7][8]. - The "anti-involution" policy is seen as a significant indicator of this process, promoting reasonable profit margins for enterprises and reducing irrational pricing in international competition [7][8]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Jiang Tong suggests that investors should start considering GNP (Gross National Product) alongside GDP (Gross Domestic Product) as the economy transitions to a moderate growth phase, with GNP growth outpacing GDP [9]. - There is a growing interest from foreign investors in Chinese assets, particularly in advanced manufacturing and new consumer trends [9]. Group 3: AI and Emerging Technologies - The article discusses the transition of AI from theoretical models to practical productivity tools, enhancing labor efficiency across various sectors [11]. - Jiang Tong identifies two key trends: the peak of capital expenditure in the U.S. due to tax incentives from the "Big and Beautiful" Act, and the increasing role of AI as a productivity tool, which is expected to yield returns for AI model companies [12][13]. - The article highlights the importance of tracking advancements in quantum computing, controllable nuclear fusion, and AI applications, particularly in drug discovery and scientific research [14]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Jiang Tong's investment strategy includes a diversified portfolio across A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. stocks, with a focus on sectors like advanced manufacturing, new consumption, and AI-related assets [15][16]. - The article notes that high-dividend stocks are considered a stable foundation in Jiang Tong's portfolio, with a strategy to reduce holdings in stocks with declining dividend attractiveness while maintaining positions in high-dividend leaders [17]. - To capture opportunities in emerging markets, Jiang Tong emphasizes the need for curiosity, continuous learning, and a systematic approach to research and investment [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the psychological aspects of investing, particularly the fear of missing out (FOMO) during market rallies, and emphasizes the importance of a patient, long-term investment strategy over short-term speculation [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Behavior and Psychological Insights - The article highlights the contrast between "star investors" who seek quick gains and "ordinary investors" who focus on steady accumulation over time, suggesting that the latter may yield better long-term results [3][4]. - It references a table showing the performance of star investors versus ordinary investors over ten years, illustrating that while star investors may experience significant fluctuations, ordinary investors tend to have more stable returns [3]. - The fear of missing out can lead investors to make irrational decisions, such as investing in unfamiliar assets simply because others are profiting [4][5]. Group 2: Historical Context and Market Trends - The article draws parallels between past market behaviors and current trends, particularly referencing the "post-5.19 market" which saw significant gains following a period of economic difficulty [11][12][21]. - It emphasizes that a slow bull market is characterized by a series of ups and downs rather than a straight ascent, requiring patience and awareness of potential corrections [36]. - The article notes that the formation of a slow bull market requires not only policy support and liquidity but also alignment with economic fundamentals [37][38]. Group 3: Policy and Economic Factors - The article discusses the role of government policies in shaping market conditions, particularly the importance of regulatory frameworks that support market stability and investor confidence [21][27]. - It mentions that significant policy changes, such as the introduction of the Securities Law in 1999, were crucial in establishing a foundation for sustainable market growth [21][27]. - The article concludes that understanding historical market cycles can provide valuable insights for current investors, highlighting the cyclical nature of markets and the need for strategic patience [35][36].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and strategic actions of CATL, highlighting its resilience in the face of industry challenges and its commitment to innovation and quality over price competition [2][3][14]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Actions - CATL's stock has seen fluctuations, with a significant rise of over 30% in July, while its major holding, CATL, has been relatively stable [2]. - The company announced a cash dividend of 10.07 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 4.41 billion yuan, and has engaged in share buybacks totaling around 2.07 billion yuan [2]. - In the first half of 2025, CATL reported revenues of 178.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 7.2%, and a net profit of 30.5 billion yuan, up over 33% [12]. Group 2: Industry Context and Challenges - The lithium battery industry is facing significant challenges, with 65 out of 104 listed companies projected to see a decline in net profits in 2024, and over 60 companies experiencing a drop in gross margins [3]. - The recent suspension of CATL's lithium mine operations is expected to reduce domestic lithium supply by 8% monthly, leading to a significant increase in lithium carbonate futures prices [5][6]. Group 3: Strategic Direction and Innovation - CATL emphasizes the importance of value competition over price competition, advocating for high-quality products and innovation as key drivers for sustainable growth [14][22]. - The company is focused on developing advanced technologies and materials, aiming to lead in the electric vehicle battery sector and expand into new applications such as energy storage and electric maritime transport [26][29]. - CATL's commitment to sustainability is evident in its goal to achieve carbon neutrality across all battery factories by 2025, aligning with global trends towards zero-carbon infrastructure [31][32]. Group 4: Market Position and Future Outlook - CATL maintains a leading position in the global market, with a 38.1% share in the global power battery usage from January to May 2025 [12]. - The company is actively exploring new technologies and applications, including V2G (vehicle-to-grid) technology, which enhances the economic value of batteries beyond traditional uses [26][30]. - The future of the industry is seen as reliant on innovation and collaboration, with CATL positioning itself as a key player in the transition to a sustainable energy ecosystem [28][29].