Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved steady growth in operational performance in 25H1, with revenue of 10.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 2.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 33% due to a significant drop in non-recurring gains [1][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the "anti-involution" policy, which is anticipated to lead to a new round of supply-side reforms in the steel industry, helping to stabilize and potentially increase steel prices [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 25H1, the company reported a gross margin of 10.0%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in steel prices [2]. - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 200 million yuan in 25H1, which is an increase in outflow compared to the previous year, attributed to increased procurement of steel materials [2]. - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 640 million, 780 million, and 920 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -17%, +21%, and +18% [4]. Market Position and Outlook - The company’s market share is expected to continue to rise, supported by a slight increase in new signed orders and production growth despite a weak macro demand environment [1][3]. - The report highlights that if steel prices increase by 3%, 5%, or 10%, the company's net profit per ton could increase by 15, 25, or 50 yuan respectively, significantly impacting overall profitability [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.812 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.26%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 255 million yuan, a decrease of 21.81% year-on-year [1] - The company's quarterly performance showed improvement, with a net profit of 144 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.21% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.15% [1] - The company is advancing its special materials projects, focusing on high-end alloy pipes and precision tubes, which are now in trial production [2] - The demand in downstream markets is expected to expand, particularly in unconventional oil and gas resource development, which may lead to increased market demand for pipes [3] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 600 million yuan, 688 million yuan, and 759 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.4, 7.4, and 6.7 [3] - The revenue for 2025 is estimated at 6.22 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.2% [5] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 601 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% [5]

Core Insights - The report analyzes the characteristics of the bond market during bull markets, specifically referencing historical periods of 2006-2007, 2014-2015, and 2024-2025, indicating that government bond yields tend to move in sync with overall liquidity conditions, generally trending downward during periods of ample liquidity [2] - It highlights that during stock market rallies, there is often a decrease in household deposits and a potential decline in bond fund shares, although these may recover in later stages of the stock market growth [2] Company-Specific Insights GoerTek Inc. (歌尔股份) - For the first half of 2025, GoerTek reported revenue of 37.55 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.42 billion, an increase of 15.7% [3] - The company’s gross margin improved to 13.5%, up by 2.0 percentage points, and net margin increased to 3.7%, up by 0.8 percentage points [3] - Projections for 2025-2027 indicate revenues of 101.1 billion, 115.1 billion, and 130.0 billion respectively, with net profits of 3.3 billion, 4.1 billion, and 4.8 billion, reflecting growth rates of 24.0%, 23.1%, and 17.1% [3] Koss (科思股份) - Koss is facing temporary performance pressure due to increased market competition and weaker-than-expected terminal demand, particularly in the sunscreen market [5] - The company is focusing on consolidating its leading position in the sunscreen agent sector and enhancing its product offerings [6] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 2.06 billion, 2.26 billion, and 2.45 billion, with net profits of 410 million, 490 million, and 560 million, maintaining a "buy" rating [6] Yanjinpuzi (盐津铺子) - Yanjinpuzi achieved revenue of 2.94 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, with net profit of 370 million, up 16.7% [6] - The growth was driven by strong performance in the konjac product line and effective channel strategies, including expansion into Southeast Asia [6] Changhong Meiling (长虹美菱) - The company reported total revenue of 18.072 billion for the first half of 2025, a 20.8% increase, with net profit of 417 million, a slight increase of 0.26% [8] - The growth was supported by faster export growth, although profit levels were impacted by tax and impairment issues [8] Naxin Microelectronics (纳芯微) - Naxin Microelectronics reported record revenue in Q2 2025, with projections for 2025-2027 indicating revenues of 3.07 billion, 3.79 billion, and 4.60 billion, reflecting growth rates of 56.8%, 23.3%, and 21.5% [9] Sunny Optical Technology (舜宇光学科技) - Sunny Optical is expected to see revenue growth from 40.9 billion in 2025 to 55.9 billion in 2027, with net profits projected at 3.53 billion, 4.20 billion, and 5.24 billion [10] Sanwei Chemical (三维化学) - Sanwei Chemical reported revenue of 1.25 billion in the first half of 2025, a 22% increase, with net profits growing by 43% [11] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth with projected net profits of 350 million, 480 million, and 630 million for 2025-2027 [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to slowing demand and increased competition, with projected revenue for 2024 at 2.276 billion (down 5.16% YoY) and net profit at 562 million (down 23.33% YoY) [1] - The company is focusing on consolidating its leading position in the sunscreen market and accelerating the launch of new products while enhancing operational efficiency and cost control [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 2.06 billion, 2.26 billion, and 2.45 billion respectively, with net profits of 413 million, 493 million, and 562 million [3] - The company's gross margin is expected to decline to 41.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 20.0% [4] - Operating cash flow for 2024 is projected at 823 million, with a significant drop to -12 million in Q1 2025 due to revenue decline [1][4] Segment Performance Summary - The cosmetics active ingredients and raw materials segment is expected to generate 1.904 billion in revenue for 2024 (down 8.05% YoY), while synthetic fragrances are projected to grow by 14.16% YoY to 352 million [2] - The company’s overseas sales are projected to be 1.98 billion (down 8.30% YoY), while domestic sales are expected to increase by 22.87% to 297 million [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a record high revenue of 1.52 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 79.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -80 million yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of -110 million yuan. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 810 million yuan, up 65.8% year-on-year and 12.5% quarter-on-quarter, primarily driven by the growing demand in automotive electronics and the recovery in the energy sector [1][2] - The automotive electronics segment accounted for 34.04% of H1 revenue, with a shipment of 312 million units, benefiting from the electrification and intelligence of new energy vehicles. The energy sector contributed 52.57% to revenue, with industrial control clients' inventory returning to normal and solar energy benefiting from favorable policies [1] - The company has strengthened its R&D team, increasing personnel to 588, a 27% year-on-year growth, and has over 3,600 available product models as of H1 2025. The signal chain products accounted for 38.45% of revenue, while power management and sensor products contributed 34.09% and 27.11%, respectively [2] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.07 billion yuan, 3.79 billion yuan, and 4.60 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 56.8%, 23.3%, and 21.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -83 million yuan in 2025, followed by 94 million yuan in 2026 and 276 million yuan in 2027 [2][4] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be -0.58 yuan in 2025, turning positive to 0.66 yuan in 2026 and 1.94 yuan in 2027. The net asset return rate is expected to improve from -1.4% in 2025 to 4.4% in 2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 18.072 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.80%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 417 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.26% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 10.711 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.84%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.66% to 236 million yuan [1]. - The company experienced robust growth in external sales, with a year-on-year increase of 32.17% in the first half of 2025, while domestic sales grew by 15.40% [1]. - The performance varied by product category, with air conditioners and washing machines showing significant growth of 36.18% and 32.70% respectively, while refrigerators and small appliances saw declines of 4.10% and 6.14% [1]. Financial Summary - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 9.49%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 2.27%, down by 0.68 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was 2.646 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.91% year-on-year, while cash received from sales was 11.17 billion yuan, an increase of 15.22% [2]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 770 million, 858 million, and 949 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.1%, 11.4%, and 10.6% [3]. Stock Information - The stock closed at 7.67 yuan on August 20, 2025, with a total market capitalization of 7.89951 billion yuan [5]. - The company has a total share capital of 1.02992 billion shares, with 99.40% being freely tradable [5]. Financial Projections - The projected revenue for 2025 is 32.033 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.0% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be 0.75 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.3 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.94 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, up 16.7% year-on-year [1][2] - The konjac product line has seen explosive growth, with revenue increasing by 155.1% year-on-year to 790 million yuan in H1 2025, indicating strong brand development and market potential [2][3] - The company is successfully expanding its product categories and channels, with significant contributions from egg snacks and deep-sea snacks, and has made strides in overseas markets [2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin decreased by 2.9 percentage points to 29.7%, while the net profit margin slightly decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 12.6% [2] - The company reported a net profit margin of 13.8% in Q2 2025, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost control and channel structure adjustments [2][3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are expected to grow by 21.6%, 19.3%, and 18.4%, reaching 6.45 billion, 7.69 billion, and 9.11 billion yuan respectively [3][9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its competitive advantages in product development, research, and channel management to enhance its market position in the konjac category [3] - The establishment of upstream processing facilities aims to stabilize raw material costs and improve operational efficiency [3] - The company has successfully created a standout product, "Big Demon" sesame sauce, which has become a phenomenon in the market, showcasing its brand cultivation capabilities [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating strong investment attractiveness based on growth potential and financial performance [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 156% in Q2, driven by accelerated project recognition in its engineering business. The total revenue for H1 2025 reached 1.25 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120 million yuan, reflecting a 43% increase [1]. - The engineering and chemical sectors are showing upward trends, with expectations for continued growth in net profits over the next few years [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a comprehensive gross margin of 20%, up by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margins for engineering, chemicals, and catalysts were 21%, 19%, and 32%, respectively [2]. - The operating cash flow for H1 2025 showed a net inflow of 20 million yuan, although it was a decrease of 120 million yuan compared to the previous year [2]. Business Segments - The engineering segment saw new orders of 640 million yuan in H1 2025, a 60% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from design and engineering contracting services [3]. - The industrial segment is benefiting from rising prices of key products, such as propanol, which increased by 8% in August compared to July [4]. Growth Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 350 million yuan, 480 million yuan, and 630 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 33% for each year [4]. - The anticipated dividend yield for 2025 is approximately 5%, based on an average dividend payout ratio of 84% for 2023-2024 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) with a target price of HKD 105, corresponding to a 25x P/E for 2026 [3][5]. Core Views - Sunny Optical's revenue for H1 2025 reached HKD 196.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%. The mobile segment generated HKD 132.5 billion, up 1.7%, while the automotive segment saw a significant growth of 18.2% to HKD 34 billion, and the XR segment grew by 21.1% to HKD 12 billion [1][2]. - The company's gross profit for H1 2025 was HKD 38.9 billion, reflecting a 20% increase, with the gross margin improving from 17.2% to 19.8% due to faster growth in high-margin automotive business and improved margins in mobile lenses and modules [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was approximately HKD 16.5 billion, marking a substantial year-on-year increase of 52.6% [1]. Summary by Sections Mobile Optical - The demand for mobile optical products is driven by the need for extreme miniaturization due to foldable and ultra-thin devices, as well as innovations in video stabilization and all-focus experiences. The revenue from mobile lenses with six or more elements grew by over 9%, and the revenue from glass-plastic hybrid lenses more than doubled [2]. Automotive Optical - Sunny Optical holds the leading global market share in automotive lenses, with a focus on pixel upgrades and advanced cleaning technologies. The company also maintains the top market share for 8MP automotive modules and has secured over HKD 1.5 billion in designated projects for L3 and above intelligent driving [2]. XR and IoT - The company has achieved full-link optical product coverage in the XR sector, including interaction modules, display modules, and complete machine ODM. In the broader IoT space, there is a growing demand for handheld imaging devices, and the company is expanding its scale in robotics, particularly in navigation and AI recognition [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Sunny Optical are estimated at HKD 409 billion, HKD 476 billion, and HKD 559 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be HKD 35.3 billion, HKD 42.0 billion, and HKD 52.4 billion for the same years [3][4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - The bond market is affected by the stock market, but the adjustment space is limited. Attention should be paid to stock market changes and fund duration to select the timing for increasing bond allocation [59] - Overall, during stock market rallies, government bond yields tend to move in sync with funds. If funds are generally loose, government bond yields show a long - term downward trend, with the term spread widening and the credit spread narrowing. In terms of fund diversion, household deposits often decrease year - on - year, bond fund shares may decline periodically but will recover in the later stage of the stock market growth. The scale of wealth management transferred to the stock market may be relatively limited, and the scale and proportion of insurance bond investment are expected to rise [4][58] Summary by Different Stock Market Rally Periods 2006 - 2007 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields rose significantly, fund prices increased, the term spread first narrowed, then widened, and then narrowed again, and the credit spread first narrowed and then widened. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 1181 points at the beginning of 2006 to 6092 points in mid - October 2007. The 10 - year government bond yield rose from 3.1% to 4.5%, an increase of 139bps. R007 rose from 1.5% to a maximum of 7.1%. The government bond term spread first dropped from 140bp to 85bp in November 2006, then rose to 180bp at the end of June 2007, and then dropped to 122bp in mid - October 2007. The 1 - year medium - term note credit spread dropped from 138bp at the end of 2006 to 59bp in mid - August 2007 and then rose to 118bp in mid - October 2007 [1][8] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, the shares of both stock - type and bond - type funds increased, and the balance of insurance bond investment rose. From the second quarter of 2006 to the third quarter of 2007, household deposits decreased by a cumulative 12857 billion yuan year - on - year. Stock - type fund shares increased from 1279 billion shares in January 2006 to 10112 billion shares in October 2007, an increase of 8833 billion shares. Bond - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 187 billion shares from 243 billion shares. The balance of insurance bond investment increased from 6600 billion yuan in December 2005 to 10420 billion yuan in June 2007, an increase of 3820 billion yuan [2][14][18] 2014 - 2015 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields decreased significantly, funds were generally loose, the term spread first narrowed and then widened, and the credit spread narrowed after fluctuations. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2024 points in mid - June 2014 to 5166 points in mid - June 2015. The 10 - year government bond yield dropped from 4.0% to about 3.6%, a decrease of 42bps. R007 first rose from 3.2% to 6.4% in late December 2014 and then dropped to 2.1%. The government bond term spread first narrowed from 63bp to 19bp in mid - October 2014 and then widened to 194bp in mid - June 2015. The 3 - year medium - term note credit spread narrowed from 136bp to 116bp overall [2][25] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, the shares of stock - type and bond - type funds changed in opposite directions, the balance and proportion of insurance bond investment decreased, and the scale of wealth management increased. From July 2014 to June 2015, household deposits decreased by a cumulative 22655 billion yuan year - on - year. Bond - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 456 billion shares, while stock - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 1605 billion shares. The balance of insurance bond investment decreased from 35636 billion yuan in June 2014 to 35532 billion yuan in June 2015, and the proportion of bond investment dropped from 41.48% to 34.27%. The scale of bank wealth management products increased from 12.65 trillion yuan in June 2014 to 18.52 trillion yuan in June 2015 [2][33] 2024 - 2025 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields rose, funds were generally loose, and both the term spread and credit spread widened. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2863 points on September 24, 2024, to 3490 points on October 8, 2024, and then continued to fluctuate. From July 2025 to August 18, 2025, it rose from 3458 points to 3728 points. The 10 - year government bond yield first rose from 2.07% to 2.25%, then dropped rapidly to 1.60%, and since July 2025, it has been rising. R007 dropped from 2.03% on September 24, 2024, to 1.50% on August 18, 2025. During the two stock market rallies, the term spread widened by 16.5bp and 9.5bp respectively, and the 3 - year medium - term note credit spread widened by 21.5bp and 6.7bp respectively [2][42] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, bond - type fund shares decreased, stock - type fund shares increased, the balance and proportion of insurance bond investment rose, and the balance of wealth management bond investment increased. In September 2024, household deposits decreased by 3257 billion yuan year - on - year, and in July 2025, they decreased by 7818 billion yuan year - on - year. Bond - type fund shares decreased by 7002 billion shares in October 2024, while stock - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 1319 billion shares in September and October 2024. The balance of life insurance company bond investment increased from 14.23 trillion yuan in September 2024 to 16.92 trillion yuan in June 2025, and the proportion increased from 49.18% to 51.90%. The balance of bank wealth management increased from 28.52 trillion yuan in June 2024 to 30.67 trillion yuan in June 2025, and the bond investment scale increased from 16.98 trillion yuan to 18.33 trillion yuan [3][50]