股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.15 新疆龙头钢企，具备区位优势 八一钢铁(600581) ——八一钢铁 2024 年报暨 2025 一季报业绩点评 | | | | [table_Authors] 李鹏飞(分析师) | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 王宏玉(分析师) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 3.79 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880519080003 | S0880520010002 | S0880523060005 | | | 本报告导读： 钢铁需求持续偏弱，公司业绩短期承压，但我们持续看好行业供需格局改善，公司 业绩仍有较大修复空间。另外，公司具备较强区位优势，未来有望受益于"一带一 路"持续发展。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

开局稳健，战略积极 水井坊(600779) 水井坊 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 | [table_Authors] 訾猛(分析师) | 颜慧菁(分析师) | 李耀(分析师) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 58.34 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880513120002 | S0880525040022 | S0880520090001 | | | 本报告导读： 行业需求承压背景下，1Q25 公司仍实现收入、利润正增长。未来，公司将积极构建 次高端"水井坊"与高端"第一坊"的双品牌体系，并拥抱新零售渠道。 投资要点： 风险提示。食品安全、产业政策调整等。 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 4,953 | 5,217 | 5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing significant growth in Q1 earnings and an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [3][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 unaudited net profit reached 602 million RMB, marking a 32% year-on-year increase from Q1 2024's 457 million RMB, indicating strong profitability [8]. - The report highlights favorable trends in raw material costs, with prices for PET bottles and white sugar decreasing by 12.07% and 7.75% respectively in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, contributing to improved margins [8]. - New product launches, including a sugar-free tea and an energy drink, are expected to drive further revenue growth [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a steady increase from 28,500.29 million RMB in 2022 to an estimated 37,172.24 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.2% [6]. - Net profit is forecasted to grow from 1,222.16 million RMB in 2022 to 2,955.36 million RMB in 2027, with a notable increase of 36.4% in 2023 [6]. - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 27.60 in 2022 to 13.12 by 2027, indicating improved valuation over time [6]. Market Position - The current market capitalization of the company is approximately 42,070 million HKD, with a share price range of 6.11 to 9.84 HKD over the past 52 weeks [7]. - The report compares the company's valuation with peers, suggesting a target price of 10.20 RMB per share, which translates to approximately 10.97 HKD per share based on the current exchange rate [8][9].

O 风险提示。技术研发和量产进度不及预期,政策出台不及预期, 行业融资不及预期。 低空指数周涨幅 8.3%,98%产业链上市公司股价上涨 -- 低空产业跟踪 14 期 0 近一周 Wind 低空经济指数上涨 8.3%。约 98%产业链公司实现 股价上涨,涨幅最高的为晨曦航空(飞行器制造-机载设备系统)、 航天南湖（低空基础设施-飞行管理及监视防御）、奥普光电（飞 行器制造-结构件），分别实现 48%、34%、24%的周涨幅。 | 产业研究中心 | | | --- | --- | | ર્ | 徐淋(分析师) | | S | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 | S0880523090005 | | S | 周天乐(分析师) | | 8 | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 | S0880520010003 | | S | 肖洁(分析师) | | --- | --- | | క | 021-38676666 | 登记编号 S0880513080002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 of 7 产业观察 2025.05.13 摘要: 产业观察 目录 | . 资本市场表现. | | --- ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.13 投资收益韧性突出，恢复平稳扩表 华泰证券(601688) ——华泰证券 2025Q1 季报点评 [Table_Industry] 综合金融/金融 | | ——华泰证券 2025Q1 季报点评 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [table_Authors] 刘欣琦(分析师) | 王思玥(研究助理) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 20.86 | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880515050001 | S0880123070151 | | | 本报告导读： 2025Q1 投资业务净收入驱动增长。公司完成金融资产梳理工作，资产负债表恢复平 稳增长 投资要点： [Table_Balance] 资产负债表摘要(LF) 股东权益（百万元） 195,266 每股净资产（元） 21.63 市净率（现价） 0.8 净负债率 -161.81% [Table_PicQuote] 52周股价走势图 -15% -1% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8][15]. Core Views - The company demonstrates significant growth potential, with its business in the robotic ecosystem and parking asset management achieving breakthroughs. In 2024, both segments drove high revenue growth and provided unexpected dividends to shareholders [4][8]. - The company is expected to continue focusing on "asset circulation + intelligent operation" in 2025, with anticipated earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 0.08, 0.10, and 0.12 for 2025 to 2027, respectively. A price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 30X is applied for 2025, suggesting a target price of HKD 2.44 [8][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 1.215 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37.5%. The revenue from asset operation is expected to be HKD 921 million, up 40%, while asset financing revenue is projected at HKD 294 million, a 30.7% increase. Gross profit is estimated at HKD 507 million, reflecting a 41% increase [7][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at HKD 410 million, a slight increase of 1.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in dividend income from Shougang Resources and changes in the fair value of investment properties [8][9]. - The company maintains a strong cash reserve, with cash and cash equivalents expected to reach HKD 4.625 billion by 2025, supporting its business expansion [9]. Business Growth - The company is building a robust robotic ecosystem, planning to invest in 40 to 50 top robotic companies over the next 2 to 3 years to enhance product deployment and service offerings [8][9]. - In parking asset management, the company is expanding its "parking + charging" asset scale, with new projects at major transportation hubs, which is expected to drive dual growth in parking and charging revenues [8][9]. Dividend Policy - The total dividend payout for 2024 is projected to be approximately HKD 1.096 billion, exceeding market expectations, reflecting the company's confidence in its long-term investment value [8][9].

Q1 来水不佳，湖北现货即将转正 湖北能源(000883) 2024 年报及 25Q1 季报点评 | [table_Authors] 吴杰(分析师) | 胡鸿程(研究助理) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 5.61 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880525040109 | S0880125042225 | | | 本报告导读： 公司 24 年和 25Q1 业绩分别受到减值和来水不佳影响，湖北现货市场推进，看好公 司电源长期价值释放。 投资要点： 风险提示。来水不及预期、电价下行、新能源盈利性下滑。 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 18,669 | 20,031 | 20,045 | 21,655 | 21,980 | | (+/-)% | -9.3% | 7.3% | 0.1% ...

国泰海通晨报 2025 年 05 月 13 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 重点推荐： 1、宏观，消费和基建表现较好，但地产、出口、生产有压力。消费汽车消费强劲，投资基建提速 地产承压，进出口港口运行放缓。 2、海外科技，谷歌发布 Gemini 2.5 Pro（I/O 版），AI 助力前端开发与复杂编程；特朗普政府拟撤 销拜登时代 AI 芯片出口三档限制；苹果欲在浏览器中加入 AI 搜索功能。 3、医药，2024 年医疗器械国内市场受集采、招投标节奏等影响阶段承压，出海产业趋势仍向好， 国际化水平进一步提升。伴随 25 年内需逐步改善，业绩有望持续复苏。 [周津宇 Table_Authors] 电话：021-38676666 登记编号：S0880516080007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 宏观周报：《消费和基建有韧性》2025-05-11 李林芷（分析师）021-38676666、梁中华（分析师）021-38676666 周度高频数据方面，商品消费中汽车消费表现突出，服务消费受节假日影响有波动，但整 体呈现边际改善趋势。投资方面，基建专项 ...

策略研究 / 2025.05.12 关税缓和下全球风险偏好回暖 一全球股市立体投资策略周报 本报告导读: 1上周全球股市基本收平,结构上金融、可选消费、能源表现领先, 风险偏好普遍回暖。2海外流动性边际转紧,全球央行降息预期延 后。3从经济景气预期看,美国、欧洲边际改善,中国继续抬升。 投资要点: | 吴信坤(分析师) | | --- | | 021-38676666 | | S0880525040061 | | 陈菲(分析师) | | 021-38676666 | | S0880525040127 | 比下降。从投资者情绪看,港股方面,上周港股卖空占比较前周环 比下降,处于历史高位;美股方面,上周 NAAIM 经理人持仓指数 较前周环比上升,处于历史偏高位。从波动率看,上周港股、美股、 欧股、日股波动率均下降。从估值看,上周发达市场整体估值较前 周下降,新兴市场整体估值较前周提升。 参研究报 因欧洲关税冲击缓和、4月经济数据偏强提振预期;花旗中国经济 意外指数从 44.1 升至 50.5,为 23年5月以来最高水平,受益于政 策发力与中美谈判顺利。 目录 | 1. 全球市场:上周全球风险偏好出现回升 | | ...

债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.12 | 国债期货的双顶形态意味着什么 | [Table_Authors] | 唐元懋(分析师) | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 021-38676666 | | 国债期货周度跟踪 | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | 本报告导读： | | 孙越(研究助理) | | 2025 年 4 月至今，多空因素交织下国债期货形成双顶雏形，参考历史来看，双顶雏 | | 021-38676666 | | 形后或显示多头动能边际减弱，短期内国债期货或延续震荡格局，关键支撑位位于 | 登记编号 | S0880123070142 | | 前期"颈线"处。 | | | 投资要点： 市 场 策 略 周 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 债 券 研 究 报 [Table_Summary] 从技术形态看，2025 年 4 月以来国债期货逐步形成"双顶雏形"。 2025 年 4 月 3 日美国宣布对华加征对等关税后，受到避险情绪影 响，国债期货连续两日跳空高开， T2506 、TL2506 于 4 月 7 日创 下 3 ...