| [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 涂力磊(分析师) | 021-23185710 | tulilei@gtht.com | S0880525040101 | | 谢皓宇(分析师) | 010-83939826 | xiehaoyu@gtht.com | S0880518010002 | | 谢盐(分析师) | 021-23185696 | xieyan@gtht.com | S0880525040098 | 本报告导读： 1 月 27 日，公司审议通过了《关于开展商业不动产 REITs 申报发行工作及相关授权 事项的议案》，这将进一步构筑公司不动产经营能力，增强可持续发展能力。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 维持"增持"评级。1 月 27 日，公司审议通过了《关于开展商业不 动产 REITs 申报发行工作及相关授权事项的议案》。我们认为，这 将进一步构筑公司不动产经营能力，优化资本结构，增强可持续发 展能力。我们预计 25 年 EPS 为 0.09 元和 BPS 为 16.59 元，参考 PB 估 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the food and beverage sector as "Overweight" [4][6]. Core Insights - The allocation ratio for the food and beverage sector has decreased quarter-on-quarter, with significant reductions in the allocation for both liquor and non-liquor segments. Conversely, other segments such as beverages, dairy products, and snacks have seen an increase in allocation [2][16]. - The report suggests focusing on five main investment lines, emphasizing opportunities arising from supply-demand clearing. Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao for liquor; Eastroc Beverage and Nongfu Spring for beverages; and various companies in the snack and food processing sectors [6][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Sector Allocation Trends - The allocation ratio for food and beverage stocks among actively managed equity mutual funds has continued to decline for seven consecutive quarters, reaching 4.04% in Q4 2025, ranking ninth among all sectors [8][11]. - The allocation for liquor stocks decreased to 2.92%, driven by declines in leading brands such as Wuliangye and Shanxi Fenjiu [16][18]. 2. Sub-Sector Performance - Liquor and non-liquor segments saw a reduction in allocation, while other segments like snacks and dairy products experienced increases. The allocation for snacks rose to 0.26%, and dairy products to 0.44% [16][17]. - Specific stock movements include a decrease in holdings for major liquor brands, while dairy leaders like Yili and Mengniu saw increases in their allocation ratios [23][24]. 3. Individual Stock Analysis - Major liquor stocks such as Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye experienced significant reductions in their mutual fund holdings, with Moutai down by 0.8% and Wuliangye down by 13.2% [19][20]. - In the beverage sector, Eastroc Beverage's holdings decreased by 4.16%, while Yili's increased by 3.42% [23][24]. - Snack companies like Wancheng Group and Ximai Foods saw increases in their allocation ratios, indicating a positive trend in the snack segment [26][27]. 4. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report includes a section on earnings forecasts and valuations, indicating a cautious outlook for the food and beverage sector amidst changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [32].

| [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 涂力磊(分析师) | 021-23185710 | tulilei@gtht.com | S0880525040101 | | 谢皓宇(分析师) | 010-83939826 | xiehaoyu@gtht.com | S0880518010002 | | 谢盐(分析师) | 021-23185696 | xieyan@gtht.com | S0880525040098 | 本报告导读： 1 月 27 日，公司审议通过了《关于开展商业不动产 REITs 申报发行工作及相关授权 事项的议案》，这将进一步构筑公司不动产经营能力，增强可持续发展能力。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 维持"增持"评级。1 月 27 日，公司审议通过了《关于开展商业不 动产 REITs 申报发行工作及相关授权事项的议案》。我们认为，这 将进一步构筑公司不动产经营能力，优化资本结构，增强可持续发 展能力。我们预计 25 年 EPS 为 0.09 元和 BPS 为 16.59 元，参考 PB 估 ...

产业观察 [table_Header]2026.01.29 四大增长极经济与产业洞察报告（2025） 产业研究中心 摘要：聚焦四大战略区域 2025 年协同发展，解构要素配置与产业生态新格局 期 2026.01.18 [Table_Summary] 核心观点：区域协同、产业升级与统一大市场建设的联动是高质量发展的 关键支撑。四大增长极通过制度协同破除行政壁垒，要素市场化改革畅通 资源流动，形成"顶层引领+地方创新"的协同格局。产业层面呈现梯度分 工与集群化演进，长三角技术密集型产业领跑，粤港澳大湾区聚焦跨境融 合，京津冀疏解赋能并重，川渝强化双核联动。通过"要素流动—产业协 同 —市场统一"联动路径，推动区域从"集群化"迈向"链群化"，既发挥比 较优势实现差异化发展，又通过跨域平台与规则衔接强化协同，为全国构 建优势互补、高质量发展的区域经济布局提供实践支撑。 筑基与引领：2025 年四大区域聚焦制度协同、规则衔接与跨域合作，以顶 层规划与专项政策为支撑，形成"顶层引领+地方创新"的协同格局，筑牢 区域高质量发展制度根基。 破壁与赋能：要素市场化改革正推动资源配置逻辑从"区域内优化"向"跨 区域重组"转化。人 ...

| GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES | | --- | | 国泰海通证券 | 精 选 目 录 | | 每日报告精选（2026-01-28 09:00——2026-01-29 15:00） 2 | | --- | --- | |  | 宏观专题：《美联储如期按兵不动》2026-01-29 2 | |  | 宏观专题：《白银牛市：价格破 怎么看》2026-01-28 3 100 | |  | 行业专题研究：计算机《制度闭环叠加 催化，迎接数据要素"价值释放年"》2026-01-28 3 AI | |  | 行业专题研究：可选消费品《智能眼镜产品力系列二：大模型催化，AI 眼镜异军突起评》2026-01-28 4 | |  | 行业专题研究：耐用消费品《3D 打印行业：产业浪潮已至，工业消费双向驱动》2026-01-28 5 | |  | 公司跟踪报告：中国中铁（601390）《铜钼矿产待重估，承建海南商业航天发射场》2026-01-29 6 | |  | 公司信息点评：长盈精密（300115）《股权激励落地绑定核心成员，机器人业务前景广阔》2026-01-29 7 | |  | ...

Performance Overview - As of January 23, 2026, the total scale of fixed income + funds reached CNY 21,780.36 billion, with 1,157 products available, of which 824 achieved historical net value highs last week[2] - The median performance of various fund types for the week (January 19-23, 2026) was as follows: mixed bond type I (0.26%), type II (0.47%), partially bond mixed (0.56%), flexible allocation (0.37%), bond type FOF (0.42%), and mixed type FOF (0.63%) [2] Asset Allocation and Strategy - The macro environment forecast for Q1 2026 indicates a slowdown, with the Shanghai Composite Index, China Government Bond Index, and gold contract AU9999 yielding 1.57%, 0.36%, and 14.08% respectively for January[3] - The recommended industry ETFs for January 2026 include coal, steel, securities companies, and banking sectors, with a weekly return of 1.77% and a cumulative return of 1.41% for the month[3] Absolute Return Strategies - The stock-bond 20/80 rebalancing strategy yielded 0.00% last week, with a year-to-date (YTD) return of 0.51%, while the stock-bond risk parity strategy returned 0.13% last week (YTD 0.43%) [4] - The small-cap value strategy within the stock-bond 20/80 combination showed a notable YTD return of 2.95%, while the cumulative return for the small-cap value strategy with macro momentum model reached 4.36%[4] Risk Assessment - Risks identified include factor failure risk, model mis-specification risk, and historical statistical regularity failure risk[5] High-Performing Products - A total of 824 fixed income + products reached historical net value highs, categorized by risk type: conservative (443), balanced (143), and aggressive (238) [19] - Top-performing products include: - Guangfa Jiajia A with a 9.88% increase over the past year[20] - Qianhai Kaiyuan Yuyuan with a 57.69% increase over the past year[20]

固收+产品业绩跟踪。截至 2026 年 01 年 23 日，全市场固收+基金 规模 21780.36 亿元，产品数量 1157 只，其中 824 只上周净值创历 史新高。上周（20260119-20260123，下同）共新发 12 只产品，各类 型基金业绩中位数表现分化：混合债券型一级（0.26%）、二级 （0.47%）、偏债混合型（0.56%）、灵活配置型（0.37%）、债券型 FOF （0.42%）及混合型 FOF（0.63%）。按风险等级划分，保守型、稳健 型、激进型基金中位数收益分别为 0.32%、0.47%、0.59%。 大类资产配置和行业 ETF 轮动策略跟踪。1）大类资产择时观点。 2026Q1 逆周期配置模型给出的宏观环境预测结果为 Slowdown，截 至 20260123，沪深 300 指数、中债国债总财富指数、上金所 AU9999 合约 1 月收益率分别为 1.57%、0.36%和 14.08%。2）行业 ETF 轮 动观点。2026 年 1 月，行业 ETF 轮动策略建议关注的行业 ETF 为： 国泰中证煤炭 ETF，国泰中证钢铁 ETF，国泰中证全指证券公司 ETF，华宝中证银行 E ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 54.45 CNY [5][11]. Core Insights - The company is set to implement an equity incentive plan in 2025, which will bind core members and anchor performance indicators to ensure stable growth in company performance [2][11]. - The company's main business is expected to grow steadily, although the net profit attributable to the parent company is affected by non-recurring gains and losses [2][11]. - The company has established itself as a key supplier of precision components in the humanoid robot sector, gaining recognition from leading clients in North America [11]. - The 3C business is entering an innovation cycle, while the new energy business is entering a phase of capacity release, which is expected to enhance profitability [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 13,722 million CNY in 2023 to 23,901 million CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 14.6% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 86 million CNY in 2023 to 1,660 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.06 CNY in 2023, increasing to 1.22 CNY by 2027 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.5% in 2023 to 15.8% in 2027 [4]. Business Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in the humanoid robot market, with over 400 different parts involved in various materials and processing techniques, indicating high technical barriers [11]. - The new energy business has expanded its client base to include major players like Tesla and CATL, with ongoing investments in production facilities to support capacity growth [11].

宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.29 美联储如期按兵不动 [Table_Authors] 汪浩(分析师) ——2026 年 1 月美联储议息会议点评 本报告导读： 2026 年 1 月 FOMC 会议按兵不动基本符合市场预期，美联储对经济、就业和通胀 都表现出了更乐观的态度，这为重启降息增加了很大的不确定性，鲍威尔模糊化前 瞻性指引。我们认为美联储主席换届与美联储独立性遭破坏将对货币政策产生较大 扰动，但具有短期性特征。预计美债利率短期高位震荡后先下后上，美股短期震荡 后仍有支撑。 投资要点： | | 0755-23976659 | | --- | --- | | | wanghao8@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880521120002 | | | 梁中华(分析师) | | | 021-23219820 | | | liangzhonghua@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040019 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 白银牛市：价格破 100 怎么看 2026.01.28 有待稳固的"V 型"反弹 2026.01.27 总量稳健，结 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 54.45 CNY [5][11]. Core Insights - The company is set to implement an equity incentive plan in 2025, which will bind core members and anchor performance indicators to ensure stable growth in company performance [2][11]. - The company's main business is expected to grow steadily, although the net profit attributable to the parent company is affected by non-recurring gains and losses [2][11]. - The company has established itself as a key supplier of precision components in the humanoid robot sector, gaining recognition from leading clients in North America [11]. - The 3C business is entering an innovation cycle, while the new energy business is entering a phase of capacity release, which is expected to enhance profitability [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 13,722 million CNY in 2023 to 23,901 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.6% [4][12]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 86 million CNY in 2023 to 1,660 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4][12]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.06 CNY in 2023, increasing to 1.22 CNY by 2027 [4][12]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.5% in 2023 to 15.8% in 2027 [4][12]. Business Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in the humanoid robot market, with over 400 different parts involved in various materials and processing techniques, indicating high technical barriers [11]. - The new energy business has expanded its client base to include major players like Tesla and CATL, with ongoing investments in production facilities to support capacity growth [11]. - The company’s stock has shown a significant absolute increase of 114% over the past 12 months, indicating strong market performance [10].