Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][5][13] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in profitability in 1Q25, with a focus on awaiting demand recovery [1][4] - The petrochemical logistics sector is facing downward pressure due to reduced demand, impacting the company's performance [4][5] - Long-term structural characteristics of the petrochemical industry in China suggest sustained demand for cross-regional transportation and storage [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of Rmb1,450 million, a decrease of 6.27% year-on-year, and a net profit of Rmb158 million, down 46.57% year-on-year [3][12] - For 1Q25, revenue was Rmb323 million, down 14.98% year-on-year, with a net profit of Rmb21 million, down 65.10% year-on-year [3][12] - The company's gross margin in 1Q25 was 43.94%, a decline of 8.76 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 6.49%, down 9.32 percentage points year-on-year [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit is Rmb188 million for FY25, Rmb247 million for FY26, and Rmb294 million for FY27, with corresponding EPS of Rmb0.41, Rmb0.54, and Rmb0.64 respectively [5][13] - The target price is set at Rmb10.27 based on a 25x FY25E P/E ratio [5][13]

"抢进口"：短期为美国经济提供缓冲 [Table_Authors] 王宇晴(分析师) ——海外经济政策跟踪 本报告导读： 一季度在"抢进口"影响下，美国 GDP 环比增速转负。抢进口行为或能一定程度延 缓关税对美国经济的冲击，短期内或不会立刻看到美国通胀与就业数据恶化。在就 业市场仍稳，通胀反弹风险尚不明晰的情况下，美联储短期内或难以降息。 周 报 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 登记编号 S0880525040119 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.05.05 2025-05-06 宏 观 研 究 投资要点： 021-38676666 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 [Table_Summary] 全球大类资产表现。上周（2025.4.28-2025.5.2），全球大类资产价格 中，主要经济体股市多数上涨。日经 225 上涨 3.2%，标普 500 上涨 2.9%，恒生指数上涨 2.4%，发达市场股票指数上涨 2.9%，新兴市 场股票指数上涨 1.9%。大宗商品价格涨跌分化，其中，IPE 布油期 货上涨 1 ...

Employment Data - In April, the U.S. added 177,000 non-farm jobs, a slowdown from March but still above market expectations of 138,000[4] - The labor force participation rate increased slightly to 62.6%, while the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%[4] - The average hourly wage growth year-on-year was 3.8%, showing a slight decline from the previous month[6] Sector Contributions - The construction sector contributed significantly with 11,000 new jobs, while manufacturing saw a negative change in employment numbers[5] - Service industries accounted for 88.1% of new jobs, with notable growth in transportation and warehousing, likely driven by pre-tariff import activities[5] Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to lower interest rates in the short term, with market expectations for a rate cut now pushed to July[4] - The impact of current tariff policies on the U.S. economy has yet to be fully realized, and "stagflation" risks will be a key focus in the second quarter[4][13] Long-term Unemployment - The proportion of long-term unemployed individuals rose to 55.5%, the highest since December 2021, indicating a concerning trend in the labor market[11]

Group 1: Travel and Tourism - The average daily passenger volume during the first three days of the May Day holiday in 2025 reached 305 million, a 5.4% increase from 2024's 289 million[6] - Excluding private car usage, the average daily passenger volume was 60.39 million, up 7.6% from 2024[6] - International flight numbers increased by 19.6% year-on-year, significantly outpacing domestic flight growth of 5.4%[6] Group 2: Consumer Spending - The average daily box office revenue during the May Day holiday was 170 million yuan, down from 350 million yuan in 2024, representing 39% of the 2019 level[14] - The average number of moviegoers was 4.35 million, compared to 8.78 million in 2024, which is 43% of the 2019 level[14] - Despite a decline in box office revenue, the drop in attendance was greater than the drop in total revenue, indicating some price recovery[14] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The April production synchronization index (HTPI) was 4.34%, down from 4.91% in March[20] - The April consumption synchronization index (HTCI) was 3.81%, slightly down from 3.85% in March[20] - Infrastructure investment showed signs of recovery, with cumulative issuance of special bonds reaching 1.2721 trillion yuan as of May 4[32]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][10]. Core Views - The company's recurring net profit declined by 37.70% year-on-year in FY2024, with operating income of RMB 2.713 billion, up 4.64% year-on-year [6][10]. - The decline in profit is attributed to increased rubber prices and significant depreciation and amortization from newly launched projects [6][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of approximately RMB 82.32 million, accounting for 53.60% of the net profit attributable to the parent company [7][10]. - The company is actively expanding its international market presence, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 539 million, a year-on-year increase of 19.81% [8][10]. - Ongoing projects are progressing well, with future conveyor belt production capacity expected to reach 150 million square meters [9][10]. - Profit forecasts have been adjusted downward, with expected net profits of RMB 231 million, RMB 336 million, and RMB 410 million for 2025-2027, respectively [10]. Financial Summary - For FY2024, the company reported a revenue of RMB 2.713 billion and a net profit of RMB 154 million [6][10]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is RMB 3.218 billion, with a corresponding net profit of RMB 231 million [5][10]. - The company’s gross profit margin is expected to improve from 17.6% in 2024 to 19.6% by 2027 [5][10]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 7.1% in 2024 to 14.6% by 2027 [5][10].

阿布扎比国家石油天然气公司（ADNOCGAS UH） 营收超预期；良好的利润率；重申 2025 财年息税折摊前利润指引 【研究报告 Table_Title】 2025 年 5 月 5 日 Scott Darling Catherine Li Scott.darling@htisec.com Catherine.dy.li@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 【（本报告为 Table_summary 2025 年】 5 月 5 日发布的英文报告的翻译版，以原稿为准） 要闻回顾以及最新动态 我们预计，阿布扎比国家石油天然气公司 2025 年第一季度的业绩将得到市场的积极评价，公司录得经调净收入为 12.7 亿美元，大幅超出一致预期，这主要得益于国内天然气业务的强劲盈利能力，以及在计划维护期间通过优化运营 和成本管理实现的效益提升。公司重申了其 2025 财年息税折摊前利润率指引（约为 35%），同时将资本支出指引从 原先的 30-35 亿美元下调至 30 亿美元，并对各业务板块的产量及单位利润指引进行了部分调整。总体而言，阿布扎 比国家石油天然气公司仍是我们中东地区研究覆盖范围内的首选标 ...

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 May 2025 伯克希尔·哈撒韦 Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A US) 60 周年伯克希尔超越周期的神话：持有股票犹如坐拥公司 Berkshire Hathaway's 60-Year Myth of Transcending Cycles: Holding Stocks is Like Owning the Company 3477 亿美元现金储备，耐心等待投资良机。自 1957 年创立巴菲特合伙基金以来，巴菲特始终秉持"持有股票如同拥 有公司"的投资哲学。在缺乏理想投资机会的情况下，伯克希尔在 2025 年一季度末持有的现金达到了创纪录的 3477 亿美元，占总资产近 30%，而股票投资则持续下降至 2637 亿美元。巴菲特表示"并不急于花掉这笔钱，预计在 5 年内 找到合适的投资机会"，并认为"找到好投资标的的概率会随着时间推移而上升"。尽管巴菲特的投资策略已从早期以 低廉价格收购合适公司，转向以合理价格买入优秀公司，但他寻找相对低估值的公司的核心原则从未改变（当然， 他也进行套利交易）。作为衡量股票市场估 ...

加快节奏，备足预案 [Table_Authors] 黄汝南(分析师) 登记编号 S0880523080001 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.04.26 2025-05-05 宏 观 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 ——2025 年 4 月政治局会议点评 本报告导读： 会议要求强化底线思维，备足预案，"稳就业"成为首要任务。预计二季度将加快落 实两会部署的财政货币政策，增加优质供给发展服务消费，加快解决拖欠企业账款 和加力实施城市更新将支撑投资，并加大对受关税影响较大企业的民生保障力度。 政策仍留有后手，密切关注下半年提高赤字率的可能性。 投资要点： 宏 观 专 题 告 021-38676666 刘姜枫(研究助理) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880123070128 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 [Table_Summary] 在大国博弈不断升温的背景下，此次会议在对形势的研判和工作基 调的表述上有三点边际增量：一是要求强化底线思维，充分备足预 案；二是统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，坚定不移办好 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to OUTPERFORM [2][3][10] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth, with a 2024 operating income of Rmb 4.04 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.17%, and a net profit of Rmb 779 million, up 178.4% year-on-year [4][7] - The refrigerant prices are on an upward trend, significantly improving the company's profitability, with a gross margin of 29.79% in 2024, increasing to 46.70% in Q1 2025 [8][9] - The demand for three generations of refrigerants is expected to continue rising, benefiting the company due to its substantial production quotas [9][10] Financial Performance - The company's revenue projections for 2025-2027 are Rmb 5.95 billion, Rmb 6.47 billion, and Rmb 7.05 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of Rmb 2.01 billion, Rmb 2.42 billion, and Rmb 2.87 billion [3][10] - The diluted EPS is expected to rise from Rmb 3.30 in 2025 to Rmb 4.70 in 2027, reflecting strong earnings growth [10] Market Position - The company holds a significant market position with a production quota of 15.4% for three generations of refrigerants, positioning it to fully benefit from the ongoing market trends [9][10]

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 May 2025 香港策略 Hong Kong Strategy 把握 5 月回调窗口，重点布局互联网和 AI 应用 Capitalizing on the May Dip: Internet & AI Application Focus 周林泓 Amber Zhou 李加惠 Jiahui Li, CFA amber.lh.zhou@htisec.com jh.li@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 上周，市场似乎淡化了关税影响，转而聚焦于美股科技股积极的业绩展望，这主要得益于微软和Meta持续增加其 2026财年的资本支出。受此提振，纳斯达克指数涨3.4%，带动恒生指数涨2.4%；相比之下，由于仅交易了前三天， 上证综指下跌0.5%，而创业板指则维持在平盘。我们一直认为，贸易战整体风险相对可控，其主要支撑在于新技术 所创造的需求有望缓解不断累积的债务压力。 ...