Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Outperform" for WEILONG Delicious Global Holdings, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark [20]. Core Insights - WEILONG Delicious reported a revenue of RMB 3.48 billion for the first half of 2025, reflecting an 18.5% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of RMB 0.74 billion, also up 18.5% year-on-year, maintaining a net profit margin of 21.1% [1][7]. - The vegetable products segment showed remarkable growth, with a 44% year-on-year increase in revenue, driven by innovative product offerings and a strong focus on consumer demand [2][9]. - The offline channel structure has been optimized, with a 66% year-on-year increase in the number of stores, and East China remains a key revenue-generating region [3][10]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from seasoned flour products, vegetable products, and bean-based products was RMB 1.31 billion, RMB 2.11 billion, and RMB 0.06 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3.2%, +44.3%, and -48.1% [2][8]. - The contribution of vegetable products to total revenue increased to 60.5%, while seasoned flour products accounted for 37.6% [2][8]. Profitability Analysis - The gross profit reached RMB 1.64 billion, a 12.3% increase year-on-year, but the gross profit margin decreased to 47.2%, down 2.6 percentage points due to rising raw material costs [4][11]. - Despite the decline in gross profit margin, the company managed to stabilize its net profit margin at 21.1% through effective cost management, with administrative expenses decreasing by 17.0% [4][12]. Dividend Policy - The company declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.18 per share, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 60% [5][13].

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The central bank has adopted a more positive tone regarding the domestic economy, indicating that major economic indicators are performing well and that positive factors for prices are increasing[6] - External environment remains volatile with weakened global economic growth and increased trade barriers, leading to a differentiated performance among major economies[6] Group 2: Policy Continuity - The policy framework emphasizes continuity and predictability, focusing on "stability in employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations" to support the capital market[7] - The central bank's commitment to maintaining a loose monetary policy continues to safeguard the real economy and capital markets, enhancing social expectations amidst uncertainties[7] Group 3: Credit Structure Optimization - The focus is on implementing existing policies and optimizing the credit structure, with a shift from emphasizing credit scale growth to maintaining reasonable growth in financial totals[8] - The proportion of loans in the "Five Major Articles" areas has increased to approximately 70%, indicating a better alignment of financial structure with high-quality economic development[8] Group 4: Interest Rate and Regulation - Interest rate policies emphasize execution and regulation, aiming to lower social financing costs effectively[11] - The report indicates a more relaxed stance on exchange rates, suggesting stability at a reasonable level, with monetary policy execution being "dominated by domestic considerations"[11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Chongqing Brewery with a target price of RMB 61.00, based on a current price of RMB 55.26 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 8.839 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.24% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 865 million, down 4.03% year-on-year [3][11]. - The company demonstrated strong operational resilience despite facing pressure in Q2, where revenue was RMB 4.484 billion, down 1.84% year-on-year, and net profit was RMB 392 million, down 12.70% year-on-year [3][11]. - Regional performance varied, with the Northwest region showing growth, while the Southern region faced significant pressure [3][11]. Revenue and Profitability - Total sales volume in H1 reached 1.8008 million kiloliters, up 0.95% year-on-year, outperforming the industry average [4][12]. - The average ton price for H1 was RMB 4,779, down 1.14% year-on-year, with high-end products showing slight revenue growth [4][12]. - Gross margin improved to 49.83% in H1, up 0.61 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower tonnage costs [5][13]. Cost Management and Tax Impact - Cost optimization efforts led to a gross margin increase, but a significant rise in the corporate income tax rate from 20% to 27.2% negatively impacted net profit [5][13]. - The net profit margin for H1 was 9.8%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 showing a further decline to 8.7% [5][13]. Investment Recommendations and Forecasts - The report suggests that despite short-term challenges, the company's fundamentals are expected to stabilize, with a high dividend payout ratio and steady expansion of the dealer network [6][14]. - EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are projected at RMB 2.42, RMB 2.56, and RMB 2.74, respectively, with a 25x PE multiple applied for 2025 [6][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Gree Electric, Haier Smart Home, Anta Sports, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - The cosmetics market in China reached a size of 496.267 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.6%. Online sales accounted for 53.97% of total sales, growing by 11.1%, while offline sales decreased by 4.1% [8][39]. - The Korean beauty market is experiencing significant changes, with at least seven brands or companies reported to be sold or seeking sale in 2025, with valuations reaching hundreds of millions [30][39]. - Kenvue has faced a decline in net sales for five consecutive quarters, indicating challenges within the company [11][39]. - The report highlights a trend of executive changes in major beauty companies, including Procter & Gamble and Coty, which may impact their strategic direction [21][22][39]. Summary by Sections Beauty News Highlights - The top three brands in GMV for cosmetics on Douyin from January to July 2025 were Hansu, Pechoin, and L'Oréal [9][39]. - Kenvue's net sales for Q2 2025 were reported at 27.578 billion yuan, a decline of 4% year-on-year, while its net profit saw a significant increase of 624.5% [16][39]. - The Body Shop appointed a new Chief Business and Brand Officer, Alia Sirina Hawa, to drive global business recovery [11][39]. Market Dynamics and Trends - The offline channel is undergoing a revival, becoming a key area for industry development [27][39]. - The report notes a rise in counterfeit cases within the beauty industry, with significant actions taken by law enforcement to combat this issue [33][39]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new retail channels and the ongoing transformation in consumer behavior within the beauty market [29][39].

Group 1: Beauty Sector Insights - Mao Ge Ping's department store same-store sales growth exceeds 10% YoY, while shopping plaza stores show over 20% growth[2] - Average customer spending in department stores is around 600-900 yuan, higher than 300-600 yuan in shopping centers, reflecting different customer demographics[2] - Mao Ge Ping expects over 20% sales growth for the full year of 2025[2] Group 2: Skincare and Product Focus - Mao Ge Ping's product mix consists of approximately 50% makeup, 45% skincare, and 5% perfume, with a strong reliance on star products in skincare[3] - The skincare segment still heavily depends on caviar star products, which account for over half of skincare sales[3] Group 3: Jewelry Market Trends - From January to July 2025, sales of Chow Tai Fook, Chow Sang Sang, and Zhou Liu Fu declined by 10%-20% YoY, while CHJ Jewellery increased by 40% YoY[4] - CHJ Jewellery's growth is attributed to lower gold prices and fixed-price products that attract consumers[4] Group 4: Sports Apparel Performance - Adidas and Nike's average customer spending decreased to 800-1500 yuan, while Anta and Li Ning increased to 500-700 yuan[5] - Columbia's sales grew by 10-15% YoY, while The North Face and Jack Wolfskin saw declines of 5-10% YoY[5]

Investment Ratings - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies including Pop Mart, Anta Sports, Haidilao, and others, while Budweiser Asia is rated "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights strong performance in the F&B sector, particularly noting Nayuki's tea with a weekly increase of 12.8% and Dun'an Environment in the home appliance sector with an 8.9% increase [3][6]. - The report discusses the impact of recent labor dispute judicial interpretations on the F&B sector, indicating potential regulatory changes that could affect operations [2]. Summary by Sections F&B Sector - Nayuki's tea saw a significant weekly increase of 12.8%, while Guming experienced a decline of 9.1% [3][5]. - Xiaocaiyuan reported a revenue of 2.71 billion yuan for 1H25, a year-on-year growth of 6.5%, with a gross margin of 70.5% [2]. Designer Toys Sector - Pop Mart and Miniso are highlighted as key players, with Pop Mart experiencing a slight decline of 2.4% in stock price [5]. Home Appliances Sector - Retail sales in the home appliance and audio-visual equipment category grew by 30.7% year-on-year in 1H25, driven by a consumption upgrade policy [2]. - Dun'an Environment and other companies in this sector showed positive stock performance, with Dun'an Environment increasing by 8.9% [3][5].

Investment Focus - The market is expected to enter a period of range-bound correction to build momentum for future gains, with Hong Kong equities remaining choppy since July 25, while A-shares have risen due to accelerated inflows from retail and leveraged funds, particularly in the GEM Index [1][7] - Financial data indicates a shift of funds from bank wealth management products into A-shares, with margin financing balances increasing by RMB 45.7 billion in the first four trading days of the week and cumulative inflows reaching RMB 170 billion over the past month, accounting for 10.5% of total A-share turnover, the highest since 2016 [2][8] - In Hong Kong, the lack of foreign inflows has resulted in weaker performance compared to A-shares, with offshore investors remaining cautious due to the need for improvement in China's economic fundamentals and the strong earnings of U.S. tech giants reducing the relative appeal of Hong Kong stocks [3][9] Market Dynamics - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong and the communications sector in A-shares have led recent rallies, with the healthcare sector doubling since its January 2025 low and the communications sector gaining over 40%, including a doubling of CPO names since April [4][12] - The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is anticipated to bring caution to U.S. equities, which have been the main leaders of the recent rally, while escalating tariffs on steel and semiconductors add external uncertainty [4][12] - Domestic macro and credit data continue to weaken, necessitating stronger stimulus measures and corporate output cuts to stabilize fundamentals and enhance earnings, which are crucial for sustaining market momentum [4][12]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Baiya Corporation Core Insights - Baiya Corporation's e-commerce business faced significant impacts from public sentiment in Q2 2025, while offline channels showed strong growth. The company's total revenue for H1 2025 reached 1.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%. In Q2 alone, revenue was 770 million yuan, up 0.2% year-on-year. E-commerce revenue for H1 2025 was 592 million yuan, down 9.4% year-on-year, with Q2 e-commerce revenue declining by over 20% year-on-year. Offline channel revenue totaled 1.13 billion yuan, up 39.8% year-on-year, aligning with the company's expectations [2][9][10]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Baiya Corporation achieved H1 2025 revenue of 1.76 billion yuan, a 15.1% increase year-on-year. Q2 revenue was 770 million yuan, reflecting a 0.2% increase year-on-year. E-commerce revenue for H1 was 592 million yuan, down 9.4% year-on-year, with Q2 showing a decline of over 20%. Offline revenue reached 1.13 billion yuan, up 39.8% year-on-year, meeting initial expectations [2][9][10]. Marketing and Profitability - In response to public sentiment, Baiya increased marketing investments in Q2 2025, leading to a profit performance that fell short of expectations. Sales expenses for H1 were 640 million yuan, an 18.8% increase year-on-year, with a sales expense ratio of 36.4%. Marketing expenses were 460 million yuan, up 26.1% year-on-year. The attributable net profit for H1 was 190 million yuan, a 4.6% increase year-on-year, while Q2 net profit was 60 million yuan, down 25.5% year-on-year [3][10]. E-commerce Strategy - The Douyin platform maintained over 50% of Baiya's e-commerce sales. The company anticipates growth from three major platforms: Douyin, Tmall, and Pinduoduo. Despite overall losses in e-commerce for H1, profitability is expected to return in the second half of the year. The e-commerce strategy is shifting from reliance on Douyin to a balanced approach across all three platforms [4][11]. New Product Development - Baiya has not yet launched new products on a large scale but has established a dedicated department for instant retail. New products are currently in the testing phase, with a focus on sanitary napkins. The expected gross margin for new products is not lower than existing products, and the overall gross margin is stable and trending upward [12]. Equity Incentive Plan - In H1 2025, Baiya implemented an equity incentive plan, lifting restrictions on 639,000 shares and increasing share capital to 429.68 million shares. The company plans to continue equity incentives, although specific plans for H2 2025 have not been determined [5][13].

研究报告 Research Report 17 Aug 2025 中国 & 香港 & 美国可选消费 China (A-share) & Hong Kong & US Discretionary 可选消费 W33 周度趋势解析：海外消费表现优异，新消费主题股价稳健回暖 Week 33 Discretionary Trends: Overseas Consumption Performs Well, New Consumption- Themed Stocks Steadily Recover [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | 评级 | | 耐克 | Outperform 德业股份 | | Outperform | | 美的集团 | Outperform 波司登 | | Outperform | | 京东集团 | Outperform 石头科技 | | Outperform | | 格力电器 | Outperform 永辉超市 | | ...

Investment Rating - Maintain OUTPERFORM rating with a target price of HK$27.45 [2][4][12] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue growth of 27% YoY in H1 2025, reaching Rmb150.28 billion, slightly above market expectations, with vehicle sales increasing by 47% YoY to 1.409 million units, resulting in a market share of 10.4% [5][13] - The company aims to narrow the market share gap with the industry leader to less than 4% and ultimately overtake them [5][13] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was reported at 16.4%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points YoY [5][13] - The net cash position stood at Rmb38.91 billion, indicating a strong liquidity position [5][13] Financial Performance - The reported net profit attributable to shareholders was Rmb9.29 billion, down 14% YoY, but core net profit surged 102% YoY to Rmb6.66 billion [5][14] - Selling and administrative expenses (SG&A) saw a significant reduction, with the selling expense ratio at 5.6% and administrative expense ratio at 1.9%, reflecting improved efficiency from brand integration [5][14] - R&D spending decreased by 8.6% YoY to Rmb8.35 billion, with the R&D-to-revenue ratio at 5.6% [5][14] Strategic Developments - The merger with Zeekr is on track, pending shareholder approvals, aiming to streamline operations and enhance efficiency [6][15] - Post-merger, the company will focus on four distinct brands: Geely Auto, Geely Galaxy, Zeekr, and Lynk & Co, with a strategy to accelerate new model launches in H2 2025 [6][15] - The company emphasizes a shift towards fair and high-quality growth in the automotive market, moving away from price wars [6][15] Product Pipeline - Key new launches in H2 2025 include: 1. Galaxy A7, launched in August, targeting the Rmb100k PHEV sedan segment [7][16] 2. Galaxy M9, a flagship PHEV SUV expected in Q3 [7][16] 3. Galaxy Xingyao 6, a compact PHEV sedan launching in Q4 [7][16] 4. Zeekr 9X, set to launch in Q3 as a new tech flagship [7][16]