证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略月报】 AI 与十五五规划——多行业联合人工智能 7 月报 策略研究 策略月报 2025 年 07 月 01 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：姚佩 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120004 证券分析师：耿琛 电话：0755-82755859 邮箱：gengchen@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360517100004 证券分析师：岳阳 邮箱：yueyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360521120002 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 证券分析师：刘欣 电话：010-63214660 邮箱：liuxin3@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360521010001 证券分析师：欧子兴 邮箱：ouzixing@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080007 证券分析师：黄麟 邮箱：huanglin1@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522080001 证券分析师：张程航 电话：021-20572543 邮箱：zhangchengha ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 半导体存储行业深度研究报告 供需双振驱动价格持续上扬，企业级存储国 推荐（维持） 产化加速推进 ❑ 风险提示：存储产品价格波动影响、下游需求不及预期 电子 2025 年 7 月 1 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：耿琛 电话：0755-82755859 邮箱：gengchen@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360517100004 证券分析师：岳阳 邮箱：yueyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360521120002 证券分析师：吴鑫 邮箱：wuxin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523060001 联系人：卢依雯 邮箱：luyiwen@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 481 | 0.06 | | 总市值(亿元) | 90,743.82 | 8.74 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 71,038.13 | 8.72 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 6.6% | 0 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [18]. Core Insights - The "Policy Declaration 2.0" aims to establish Hong Kong as a global innovation center for digital assets, building on the initiatives from the first declaration in October 2022 [2]. - The declaration introduces the "LEAP" framework, focusing on optimizing legal and regulatory frameworks, expanding tokenized product varieties, promoting application scenarios and cross-sector collaboration, and developing talent and partnerships [2][3][4]. - The framework emphasizes the establishment of a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital asset service providers, including trading platforms and custodians, with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission as the main regulatory body [2]. - The declaration encourages the tokenization of a wider range of assets and financial instruments, including government bonds and traditional financial products, to stimulate innovation [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of linking financial tools with the real economy, suggesting that the development of the RWA (Real World Asset) market in Hong Kong is a key focus area [4]. Summary by Sections Legal and Regulatory Optimization - Establish a unified regulatory framework for digital asset service providers, including trading platforms and custodians [2]. - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission will oversee the licensing mechanism for digital asset service providers [2]. Expansion of Tokenized Products - Promote the tokenization of various assets and financial instruments, including government bonds and traditional financial products [2][4]. - Encourage innovative applications through projects like the HKMA's Ensemble project [2]. Application Scenarios and Cross-Sector Collaboration - Support the development of digital asset infrastructure and provide funding for impactful projects through initiatives like the Digital Port's blockchain pilot funding scheme [3]. Talent and Partnership Development - Invest in professional talent development and infrastructure to enhance the financial system's service capabilities abroad [4]. - Address the mismatch between trade and financial status in the context of Chinese enterprises going global [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests tracking the progress of Hong Kong's Web 3.0 development and the entry of significant financial institutions into the digital asset ecosystem [6]. - Recommended stocks include Nanhua Futures, Ruida Futures, Tianfeng Securities, and Guangfa Securities for A-shares, and ZhongAn Online, Lianyi Technology for Hong Kong stocks [6].

证 券 研 究 报 告 风电行业周报（20250623-20250629） 推荐（维持） 周内陆风中标 7.4GW，均价为 1485 元/kW 风机数据跟踪：周内陆风招/中标 0.6/7.4GW 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 东方电缆 | 50.42 | 2.29 | 2.94 | 3.65 | 22.00 | 17.17 | 13.82 | 4.29 | 推荐 | | 中天科技 | 14.09 | 1.04 | 1.17 | 1.29 | 13.55 | 12.05 | 10.95 | 1.26 | 推荐 | | 明阳智能 | 11.33 | 0.71 | 0.94 | 1.16 | 15.94 | 12.07 | 9.77 | 0.99 | 强推 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Buke Co., Ltd. (步科股份) [1] Core Views - Buke Co., Ltd. is actively expanding its "Mobile + Collaboration" market and is a leader in the "frameless" torque motor sector, with significant growth potential in the humanoid robot market [1][6][10] - The company has a comprehensive product line in industrial automation, including human-machine interfaces, programmable logic controllers, servo systems, and low-voltage frequency converters, positioning it as a leading supplier in the automation control and robotics sector [6][14] - The report highlights the company's strong market position in mobile robot servo systems, with a significant increase in sales of its servo wheel products and a robust growth forecast for humanoid robot applications [8][9][10] Financial Summary - Projected total revenue (in million) for 2024A is 547, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.1%, and expected to reach 1,080 by 2027E, with a growth rate of 25.1% [2] - Projected net profit attributable to shareholders (in million) for 2024A is 49, with a year-on-year decline of 19.4%, but expected to rebound to 123 by 2027E, with a growth rate of 19.7% [2] - Earnings per share (in yuan) are projected to increase from 0.58 in 2024A to 1.47 in 2027E [2] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company has a leading market share in the mobile robot low-voltage servo sector, with cumulative shipments exceeding 1.2 million units, serving over 400,000 AGV/AMR units, making it the top player in the mobile robot industry [6][8][45] - The humanoid robot torque motor market is expected to reach 200 million yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 91.7% from 2025 to 2030, indicating substantial growth opportunities [9][66] - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for automation driven by rising labor costs and an aging population, which is expected to boost the industrial automation rate [35][40] Product and Technology Development - Buke Co., Ltd. has developed an integrated servo wheel module that combines a driver, motor, reducer, and wheel, which has seen significant sales growth, with an expected 38,000 units sold in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 118.5% [6][50] - The company has received small batch orders for its frameless torque motors in the humanoid robot sector, indicating a strong foothold in this emerging market [9][67] - The report outlines the company's strategic focus on expanding its product offerings in the humanoid robot market, leveraging its existing technology and market position [10][66]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Strong Buy" rating to the company with a target price of $2.51 [2][8]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a global leader in automotive intelligence solutions, leveraging its strong ties with Geely and expanding its customer base internationally. The report highlights three main investment highlights: deep integration of group and industry resources, outstanding software capabilities adaptable for global markets, and the development of third-party automotive partnerships and overseas growth [7][30][31]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of $5.561 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.3%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach $9.334 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 24.1% [3][32]. - The adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to improve from -$2.11 billion in 2025 to $3.35 billion in 2027, indicating a potential turning point towards profitability [3][9]. - The company reported a total net loss of $932 million in 2024, which is expected to narrow to $172 million by 2027 [3][37]. Business Overview - The company, established in 2017, focuses on providing comprehensive intelligent automotive solutions, including hardware and software systems. It has developed a full-stack automotive computing platform and has expanded its client base beyond Geely to include major global automotive brands [7][14][23]. - The company has successfully integrated its products into over 8.7 million vehicles globally, with a significant increase in shipment volume of 81% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [7][27]. Industry Development - The report notes a deepening penetration of cockpit and intelligent driving domain controllers, with a trend towards integrated cockpit-driving solutions, particularly in mid-range vehicles [11][30]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by intense competition in cockpit domain controllers, while the company has achieved a leading position in intelligent driving domain controllers [11][30]. Investment Highlights - The company has established a competitive barrier through the integration of group resources and the development of a comprehensive "chip-software-vehicle" capability [8][30]. - Its proprietary Cloudpeak cross-domain software platform has been successfully deployed in the Volvo EX30 model, enhancing its international competitiveness [7][30]. - The company is leveraging its Geely customer base to develop partnerships with third-party automakers and expand into overseas markets, with notable success in Australia and New Zealand [7][30][31].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 26.5 CNY per share [1][8]. Core Views - The company is focused on the pet leash market and aims to develop its own brands, which are expected to grow significantly in the future. The company has established strong customer relationships with international retailers such as Petco and Walmart, and has recently launched several domestic brands [6][7]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected revenue growth and a return to profitability after a period of adjustment due to inventory issues. The company is expected to benefit from both domestic and international markets, with a strong emphasis on brand development [6][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Yuanfei Pet, was established in 2004 and has focused on the research, production, and sales of pet products and snacks. It has built a solid customer base, including major international retailers [13]. - The company has undergone three development phases, with a recent focus on domestic brand expansion and product innovation [14]. Financial Analysis - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 1.31 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 32.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 164 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 30.2% [2]. - The company’s revenue is expected to continue growing, with estimates of 1.61 billion CNY in 2025 and 1.82 billion CNY in 2026, alongside a steady increase in net profit [8]. Market Analysis - The overseas market for pet leashes is robust, with increasing demand driven by the perception of pets as family members. The domestic pet food market remains the largest segment, with a strong trend towards health-oriented and functional products [6][56]. - The global pet market is experiencing growth, particularly in the U.S. and Western Europe, where the demand for pet products continues to rise [56]. Competitive Positioning - The company has established a strong foundation in overseas markets, with key partnerships with major retailers. It is also enhancing its production capabilities through new factories in Bangladesh and domestic locations [9][32]. - The company is focusing on developing its own brands, which are expected to gain traction in the market, supported by a strong marketing strategy and product differentiation [9][19]. Profitability Forecast - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability, with net profits projected to reach 242 million CNY by 2027. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.86 CNY in 2024 to 1.27 CNY in 2027 [2][8]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of new brands and the impact of marketing expenditures on profitability [47].

证 券 研 究 报 告 计算机行业重大事项点评 AI+医疗：蚂蚁发布 AQ，AI 健康加速落地 事项： 6月 26日，蚂蚁集团在上海全新发布 AI健康应用 AQ，围绕百姓看病就医刚 需、健康管理痛点，提供健康科普、就诊咨询、报告解读、健康档案等上百项 AI功能，同时还高效连接全国超 5000家医院、近百万名医生以及近200个名 医 AI 分身等专业医疗服务。目前，该 App 已在各大应用商店陆续上线。 评论： AI 健康管家升级，提升终端体验。2024年 9月，支付宝上线"AI健康管家"， 至今已服务超 7千万用户，此次全新推出的独立应用AQ，具备"问答更专业、 服务更全面、健康更懂你"三大特点。同时，基于蚂蚁医疗大模型打造的AQ可 模仿真人医生进行追问，引导用户提供必要病症信息，得出更准确全面的健康 建议。此外，健康档案服务功能，不仅可以记录就医、用药、运动、饮食等信 息，而且也和鱼跃、三诺等健康管理设备公司合作，并打通 VIVO、华为、苹 果等可穿戴设备连接，根据血糖、睡眠、运动等信息提供专属健康建议。 我们认为，此次蚂蚁集团 AI应用全新升级展示了 AI在医疗领域全新应用模 式，将促使更多企业加大在 A ...

❖ 一、景气向上： 宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【每周经济观察】第 26 期 乘用车零售继续上行 1）耐用品消费：乘用车零售增速继续上行。6 月前 22 日，乘用车零售同比为 +24.8%。5 月同比为+13.3%。 2）外需：海外主要经济体制造业 PMI 回升。6 月，海外主要经济体 Markit 制 造业 PMI 初值平均约为 51.1%，5 月为 50.9%。回升的贡献主要来自日本、印 度和英国，美国持平于 5 月。 3）土地溢价率：低位反弹。6 月 22 日当周，百城土地溢价率回升至 7.3%。近 三周平均为 3.2%。5 月为 4.93%。 ❖ 二、景气向下： 1）华创宏观 WEI 指数略有回落。截至 6 月 22 日，指数为 7.63%，较 6 月 15 日的 7.94%下行 0.3%。4 月以来华创宏观周度经济活动指数上行的主要驱动因 素是沥青开工率、乘用车批零和商品房成交面积。 2）服务消费：地铁客运及航班接近去年同期。地铁，6 月前 19 日，27 城地铁 客运日均 7742 万人，同比+0.5%；5 月全月日均客运 7933 万人，同比+1%。 航班，6 月前三周，国内航班执行数为 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the analog chip industry, indicating a positive outlook for growth and investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The analog chip industry is experiencing a recovery in demand, driven by the end of inventory destocking and a resurgence in applications across automotive, industrial automation, and data centers. The market is expected to grow by 6.7% year-on-year in 2025, reaching a size of $84.34 billion [4][6]. - The industry is characterized by high technical barriers and a wide range of applications, with a significant portion of the market still dominated by overseas companies. However, domestic companies are expected to benefit from accelerated localization efforts and mergers and acquisitions [5][6]. - The report highlights the importance of mergers and acquisitions as a key strategy for growth in the analog chip sector, with domestic firms entering a phase of platform integration to enhance competitiveness [6][7]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Overview of the Analog Chip Industry - Analog chips serve as a bridge between the physical and digital worlds, featuring a long product lifecycle and high customization [11]. - The global analog chip market share has remained stable at around 19% of the integrated circuit market, with a projected market size of approximately $81.23 billion in 2023 [11][19]. Section 2: Demand Recovery and Growth Potential - The analog chip market is expected to recover from a downturn, with a projected growth of 6.7% in 2025, driven by structural demand from sectors like automotive and industrial automation [6][39]. - The report identifies key growth drivers, including the increasing penetration of electric vehicles and advancements in AI applications, which are expected to boost demand for high-performance analog chips [6][61]. Section 3: Domestic Replacement and Market Opportunities - The report notes that the domestic market is still largely dominated by foreign companies, but there is significant room for domestic firms to increase their market share through localization and innovation [6][39]. - The domestic analog chip self-sufficiency rate is projected to rise from 9% in 2019 to over 16% by 2024, indicating a positive trend towards local production [6][38]. Section 4: Key Investment Targets - The report suggests focusing on specific companies such as Naxin Microelectronics, Shengbang Co., Si Rui Pu, and Jiehuate, which are well-positioned to benefit from the industry's growth and localization trends [7][39].