Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 16.70 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 14.1% year-on-year to HKD 98.53 billion in 1H25, with a net profit of HKD 2.58 billion, reflecting a 13.9% increase, slightly above expectations [1][5]. - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily driven by an increase in JD Retail revenue, the addition of JD's food delivery business, and strong growth in external customer business [1][2]. - The company has accelerated its international business expansion, launching a self-operated express service in Saudi Arabia and establishing logistics networks in multiple countries [4][5]. Revenue Breakdown - In 1H25, revenue from JD Group increased by 22.9% year-on-year to HKD 32.46 billion, accounting for 32.9% of total revenue, while external customer revenue rose by 10.2% to HKD 66.07 billion, making up 67.1% of total revenue [2]. - The integrated supply chain business generated HKD 50.11 billion in revenue, up 19.9% year-on-year, with external supply chain customer revenue increasing by 14.7% [2]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin for 1H25 were 9.0% and 3.4%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [3]. - The decrease in profit margins is attributed to increased investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel, which are expected to improve profitability in the long term as business volume increases [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly raised by 2.6% to HKD 210.41 billion, HKD 231.95 billion, and HKD 254.25 billion, respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts remain unchanged at HKD 6.90 billion, HKD 8.10 billion, and HKD 9.38 billion for the same period [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of RMB 1156.82 billion in 25H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.67% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.59% [3][4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 17.56 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 60.07% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 469.24% [3][4] - The strong performance in 25H1 is attributed to the growth in both the kitchen food and feed raw materials and oil technology segments, driven by low raw material costs and recovering downstream demand [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 25H1, the kitchen food segment generated revenue of RMB 715.51 billion, up 2.69% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 7.66%, an increase of 0.80 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The feed raw materials and oil technology segment reported revenue of RMB 431.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.81%, with a gross margin of 4.26%, up 3.25 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 793.97% year-on-year [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to the parent company to reach RMB 40.11 billion, RMB 66.77 billion, and RMB 84.11 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding growth rates of 60.30%, 66.47%, and 25.98% [6] - The estimated EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 0.74, RMB 1.23, and RMB 1.55 respectively [6] - The target price is set at RMB 37.00, based on a 50x PE ratio for 2025 [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 269.42 billion in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of RMB 23 billion, up 5.5% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations [1] - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.18 per share, with a payout ratio of 72%, reflecting an 8.4% increase in dividends year-on-year [1] - The report highlights the company's strong growth potential in digitalization and AI-related services, particularly through its Tianyi Cloud business, which is transitioning towards intelligent cloud services [1][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, mobile communication service revenue grew by 1.3% to RMB 106.6 billion, with mobile users reaching 433 million, a net increase of 25 million from the end of 2024 [2] - Fixed-line and smart home revenue increased by 0.2% to RMB 64.1 billion, with fixed broadband users growing to 199 million, a net increase of 9 million [2] Digital Transformation - The company's digitalization revenue rose by 1.5% to RMB 74.85 billion in 1H25, with Tianyi Cloud revenue increasing by 4% to RMB 57.3 billion [3] - AI-related revenue saw a remarkable growth of 89.4%, with the company's self-owned and accessed intelligent computing capacity reaching 77 EFLOPS [3] Capital Expenditure and Profitability - Capital expenditure in 1H25 was RMB 34.2 billion, with a projected decrease of 10.6% to RMB 83.6 billion for the full year [4] - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.2 percentage points to 5.0%, and net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 9.2% [4] Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 34.8 billion, RMB 36.7 billion, and RMB 38.4 billion respectively, with a slight downward adjustment of 2%-4% from previous estimates [5] - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 9.11 based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025, compared to a global average of 1.51x [5][11]

证券研究报告 港股通 网易云音乐 (9899 HK) 盈利超预期，经营杠杆持续释放 2025 年 8 月 15 日│中国香港 互联网 | 华泰研究 | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 8 月 | 15 日│中国香港 | 互联网 | 目标价(港币): | 360.42 | | | | | 夏路路 | 研究员 | SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 +(852) 3658 6000 詹博 研究员 zhanbo@htsc.com SAC No. S0570523110002 SFC No. BUS698 郑裕佳 研究员 SAC No. S0570524070002 SFC No. BTB676 zhengyujia@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 基本数据 | 目标价 (港币) | 360.42 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (港币 截至 8 月 14 日) | 270.20 | | 市值 (港币百万) | 58,849 | | 6 个月 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 22.09 billion for 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 43.48 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared was HKD 18.39 billion, representing 42.3% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a corresponding DPS of HKD 0.73 [1][2][4]. - The company is expected to see an increase in profit due to the anticipated adjustment in return rates for several assets in 2025/26, which will enhance earnings stability [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The UK business contributed a profit of HKD 22.23 billion in 1H25, up 19.2% year-on-year, driven by the robust operation of regulated assets and a strong GBP exchange rate. The contribution from the Australian business was HKD 7.93 billion, down 8.2% year-on-year, primarily due to contract expirations and declining market electricity prices. The Canadian business reported a profit of HKD 2.75 billion, down 8.6% year-on-year, due to reduced generation and pricing at gas plants [2][4]. Regulatory Environment - Several regulated assets that entered the previous regulatory period during the low-interest rate environment of 2020/21 are expected to enter a new regulatory period in 2025/26, which is anticipated to lead to an increase in allowed return rates, supporting future earnings growth [3][4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of HKD 81.2 billion, HKD 87.9 billion, and HKD 92.9 billion respectively. The corresponding EPS for 2025 is projected at HKD 3.22. The target price is set at HKD 64.62, based on a price-to-book ratio of 1.32x for 2025 [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][22]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 reached 356.7 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.4%, exceeding both consensus expectations and previous forecasts [1][11]. - Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was 7.4 billion RMB, a decline of 48.9% year-on-year, but still better than expected [1][11]. - The retail segment's operational profit exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to the overall performance [1][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The total revenue for JD's retail segment in Q2 2025 was 310.1 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2][21]. - The operating profit for the retail segment was 13.9 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.9% [2][11]. - The number of active buyers in the retail segment grew by over 40% year-on-year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2][21]. Business Development and Strategy - The report highlights the rapid development of JD's food delivery business, with peak daily orders exceeding 25 million during Q2 2025 [3][21]. - Management aims to enhance the synergy between the food delivery and retail businesses, focusing on improving core system capabilities and optimizing order algorithms [3][21]. - The company is expected to enter an efficiency optimization phase for its delivery business starting Q3 2025, influenced by the overall growth in order volume [1][3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The report revises the non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 25.7%, 9.8%, and 7.1% to 278 billion RMB, 455 billion RMB, and 590 billion RMB respectively [4][19]. - The target price based on SOTP valuation is set at 46.35 USD per ADS and 181.94 HKD per ordinary share, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [4][22]. - The company is currently trading at adjusted PE ratios of 13.3x, 8.1x, and 6.3x for 2025-2027 [4][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase (NTES US) with a target price of $153.19, reflecting a 17.9x PE for the year 2025 [7][27]. Core Insights - NetEase's total revenue for Q2 2025 increased by 9% year-on-year to 27.9 billion RMB, slightly below consensus expectations by 1% [1][2]. - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 22% year-on-year to 9.53 billion RMB, aligning with consensus expectations [1][2]. - The gaming segment's revenue showed a 15% year-on-year increase to 22.1 billion RMB, although it was slightly below expectations [2][3]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new games, including "Destiny: Stars" and "Diablo II" remastered, which are expected to drive future growth [1][4][13]. Revenue and Profitability - Q2 gaming and value-added services revenue rose by 14% year-on-year to 22.8 billion RMB, with gaming revenue specifically increasing by 15% [2][3]. - Deferred revenue for Q2 exceeded expectations, decreasing by 4% quarter-on-quarter to 17 billion RMB [2]. - The gross margin for gaming and value-added services improved by 1.4 percentage points to 70.2% [2][12]. Game Development and Market Position - The company launched nine new games in May 2025, with significant titles in the pipeline, including "Destiny: Stars" and "Diablo II" remastered [3][4][13]. - The online peak for "Fantasy Westward Journey" reached 2.93 million users, marking a historical high [3]. - The mobile gaming segment is expected to see a recovery due to a low base in the second half of the year, with anticipated growth driven by summer activities and new releases [4][23]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards, with total revenue expected to be 115.5 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 0.9% decrease [6][23]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised to 38.9 billion RMB, 43 billion RMB, and 48 billion RMB respectively [6][23]. - The adjusted operating profit margin is projected to be 35.8% for Q2 2025, indicating a healthy profitability outlook [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.79 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 600 million RMB, up 71.0% year-on-year, driven by the increased proportion of medium and high-power inverter products and rapid growth in energy storage revenue [3][5]. - The company is positioned in the first tier of inverters, with strong product capabilities, and is expected to benefit from the recovery in energy storage demand, which has exceeded previous expectations [7][9]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.276 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 407 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 109.3% [4]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 38.06%, up 6.00 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the increased proportion of high-margin customers and products [4]. Product Performance - In the first half of 2025, inverter revenue was 2.613 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16.6%. The sales volume was 466,200 units, down 7.0% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.38%, up 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - Energy storage inverters saw a significant revenue increase of 313.5% year-on-year, reaching 570 million RMB, with a gross margin of 30.3% [5]. Future Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts upward, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.251 billion RMB, 1.369 billion RMB, and 1.592 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting increases of 80.95%, 9.45%, and 16.32% [7][12]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 75.36 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 24 times for 2025 [7][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 5.16 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 53% year-on-year to RMB 38.2 billion in H1 2025, but net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 86% to RMB 1.7 billion due to low profit margins on delivered projects and inventory impairment provisions [1][2]. - The company is actively promoting the liquidation of idle assets and optimizing inventory structure, which may impact land acquisition and sales performance [1][3]. - The company has successfully obtained approval for the issuance of convertible bonds, which is expected to enhance liquidity and optimize asset structure [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 38.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 53%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 86% to RMB 1.7 billion [1][2]. - The gross profit margin declined by 2.6 percentage points to 14.2%, and investment income turned negative at RMB -1.4 billion [2]. Sales and Asset Management - The company focused on sales liquidation, achieving a total sales amount of RMB 50.2 billion, which is an 11% increase year-on-year, outperforming the top 100 real estate companies [3]. - The company is expected to continue prioritizing inventory reduction and structural adjustment, with cautious land acquisition strategies [3]. Financing and Capital Structure - The company issued RMB 2.85 billion in domestic bonds at historically low interest rates, and it has received approval for a RMB 4.8 billion convertible bond issuance [4]. - The average financing cost in H1 2025 decreased by 46 basis points to 4.76% compared to 2024 [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is RMB 0.30, RMB 0.42, and RMB 0.52 respectively, with a book value per share (BPS) of RMB 7.37 for 2025 [5][10]. - The company is valued at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7, corresponding to the target price of RMB 5.16 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million RMB, a decrease of 26.6% year-on-year. The profit pressure is attributed to the adjustment in the revenue structure of submarine cables and the sale of land use rights in the same period last year. However, with key offshore wind projects like Fanshi No. 1 and Qingzhou No. 5 starting turbine hoisting, the company is expected to see a gradual increase in submarine cable deliveries in H2 2025 [1][2][3] - The company has a robust order backlog, reaching approximately 19.6 billion RMB as of August 12, 2025, with significant contributions from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, marine equipment, and engineering operations. The company is expected to enter a peak delivery season in the second half of the year, which will drive profit recovery [3][4] - The domestic and international offshore wind markets are experiencing high demand, with many projects yet to be tendered. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend due to its leading technology and delivery experience [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.29 billion RMB, a decrease of 17.1% year-on-year and an increase of 6.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 190 million RMB, down 49.6% year-on-year and down 31.6% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 16.3%, a decrease of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year and 4.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The revenue from submarine cables and high-voltage cables was 760 million RMB, down 46.9% year-on-year and 36.4% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from marine equipment and engineering operations was 210 million RMB, up 48.4% year-on-year and 223.1% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from power engineering and cable equipment was 1.31 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year and 48.1% quarter-on-quarter [2] Order Backlog and Future Outlook - The company’s order backlog reached a new high of approximately 19.6 billion RMB, with 11 billion RMB from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 3.6 billion RMB from marine equipment and engineering operations, and 5 billion RMB from power engineering and cable equipment. The backlog reflects a decrease of 4% for submarine cables and high-voltage cables but increases of 20% and 14% for marine equipment and power engineering, respectively [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming tendering of offshore wind projects in China and supportive policies in Europe, which will likely drive high growth in submarine cable orders [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains the profit forecast for the company, expecting EPS of 2.81, 3.24, and 3.41 RMB for 2025-2027. The target price is set at 56.20 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025, reflecting the company's strong market position and order backlog [5][7]