Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company has solidified its leading position in the industry post-merger and is expected to see a rebound in ROE levels [5] - The merger with Haitong Securities has strengthened the company's client base and operational efficiency, aligning with the trend of industry consolidation [5] - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, with revenue of 239 billion and net profit of 157 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 78% and 214% respectively [5] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 revenue and net profit reached 239 billion and 157 billion respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 78% and 214% [5] - The annualized weighted ROE for H1 2025 was 12.5%, with a non-recurring annualized ROE of 5.7% [5] - The company expects net profit for 2025-2027 to be 247 billion, 218 billion, and 259 billion respectively, with a projected year-on-year growth of 89%, -12%, and +19% [5] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 15.0, 17.0, and 14.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Business Segment Performance - Brokerage business net income for H1 2025 was 57 billion, up 86% year-on-year, driven by the merger and market recovery [6] - Investment banking net income reached 14 billion, a 19% increase year-on-year, with the company ranking first in IPO underwriting [6] - Asset management net income was 26 billion, reflecting a 34% year-on-year growth, with total assets under management reaching 705.2 billion [6] Investment Strategy and Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the regulatory trend favoring capital concentration and operational efficiency in the securities industry [5] - The merger is expected to enhance the company's service capabilities and client base, leading to improved operational management [5] - The company maintains a strong market presence with a 10% market share in margin financing [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company is expected to experience short-term performance recovery and long-term growth in its OEM share, despite facing temporary pressure on its Q2 2025 performance due to tariff disruptions [5][6] - The overseas production capacity is ramping up faster than peers, which is anticipated to support revenue recovery in the coming quarters [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue was 1.32 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 21.3%, while Q2 2025 revenue was 1.067 billion yuan, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of 2.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 81 million yuan, down 5.0% year-on-year, and for Q2 2025, it was 30 million yuan, down 75.6% year-on-year [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting net profits of 357 million, 454 million, and 551 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.96, 1.22, and 1.48 yuan [5][8] Business Segment Performance - In H1 2025, the revenue from the home appliance OEM business was 1.74 billion yuan, up 6.0% year-on-year, while the automotive parts revenue was 280 million yuan, up 90% year-on-year [6] - The home appliance OEM business faced challenges due to tariffs, particularly affecting orders from TTI and HOT, while SharkNinja maintained growth due to earlier capacity transfers [6] Margin Analysis - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.8%, and for Q2 2025, it dropped to 12.3%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.6 and 5.6 percentage points respectively [7] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 8.1%, decreasing by 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q2 2025, it fell to 2.8%, down 9.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 18.3, 14.4, and 11.9 respectively [5][8] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 8.515 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of the same amount [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 130 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.04%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 30.53 million yuan, up 35.87% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 28.39 million yuan, an increase of 50.83% [3] - The growth in revenue is driven by the sales of ultrasonic water meters and energy management projects, with ultrasonic water meter revenue reaching 55.56 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 84.14%, and energy management revenue at 13.05 million yuan, up 74.19% [3] - The gross margin remained stable at 48.23%, compared to 49.14% in H1 2024, while selling expenses decreased by 375,000 yuan to 12.38 million yuan [3] - The company is increasing its investment in the construction of an intelligent production line for IoT ultrasonic instruments, with 54.51% of the funds for the "IoT Intelligent Ultrasonic Meter Industrialization Project" utilized by H1 2025, expected to be operational by June 30, 2026 [3] - The company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 88 million yuan (previously 71 million yuan), 101 million yuan (previously 85 million yuan), and 104 million yuan for 2027, respectively [3] Industry Overview - The penetration rate of smart water meters in China is expected to reach 60% by 2025, indicating significant growth potential for the company [4] - The government is promoting infrastructure investments in urban and rural water supply systems, which will further drive demand for smart water meters [4] - The heating industry is also undergoing reforms, with the government accelerating the implementation of heating metering and pricing reforms, which will benefit the company's energy management projects [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The demand for AI is strong, coupled with improvements in supply chain output, leading to a positive long-term investment outlook for the company [8] - The company has entered a smoother ramp-up period for its GB300 series, and its networking business has exceeded market expectations, indicating a strengthening ecosystem around its chip business [8] - The forecast for GAAP net profit for FY2027-2028 has been adjusted upwards to $146.65 billion and $170.73 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 36.9% and 16.4% respectively [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for FY2026 is projected at $204.62 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 56.8% [11] - Net profit for FY2026 is estimated at $107.13 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 47.0% [11] - The non-GAAP gross margin for Q2 was 72.4%, slightly above Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 72.1% [9] - The company’s P/E ratios for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are projected at 39.4, 28.4, and 24.4 respectively [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is a leader in the domestic CAX industrial software sector and is expected to benefit from domestic substitution opportunities and overseas expansion, maintaining a "Buy" rating [5] - The company has accelerated revenue growth in Q2, with overseas revenue showing significant performance, indicating a potential to become a world-class industrial software enterprise [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 334 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.24%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was -52 million yuan, a decline of 976.90% [6] - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 208 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 10.59%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -4 million yuan, a decrease of 114.04% [6] - The company’s overseas market revenue growth accelerated to 42.21% in the first half of 2025, with several markets, including Japan, Thailand, Italy, Spain, Turkey, and the UAE, experiencing growth rates exceeding 50% [7] Earnings Forecast - The revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 74 million yuan, 100 million yuan, and 125 million yuan respectively, with EPS projected at 0.44 yuan, 0.59 yuan, and 0.74 yuan [5] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 177.6, 131.2, and 105.2 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Stock Incentive Plan - The company announced a restricted stock incentive plan in August 2025, proposing to grant 510,000 shares at a price of 34.00 yuan per share, covering 231 employees, which is about 11.83% of the total workforce [8]

北交所信息更新 青矩技术（836208.BJ） 国家战略工程核心服务商，订单饱满+AI 工程审计驱动成长 2025 年二季度末订单余额 29.32 亿元 青矩技术 2025H1 实现营收 3.51 亿元、扣非归母净利润 6368.58 万元，分别同比 增长 2.39%、6.71%。销售收现 3.19 亿元，同比增长 2.92%。同时，公司上半年 新签业务合同 6.58 亿元，同比增长 29.50%，期末在手订单余额达到 29.32 亿元。 由于固定投资增速放缓及公司并购、新设子公司等业务增加管理费用，我们下调 2025-2027 年盈利预测，预计归母净利润分别为 2.32/2.62/3.00（原 2.58/3.02/3.50） 亿元，当前股价对应 PE 分别为 17.0/15.0/13.1 倍，看好雅江工程、新藏铁路等国 家战略工程对基建投资等领域带来的辐射效应，以及公司积极拥抱人工智能发 展，维持"买入"评级。 紧盯投资热点领域，深度服务国家战略 公司广泛服务于民建、能源、工业、交通、国防、通信、市政、水利以及新型基 础设施建设、战略新兴产业投资、城市更新等众多工程建设领域。2025H1 全国 固定资产投资 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance, but it is making strategic breakthroughs in industrial AI and robotics, which are expected to open long-term growth opportunities [1][4] - The company is a leader in process industrial intelligent manufacturing and is expected to benefit from equipment upgrade policies and overseas expansion opportunities [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.92%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 354 million yuan, down 31.46% year-on-year [5] - The company’s exchange loss was 13.40 million yuan, compared to a gain of 3.01 million yuan in the first half of 2024 [5] - After excluding the impact of exchange losses, the adjusted net profit was 294 million yuan, a decline of 25.82% year-on-year [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revised profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 1.12 billion, 1.29 billion, and 1.55 billion yuan respectively, with EPS projected at 1.41, 1.63, and 1.96 yuan per share [4][8] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 36.8, 31.9, and 26.5 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8] Market Opportunities - The demand for process industrial equipment is continuously increasing, with significant growth in the energy, building materials, and paper industries, showing year-on-year increases of 9.32%, 82.58%, and 77.56% respectively [6] - The company is expanding its international strategy, achieving significant breakthroughs in regions such as Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Central Asia, with notable progress in certification for core products in Saudi Arabia [6] Industrial AI and Robotics Development - The TPT software has entered a phase of large-scale application, generating revenue of 117 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with over 110 successful projects implemented in various industries [7] - The robotics business is also growing rapidly, with revenue of 110 million yuan in the first half of 2025 and new orders totaling 200 million yuan, surpassing the entire performance of 2024 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.881 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.30%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 36 million yuan, up by 49.83%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 32 million yuan, an increase of 24.63% [5] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.503 billion yuan, a growth of 5.18%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.36% to 11 million yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 47.55% to 8 million yuan [5] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.30%, down by 1.56 percentage points, while the net margin increased by 0.29 percentage points to 0.63% [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and added a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 55 million, 67 million, and 77 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Financial Performance - As of H1 2025, the company operated 9,042 stores, with 5,072 being direct-operated stores. The majority of direct-operated stores (84.62%) are located in Shandong province [6] - The online business has been optimized, with O2O direct sales reaching 455 million yuan, an increase of 11.0%, and B2C sales amounting to 220 million yuan [7] - The company is focusing on building a DTP patient management platform to enhance patient compliance and satisfaction, with over 120 specialty pharmacies for critical diseases and more than 400 adjacent pharmacies [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s total market capitalization is 4.905 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 2.945 billion yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.14, 0.17, and 0.19 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 89.2, 73.3, and 64.1 [5][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5][14]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, indicating stable performance. The operational services are expected to be a long-term support for performance [5]. - Due to a decrease in property sales, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 1.11 billion, 1.28 billion, and 1.37 billion yuan respectively [5]. - The company is positioned as a key player in the development of the Lingang New Area, with steady progress in park operations and efficient investment operations [5]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 2.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.13%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 331 million yuan, an increase of 8.42% year-on-year [6]. - The decline in revenue was primarily due to a 12.8% drop in property sales revenue, while profit growth was attributed to a turnaround in fair value changes and a reduction in minority shareholder losses [6]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin were 56.02% and 17.56%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.23 percentage points and +0.69 percentage points [6]. Park Operations and Growth - The company reported sales of 2.17 billion yuan and a sales area of 92,000 square meters in the first half of 2025, with new land reserves of 30,500 square meters [7]. - The total leased area of the company’s park properties reached 2.8662 million square meters, generating rental income of 1.47 billion yuan, while park operation service-related income was 220 million yuan [7]. - The revenue scale of the company’s subordinate park enterprises grew by approximately 9.05% year-on-year, with total fixed asset investments reaching 6.794 billion yuan [7].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: "All Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: This model aggregates all broker-recommended stocks ("golden stocks") and evaluates their performance as a portfolio[18][21] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Collect all broker-recommended stocks for the month 2. Weight the stocks within the portfolio based on the number of recommendations by brokers 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks to focus solely on A-shares[18] - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates strong performance, significantly outperforming benchmark indices such as CSI 300 and CSI 500[18][21] 2. Model Name: "Newly Added Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on stocks newly added to the broker-recommended list, as they tend to exhibit better performance compared to repeated recommendations[18][23] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Identify stocks newly added to the broker-recommended list for the month 2. Construct a portfolio weighted by the number of broker recommendations 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks[18] - **Model Evaluation**: Newly added stocks outperform repeated recommendations, showcasing their superior return potential[18][23] 3. Model Name: "Repeated Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Focuses on stocks that have been repeatedly recommended by brokers across multiple months[18] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Identify stocks that were recommended in the previous month and continue to be recommended in the current month 2. Construct a portfolio weighted by the number of broker recommendations 3. Exclude non-A-share stocks and Hong Kong-listed stocks[18] - **Model Evaluation**: While the performance is positive, it is generally weaker compared to newly added stocks[18] 4. Model Name: "Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio" - **Model Construction Idea**: Selects the top 30 newly added stocks with the highest earnings surprise factor (SUE factor) to construct an optimized portfolio[23] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Filter newly added stocks based on their earnings surprise factor (SUE factor) 2. Select the top 30 stocks with the highest SUE factor 3. Weight the portfolio based on the number of broker recommendations[23] - **Model Evaluation**: This optimized portfolio demonstrates superior performance compared to the "All Stocks Portfolio" and benchmark indices[23][25] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. All Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 13.6%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 33.5%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 13.7%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.6%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.58[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 42.6%[21] 2. Newly Added Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 11.8%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 37.9%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 16.5%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 24.3%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.68[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 38.5%[21] 3. Repeated Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 15.6%[21] - **2025 YTD Return**: 30.2%[21] - **Annualized Return**: 11.3%[21] - **Annualized Volatility**: 23.7%[21] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.48[21] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 45.0%[21] 4. Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio - **August Return**: 19.6%[25] - **2025 YTD Return**: 37.6%[25] - **Annualized Return**: 22.3%[25] - **Annualized Volatility**: 25.5%[25] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.88[25] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 24.6%[25] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Earnings Surprise Factor (SUE Factor) - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the degree to which a company's earnings exceed or fall short of market expectations, serving as a key indicator for stock selection[23] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between reported earnings and consensus estimates 2. Normalize the earnings surprise to account for variations across stocks and industries 3. Rank stocks based on their normalized earnings surprise values[23] - **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor demonstrates strong predictive power, particularly in identifying high-performing newly added stocks[23] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. SUE Factor - **Performance**: The SUE factor is highly effective in selecting top-performing stocks within the newly added category, contributing to the superior returns of the Optimized Golden Stocks Portfolio[23]