Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The refrigerant market remains on an upward trend despite short-term information disturbances, indicating that the main upward movement is still ongoing, and investors should seize the layout opportunities [4][18] - The fluorochemical industry chain has entered a long-term prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across various segments, including raw materials like fluorite, refrigerants, and high-end fluorinated materials [22][23] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Market Overview - The fluorochemical index increased by 6.59% during the week of October 27 to October 31, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 6.47% [6][25] - The average market price for fluorite (97% wet powder) was 3,496 CNY/ton as of October 31, down 2.18% from the previous week [7][34] 2. Refrigerant Market - As of October 31, the prices for various refrigerants were as follows: R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 45,500 CNY/ton, R134a at 54,000 CNY/ton, R410a at 53,500 CNY/ton, and R22 at 16,000 CNY/ton, with most prices remaining stable compared to the previous week [8][20] - The market for R32 and R134a shows a strong upward trend, while R125 is expected to remain stable in the short term [21] 3. Company Performance - Major companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Dongyangguang reported significant profit growth in Q3 2025, with Juhua achieving a net profit of 3.248 billion CNY, up 160.22% year-on-year [9][10] - Recommended stocks include Jinsih Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, among others [10][23] 4. Market Dynamics - The fluorite market is currently experiencing a cautious atmosphere with low transaction volumes, as companies focus on digesting existing inventory [19][35] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by high inventory levels and strong performance in the sulfuric acid market, which adds pressure to fluorine chemical companies [19][35]

Group 1 - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a recovery, with lithium hexafluorophosphate prices rebounding first, indicating a potential price increase cycle [1][10][15] - Since mid-September 2025, the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has risen from 56,800 CNY/ton to 68,800 CNY/ton, an increase of 21.13% [1][13][15] - The price increase is driven by expanding demand from the new energy and energy storage sectors, along with supply constraints and raw material price fluctuations [1][15][17] Group 2 - The North Exchange chemical new materials sector saw a weekly increase of 5.23%, with all sub-industries showing positive performance [3][26][31] - The battery materials sub-industry led the gains with a rise of 16.04% [3][31] - Notable individual stock performances included Better Energy (+22.64%), Jinhua New Materials (+19.78%), and Hechang Polymer (+17.28%) [3][32][34] Group 3 - Better Energy, a key supplier of lithium-ion battery materials, reported a revenue of 12.384 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2][21] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Better Energy was 768 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.37% [2][21] - Andar Technology, focused on lithium iron phosphate battery materials, saw a revenue increase of 109.02% to 2.273 billion CNY in the same period, although it continued to report losses [2][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huabei Mining (600985.SH) is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in both coal volume and price, leading to a significant drop in revenue and profit [4][5] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on the growth potential of coal mines despite current challenges [4] - Future growth is anticipated as ongoing projects are steadily advancing, with expectations for production capacity to be released in the coming years [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 319.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 43.78% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.70 billion yuan, down 74.14% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 10.01 billion yuan, a decline of 75.48% [4] - In Q3 alone, total revenue was 112.43 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.50%, but net profit dropped to 0.39 billion yuan, a decrease of 88.61% quarter-on-quarter [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 24.11 billion yuan, 30.7 billion yuan, and 38.4 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -50.3%, +27.4%, and +24.8% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.90 yuan, 1.14 yuan, and 1.42 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.8, 11.6, and 9.3 times [4][8] Business Segment Analysis - The coal business has been significantly impacted by a decrease in both production and prices, leading to reduced sales revenue [5] - The coal chemical and trading segments also contributed to the decline in performance, with lower coke prices and a contraction in trading activities [6] Project Development and Capacity Expansion - The company is actively accelerating project construction, with the Tohutu coal mine expected to be completed by the end of 2025 and operational in 2026 [7] - Seven new mines with a total capacity of 16.4 million tons per year are set to be operational in 2025, alongside successful resource storage of 23.47 million tons [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight year-on-year revenue increase of 0.6% for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 674 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.7% to 85 million yuan [4] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 242 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.3%, but the net profit dropped by 31.1% year-on-year and 23.0% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company is facing short-term profit pressure due to geopolitical uncertainties affecting high-margin overseas business, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] - The company is actively expanding into emerging sectors such as robotics, drones, and air suspension, which are expected to improve profitability in the long term [6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 1.083 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.2%, and a net profit of 133 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17.6% [7] - The gross margin is expected to be 26.7% in 2025, down from 29.8% in 2023, while the net margin is projected to be 12.3% [7] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for 2025 is estimated at 34.2 times, decreasing to 19.3 times by 2027 [7] Emerging Business Developments - The company has invested in a subsidiary of Jianghuai Automobile, focusing on the liquid cooling pipeline sector, which is anticipated to enhance market integration and expand into high-growth areas such as automotive and data centers [5] - The company is experiencing increased sales, management, and R&D expense ratios due to business expansion, which is exerting short-term pressure on operations [6]

行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-11 2025-03 2025-07 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 《二手房成交面积环比增长，推动房 地产高质量发展 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.10.26 《"金九"销售成色不足，单月竣工面 积同比降幅转正—行业点评报告》 -2025.10.20 《新房价格环比降幅扩大，二手房价 环 比 降 幅 持 平 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2025.10.20 新房成交面积环比增长，促进房地产市场持续健康发 展 房地产 行 业 研 2025 年 11 月 02 日 投资评级：看好（维持） | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | duzhiyuan@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | 证书编号：S0790124070064 | 核心观点：新房成交面积环比增长，促进房地产市场持续健康发展 本 ...

Group 1 - Infrastructure investment growth has narrowed year-on-year, with the construction sector underperforming the broader market. Fixed asset investment from January to September 2025 decreased by 0.5% year-on-year, while infrastructure investment increased by 3.34%, a decline of 2.08 percentage points compared to the previous period. The construction industry's new contract value was 21.30 trillion yuan, down 4.6% year-on-year, with a significant slowdown in new orders due to local fiscal pressures [3][19][23] - The eight major state-owned enterprises (SOEs) maintained stable new contract signings, but there was an increase in corporate differentiation. The overall revenue growth of these SOEs decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 7.5% due to various pressures including slowing infrastructure investment and prolonged repayment cycles [4][49] - Recommended investment themes include overseas construction, urban renewal, digital construction, power engineering, and debt resolution. The overseas contracting business completed a total of 122.33 billion USD from January to September 2025, an increase of 11.4% year-on-year, with "Belt and Road" countries being the primary target [5][76][82] Group 2 - The construction sector's overall performance was weaker than the market, with the construction decoration index rising by 9.4% from early 2025 to October 29, underperforming the broader indices such as the Wind All A Index (+28.4%) and the CSI 300 Index (+20.7%) [23][27] - The construction sector's allocation ratio was 0.62% in Q3 2025, which is 0.94 percentage points lower than the industry standard allocation ratio. The total market value of public fund holdings in the construction sector decreased by 4.2% [35][39] - The eight major SOEs saw a decrease in their allocation ratios, with the top five holdings accounting for only 10.0% of the construction sector, indicating a lower concentration of holdings [39][41]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main business is stable, with a slight pressure on profits in Q3 2025. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 12.142 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 619 million yuan, up 27.0% year-on-year. However, the net profit in Q3 2025 showed a significant decline of 49.8% year-on-year [4][5] - The company is focusing on a dual low-voltage battery technology solution of "lead-acid + lithium battery," which is expected to drive stable growth in the automotive lead-acid battery sector and reduce losses in the low-voltage lithium battery business through economies of scale [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.147 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 87 million yuan, down 49.8% year-on-year and down 70.4% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 960 million, 1.272 billion, and 1.449 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 1.08, and 1.24 yuan [4][7] - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 14.079 billion yuan in 2023 to 20.843 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.3% [7][9] Business Segment Insights - The low-voltage lithium battery segment is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue of approximately 353 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 196%. The gross margin for this segment improved from 12.3% in 2024 to 15% in H1 2025 [6][7] - The company is actively adjusting its production and sales rhythm in response to the competitive landscape in the recycled lead industry, which has seen a decline in gross margins [5][6]

Industry Overview - In 2025, social consumption and retail enterprises are slowly recovering, with segments like gold jewelry benefiting from high gold prices, while cosmetics and medical aesthetics face intense competition and the rise of domestic brands. Notably, "emotional consumption" remains a key indicator of market vitality [2][8]. Segment Analysis Gold Jewelry - The industry has undergone significant changes, with high gold prices and declining wedding demand affecting traditional brand competitiveness. The rise of emotional consumption and social media marketing has led to the emergence of new brands with differentiated products and consumer insights. Opportunities are seen in high-end Chinese gold and trendy gold segments [3][25]. Retail E-commerce - Offline retailers are transforming from selling "goods" to offering "services and experiences," leveraging their advantages to attract traffic back. Online cross-border e-commerce is expected to enter a demand improvement phase with the easing of interest rates, further enhanced by AI integration [3][19]. Cosmetics - Domestic brands are capitalizing on cultural roots and emotional value to increase market share. Innovations in product safety and emotional value are key, with opportunities in regional and technological narratives, sensitive skin anti-aging, and domestic color cosmetics [3][85]. Medical Aesthetics - High-end consumers show resilience, with a focus on differentiated products from upstream manufacturers and mergers and acquisitions among downstream medical institutions to drive growth [3][5]. Investment Recommendations - Gold Jewelry: Favor brands with differentiated product strength and consumer insights, recommending Chao Hong Ji, Lao Pu Gold, and Chow Tai Fook, with beneficiaries including Chow Sang Sang [3][52]. - Retail E-commerce: Support offline retailers adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, recommending Yonghui Supermarket, Ai Ying Shi, Ji Hong Co., and Sai Wei Times [3][82]. - Cosmetics: Highlight domestic brands that meet emotional value and safety innovation, recommending Mao Ge Ping, Pechoin, Shangmei Co., Juzi Biological, Wanmei Biological, and Runben Co. [3][52]. - Medical Aesthetics: Focus on differentiated medical aesthetic product manufacturers and expanding chain medical institutions, recommending Ai Mei Ke and Ke Di-B, with beneficiaries including Mei Li Tian Yuan Medical Health [3][52].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the ongoing progress of centralized procurement and medical insurance negotiations, highlighting investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector [5][6] - The report notes that the 2025 National Medical Insurance negotiations have commenced, with a focus on the commercialization potential of drugs included in the insurance list [6][19] - The pharmaceutical sector has shown resilience, with a 1.31% increase in October's fifth week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.74 percentage points [7][22] Summary by Sections Section 1: Centralized Procurement and Medical Insurance Negotiations - The latest round of centralized procurement has been optimized, achieving a selection rate of 57% for the 11th batch, involving 55 products and 445 companies [5][15] - The 2025 medical insurance negotiations are expected to last 4-5 days, with 535 drug names passing the preliminary review for the basic medical insurance directory [6][19] Section 2: Market Performance - In the fifth week of October, the pharmaceutical sector rose by 1.31%, ranking 9th among 31 sub-industries [7][22] - The vaccine sector experienced the highest increase of 3.38%, while the medical consumables sector saw the largest decline of 1.98% [28] Section 3: Stock Recommendations - Monthly stock recommendations include companies such as Sanofi, Innovent Biologics, and WuXi Biologics [8] - Weekly stock recommendations feature companies like Kelun Pharmaceutical and Huadong Medicine [8]

行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 2024-11 2025-03 2025-07 电力设备 沪深300 电力设备 电力设备 2025 年 11 月 02 日 固态电池行业周报（第二十一期）：清华团队破解固 态电池快充与低温瓶颈，三星 SDI、宝马、Solid Power 三方合作开发全固态电池 ——行业周报 相关研究报告 《光伏拐点已现，储能大势所趋—光 储行业 2026 年度投资策略》-2025.11.1 《动储需求旺盛，产业链供需拐点已 至—锂电行业 2026 年度投资策略》 -2025.11.1 《固态电池行业周报（第二十期）： 欣旺达发布"欣·碧霄"固态电池， 珠海冠宇已量产 25%高硅负极电池— 行业周报》-2025.10.26 殷晟路（分析师） yinshenglu@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080001 清华团队破解固态电池快充与低温瓶颈，三星 SDI、宝马、Solid Power 三方 合作开发全固态电池 （1）技术进展：近日，清华大学深圳国际研究生院康飞宇、贺艳兵团队联合天 津大学杨全红团队在《Nature》发表研究，提出 ...