1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The inflation in the US is in line with expectations, and the trading patterns of short - and long - term bonds are differentiated. The market expects a 25bp interest rate cut in the September meeting and three rate cuts throughout the year. In the European and Japanese markets, Japanese bonds are stable, while German bonds rise due to hawkish signals. In other major asset classes, global stock indices generally rise except for Russia, cryptocurrencies and precious metals lead the rally in commodities, and there are significant differences in the performance of different currencies against the RMB [4][22][23]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 This Week's Overseas Macro - Interest Rate Review 3.1.1 Macroeconomic Indicator Review - **Employment**: The US employment market shows further signs of weakness. The number of initial jobless claims increases by 27,000 to 263,000, the highest since October 2021, higher than the market expectation of 235,000 [1][12]. - **Inflation**: The US PPI unexpectedly drops month - on - month in August, with service costs falling by 0.2%. The core CPI remains high, with a month - on - month increase of 0.3% and a year - on - year of 3.1% in August. The overall CPI rises more than expected, with a month - on - month increase of 0.4% and a year - on - year of 2.9% in August [2][13]. - **Business Index**: The US EIA crude oil inventory data shows an unexpected increase. The inventory increases by 3.939 million barrels to 424.6 million barrels, against the market expectation of a 1.9 - million - barrel decrease [3][14]. 3.1.2 Review of Major Overseas Market Interest Rates - **US**: From September 5th to September 12th, 2025, the 1 - year and 10 - year US Treasury bond rates fluctuate by +1bp and - 4bp to 3.66% and 4.06% respectively. The long - and short - term trading patterns are differentiated. The long - term is traded around the recession narrative, and the short - term is traded around the expectation of the number and amplitude of interest rate cuts. The 3 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year US Treasury auctions have strong, strong, and relatively stable demand respectively [4][15][16]. - **Europe and Japan**: Japanese bonds are stable, with the 1 - year and 10 - year rates fluctuating by +0.9bp and +0.4bp to 0.70% and 1.59% respectively. German bonds rise due to hawkish signals from the European Central Bank, with the 2 - year and 10 - year rates fluctuating by +6.00bp and - 1.00bp to 2.02% and 2.70% respectively [22]. 3.2 Review of Other Major Asset Classes - **Equities**: Global major stock indices generally rise, except for the Russian market. South Korea (+5.94%), Japan (+4.07%), and Hong Kong (+3.82%) perform strongly, while Russia (-2.13%) is the only market with negative growth [23]. - **Commodities**: Cryptocurrencies and precious metals lead the rally. Bitcoin rises by 4.87%, London silver by 3.72%, and London gold by 1.57%. Some industrial products are under pressure, such as the pig index, rebar, coke, etc. [24]. - **Foreign Exchange**: European and Japanese currencies rise against the RMB, while the US dollar and most Asian currencies show small fluctuations. The Russian ruble drops significantly by 4.04% against the RMB [25]. 3.3 Market Tracking - **Government Bond Interest Rates**: The report shows the interest rate fluctuations of 1 - year and 10 - year government bonds in major economies such as the US, Japan, Germany, etc. [33]. - **Stock Indices**: It presents the weekly and historical percentile changes of major global stock indices, showing that most markets are at relatively high historical levels [35]. - **Commodities**: It shows the price changes of major commodities and their historical percentile levels, indicating significant differentiation in performance [38]. - **Foreign Exchange**: It displays the exchange rate changes of major global currencies against the RMB and their historical percentile levels [40]. - **Economic Data Panels**: It includes economic data panels of the US, Japan, and the Eurozone, covering GDP, inflation, employment, and business sentiment indices [42][49][54].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sector, including CATL, Keda, and others [5][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the emphasis on self-discipline in the photovoltaic industry by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [3][30]. - CATL has launched the Shenzhou Pro battery, featuring advanced safety technology and impressive performance metrics, targeting the European market [2][11]. - The report notes a slight increase in battery prices, reflecting ongoing market dynamics and supply-demand adjustments [3][30]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - CATL's Shenzhou Pro battery, released on September 7, features NP3.0 safety technology and offers a range of 683 km with a 10-minute charge providing 478 km of range [2][11]. - The battery's long-life version boasts a range of 758 km and a lifespan of 12 years or 1 million kilometers, catering to European market demands [2][15]. New Energy Generation - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is addressing irrational competition in the photovoltaic sector, aiming to restore balance and promote healthy development [3][30]. - The report anticipates a bottom reversal in the photovoltaic sector due to ongoing policy measures [3][30]. Electric Equipment and Industrial Control - The report discusses the implementation of AI in energy development, focusing on enhancing grid safety and efficiency [4]. - Key companies to watch include CATL, Keda, and others, which are positioned to benefit from these developments [4]. Market Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 0.53%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.52% [1]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Key companies such as CATL, Keda, and others are projected to have strong earnings growth, with CATL's EPS expected to rise from 11.58 yuan in 2024 to 17.64 yuan in 2026 [5]. - The report provides a detailed valuation and earnings forecast for several companies, all rated as "Recommended" [5]. Industry Data Tracking - Recent price trends for lithium battery materials indicate slight increases, with NCM811 precursor prices rising by 4.45% [20][41]. - The report tracks price movements in the photovoltaic supply chain, noting increases in silicon material prices and battery cell prices [41][33]. Industry Announcements - The report includes updates on various companies, such as BYD's share buyback and announcements from other key players in the new energy sector [29][50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the steel sector, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co., Ltd., Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, and Wujin Stainless Steel [3]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that pig iron production has rebounded to high levels, with daily production exceeding 2.4 million tons. Steel production has slightly decreased, but inventory accumulation has narrowed, suggesting a recovery in demand, although year-on-year demand remains weak. Steel profits are fluctuating around the breakeven point [2][3]. - The report highlights that the long-term focus will be on capacity regulation, which is expected to be more precise this time, promoting the survival of the fittest among steel companies. The profitability of steel enterprises is anticipated to recover as new iron ore capacities are gradually released [2][3]. Price Trends - As of September 12, 2025, steel prices showed mixed trends: rebar (20mm HRB400) at 3,210 CNY/ton (down 50 CNY), high line (8.0mm) at 3,360 CNY/ton (down 40 CNY), hot-rolled (3.0mm) at 3,450 CNY/ton (up 30 CNY), cold-rolled (1.0mm) at 3,800 CNY/ton (unchanged), and medium plate (20mm) at 3,460 CNY/ton (unchanged) [1][9][10]. Production and Inventory - As of September 12, 2025, the total production of five major steel products was 8.57 million tons, a decrease of 34,100 tons week-on-week. The total inventory of these products increased by 174,100 tons to 10.9391 million tons [2][5]. - The apparent consumption of rebar was estimated at 1.9807 million tons, down 40,000 tons week-on-week, while the average daily transaction volume of construction steel was 103,100 tons, up 6.32% week-on-week [2][5]. Profitability - The report estimates that the gross profit margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel have changed by -31 CNY/ton, +12 CNY/ton, and -8 CNY/ton respectively compared to the previous week. The gross profit margin for electric arc furnace steel decreased by 11 CNY/ton [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the following companies: 1. General Steel Sector: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel 2. Special Steel Sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co., Ltd. 3. Pipe Materials: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Wujin Stainless Steel 4. High-Temperature Alloy: Fushun Special Steel [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the AR glasses and optical technology sector, including GoerTek, Dongmu Co., Jingyan Technology, Tonglian Precision, and Guangfeng Technology [4]. Core Insights - The 2025 CIOE (China International Optoelectronic Exposition) showcased significant advancements in AR technology, with leading companies like JBD, GoerTek, and Luxshare Precision presenting breakthroughs in Micro LED, optical waveguides, and AR optics [1][2]. - Guangfeng Technology and Gudong Intelligent launched a new AR solution that redefines the industry pricing structure, featuring the innovative "LCoS + PVG optical waveguide" technology, which enhances light efficiency by 300% and achieves over 90% transmittance [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the continuous evolution of AR glasses technology, highlighting the importance of display, optics, assembly, and components in the industry [3]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - The 2025 CIOE was held on September 10 in Shenzhen, gathering top global optoelectronic technology and industry trends [1]. - Key exhibitors included JBD, GoerTek, and Luxshare Precision, showcasing cutting-edge products and technologies [1][2]. Technological Breakthroughs - JBD introduced the "Hummingbird II" color light engine, featuring a self-developed 0.1-inch Micro LED micro-display capable of full-color display in a compact size [1]. - GoerTek presented several new products in AR and VR, focusing on lightweight designs and high display performance [2]. - Guangfeng Technology's new AR optical solution supports a large field of view and ensures user comfort during prolonged use [2][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in various segments of the AR technology supply chain, including: - Optical waveguides: GoerTek, Luxshare Precision, Sunny Optical Technology, Crystal Optoelectronics, and Lantech Optical [3]. - Micro LED: HC Semitek, Zhaochi Co., Sanan Optoelectronics, Qianzhao Optoelectronics, and Jucan Optoelectronics [3]. - LCoS: OmniVision Technologies and Guangfeng Technology [3]. - SiC: Tianyue Advanced [3]. - MIM components: Dongmu Co., Jingyan Technology, and Tonglian Precision [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the uranium industry, highlighting the company's strong position and growth potential in the nuclear energy sector [7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the global nuclear energy market, focusing on the mining, sales, and trade of natural uranium and associated radioactive minerals, ensuring energy security [1][10]. - Revenue and net profit are on an upward trend, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.9% for revenue and 7.8% for net profit from 2022 to 2024 [1][20]. - The company has a robust resource base, with significant uranium production capacity and a strategic focus on enhancing operational efficiency through various investment projects [3][58]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has established itself as a key player in China's nuclear energy sector, with a comprehensive business model encompassing uranium mining and the utilization of associated radioactive resources [10][11]. - It has a clear ownership structure, with the controlling stake held by China National Nuclear Corporation, ensuring strategic alignment and operational efficiency [15][18]. 2. Core Competitiveness - The company possesses rich uranium resources and significant exploration rights, with a strong presence in key mining regions [35][36]. - Production technology is mature and stable, allowing for efficient extraction and processing of uranium and associated minerals [38][39]. 3. Fundraising Projects - The company plans to utilize raised funds for projects aimed at increasing uranium production capacity and enhancing the comprehensive utilization of associated resources [58][60]. - Key projects include the development of in-situ leaching uranium mining and improvements in processing technologies for associated minerals [59][60]. 4. Industry Dynamics - The uranium industry is characterized by high supply concentration and increasing demand driven by nuclear energy development, with China being the second-largest consumer globally [4]. - The report emphasizes the industry's high entry barriers due to resource ownership, regulatory requirements, and technological expertise [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a quality private coal enterprise rooted in coal trading and has expanded into Indonesia, with significant growth potential [1][12]. - The termination of its Shanxi operations has alleviated past burdens, leading to an improved financial outlook [1][28]. - The Indonesian business has shown profitability improvements, with a notable increase in earnings driven by volume growth [2][17]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1996, the company began with coal trading and has since expanded into coal mining, acquiring various coal mines and establishing a stable ownership structure [1][11]. - The company has shifted focus to Indonesia, where it has acquired mining rights for five major coal mining areas, indicating a clear growth strategy [12][30]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a net loss of 126 million RMB, primarily due to losses from the terminated Shanxi coal business [1][17]. - The Indonesian operations generated a profit of 24 million RMB in the same period, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 67 million RMB [2][17]. - The company's balance sheet is gradually improving, with a projected reduction in the debt-to-asset ratio from 95.9% in 2024 to 59.6% [1][20]. Indonesian Operations - The company has five mining areas in Indonesia, with the SDE mine expected to reach a production capacity of 30 million tons [2][30]. - The SDE mine has a rich resource base, with an estimated recoverable reserve of approximately 900 million tons [3][32]. - The production cost at the SDE mine is significantly lower due to its coastal location and self-built transportation infrastructure [3][41]. Growth Potential - The company anticipates substantial growth in net profit from 131 million RMB in 2025 to 1.196 billion RMB in 2027, with corresponding EPS increasing from 0.05 to 0.47 RMB per share [4][50]. - The report forecasts a significant increase in revenue from 1.974 billion RMB in 2025 to 6.333 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 47% [5][50]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "light asset + strategic equity operation" model, which involves selling stakes in its projects to strategic partners to optimize capital efficiency [4][46]. - The partnership with Zhejiang Energy Group for the SDE project exemplifies this strategy, allowing for capital recovery and further investment in new resources [4][46].

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant growth in the humanoid robot sector, with a notable market rally driven by catalysts in the robotics industry and the automotive parts sector's rapid entry into the robotics space [9][10][12] - The humanoid robot index saw a substantial increase from 6732 to 9732, representing a 44.6% rise, with the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio increasing from 21x to 30x during the first phase of growth [9][10] - The report identifies three phases of market performance: a strong rally, a slight decline due to external factors, and a period of consolidation with new trends emerging [9][30] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of major manufacturers entering the robotics industry, including both domestic and international players, which is expected to drive further growth [46][47] - Key components of robots include control systems, drive execution, and sensors, with a focus on the integration of hardware and software to enhance performance [48][54][55] - The report outlines the selection criteria for investment in the robotics sector, focusing on high-value components with technical challenges and the presence of domestic manufacturers [63] Group 3 - The report provides insights into the investment landscape, indicating that institutional holdings in humanoid robotics have increased, with a notable rise in fund allocation to this sector [22][24] - The analysis of stock performance reveals a rotation among different market capitalizations, with large-cap stocks leading initially, followed by mid-cap and small-cap stocks [26][31] - The report suggests that the overall adjustment in the robotics sector may be nearing its end, with potential for new growth driven by performance improvements and valuation catalysts [35][41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on expected performance and market conditions [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company has announced a stock incentive plan aimed at boosting confidence and accelerating growth in domestic computing power, with ambitious revenue targets set for the years 2025 to 2027 [2][4]. - The performance targets for the incentive plan are set at a revenue of no less than 142 billion yuan in 2025, 206 billion yuan in 2026, and 275 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 44.2% [2][4]. - The company's CPU and DCU product lines are expected to drive significant revenue growth, with applications across various critical industries such as telecommunications, finance, and education [2][4]. Financial Projections - The projected revenues for the company are 142.1 billion yuan for 2025, 206.1 billion yuan for 2026, and 279.9 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding net profits of 32.7 billion yuan, 46.7 billion yuan, and 66.8 billion yuan respectively [4][5]. - The report indicates a strong growth trajectory, with revenue growth rates of 55.1% in 2025 and 45.1% in 2026, followed by a decrease to 35.8% in 2027 [5][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 1.41 yuan in 2025 to 2.87 yuan in 2027, reflecting the company's improving profitability [5][8]. Incentive Plan Details - The incentive plan involves granting up to 20.684 million shares of restricted stock, representing approximately 0.89% of the company's total share capital at the time of the announcement [1][3]. - The grant price for the restricted stock will not be less than 90.25 yuan per share, with the total expense for the plan estimated at 1.435 billion yuan over four years [3][4]. - The plan targets a broad range of employees, including core technical personnel, with a total of up to 879 individuals eligible for the stock grants [3][4].

Group 1: Economic Indicators - August CPI is expected to rise to 2.9%, driven by energy and food prices[3] - Non-farm data indicates significant threats to economic growth, leading to market expectations of three rate cuts this year[2] - The market is pricing in a potential 50 basis point cut in September, but this may be overly optimistic given the current economic indicators[2] Group 2: Inflation and Price Trends - Gasoline retail prices in August saw a narrowing decline of -6.3%, while food prices are expected to rise, impacting CPI readings[3] - Core goods are expected to remain at high levels, but with moderate growth due to tax rate adjustments and inventory strategies[3] - New vehicle prices surged by 2.6% in August, the largest increase in two years, driven by new models and tax incentives[3] Group 3: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook - The Federal Reserve is likely to implement two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points this year, maintaining flexibility for future adjustments[2] - Risks of inflation rising in Q4 remain significant, influenced by inventory consumption and economic stimulus from rate cuts[2] - The Fed may manage expectations based on the September dot plot and economic forecasts to avoid being caught off guard by data reversals[2]

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for the companies: Changan Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle [4]. Core Viewpoints - Honda Motorcycle has established a "four-fold moat" consisting of technology, products, manufacturing, and brand over the past 70 years, significantly reshaping the global motorcycle industry landscape [1][9]. - Honda maintains a leading global market share of over 30%, with projected sales of 18.819 million units in 2024 and an operating profit of 1.2125 trillion yen, reflecting a gross margin of 21.5% [1][27]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technology as the foundational driver for Honda's success, with product strength as the vehicle connecting users and globalization strategy as the key lever for expanding influence and profit pools [3][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - Honda Motorcycle's success is attributed to the deep integration of industrial logic, market rhythm, and cultural adaptability, providing a strategic paradigm for other companies [1][9]. 2. Honda Motor's Global Journey - Honda has maintained its global market leadership through over 70 years of technological accumulation and continuous innovation, with a projected sales volume of 20.572 million units in 2025 [1][27]. - The company leads the industry with core technologies such as four-stroke engines and DCT dual-clutch systems, and is pioneering hydrogen energy and electrification platforms [1][3]. 3. Product Dimension - Honda's product matrix includes various models like the Super Cub, Gold Wing, and CBR series, catering to different market segments from entry-level to high-end products [2][20]. - The company has successfully created a diverse product lineup that meets various user needs, ensuring both volume sales and brand image enhancement [2][10]. 4. Strategic Dimension - Honda's global strategy combines performance leadership with cost control, allowing for effective market penetration [2][3]. - The company employs a phased, regionally differentiated strategy to build its global operations, leveraging local advantages in labor costs and cultural integration [2][3]. 5. Lessons for Domestic Motorcycle Companies - The report highlights that domestic motorcycle companies like Changan Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle are exploring globalization paths, with expectations of exporting over 500,000 mid-to-large displacement motorcycles by 2025 [3][11]. - The success of Honda's global strategy serves as a reference for domestic companies to enhance their competitiveness through technology, product strength, and cultural adaptability [3][12]. 6. Key Companies - Changan Power is positioned to expand its high-end product line and is preparing for international market entry [4][6]. - Longxin General is focusing on leveraging its strengths in the European market for global expansion [4][6]. - Qianjiang Motorcycle is enhancing its brand presence through improved foreign trade channels [4][6]. 7. Investment Recommendations - The report identifies significant growth potential in the overseas mid-to-large displacement motorcycle market, recommending investment in domestic leaders like Changan Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle [3][4].