Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 169 million yuan in H1 2025, exceeding expectations of 10-15% growth, with a year-on-year increase of 40.21% [6] - The improvement in revenue is attributed to a significant increase in AI solution sales, which reached 130 million yuan, up 59.2% [6] - The company's gross margin decreased to 37.7%, down 22.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher proportion of lower-margin AI business [6] - The company has made strategic adjustments to its business structure, which is expected to restore growth momentum [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 544 million, 742 million, and 1,096 million yuan respectively, with corresponding net losses of 455 million, 360 million, and 217 million yuan [5][8] - The company’s operating expenses decreased by 33.8% in H1 2025, with significant reductions in sales, management, and R&D expenses [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be -69.0%, -123.5%, and -315.2% for 2025-2027 [5]

证 券 研 究 报 告 科技制造引领，寻找景气成长 ——北交所25年二季报总结 2025.09.02 证券分析师：刘靖 A0230512070005 研究支持： 吕靖华 A0230124070002 主要内容 2 ◼ 北证二季报盈利压力再现。截至25Q2，北证单季营收增速+4.9%、环比-0.4pct，单季归母净利润增速-16.6%、环比 -8.8pct，ROEttm达+6.0%、环比-0.1pct；拆分ROE来看，25Q2，北证资产周转率TTM达62.6%、环比+0.5pct， 北证销售净利率TTM达5.5%、环比-0.2pct。其中，盈利压力主要源于两方面，1）Q2海外扰动影响显现，我国对美 出口增速大幅下滑，25Q2，北证出口50%以上企业单季扣非净利润增速转负、达-4.4%，环比-21.0pct。2）供给压 力、北证固定资产增速达历史高位，25Q2，北证固定资产增速达+30.2%、环比+2.0pct，处于历史高位，对北证盈 利能力形成压力，25Q2北证毛利率TTM达22.4%、环比-0.3pct，下滑幅度高于其他板块。展望后续，固定资产增速 的拐点有望在下半年出现，关注北证供给优化后的盈利弹性，截至2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Wuxi Biologics [5][17][28] Core Insights - Wuxi Biologics reported a revenue of Rmb 9.95 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.1%, and a net profit of Rmb 2.34 billion, which is a 56.1% increase year-on-year [8][14] - The adjusted net profit reached Rmb 2.39 billion, reflecting a 6.2% year-on-year growth, aligning with expectations [8][14] - The blended gross margin increased by 3.7 percentage points to 42.7%, while the adjusted net profit margin rose by 1.2 percentage points to 45.6% [8][14] Revenue Breakdown - Pre-IND service revenue grew by 35.2% year-on-year to Rmb 4.15 billion in the first half of 2025 [9][15] - Revenue from early-phase projects (Phase I & II) declined by 29.7% year-on-year, primarily due to large projects moving to later stages [9][15] - Revenue from Phase III and commercial projects increased by 24.9% year-on-year [9][15] - Revenue from the US market grew by 20.1%, accounting for 60.5% of total revenue, while revenue from Europe and China increased by 5.7% and decreased by 8.5%, respectively [9][15] Order Backlog - The total backlog reached US$ 20.4 billion, a 1.2% year-on-year increase, including a service backlog of US$ 11.4 billion (down 13% year-on-year) and potential milestone fees backlog of US$ 9.0 billion (up 27% year-on-year) [9][15] - The backlog within three years increased by 16% year-on-year to US$ 4.2 billion, representing 21% of the total backlog [9][15] Project Pipeline - The number of new projects added in the first half of 2025 was 86, with over 50% from the US [10][16] - The total number of integrated projects reached 864, including 67 Phase III and 24 commercial projects, indicating potential future revenue growth [10][16] Financial Forecasts - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to Rmb 4.90 billion and Rmb 5.50 billion, respectively, with a new forecast of Rmb 6.34 billion for 2027 [10][17] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are Rmb 21.38 billion, Rmb 24.64 billion, and Rmb 28.57 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.49%, 15.23%, and 15.95% [12][19]

Demand - External demand is expected to perform better than internal demand, with August exports projected to decline by 5.1% due to high base effects and tariff impacts, but the pressure is manageable due to improved external demand and market share gains[1][12] - Domestic consumption and manufacturing investment are expected to weaken, with retail sales projected to grow by only 4.4% year-on-year in August, influenced by limited use of subsidy funds[1][24] Supply - The manufacturing PMI rose by 0.1 percentage points to 49.4% in August, indicating sustained production activity, particularly in export-oriented sectors[3][42] - Industrial output is expected to grow by 5.8% year-on-year in August, supported by resilient indicators in the export chain, such as a 3.8 percentage point increase in high furnace operation rates[4][51] Inflation - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to show limited year-on-year improvement of -2.9% in August, despite rising commodity prices, due to low capacity utilization in mid and downstream sectors[5][64] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is projected to decline by 0.4% year-on-year in August, driven by weak food prices and a high youth unemployment rate affecting rental prices[6][68]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [4][5]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability in Q2 2025, driven by a decrease in oil and coal prices, which has alleviated cost pressures [4][6]. - The report highlights a strong demand trend post-holiday, with inventory levels decreasing and a significant recovery in profitability across various sectors within the chemical industry [4][6]. - The report emphasizes the long-term upward trend in demand due to improved liquidity and supportive government policies, despite external challenges [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Chemical Industry Overview - In Q2 2025, the chemical sector saw a revenue increase of 2% year-on-year, reaching 548.3 billion yuan, while net profit decreased by 5% to 35.5 billion yuan [25][26]. - The overall gross margin for the industry was reported at 17.9%, with a slight improvement from the previous quarter [27][30]. 2. Profit Recovery in Q2 2025 - The report notes that the chemical industry is in a phase of recovery, with various sub-sectors showing significant improvements in profitability, particularly in agriculture-related chemicals and fluorochemicals [4][5]. - The report identifies key sectors such as pesticides, fluorochemicals, and potassium fertilizers as having notable profit increases, while sectors like organic silicon and soda ash faced declines [4][5]. 3. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on four main areas for investment: textile supply chain, agricultural chemicals, export-related chemicals, and sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies [5][6]. - Specific companies to watch include Huafu Chemical, Yunnan Yuntianhua, and Wanhu Chemical, which are positioned well within their respective markets [5][6]. 4. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the overall market sentiment is improving, with the chemical index rising by 23.89% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming other indices [13][15]. - The report also highlights that the supply side is stabilizing, with capital expenditures nearing their peak and a reduction in ongoing projects, which is expected to lead to a long-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics [6][7].

上 市 公 司 商贸零售 2025 年 09 月 02 日 豫园股份 (600655) ——黄金珠宝业务修复，文化出海提速 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 09 月 01 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 6.24 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 7.03/4.88 | | 市净率 | 0.7 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 3.04 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 24,273 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,875.53/12,828.95 | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 9.00 | | 资产负债率% | 68.18 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 3,897/3,890 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 投资要点： 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 09-02 10-02 11-02 12-02 01-02 02-02 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady business expansion and multi-industry collaboration, which is expected to support long-term growth [1] - The company reported a slight miss in earnings expectations for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 1.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, and a net profit of 0.072 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.1% [7] - The company is focusing on the synergistic development of its restaurant, hotel, and food businesses, with ongoing expansion and upgrades to existing locations [7] - The company is leveraging digital upgrades and external collaborations to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience [7] - Despite rising expansion costs and a challenging consumer environment, the company is expected to return to a growth trajectory driven by the recovery of the wedding banquet market [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.927 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.9% [6] - Net profit forecast for 2025 is 0.189 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 88.8% [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve gradually, reaching 21.8% in 2025, 23.3% in 2026, and 24.3% in 2027 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 7.9% in 2025 to 13.2% in 2027 [6] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is forecasted to be 30 for 2025, 19 for 2026, and 14 for 2027 [6]

Demand - In August, external demand is expected to outperform internal demand, with exports projected to decline by 5.1% due to high base effects and tariff impacts, but the pressure is manageable due to improving external demand and market share gains[1] - Domestic consumption and manufacturing investment are expected to weaken, with retail sales projected to grow by only 4.4% year-on-year, influenced by limited use of subsidy funds[1][27] - High-frequency indicators show that retail sales of passenger cars and white goods in August increased by only 0.8% and 2.1% year-on-year, respectively[27] Supply - The manufacturing PMI rose by 0.1 percentage points to 49.4% in August, indicating sustained production activity, with the production index increasing by 0.3 percentage points to 50.8%[3][45] - Industries with high external demand, such as textiles and specialized equipment, showed significant production index increases of 23.6 percentage points to 57.1% and 8.6 percentage points to 63.9%, respectively[49] - Industrial added value is expected to grow by 5.8% year-on-year in August, supported by resilient indicators in the export chain[4][54] Inflation - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to show limited year-on-year improvement at -2.9%, despite rising commodity prices and a low base effect, with the main raw material purchase price index increasing by 1.8 percentage points to 53.3%[5][61] - Consumer Price Index (CPI) is projected to decline by 0.4% year-on-year in August, constrained by weak food prices and downstream PPI[6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit are under pressure, but overseas business is experiencing growth [1] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 due to the impact of local government debt and a slowdown in industry investment [6] - The company's mineral resources business is expected to drive a return to valuation recovery [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 1,156,734 million, with a year-on-year decline of 0.3% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is projected to be 25,157 million, down 9.8% year-on-year [5] - The company's gross margin for 2025 is expected to be 9.6% [5] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -796.3 million for the first half of 2025, an increase in cash outflow by 103 million year-on-year [6] - The company’s infrastructure construction revenue for the first half of 2025 was 436.2 billion, down 7.78% year-on-year [6] - The company’s overseas revenue for the first half of 2025 was 36.97 billion, up 8.34% year-on-year [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway [2][7][17] Core Views - The company's performance slightly underperformed expectations due to changes in the dividend cycle of Jiangsu Bank, with a reported revenue of RMB 9.406 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [7] - The toll revenue for H1 2025 showed a stable increase, amounting to approximately RMB 4.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 1.65% [7] - The ongoing expansion projects are expected to significantly improve regional traffic flow, with the completion of key infrastructure projects by the end of 2025 and mid-2026 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 15.192 billion - 2024: RMB 23.198 billion - 2025E: RMB 23.935 billion - 2026E: RMB 24.730 billion - 2027E: RMB 25.436 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 15% for 2023, 53% for 2024, and 3.2% for 2025E [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: RMB 4.413 billion - 2024: RMB 4.947 billion - 2025E: RMB 5.447 billion - 2026E: RMB 5.790 billion - 2027E: RMB 6.049 billion - The projected PE ratios are 10 for 2023, 9 for 2024, and 8 for 2025E [6][8]