Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for 澳博控股 (00880) [1] Core Views - The company's 1H25 performance was below expectations, with total revenue of 14.6 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 6%. EBITDA decreased by 5% to 1.65 billion HKD, and the net loss widened from 160 million HKD in 1H24 to 180 million HKD, primarily due to underperformance in the 上葡京 project [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 0.3 HKD to 0.01 HKD, with projections for 2026 and 2027 set at 0.12 HKD and 0.17 HKD, respectively. The target price has been adjusted from 3.7 HKD to 3.3 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 13% [6] - The company plans to acquire a portion of the 葡京酒店 for a total consideration of 529 million HKD, which will expand the operational area of the 葡京娱乐场 by an additional 7,504 square meters, positioning it as the largest integrated resort on the Macau Peninsula [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 澳博控股 are as follows: - 2023: 21,624 million HKD - 2024: 28,770 million HKD - 2025E: 29,542 million HKD - 2026E: 26,978 million HKD - 2027E: 27,278 million HKD - The year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 224% for 2023, 37% for 2024, 3% for 2025, -8% for 2026, and 1% for 2027 [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: -2,010 million HKD - 2024: 3 million HKD - 2025E: 84 million HKD - 2026E: 824 million HKD - 2027E: 1,177 million HKD - The corresponding year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 2512% for 2025, 886% for 2026, and 43% for 2027 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the construction industry [2][4]. Core Insights - The construction industry faced pressure on revenue and profit in H1 2025, with total revenue of 3.75 trillion, down 5.7% year-on-year, and net profit of 87.5 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2][7]. - The industry experienced a relative stability in gross margin and net margin, with a gross margin of 9.9% and a net margin of 2.33% in H1 2025 [8][19]. - Operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net cash flow of -477.4 billion, a reduction in outflow by 15.1 billion year-on-year [3][12]. - The industry’s return on equity (ROE) decreased by 0.31 percentage points to 2.50% in H1 2025, indicating pressure on profitability [16][27]. Summary by Sections Financial Overview - In H1 2025, major listed companies in the construction industry reported revenues of 3.75 trillion, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, and net profits of 87.5 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2][7]. - Quarterly revenues for Q1 and Q2 were 1.84 trillion and 1.91 trillion, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 6.2% and 5.2% [2][7]. Profitability Analysis - The industry maintained a gross margin of 9.9%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 2.33%, down 0.02 percentage points [8][19]. - The ROE for the industry decreased to 2.50%, reflecting the impact of reduced investment and increased costs [16][27]. Cash Flow Improvement - The operating cash flow net amount was -477.4 billion, showing an improvement with a reduction in cash outflow by 15.1 billion year-on-year [3][12]. - The cash collection ratio improved to 103% in Q1 and 87% in Q2, with year-on-year changes of +0.85 percentage points and +11.65 percentage points, respectively [3][12]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights a shift in focus from growth to quality improvement among state-owned enterprises, with an emphasis on cash flow management and cost control [4][19]. - The construction industry is expected to see a recovery in revenue and cash flow in the second half of 2025, driven by anticipated government investment stimulus [4][19].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a core supplier of global visual equipment, focusing on machine vision technology and artificial intelligence to drive industrial transformation. It has established itself in various sectors including consumer electronics, new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, PCB, and semiconductors. The Chinese machine vision market is projected to reach 39.54 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.2% from 2025 to 2027 [14][22]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is forecasted to be 1.609 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of -2.4%. For 2025, revenue is expected to increase to 1.788 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 11.1%. By 2027, revenue is projected to reach 2.499 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 14.1% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 125 million yuan in 2024, with a significant decline of 42.1%. However, it is projected to recover to 153 million yuan in 2025, growing by 22.3%, and further increase to 254 million yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 23.1% [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.65 yuan in 2024, -0.07 yuan in 2025, and expected to rise to 1.31 yuan by 2027 [2]. Business Segments Overview - The company has diversified its business into several segments: 1. **Visual Measurement Equipment**: Expected revenue growth of 10%, 20%, and 15% from 2025 to 2027, driven by stable contributions from consumer electronics and battery sectors [8]. 2. **Visual Inspection Equipment**: Anticipated revenue decline of 10% in 2025, followed by recovery with growth rates of 20% and 15% in subsequent years, as new products are launched [8]. 3. **Visual Process Equipment**: Revenue growth is expected to be robust at 30%, 20%, and 10% from 2025 to 2027, particularly in the PCB sector [8]. 4. **Intelligent Driving Solutions**: This segment is projected to see significant growth, with revenue increases of 50% for both 2025 and 2026, and 20% in 2027, fueled by high demand in autonomous vehicles and logistics [8]. Market Position and Strategic Partnerships - The company has become a partner of NVIDIA's Jetson Thor platform, which is expected to enhance the value of its humanoid robot controllers significantly. The partnership is anticipated to lead to increased orders in humanoid robotics and improvements in product performance [7][54]. - The company has established a strong foothold in the intelligent driving sector, collaborating with major players in the industry and developing a comprehensive product line that includes domain controllers and AI edge computing platforms [31][34]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 75, 56, and 45 for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. This is below the average PE ratios of comparable companies, which are 96, 68, and 51 for the same periods [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, highlighting potential growth in sectors driven by technology and state-owned enterprise reforms [4][27]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the expected rebound in the robotics sector and low-altitude economy, suggesting investment in companies like Top Group, Aikodi, and Sanhua [4]. - It notes a significant increase in retail sales of passenger cars, with a total of 469,000 units sold in the 34th week of 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 9.32% and a year-on-year increase of 3.55% [4]. - The report identifies key companies with strong performance in the second quarter, including BYD, Geely, and NIO, while also highlighting the importance of new energy vehicles [5][6][21]. Market Situation Update - The total transaction value in the automotive industry reached 833.88 billion yuan, with the automotive industry index rising by 0.35% [4][27]. - The report indicates that 81 stocks in the automotive sector rose, while 210 fell, with notable gainers including Tianpu Co. and Meng'en Automotive [32]. Key Events - The Chengdu International Auto Show showcased a significant focus on new energy and intelligent vehicles, with over 120 brands participating [13][14]. - The report highlights the launch of the Hongmeng Zhixing Shangjie H5, which received strong pre-sale interest, and the introduction of the new XPeng P7 model, setting a benchmark for AI luxury sedans [21][23]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic leading manufacturers such as NIO, Xiaomi, and Xpeng, as well as component companies with strong growth potential like Fuyao Glass and New Spring [4][6]. - It suggests monitoring companies involved in the integration of state-owned enterprises, such as SAIC Group and Dongfeng Group [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Pacer expanded its cash - flow product line by issuing two mid - cap and small - cap quality cash - flow ETFs last week, and has formed three major categories in the cash - flow field [2][8]. - Stock ETFs in the US had a stable inflow last week, with most other types of products also seeing inflows, while short - term and high - yield bond products in the bond category had outflows [2][9]. - Pacer's cash - flow products showed significant performance differentiation, with the largest US Cash Cows 100 ETF performing weakly this year and many global products having gains of over 20% [2][14]. - In June 2025, the total amount of non - money public funds in the US increased, and from August 13th to August 20th, US domestic stock funds had an outflow while bond products had an inflow [2][18]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. US ETF Innovation Products: Pacer Further Expands Cash - flow Product Line - Last week, there were 7 new US ETF products, a decrease in the number of issuances. New manager Scharf issued two actively managed ETFs, and Franklin issued a bond ETF and a dividend - growth stock product. Pacer issued two mid - cap and small - cap quality cash - flow ETFs, selecting stocks based on free - cash - flow quality [7][8]. - The free - cash - flow quality is composed of the company's average free - cash - flow yield and free - cash - flow ROIC over the past 5 years. Pacer has formed three major categories in the cash - flow field: cash - flow value, cash - flow growth, and cash - flow hybrid [8]. 2. US ETF Dynamics 2.1 US ETF Funds: Stock ETF Inflows are Stable - Last week, stock ETFs had an inflow of over $20 billion, and most other types of products also had inflows. State Street's S&P 500 ETF had a significant inflow, large - cap products had higher inflows than small - cap ones, and BlackRock's Ethereum ETF had an inflow of over $1 billion. Short - term and high - yield bond products in the bond category had outflows [2][9][12]. 2.2 US ETF Performance: Pacer's Cash - flow Products are Highly Differentiated - Pacer has formed over 15 cash - flow products, covering different directions such as cash - flow, cash - flow growth, and quality cash - flow, including both domestic and international products. The performance of these products varies significantly. The largest US Cash Cows 100 ETF has performed weakly this year, while many global products have had gains of over 20% [14][15]. 3. Recent Fund Flows of US Ordinary Public Funds - In June 2025, the total amount of non - money public funds in the US was $22.69 trillion, an increase of $0.78 trillion compared to May 2025. The scale of US domestic stock products increased by 4.25%, slightly lower than the stock increase. From August 13th to August 20th, US domestic stock funds had an outflow of about $14.4 billion, similar to the previous week, while bond products had an inflow of over $8 billion [2][18].

Core Insights - A-share mid-year report shows revenue and net profit growth remains positive, but the proportion of loss-making stocks is still high [2][10] - The overseas revenue share of A-shares reached a record high of 13.4% in 2025, indicating a trend towards internationalization [10] - The pet food industry is experiencing a trend towards "micro-innovation" and "precision nutrition," with a focus on premium products [3][16] A-share Market Analysis - A-share revenue growth peaked in Q1 2021 at 44.8% and has been on a downward trend for 14 consecutive quarters, with a slight recovery in 2025 [10] - The proportion of loss-making companies in A-shares reached 29.4% in Q2 2025, the highest since 2008 [10] - The profitability of the main board is under pressure, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is showing signs of recovery [10] Pet Food Industry Insights - The 27th Asia Pet Expo in 2025 saw a record number of exhibitors but a decline in the number of participating brands, indicating increased industry concentration [12][3] - Major brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. are focusing on product upgrades and expanding their market presence [3][12] - The trend of "small dog economy" is rising, with leading brands increasing their focus on dog food products [16] Financial Performance of Key Companies - The report highlights that companies like Boss Electric and Wanhe Electric are maintaining stable profitability despite market challenges [22][24] - The pet food sector is seeing significant product innovation, with brands launching new premium products to cater to evolving consumer preferences [3][16] - The overall cash flow and operating cash return in A-shares have improved, indicating better financial health among companies [13]

官 2025 年 08 月 31 日 相关研究 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 quozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 quozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 美联储降息预期强化, th a f 金属&新材料行业周报 20250825-20250829 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 一周行情回顾：据 ifind，环比上周 1）上证指数上涨 0.84%，深证成指上涨 4.36%，沪深 300 上 ● 涨 2.71%，有色金属（申万）指数上涨 7.16%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 4.45 个百分点。2) 分子板块 看，环比上周，贵金属上涨 7.22%，铝上涨 2.03%，能源金属上涨 2.89%，小金属上涨 12.02%， 铜上涨 10.05%，铅锌上涨 4.77 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's PC export business is performing well, with significant growth in AI and HarmonyOS penetration [7] - The first half of 2025 shows signs of a performance turnaround, driven by computing products and overseas markets [7] - The company has secured a large order for customized laptops in Pakistan, increasing its market share from less than 1% to 10% [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 34.615 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.5% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.69 billion yuan in 2025, increasing to 6.46 billion yuan by 2027 [7] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to improve slightly from 12.9% in 2025 to 13.1% in 2027 [6] Market Data - As of August 29, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 59.92 yuan, with a market capitalization of 40.762 billion yuan [2] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 5.6 and a dividend yield of 0.17% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 700 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.82%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 80 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 576.45% [6][10] - The growth in net profit outpaced revenue growth, attributed to improved operational quality and rapid growth in overseas sales, with export revenue reaching 188 million yuan, doubling year-on-year [7][10] - The company is advancing its "global selection and coverage" strategy, with 19 products having obtained overseas commercialization rights and approximately 150 registration applications submitted in over 70 countries/regions [8] - The company has laid out multiple innovative drug pipelines, with 10 innovative drugs disclosed, most of which are global firsts, potentially providing a second growth engine [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.615 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 108 million yuan in 2025, with a significant year-on-year growth of 244.2% [5] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 65.3% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 6.1% [5]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the North Exchange 50 Index decreased by 1.63% this week, with a trading volume of 6.655 billion shares, representing a 17.89% decrease week-on-week. The total trading amount was 164.497 billion yuan, down 21.11% from the previous week [2][19][24]. - The report highlights a structural market trend where growth sectors such as computing power and solid-state batteries are outperforming, despite the overall weakness of the North Exchange beta. Notable performers include Rongyi Precision (+64.38%) and Gebijia (+16.22%) [11][12][37]. - The report suggests that the structural market conditions will favor institutional investors, allowing them to widen the investment return gap, which is expected to dominate the North Exchange in the second half of the year [12][13]. Group 2 - The report notes that there was one new stock listing this week, Balanshi, which saw a first-day price increase of 205.13% and a turnover rate of 80.09%. As of August 29, 2025, there are 274 companies listed on the North Exchange [31][32]. - The report provides insights into the performance of individual stocks, with 63 stocks rising and 208 falling, resulting in a rise-fall ratio of 0.30. The top gainers were Rongyi Precision and Jiezong Technology, while the biggest losers included Jinsai Technology and Hanxin Technology [37][38]. - The report mentions that the North Exchange's PE (TTM) average is 97.42 times, with a median of 50.31 times, indicating a decline in valuation metrics compared to previous periods [23][30]. Group 3 - The report discusses the dynamics of the New Third Board, noting that six companies were newly listed and six were delisted this week, with a planned financing amount of 0.21 billion yuan and completed financing of 0.90 billion yuan [47][49]. - The report highlights the importance of understanding the recent performance of the North Exchange in the context of the overall market dynamics, particularly the impact of institutional investment strategies and sector rotations [12][13].