Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the e-commerce sector, particularly focusing on companies like Alibaba, JD.com, Meituan, and Pinduoduo, which are expected to benefit from advancements in AI technology and the growth of instant retail [4][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant performance upgrade of Google's Gemini 3 model, which shows improvements in mathematical reasoning, code generation, and cross-modal understanding, marking a shift from "scale competition" to "execution capability competition" in AI technology [4][7]. - Alibaba's integration of its AI product ecosystem under the "Qwen" brand has led to the rapid growth of the Qwen App, which achieved over 10 million downloads in its first week, indicating strong potential in the consumer AI market [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the transition of AI image capabilities from consumer entertainment to business production, suggesting a structural reduction in costs and increased efficiency in global retail marketing systems [11][9]. Market Performance Overview - During the period from November 24 to November 28, 2025, the commerce retail index increased by 3.45%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.81 percentage points, ranking 9th among Shenwan's primary industries [4][25]. - The social services index rose by 3.92%, also surpassing the CSI 300 index by 2.28 percentage points, ranking 6th among Shenwan's primary industries [4][25]. Company Updates - The report notes that Alibaba's Qwen App has been positioned as an "AI super entrance" for consumer-facing applications, integrating various high-frequency scenarios within Alibaba's ecosystem, including maps, shopping, and payment services [22][16]. - The report also mentions significant stock performance within the commerce retail sector, with notable gains for companies such as Maoye Commercial (+51.11%) and Guangbai Co. (+18.72%) during the specified week [31][38]. Industry Developments - The report discusses the launch of Alibaba's cross-border e-commerce AI assistant "Ao Xia," which aims to provide a one-stop service for cross-border entrepreneurs, enhancing product selection and communication efficiency [45][43]. - It highlights the ongoing trend of AI technology application in various sectors, indicating a shift towards practical implementations that enhance operational efficiency and user engagement [4][11].

上 市 公 司 公用事业 2025 年 12 月 01 日 中国燃气 (00384) | 市场数据： | 2025 年 11 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 8.60 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9130.18 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 8.85/5.97 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 468.54 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 5,448.15 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.9100 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -3% 17% 37% 57% 11/28 12/28 01/28 02/28 03/31 04/30 05/31 06/30 07/31 08/31 09/30 10/31 HSCEI 中国燃气 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com —— 气量毛差承压 自由现金流再创新 ...

王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 站玩人行业 证券分析师 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 — 申万公用环保周报(25/11/24~25/11/28) 本期投资提示: 公用事亦 2025 年 12 月 01 日 相关研究 多地规范售电批零价差 欧亚 第12年 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 电力：广东发函规范售电批零价差。广东电力交易中心发布关于征求广东电力零售市场交易结算 有关事项意见的函（广东交易函〔2025〕11 号)。自 2026 年起，拟对各售电公司月度平均度电 批零差价高于差价收益上限 0.01 元/千瓦时的部分，按照 1:9 比例由售电公司与零售用户分享。今 年以陕西、安徽、四川、山东、新疆为代表的多个省区相继出台针对售电公 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The report indicates that the ETFs in the technology TMT sector are warming up. The index product market is active, with a significant number of product listings, new launches, and filings. In the recent week, most major broad - based ETFs in the A - share market, as well as those in the Hong Kong and US markets, have seen price increases, especially in the technology and cross - border sectors [1][3][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Fund - raising, and Filing - **Product Listing and Establishment**: 8 ETF products, such as Morgan Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF and Bosera Industrial Software ETF, were listed, and 17 products, including CICC CSI A500 Index Enhancement A and Penghua CSI 500 Index Quantitative Enhancement A, were established [1][5]. - **Product Fund - raising Information**: In the coming week, 15 index products, like Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF, will end their fund - raising, and 13 products, such as Fuguo Hang Seng Biotechnology ETF, will start [7]. - **Product Filing Information**: A total of 60 index products were filed in the recent week. Among them, 28 science and technology innovation board - themed products accounted for half. 12 fund companies, including Southern and E Fund, filed for the CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship Robot ETF [2][10]. 3.2 ETF Market Review - **Broad - based ETFs**: Most major broad - based ETFs in the A - share market rose, with the ChiNext 50 ETF and Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF increasing by 4.65% and 3.22% respectively. In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Internet rose 3.11%. In the US market, the Nasdaq ETF and S&P 500 ETF increased by 4.99% and 4.59% respectively. The gold ETF in the commodity ETF category rose 2.55% [3][13]. - **Industry ETFs**: Most major industry ETFs in the A - share market rose. The technology category had relatively high increases, with the communication ETF rising the most at 8.85%, followed by the electronics ETF and chip ETF, which increased by 5.23% and 4.73% respectively [3]. - **Cross - border ETFs**: All major broad - based cross - border market indices rose. The China - South Korea Semiconductor and Nasdaq 100 had the highest increases, at 5.17% and 4.93% respectively. The Huatai - Peregrine CSI KRX China - South Korea Semiconductor ETF led the gains at 7.66% [18]. 3.3 ETF Fund Flow - **Overall Scale**: As of November 28, 2025, there were 1,369 ETFs in the entire market, with a total scale of 5,688.698 billion yuan, an increase of 85.044 billion yuan from the previous week. The A - share and cross - border ETFs ranked first and second in scale [3]. - **Net Inflow and Outflow**: Among non - monetary ETFs, the ETFs targeting Shanghai - listed market - making treasury bonds had the largest net inflow of 2.942 billion yuan, while the ETFs tracking the ChiNext Index had the largest net outflow of 6.867 billion yuan [3]. - **High - inflow Products**: Huaxia Shanghai Benchmark Market - making Treasury Bond ETF and Dacheng CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had high fund inflows, at 2.942 billion and 2.426 billion yuan respectively. Haifutong CSI Short - term Financing ETF and Bosera CSI Convertible Bond and Exchangeable Bond ETF had high liquidity, with average daily trading volumes of 23.01 billion and 10.005 billion yuan respectively [30].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The ETFs in the technology TMT sector are warming up, with a large number of index products being established, raised, and declared, and the US stock ETFs leading in terms of gains [1][3][13] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Raising, and Declaration - **Product Establishment and Listing**: 8 ETF products, including Morgan Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF and Boshi Industrial Software ETF, were listed, and 17 products, including Chuangjin Hexin CSI A500 Index Enhancement A and Penghua CSI 500 Index Quantitative Enhancement A, were established [1][6] - **Product Issuance Information**: 15 index products, such as Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF, will end their raising in the next week, and 13 index products, including Fuguo Hang Seng Biotechnology ETF, will start their raising [1][8] - **Product Declaration Information**: A total of 60 index products were declared in the recent week, among which 28 science - innovation - board theme products accounted for half. 12 fund companies, including Southern and E Fund, declared the CSI Science - Innovation and Entrepreneurship Robot ETF [2][10] 3.2 ETF Market Review - **Overall Market Performance**: Most of the major broad - based ETFs in the A - share market rose, with the GEM 50 ETF and the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF rising by 4.65% and 3.22% respectively; the Hang Seng Internet rose by 3.11%; the major broad - based ETFs in the US stock market had prominent gains, with the Nasdaq ETF rising by 4.99% and the S&P 500 ETF rising by 4.59%; the gold ETF rose by 2.55% [3][13] - **Industry - Specific Performance**: Most of the major industry ETFs in the A - share market rose. The technology sector had relatively high gains, with the communication ETF rising by 8.85%, and the electronics ETF and the chip ETF rising by 5.23% and 4.73% respectively [3][16] - **Cross - border ETF Performance**: All the major broad - based indexes in the cross - border markets rose, with the China - South Korea Semiconductor and the Nasdaq 100 rising by 5.17% and 4.93% respectively. Huatai - Peregrine CSI KRX China - South Korea Semiconductor ETF led the gains with a 7.66% increase [19] 3.3 ETF Fund Flows - **Overall Scale**: As of November 28, 2025, there were 1369 ETFs in the whole market, with a total scale of 56886.98 billion yuan, an increase of 850.44 billion yuan from the previous week. The A - share ETFs and cross - border ETFs ranked in the top two in terms of scale [25] - **Fund Inflows and Outflows**: Among the non - currency ETFs, the ETFs with the Shanghai - listed Market - Making Treasury Bonds as the underlying had the largest net fund inflows of 29.42 billion yuan, while the ETFs tracking the GEM Index had the largest net outflows of 68.67 billion yuan [3][29] - **High - Inflow and High - Liquidity ETFs**: Huaxia Shanghai Benchmark Market - Making Treasury Bond ETF and Dacheng CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had relatively high fund inflows, with 29.42 billion yuan and 24.26 billion yuan respectively. Haifutong CSI Short - Term Notes ETF and Boshi CSI Convertible Bonds and Exchangeable Bonds ETF had high liquidity, with average daily trading volumes of 230.10 billion yuan and 100.05 billion yuan respectively [32]

相关研究 证券分析师 2025 年 12 月 01 日 扬帆出海，2026 关注哪些方向？ 2026 年出海展望 陆灏川 A0230520080001 luhc@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 马天一 A0230525040004 maty@swsresearch.com 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 刘正 A0230518100001 liuzheng@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 周文远 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment outlook for the public utilities and environmental sectors, particularly in the context of recent regulatory changes and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the regulatory measures in various provinces aimed at standardizing the retail price differences in electricity sales, which is expected to stabilize market expectations and improve the profitability of electricity sales companies [3][7]. - It notes the fluctuating natural gas prices globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices are declining, indicating a complex supply-demand landscape influenced by geopolitical factors and seasonal demand [12][22]. - The report provides specific investment recommendations across various segments, including hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, green energy, and gas-related companies, reflecting a diversified approach to capitalize on emerging opportunities [10][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Regulation of Retail Price Differences - Guangdong has issued guidelines to regulate the retail price differences, proposing a sharing mechanism for excess profits above a set threshold starting in 2026 [7]. - Several provinces have introduced detailed policies to manage retail price differences, aiming to prevent excessive profits by electricity sales companies and ensure fair pricing for consumers [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the need for a shift from aggressive pricing strategies to a service-oriented business model for electricity sales companies, which could stabilize market expectations [9]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Price Fluctuations - As of November 28, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $4.59/mmBtu, reflecting an 11.13% weekly increase, while European prices, such as TTF, fell by 5.37% to €28.75/MWh [12][13]. - The report notes that U.S. natural gas demand has surged due to cold weather, despite record production levels, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [16]. - In Northeast Asia, LNG prices have decreased to $10.90/mmBtu, down 6.52% week-on-week, driven by weak demand and high inventory levels [31][34]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable autumn floods are expected to enhance hydropower generation capacity for the winter and spring, with recommendations for major hydropower companies [10]. - Thermal Power: The diversification of revenue sources in thermal power companies is highlighted, with recommendations for integrated coal and power companies [11]. - Nuclear Power: The report suggests focusing on nuclear power companies due to stable cost structures and expected growth from new approvals [11]. - Green Energy: The introduction of new market rules for renewable energy is expected to stabilize returns for green energy operators [11]. - Gas and Environmental Companies: Recommendations include integrated gas trading companies and environmentally focused firms benefiting from regulatory changes [37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating an expectation of strong performance relative to the overall market [3][23]. Core Insights - The report anticipates accelerated task deliveries in Q4, leading to improved performance compared to previous quarters. The upcoming orders during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are expected to be a catalyst for investment [3]. - Geopolitical uncertainties are driving increased demand for consumable military equipment and military trade, presenting significant investment opportunities. The global military trade market has shown a notable expansion in potential demand for Chinese military equipment, particularly in the Middle East and Asia [3]. - The report suggests a focus on new main battle equipment, consumable weapons, military trade, and military intelligence as key investment areas [3]. - The military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The report highlights a significant recovery in performance expected in Q4, with military orders experiencing a pulse-like growth since Q1 of this year [3]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index rose by 2.85%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 1.52%. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.4%, and the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.64%. The Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index underperformed the ChiNext Index but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index [4][10]. - The average increase in the CSI Civil-Military Integration Index was 4.97%, indicating strong performance in this segment [4]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector last week were: - Saiwei Electronics (44.85%) - TeFa Information (34.07%) - Leike Defense (32.3%) - Aerospace Power (32.22%) - Zhongtian Rocket (21.6%) [10]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing stocks were: - Beihua Co. (-11.59%) - Guorui Technology (-4.84%) - Yaxing Anchor Chain (-3.56%) - Chenxi Aviation (-3.2%) - Aileda (-2.71%) [11]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Industry Index is 77.60, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 65.76% since January 2014 and 92.45% since January 2019. The aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are noted to be at relatively high valuation levels since 2020 [12][16].

2025 年 12 月 01 日 大股票池配置仍偏价值, PPI 关注 升至最高 -量化资产配置月报 202512 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensv@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denqhu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 大股票池配置仍偏价值。按照定量指标的结果，目前经济出现回升、流动性略偏紧，信用 指标略好，微观映射中经济（盈利预期）继续向上但强度未触发修正，而流动性、信用都 修正为偏弱，因此宏观各维度的方向为经济好转、流动性偏弱和信用收缩。本期我们主要 按照对经济敏感、对信用不敏感来选择得分前三的因子，成长的宏观得分偏低，宏观部分 选择以价值、低波为主；沪深 300、中证 500 中价值都为共振因子，中证 500 中不再配 置成长，而中证 1000 成长得分仍靠前。 大类资产配置观点：黄金配置比例再次提高。目前经济上行、流动性偏紧、信用收缩，债 ● 券的观点偏弱，黄金由于动量回升重新配置到上 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [23]. Core Insights - The defense and military sector is expected to see accelerated task deliveries in Q4, with a potential increase in orders towards the end of the year, serving as a catalyst for investment [3]. - Geopolitical uncertainties are driving demand for consumable military equipment and military trade, presenting significant investment opportunities [3]. - The report highlights a strong correlation between supply and demand in the global military trade market, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, which is expected to continue [3]. - Key investment areas include new main battle equipment, consumable weapons, military trade, and military intelligence [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of specific stocks within the military sector, particularly those related to high-end combat capabilities and new quality combat forces [3]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 2.85%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 1.52%. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.4%, and the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.64% [4][11]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector were: - Saiwei Electronics (44.85%) - TeFa Information (34.07%) - Leike Defense (32.3%) - Aerospace Power (32.22%) - Zhongtian Rocket (21.6%) [11]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing stocks were: - Beihua Co. (-11.59%) - Guorui Technology (-4.84%) - Yaxing Anchor Chain (-3.56%) - Chenxi Aviation (-3.2%) - Aileda (-2.71%) [12]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Sector is 77.60, indicating it is in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 65.76% since January 2014 and 92.45% since January 2019 [12][13]. - The report notes a slight differentiation in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [12].