Rui Da Qi Huo
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瑞达期货沪铅产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:51
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The overall supply of Shanghai lead is expected to increase slightly next week. Due to the diminishing marginal effect of national subsidies on consumption, domestic inventories will increase slightly while overseas inventories will decline again. Although lead prices are expected to continue rising in the short term, overall demand is gradually weakening. It is recommended to short on rallies [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai lead main contract is 17,175 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan; the 08 - 09 month contract spread of Shanghai lead is -20 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; the Shanghai lead open interest is 89,789 lots, up 1,267 lots; the net position of the top 20 in Shanghai lead is -347 lots, down 310 lots; the Shanghai lead warehouse receipts are 50,608 tons, up 2,895 tons; the SHFE inventory is 53,303 tons, up 1,374 tons; the LME 3 - month lead quote is 2,044 dollars/ton, up 6.5 dollars; the LME lead inventory is 258,075 tons, down 1,900 tons [3] 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of 1 lead in Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network is 17,000 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan; the spot price of 1 lead in Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals Market is 17,200 yuan/ton, up 170 yuan; the basis of the lead main contract is -175 yuan/ton, up 85 yuan; the LME lead premium (0 - 3) is -23.04 dollars/ton, down 83.34 dollars; the price of 50% - 60% lead concentrate in Jiyuan is 16,320 yuan, up 24 yuan; the price of domestic secondary lead (≥98.5%) is 16,960 yuan/ton, up 130 yuan; the capacity utilization rate of secondary lead is 34.15%, up 0.71%; the number of secondary lead production enterprises is 68, down 0.8; the monthly output of secondary lead is 22.42 tons, down 6.75 tons [3] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average operating rate of primary lead is 79.05%, up 2.26%; the weekly output of primary lead is 3.63 tons, up 0.05 tons; the processing fee of 60% lead concentrate at major ports is -50 dollars/kiloton, down 10 dollars/kiloton; the ILZSG lead supply - demand balance is 16.4 kilotons, up 48.8 kilotons; the global lead mine output is 399.7 kilotons, down 3.7 kilotons; the monthly lead ore import volume is 11.97 tons, up 2.48 tons [3] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly refined lead import volume is 815.37 tons, down 1,021.76 tons; the monthly refined lead export volume is 2,109.62 tons, up 223.33 tons; the average domestic processing fee of lead concentrate to the factory is 560 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan/ton; the average market price of waste batteries is 10,167.86 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton [3] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The monthly export volume of batteries is 41,450 units, down 425 units; the average price of lead - antimony alloy (for batteries, 2% antimony content) is 20,550 yuan/ton, up 75 yuan/ton; the Shenwan industry index of batteries and other cells is 1,743.88 points, up 9.25 points; the monthly automobile output is 264.2 tons, up 3.8 tons; the monthly new energy vehicle output is 164.7 tons, up 7.3 tons [3] 3.6 Industry News - Trump announced that tariffs will start on August 1st without any extension, with a 50% tariff on imported copper and a possible up - to - 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, and will soon announce tariffs on semiconductors; the US Secretary of Commerce expects to issue 15 - 20 more tariff letters in the next two days, copper tariffs will be implemented in late July or August 1st, and the research on pharmaceutical and semiconductor tariffs will be completed by the end of the month; the US Treasury Secretary said that as of now, 100 billion dollars in tariffs have been collected, and it is expected to reach 300 billion dollars by the end of the year; the US Department of Defense announced to provide more defensive weapons to Ukraine [3]
瑞达期货工业硅产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:50
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 2: Core View of the Report - Supply side remains loose with expected production increases from large and small enterprises, especially in the Southwest due to lower electricity prices and government subsidies in Xinjiang's Yili region [2] - Demand from the three major downstream industries (organic silicon, polysilicon, and aluminum alloy) for industrial silicon is slowing down, with organic silicon expected to have higher costs and lower production next week, polysilicon in a reduced - load operation state with decreased demand, and aluminum alloy in a passive de - stocking phase [2] - It is recommended to temporarily observe in the short term and maintain a high - selling strategy for the medium - to - long term [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 8140 yuan/ton, down 75 yuan; the main contract position is 399029 lots, up 11907 lots; the net position of the top 20 is - 93605 lots, down 8706 lots; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt is 50792 lots, down 285 lots; the price spread between August and September industrial silicon is 5 yuan, unchanged [2] Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - passing 553 silicon is 8750 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon is 9050 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the Si main contract is 610 yuan/ton, up 75 yuan; the DMC spot price is 10560 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Upstream Situation - The average price of silica is 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke is 1720 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan; the average price of clean coal is 1850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips is 490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of graphite electrode (400mm) is 12250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Industry Situation - The monthly industrial silicon output is 305200 tons, up 5500 tons; the weekly industrial silicon social inventory is 55.2 tons, up 1 ton; the monthly industrial silicon import volume is 2211.36 tons, up 71.51 tons; the monthly industrial silicon export volume is 52919.65 tons, down 12197.89 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organic silicon DMC is 4.49 tons, up 0.07 tons; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot is 20100 yuan/ton, unchanged; the weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 4.22 dollars/kg, unchanged; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 15.75 dollars/kg, unchanged; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy is 24179.3 tons, up 7624.27 tons; the weekly operating rate of organic silicon DMC is 68.24%, up 1.07%; the monthly aluminum alloy output is 164.5 tons, up 11.7 tons; the monthly aluminum alloy export volume is 20187.85 tons, down 337.93 tons [2] Industry News - There are frequent rumors in the industrial silicon and polysilicon markets, which need further verification; Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on imported copper starting from August 1 [2] Key Points of Attention - No news today [2]
瑞达期货沪锡产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:50
情增加,不过现货升水维持400元/吨,国内库存小幅增加。而海外延续去库,LME注销仓单增加。技术面 研究员: 王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 ,持仓增量空头增强,关注MA60支撑,重回前期震荡区间。操作上,建议暂时观望,参考26.0-26.8。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 | | | 沪锡产业日报 2025-07-09 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | 262890 | -2590 LME3个月锡(日,美元/吨) | 33320 | 60 | | | 8月-9月合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | -30 | 70 主力合约持仓量:沪锡(日,手) | 26633 | 388 | | ...
瑞达期货纯碱玻璃产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:50
Report Information - Report Title: Soda Ash and Glass Industry Daily Report 2025-07-09 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For soda ash, supply remains ample while demand contracts, and prices will continue to face pressure. It is recommended to go short on the soda ash main contract when it rises, and consider buying put options for protection recently [2]. - For glass, in the short term, it is advisable to go long on dips, while in the long - term, the thinking of going short on rallies should be maintained. The rebound height and strength are expected to be limited [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Soda ash main contract closing price is 1194 yuan/ton, up 16 yuan; glass main contract closing price is 1035 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [2]. - Soda ash and glass price difference is 159 yuan/ton, up 6 yuan; soda ash main contract open interest is 1,615,142 lots, down 78,753 lots; glass main contract open interest is 1,526,305 lots, down 46,116 lots [2]. - Soda ash top 20 net position is -391,471 lots, down 1,826 lots; glass top 20 net position is -386,664 lots, up 5,285 lots [2]. - Soda ash exchange warehouse receipts are 3,736 tons, down 297 tons; glass exchange warehouse receipts are 799 tons, down 3 tons [2]. - Soda ash September - January contract spread is -43 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan; glass September - January contract spread is -97 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - Soda ash basis is -26 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan; glass basis is 41 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [2]. Spot Market - North China heavy soda ash is 1,168 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; Central China heavy soda ash is 1,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - East China light soda ash is 1,170 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China light soda ash is 1,155 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - Shahe glass sheets are 1,076 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China glass sheets are 1,070 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - Soda ash plant operating rate is 81.32%, down 0.89 percentage points; float glass enterprise operating rate is 75.68%, up 0.68 percentage points [2]. - Glass in - production capacity is 15.78 million tons/year, up 0.1 million tons; glass in - production production lines are 222, unchanged [2]. - Soda ash enterprise inventory is 1.8481 million tons, up 38,600 tons; glass enterprise inventory is 69.085 million weight boxes, down 131,000 weight boxes [2]. Downstream Situation - Cumulative real - estate new construction area is 183.8514 million square meters, with an increase; cumulative real - estate completion area is 27.3729 million square meters [2]. Industry News - President Xi Jinping pointed out during an inspection in Shanxi that China should aim to build an important energy and raw materials base at a high level and develop wind power, photovoltaic power generation, hydrogen energy and other energies to build a new energy system [2]. - US media reported that the US Treasury Secretary said that she plans to hold talks with China in the coming weeks to promote consultations on issues such as Sino - US trade [2]. - Australian Prime Minister Albanese will pay an official visit to China from July 12 to 18 at the invitation of Chinese Premier Li Qiang [2]. - The General Office of the State Council issued the "Opinions on Improving the Normalized Promotion Mechanism for Key Matters of 'Efficiently Completing One Thing'" [2]. - The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to Trump's announcement of additional tariffs on 14 countries, stating that tariff wars and trade wars have no winners, and protectionism harms the interests of all parties [2].
合成橡胶产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:50
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoint - In the short - term, the br2509 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 11,000 - 11,400 yuan/ton. Last week, influenced by the weak raw material market and continuous shipping pressure, domestic cis - butadiene rubber enterprise inventories decreased slightly. However, downstream shipping pressure remains high, and production enterprise and trading enterprise inventories are expected to increase slightly. The capacity utilization rate of domestic tire enterprises decreased last week, but this week, as enterprise maintenance ends, it will enter the production recovery phase, which will drive up the overall capacity utilization rate of tire enterprises [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract for synthetic rubber is 11,310 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 5 yuan/ton; the position of the main contract is 27,783 lots, with a week - on - week decrease of 250 lots. The spread between August and September for synthetic rubber is 70 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 15 yuan/ton. The total number of warehouse receipts for butadiene rubber in warehouses is 1,600 tons, with no week - on - week change [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The mainstream price of BR9000 cis - butadiene rubber from Qilu Petrochemical in Shandong is 11,450 yuan/ton, with no week - on - week change; the mainstream price of BR9000 cis - butadiene rubber from Daqing Petrochemical in Shandong is 11,300 yuan/ton, with no week - on - week change. The mainstream price of BR9000 cis - butadiene rubber from Daqing Petrochemical in Shanghai is 11,300 yuan/ton, with no week - on - week change; the mainstream price of BR9000 cis - butadiene rubber from Maoming Petrochemical in Guangdong is 11,400 yuan/ton, with no week - on - week change. The basis of synthetic rubber is 140 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 5 yuan/ton [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The price of Brent crude oil is $70.15 per barrel, with a week - on - week increase of $0.57; the price of WTI crude oil is $68.33 per barrel, with a week - on - week increase of $0.4. The price of Northeast Asian ethylene is $820 per ton, with no week - on - week change; the price of naphtha CFR Japan is $586.5 per ton, with a week - on - week increase of $9.5; the intermediate price of butadiene CFR China is $1,060 per ton, with no week - on - week change. The market price of butadiene in the Shandong market is 9,150 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 300 yuan/ton. The weekly production capacity of butadiene is 147,800 tons, with no week - on - week change; the utilization rate of butadiene production capacity is 70.91%, with a week - on - week increase of 1.16 percentage points. The port inventory of butadiene is 22,330 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 5,120 tons; the operating rate of Shandong local refineries' atmospheric and vacuum distillation units is 44.97%, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.05 percentage points [2]. 3.4 Production and Inventory of Cis - Butadiene Rubber - The monthly production of cis - butadiene rubber is 122,500 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 16,900 tons; the weekly utilization rate of cis - butadiene rubber production capacity is 66.98%, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.56 percentage points. The weekly production profit of cis - butadiene rubber is - 164 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 414 yuan/ton. The weekly social inventory of cis - butadiene rubber is 33,200 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 900 tons; the weekly enterprise inventory of cis - butadiene rubber is 26,350 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 1,300 tons; the weekly trader inventory of cis - butadiene rubber is 6,800 tons, with a week - on - week increase of 430 tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly operating rate of domestic semi - steel tires is 70.41%, with a week - on - week decrease of 7.64 percentage points; the weekly operating rate of domestic all - steel tires is 63.75%, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.89 percentage points. The monthly production of all - steel tires is 12.62 million pieces, with a month - on - month increase of 800,000 pieces; the monthly production of semi - steel tires is 55.23 million pieces, with a month - on - month increase of 1.08 million pieces. The inventory days of all - steel tires in Shandong are 40.45 days, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.48 days; the inventory days of semi - steel tires in Shandong are 46.48 days, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.67 days [2]. 3.6 Industry News - As of July 3, the inventory of high - cis cis - butadiene rubber sample enterprises in China was 33,200 tons, a decrease of 900 tons from the previous period (June 25, 2025), a week - on - week decrease of 2.56%. As of July 3, the capacity utilization rate of semi - steel tire sample enterprises in China was 64.13%, a week - on - week decrease of 6.27 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 15.85 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of all - steel tire sample enterprises was 61.53%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.70 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 0.96 percentage points. In June 2025, China's heavy - truck market sold approximately 92,000 vehicles (wholesale basis, including exports and new energy), a month - on - month increase of 4% from May and a year - on - year increase of approximately 29%. From January to June 2025, the cumulative sales of China's heavy - truck market were approximately 533,300 vehicles, a year - on - year increase of approximately 6% [2].
苹果产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:45
何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 中于陕北地区,其余产区清库。总体来说,夏季消暑水果大量上市,冲击苹果需求,走货速度放缓,现货 价格偏弱调整,拖累期价走势,不过当前库存处于五年同期低位,对价格具有较强支撑,仍以震荡走势看 数据来源第三方(我的农产品网、中果网、郑商所),观点仅供参考,市场有风险,入市需谨慎! 研究员: 张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0018457 待。后续继续关注产量情况。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 苹果产业日报 2025-07-09 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:苹果(日,元/吨) | 7743 | 85 10月合约收 ...
瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:41
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report [2] 2. Core Viewpoints - In the domestic market, the textile industry is in the off - season, with poor new orders and a slow decline in the overall operating rate. Enterprises are cautious in purchasing raw materials. Cotton is in the de - stocking state, and high - temperature weather in some Xinjiang areas increases the risk of heat damage to cotton, supporting a slightly stronger price trend, but the slow de - stocking process drags down the price rhythm, so the overall trend is slightly stronger with oscillations. One should also be vigilant about macro - factor risks [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the futures main contract for red dates is 10,425 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 10; the main contract's position volume is 136,908 lots, an increase of 1,239; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 11,018 lots, a decrease of 239; the number of warehouse receipts is 8,893 lots, an increase of 209; the effective warehouse receipt forecast is 1,745 lots, a decrease of 209 [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The wholesale price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei is 6 yuan/jin, in Henan is 4.3 yuan/jin; the wholesale price of special - grade red dates in Henan is 9.8 yuan/kg, in Hebei is 9.73 yuan/kg (a decrease of 0.02 yuan/kg), in Guangdong is 11 yuan/kg (an increase of 0.2 yuan/kg); the first - grade red dates price in Guangdong is 9.6 yuan/kg (an increase of 0.2 yuan/kg). The unified prices of red dates in Aksu, Alar, and Kashgar are 4.8 yuan/kg, 5.2 yuan/kg, and the price of Aksu is unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Market - The annual output of red dates is 318.7 million tons, and the planting area is 199.3 million hectares, a decrease of 4.1 million hectares [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The national red date inventory is 10,520 tons, a decrease of 168 tons; the monthly export volume of red dates is 2,229,227 kg, a decrease of 132,571 kg; the cumulative export volume is 15,350,567 kg [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The wholesale price of red dates in the Hexi Agricultural and Sideline Products Market in Taiyuan, Shanxi is 1.47 yuan/kg, a decrease of 8 yuan/kg; the cumulative sales volume of red dates of好想你is 36,480.43 tons, a decrease of 2,981.06 tons; the cumulative year - on - year production of red dates of好想youis - 34.59% [2] 3.6 Industry News - On July 9th, in the Aksu area, it rained with a temperature between 18 - 28°C, which is suitable for fruit setting. Jujube farmers are actively managing their orchards, and the jujube trees are gradually entering the physiological fruit - dropping stage. One should pay attention to the fruit - setting situation and weather changes. Internationally, as of the week ending July 6, 2025, the boll - setting rate of US cotton is 14% (up from 9% last week, compared to 18% last year and a five - year average of 15%), the budding rate is 48% (up from 40% last week, compared to 51% last year and a five - year average of 49%), and the good - to - excellent rate is 52% (up from 51% last week, compared to 45% last year). Recent weather is conducive to crop growth, and combined with a stronger US dollar and a weaker grain market, it has pushed down the price of US cotton. The US is imposing tariffs on imported products from countries such as Japan and South Korea, and Trump has threatened to impose a new 10% tariff on BRICS countries [2]
瑞达期货集运指数(欧线)期货日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:41
本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不 做任何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状 | | | 集运指数(欧线)期货日报 | | | 2025/7/9 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 环比 数据指标 最新 | | | | 环比 | | | EC主力收盘价 | 2012.500 | | 33.5↑ EC次主力收盘价 | 1390 | | +2.30↑ | | 期货盘面 | EC2508-EC2510价差 622.50 +11.00↑ EC2508-EC2512价差 458.80 | | | | | +27.90↑ | | EC合约基差 | 245.54 -6.30↓ | | | | | | | 期货持仓头寸(手) EC主力持仓量 | 31348 -3709↓ | | | | | | | SCFIS(欧线)(周) | 2258.04 134.80↑ SCFIS(美西线)(周) 1,557. ...
瑞达期货生猪产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:41
| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | 期货主力合约收盘价:生猪(日,元/吨) | 14265 | -10 主力合约持仓量:生猪(日,手) | 71740 | -1328 | | | 仓单数量:生猪(日,手) | 447 | 0 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:生猪(日,手) | -15744 | -4712 | | 现货价格 | 生猪价 河南 驻马店(日,元/吨) | 15000 | 0 生猪价 吉林 四平(日,元/吨) | 14600 | 0 | | | 生猪价 广东 云浮(日,元/吨) | 16500 | 0 生猪主力基差(日,元/吨) | 735 | 10 | | 上游情况 | 生猪存栏(月,万头) | 41731 | -1012 生猪存栏:能繁母猪(月,万头) | 4042 | 4 | | 产业情况 | CPI:当月同比(月,%) | -0.1 | 0 现货价:豆粕:张家港(日,元/吨) | 2800 | 0 | | | 玉米现货价 | 2427.45 | -3.92 ...
瑞达期货碳酸锂产业日报-20250709
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 08:41
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of lithium carbonate still show a situation of excessive supply and weak demand for now, but industry expectations have improved, and the supply - demand situation may gradually improve. The option market sentiment is bullish, with the implied volatility slightly decreasing. The operation suggestion is to conduct light - position short - selling transactions at high prices and control risks by paying attention to trading rhythms [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 64,400 yuan/ton, up 520 yuan; the net position of the top 20 is - 93,307 hands, down 23,240 hands; the position of the main contract is 326,895 hands, down 11,139 hands; the spread between near and far - month contracts is 540 yuan/ton, down 820 yuan; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt is 12,655 hands/ton, down 2,900 hands [2]. Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 63,300 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 61,700 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract is - 1,100 yuan/ton, down 120 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) is 696 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite is 5,340 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; the price of lepidolite (2 - 2.5%) is 1,716 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan [2]. Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate is 42,100 tons, down 5,800 tons; the monthly import volume is 21,145.78 tons, down 7,190.11 tons; the monthly export volume is 286.74 tons, down 447.55 tons; the monthly operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises is 47%, down 6 percentage points; the monthly output of power batteries is 123,500 MWh, up 5,300 MWh [2]. Downstream and Application - The prices of some downstream products such as manganese - acid lithium are rising, while the prices of some others like cobalt - acid lithium remain unchanged. The production, sales, and export of new energy vehicles are increasing, and the cumulative sales penetration rate is also rising. The 20 - day and 40 - day average volatilities of the underlying are decreasing, and in the option market, the total subscription position and the total put position are increasing, and the put - call ratio of the total position is decreasing [2]. Option Situation - The total subscription position is 126,217 contracts, up 16,240; the total put position is 45,203 contracts, up 847; the put - call ratio of the total position is 35.81%, down 4.5184%; the implied volatility of at - the - money IV is 0.23%, down 0.0016% [2]. Industry News - In June, the production and retail of passenger cars and new energy vehicles increased year - on - year. From January to June, the production and retail of passenger cars and new energy vehicles also increased year - on - year. In 2024, the national new energy vehicle ownership increased more than five - fold compared to the end of the 13th Five - Year Plan. From January to May 2025, the automobile production increased year - on - year, but the profit decreased. A super - large lithium deposit has been discovered in Linwu County, Hunan Province [2]. Technical Analysis - On the 60 - minute MACD chart, the double lines are above the 0 - axis, and the green bars have just appeared [2].