Group 1: Report Information - The report is the Pulp Morning Report by the Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center on December 22, 2025 [2] Group 2: SP Main Contract Information - The closing price of the SP main contract on December 19, 2025, was 5506.00 [3] - The closing prices on December 15 - 18, 2025, were 5572.00, 5468.00, 5506.00, and 5500.00 respectively [3] - The exchange - rate - converted US dollar prices on December 15 - 19, 2025, were 690.59, 678.31, 682.74, 682.39, and 683.23 respectively [3] - The daily price changes from December 15 - 19, 2025, were 0.68666%, - 1.86648%, 0.69495%, - 0.10897%, and 0.10909% respectively [3] - The Shandong Yinxing basis on December 15 - 19, 2025, was - 7, 72, 34, 40, and 19 respectively [3] - The Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing basis on December 15 - 19, 2025, was - 22, 82, 34, 40, and 29 respectively [3] Group 3: Import Profit Information - With a 13% VAT calculation, for Canadian Golden Lion (CFR), the port US dollar price is 780, the Shandong region RMB price is 6300, and the import profit is 24.94 [4] - For Canadian Lion (CFR), the port US dollar price is 730, the Shandong region RMB price is 5525, and the import profit is - 352.30 [4] - For Chilean Yinxing (CFR letter of credit 90 days), the port US dollar price is 700, the Shandong region RMB price is 5525, and the import profit is - 113.64 [4] Group 4: Pulp and Paper Price and Margin Information - From December 15 - 19, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged at 6073.75, 4810.75, 5415.00, and 3686.25 respectively [4] - The Shandong region average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp also remained unchanged at 6245.00, 4775.00, 5400.00, and 3600.00 respectively [4] - From December 16 - 19, 2025, the cultural paper (double - offset index, double - copper index), packaging paper (white - card index), and living paper (living index) prices remained unchanged at 5725, 5670, 4350, and 850 respectively [4] - From December 16 - 19, 2025, the double - offset profit margin remained at - 4.2524%, the double - copper profit margin remained at 6.1333%, and the white - card profit margin remained at - 8.8568% [4] - The living paper profit margin changed from 2.9505% on December 16 to 3.2295% on December 19, with a change of 0.1302 [4] - From December 15 - 19, 2025, the softwood - hardwood price difference was 900, 875, 875, 890, and 875 respectively [4] - The softwood - natural price difference was 165, 140, 140, 140, and 125 respectively [4] - The softwood - chemimechanical price difference was 1715, 1690, 1690, 1690, and 1675 respectively [4] - The softwood - waste paper price difference was 3989, 3964, 3964, 3964, and 3949 respectively [4]

焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/12/22 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1540.20 | 0.00 | -54.61 | -109.23 | -10.31% 高炉开工率 | 84.93 | | -0.99 | -3.65 | -2.69% | | 河北准一干熄 | 1790.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -110.00 | 7.83% 铁水日均产量 | 226.55 | | -2.65 | -9.73 | -1.25% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1715.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -110.00 | -9.74% 盘面05 | 1730 | 17.50 | 68.00 | -56.00 | -5.15% | | 江苏准一干熄 | 1755.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | -110.00 | -9.54% 盘面09 | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Report's Core View - For copper, the long - term TC of copper concentrate for next year is set at $0/ton, slightly higher than the previous market rumor. The overall fundamentals have no significant changes, and it is expected to be in a pattern of slight inventory accumulation. With overseas liquidity remaining loose, the copper price should be bought on dips, with the expected price range in December being $10,800 - $12,000 [1] - For aluminum, the import volume of primary aluminum decreased significantly in November, while exports increased. Domestic apparent demand is weak, and short - term consumption expectations are lowered. Although domestic demand is not good, the continuous decline of aluminum ingot inventory supports the aluminum price, which is expected to be in a volatile range [1] - For zinc, the LME zinc 0 - 3M premium declined this week, and the zinc price fell. The supply of domestic zinc mines is tightening, and there are production cuts in December. Domestic demand is seasonally weak, while overseas demand in the US is rising. It is recommended to wait and see on the long - short side, pay attention to reverse arbitrage opportunities between domestic and overseas markets, and positive arbitrage opportunities in 01 - 03 and 03 - 05 spreads [6] - For nickel, the supply of pure nickel decreased slightly, demand is weak, and inventories at home and abroad are accumulating. The Indonesian Nickel Association plans to reduce the quota next year, and there is a game between short - term policy and fundamentals [10] - For stainless steel, steel mills maintain high production, demand is mainly for rigid needs, costs are relatively stable, and inventories are at a high level. The news of quota cuts by the Indonesian Nickel Association drives a short - term price rebound [12] - For lead, the lead price fell slightly this week. Primary lead production has maintenance - induced cuts, and secondary lead production has recovered. The demand for batteries is expected to weaken, but downstream restocking provides support. The lead price is expected to fluctuate between 16,700 - 17,100 yuan, and attention should be paid to low - warrant risks [15] - For tin, the tin price rose rapidly this week. The processing fee of tin ore remains low. Overseas production recovery is slow, but high prices stimulate inventory exports. Demand is mainly rigid, and inventories at home and abroad are accumulating. There is a risk of marginal over - supply in the short term, and it can be a long - term multi - allocation in the first quarter [18] - For industrial silicon, Xinjiang's leading enterprises have stable operations, and some silicon plants in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang are under maintenance. The supply - demand is expected to be balanced in December. In the short term, the price will fluctuate with costs, and in the long term, it will oscillate at the cycle bottom [19] - For lithium carbonate, the futures price increased due to factors such as the cancellation of mining rights in Jiangxi and the delay of CATL's resumption. The raw material supply is tight, and upstream inventories are being depleted. Downstream demand is mainly for rigid needs. In the short term, the supply - demand is strong, but demand is showing signs of weakening, and the price increase requires further inventory reduction [21] Group 3: Summary by Metal Copper - From December 15 - 19, the spot import profit decreased by $302.94, and the March import profit decreased by $231.78. The LME inventory decreased by 3,875 tons, and the LME注销仓单 decreased by 5,100 tons [1] Aluminum - From December 15 - 19, the Shanghai aluminum ingot price increased by 80 yuan, the Yangtze River aluminum ingot price increased by 90 yuan, and the Guangdong aluminum ingot price increased by 90 yuan. The domestic alumina price decreased by 17 yuan, and the imported alumina price decreased by $50. The domestic social inventory of aluminum increased by 7,175 tons [1] Zinc - From December 15 - 19, the Shanghai zinc ingot price increased by 30 yuan, the Tianjin zinc ingot price increased by 40 yuan, and the Guangdong zinc ingot price increased by 40 yuan. The domestic social inventory remained unchanged, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange inventory decreased by 24,191 tons. The LME zinc inventory increased by 500 tons, and the LME注销仓单 increased by 1,900 tons [4][5] Nickel - From December 15 - 19, the price of 1.5 - grade Philippine nickel ore remained unchanged, and the Shanghai nickel spot price increased by 3,550 yuan. The spot import profit increased by $627.52, the LME inventory increased by 612 tons, and the LME注销仓单 increased by 2,820 tons [10] Stainless Steel - From December 15 - 19, the 304 cold - rolled coil price increased by 150 yuan, the 304 hot - rolled coil price increased by 100 yuan, the 201 cold - rolled coil price increased by 50 yuan, and the price of waste stainless steel increased by 50 yuan [12] Lead - From December 15 - 19, the spot import profit decreased by $49.10, the futures import profit decreased by $31.72, the LME inventory decreased by 3,500 tons, and the LME注销仓单 increased by 4,275 tons. The domestic social inventory decreased by 10,707 tons [13] Tin - From December 15 - 19, the spot import profit increased by $1,133.60, the spot export profit decreased by $1,430.96, the LME inventory increased by 220 tons, and the LME注销仓单 remained unchanged [18] Industrial Silicon - From December 15 - 19, the 421 - grade Yunnan basis decreased by 45 yuan, the 421 - grade Sichuan basis decreased by 45 yuan, the 553 - grade East China basis decreased by 45 yuan, the 553 - grade Tianjin basis decreased by 45 yuan, and the number of warrants increased by 204 [19] Lithium Carbonate - From December 15 - 19, the SMM electric - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 100 yuan, the SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate price increased by 100 yuan, the basis of the main contract decreased by 5,140 yuan, the basis of the near - month contract decreased by 5,180 yuan, and the number of warrants decreased by 125 [21]

| | | | 钢材早报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 研究中心黑色团队 2025/12/22 | | | 现 货 价 格 | | | | | | | | 日期 | 北京螺纹 | 上海螺纹 | 成都螺纹 | 西安螺纹 | 广州螺纹 | 武汉螺纹 | | 2025/12/15 | 3100 | 3250 | 3280 | 3270 | 3480 | 3350 | | 2025/12/16 | 3100 | 3290 | 3310 | 3270 | 3480 | 3350 | | 2025/12/17 | 3100 | 3290 | 3310 | 3270 | 3480 | 3350 | | 2025/12/18 | 3140 | 3320 | 3390 | 3270 | 3520 | 3380 | | 2025/12/19 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | 变化 | - | - | - | - | - | - | | 日期 | 天津热卷 | 上海热卷 | 乐从热卷 | 天津冷卷 | 上海冷卷 ...

Group 1: Price Performance - London Gold's latest price is 4337.60 with a change of 4.25 [1] - London Silver's latest price is 65.79 with a change of - 0.51 [1] - London Platinum's latest price is 1924.00 with a change of 18.00 [1] - London Palladium's latest price is 1711.00 with a change of 68.00 [1] - WTI Crude's latest price is 56.52 with a change of 0.37 [1] - LME Copper's latest price is 11809.50 with a change of 95.00 [1] - US Dollar Index's latest value is 98.71 with a change of 0.27 [1] - Euro - US Dollar's latest value is 1.17 with a change of - 0.00 [1] - British Pound - US Dollar's latest value is 1.34 with a change of - 0.00 [1] - US Dollar - Japanese Yen's latest value is 157.73 with a change of 2.17 [1] - US 10 - year TIPS's latest value is 1.92 with a change of 0.04 [1] Group 2: Trading Data - COMEX Silver's latest inventory is 14112.48 with a change of 17.12 [2] - SHFE Silver's latest inventory is 899.64 with a change of - 12.52 [2] - Gold ETF's latest holding is 1052.54 with a change of 0.00 [2] - Silver ETF's latest holding is 16066.24 with a change of 47.95 [2] - SGE Silver's latest deferred fee payment direction is 2, and SGE Gold's is 1, with no change [2]

| | | | 冠 | | --- | 大类资产早报 研究中心宏观团队 2025/12/22 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 最新 | 4.148 | 4.523 | 3.611 | 2.894 | 3.584 | 3.325 | 0.307 | 3.466 | | 日本 | | 巴西 | 中国 | 韩国 | 澳大利亚 | 新西兰 | | | | 最新 | 2.016 | 6.179 | 1.826 | - | 4.748 | 4.400 | | | | 主要经济体2年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 德国 | 日本 | 意大利 | 中国（1Y收益 率） | 韩国 | 澳大利亚 | | 最新 | 3.484 | 3.746 | 2.153 | 1.087 | 2.2 ...

Report Summary 1. Core Information - A private exporter reported selling 134,000 tons of soybeans to China for delivery in the 2025/2026 market year [1] - Analysts estimated that US soybean export sales for the week ending December 4, 2025, would net increase by 80 - 200 million tons, with 80 - 200 million tons for the 2025 - 26 year and 0 tons for the 2026 - 27 year. US soybean meal export sales were expected to net increase by 20 - 50 million tons, and US soybean oil export sales were expected to net increase by 0.5 - 2.5 million tons, all for the 2025 - 26 year with 0 tons for the 2026 - 27 year [1] - ITS data showed that Malaysia's palm oil product exports from December 1 - 20, 2025, were 851,057 tons, a 2.4% increase from the 831,005 tons exported in the same period last month [1] - Indonesia launched a road test for B50 biodiesel (50% palm - oil content) two weeks ago, and the mandatory use policy is likely to be implemented in the second half of 2026 [1] 2. Spot Price Information | Date | Soybean Meal (Jiangsu) | Rapeseed Meal (Guangdong) | Soybean Oil (Jiangsu) | Palm Oil (Guangzhou) | Rapeseed Oil (Jiangsu) | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | 2025/12/15 | 3050 | 2510 | 8440 | 8530 | 9750 | | 2025/12/16 | 3050 | 2520 | 8380 | 8440 | 9540 | | 2025/12/17 | 3040 | 2500 | 8310 | 8370 | 9470 | | 2025/12/18 | 3020 | 2510 | 8270 | 8330 | 9420 | | 2025/12/19 | 3010 | 2490 | 8150 | 8250 | 9230 | [1][9]

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Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Report Core View - The LPG market is characterized by a tight supply of Middle Eastern resources, rising premiums, and high prices in winter. The 1 - month CP official price is approaching release. The internal and external valuations are high, but the driving force is weak, and the internal and external trading logics are differentiated. The upward driving force of FEI is limited, and the domestic market needs to focus on the negative feedback between warehouse receipts and PDH, with high uncertainty [4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Market Price and Basis - On December 15 - 19, 2025, the prices of Shandong LPG, propane CIF Japan, Shandong ether - after carbon four, etc. fluctuated. The lowest delivery location was Shandong, with a basis of 143 and a daily change of (- 19). The 01 - 02 month spread was 145 (+ 26), the 02 - 03 month spread was 166 (+ 5), and the 03 - 04 month spread was - 185 (+ 21). The FEI was 512 (+ 6) and the CP was 498 (- 1) US dollars/ton [4] Market Trends - The LPG futures price rebounded. The 01 basis was 162 (- 187), the 01 - 02 month spread was 119 (+ 35), and the 03 - 04 month spread was - 206 (+ 33). The number of warehouse receipts was 3368 lots (- 108). Domestic civil LPG prices were differentiated, with the most suitable delivery product being Shandong at 4380 (- 50), East China at 4398 (- 21), and South China at 4500 (+ 80). The FEI month spread strengthened, the CP month spread weakened, and the oil - gas ratio fluctuated [4] Profit and Inventory - The PDH spot profit was weak, but the futures profit rebounded. The number of arriving ships decreased by 7.64%, and the port inventory decreased by 7.89%. The refinery commercial volume increased by 0.82%, and the refinery inventory decreased by 0.03%. The PDH operating rate was 75% (+ 2.13 pct) [4]

l 衣 合成橡胶早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/22 | 品种 | 类别 | 指标 | 11/19 | 12/15 | 12/17 | 12/18 | 12/19 | 日度变化 | 周度変化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | BR主力合约(12) | 10705 | 10845 | 11160 | 11040 | 11020 | -20 | 175 | | | | 持つ量 | 71378 | 98043 | 105416 | 101376 | 101995 | 619 | 3952 | | | 需可 | 成交量 | 120480 | 210063 | 181436 | 127434 | 127276 | -158 | -82787 | | | | 仓単数量 | 12030 | 19180 | 19680 | 20180 | 20810 | 630 | 1630 | | | | 虚实比 | 29.67 | 25.56 | 26.78 | 25.12 | 24.51 | -1 | -1 | | | | ...