Core Viewpoint - In November, China's export growth exceeded expectations and previous values, primarily driven by strong resilience in exports to non-US regions, with significant contributions from the automotive, semiconductor, and machinery sectors. The drag from labor-intensive products on overall exports has diminished [1] Export Analysis - The export growth in November is attributed to robust performance in non-US markets, indicating a resilient demand [1] - Key sectors contributing to export growth include the automotive industry, semiconductor industry, and machinery and transportation equipment [1] - The overall export growth for the year is projected to reach approximately 5.3%, supported by a strong fundamental outlook for next year [1] Import Analysis - In contrast, import growth in November fell below expectations, potentially linked to a decline in manufacturing sector activity [1] - Notable increases in import volumes were observed for bulk commodities such as iron ore, copper, and natural gas, while imports of crude oil and coal saw a decrease in growth rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is seeking to establish, invest in, or acquire a rocket company to compete in the space computing sector against Elon Musk [1] Industry Summary - Major US tech giants are beginning to invest in space computing, recognizing its significant commercial value [1] - The entry of China's StarNet and G60 Qianfan constellation into mass launch phases, along with the operationalization of Hainan's commercial space launch site and commercial launch vehicles, is leading to a new era in commercial aerospace characterized by high capacity and low costs [1] - The space computing sector is poised to unlock a trillion-dollar market opportunity, presenting substantial growth prospects for the related industry chain [1]

来源：市场资讯 长期：2026年人民币有望温和升值，汇率中枢破7的行情或需要内外因素的进一步共振。一是因美日和 美欧货币政策差导致的美日和美欧利差收窄、美国财政等政策以及特朗普干预美联储独立性等措施导致 美元指数信用受损，美元指数偏弱运行的趋势或将延续。二是2026年央行有望继续保持张弛有度的汇率 政策，助力人民币保持相对韧性。三是若国内政策协同发力，并带动经济内生动能逐步修复，则内外部 因素有望形成较大的合力，对人民币汇率持续走升形成催化。 ▍总结：11月下旬以来，美元指数走软为人民币汇率创造了较为友好的外部环境，叠加央行中间价报价 释放的引导信号，人民币汇率逐步升至年内新高并实现"三价合一"。 展望后市：1）短期来看，考虑到市场对于美联储12月的降息预期已充分定价，同时国内政策性金融工 具和其他增量政策对于经济的提振效果仍有待显现，央行的稳汇率政策更多在于防止单边一致性预期， 预计年内人民币有望偏强运行，汇率中枢或难突破7.0。但考虑到年底结汇的季节性效应，不排除阶段 性突破7.0的概率；2）进入2026年，我们预计美元指数偏弱运行的趋势或将延续，为人民币汇率构成相 对友好的外部环境。同时央行稳汇率政策张 ...

（上接1版）在中信证券总经理邹迎光看来，资本市场的风险偏好与新质生产力行业更加兼容，能够提 供满足完整生命周期的全链条融资服务，并以激励机制有效促进创新活动与企业家精神的发挥。 "资本市场包容性、适应性有望不断提升。"南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉接受上证报记者采访时 表示：一方面，通过接纳科技型、创新型、专精特新等多元企业，更适配不同发展阶段的融资需求，借 助差异化制度设计，打破"盈利门槛"等传统限制，让优质资产与资金高效对接。另一方面，市场对外部 变化的动态响应能力不断提升，体现为面对科技创新的不确定性，为科技企业留足发展空间；依托并购 重组、再融资等政策工具箱灵活调节市场流动性与资源配置方向；通过互联互通扩容、跨境监管协作等 方式，平衡开放与风险防控，确保市场功能稳定发挥。 同时，险资等中长期资金入市政策持续"松绑"，有望为科技创新注入持续稳定的金融活水。今年4月发 布的《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知》，上调了险资权益资产配置比例上限， 最高可达50%；12月发布的《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》，下调了保险公司投资相关 股票的风险因子。 数据显示，截至今年三季度末，人身 ...

12月8日，A股量价齐升，日成交额重返2万亿元上方，资金偏爱科技股，创业板指大涨2.6%，超3400只个股收涨。其 中，"牛市旗手"券商板块回暖，共封装光学（CPO）等科技细分赛道飙升，"易中天"三只个股成交火爆。 受访人士表示，年末通常攻势偏弱，但宏观数据、微观流动性与产业趋势多方共振，市场动能仍有支撑，A股上行有 望延续。不过，结构性分化加剧，后续须紧盯政策落地节奏及增量资金能否持续进场。 日成交额突破2万亿元 交易量能明显放量，今日成交额增至2.05万亿元，上个交易日成交额为1.74万亿元，一扫上周缩量阴跌的颓势；杠杆 资金方面，截至12月5日，沪深京两融余额共计2.48万亿元。 盘面上主线清晰，科技股强势。CPO概念大涨近6%，半导体、电子元件、电子设备制造、光电子器件、PCB等涨势 喜人。不过，白酒、饮料、石油天然气、白色家电、煤炭、电力等传统股微跌。 | | 东财概念指數 | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | | A股市场模心指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the securities industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3]. Core Insights - The securities industry is increasingly recognized for its importance in the capital market, serving as a financing hub and guiding the reallocation of household savings. Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, securities firms have assisted nearly 1,200 technology innovation companies in going public and facilitated over 51 trillion yuan in domestic equity and debt financing [3]. - The report emphasizes the need for securities firms to enhance their service capabilities to the real economy through a "three-in-one" model of investment research, investment, and investment banking, particularly focusing on key national priorities such as artificial intelligence and green energy [3]. - The report highlights the ongoing transformation of household wealth allocation from real estate to the stock market, driven by demographic changes and economic factors, positioning securities firms as key players in this transition [3]. - The report discusses the global asset reallocation opportunities and the role of securities firms in enhancing the weight and pricing power of the renminbi in global asset allocation [3]. - The report anticipates a shift in competition within the securities industry from price-based to value-based, with a differentiation between leading comprehensive brokers and regional specialty brokers [3]. - The report suggests that the securities industry is poised for a new phase of growth driven by improved performance, clearer policies, and the easing of financial pressures, with a notable mismatch between fundamentals and stock prices [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The securities industry has played a crucial role in supporting the real economy and facilitating significant capital market activities, including the listing of technology firms and extensive financing efforts [3]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a significant shift in household asset allocation trends, with a growing preference for stock investments over real estate, influenced by various economic factors [3]. Competitive Landscape - The report outlines a future competitive landscape characterized by two types of firms: leading comprehensive brokers focusing on value creation and regional brokers specializing in niche markets [3]. Investment Outlook - The report expresses optimism about the securities industry's future, driven by favorable market conditions and regulatory support, suggesting a potential revaluation of the sector [3].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a significant increase in both trading volume and price, with a daily turnover exceeding 2 trillion yuan, driven by strong performance in technology stocks and a rebound in the brokerage sector, indicating potential for continued upward momentum in the market [1][2][10]. Market Performance - The A-share market saw a daily turnover of 2.05 trillion yuan, up from 1.74 trillion yuan in the previous trading day, marking a recovery from a recent decline [2]. - Major indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.54% to 3924.08 points and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.6% to 3190.27 points [2]. Sector Performance - The technology sector, particularly the CPO concept, experienced a surge of nearly 6%, with significant gains in semiconductor, electronic components, and optical electronics sectors [4][6]. - The communication sector led the gains, with notable stocks such as Tianfu Communication rising over 19% [5][9]. Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment has been positively influenced by favorable macroeconomic data and liquidity conditions, with expectations of continued support for the A-share market [1][10]. - The non-bank financial sector's rise reflects market optimism regarding the recovery of the financial industry amid improving economic conditions [10][11]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while the current market momentum is supported by various factors, structural differentiation is increasing, and future performance will depend on policy implementation and the sustainability of new capital inflows [1][11]. - The upcoming central economic work conference is anticipated to further influence market sentiment and activity, with expectations of continued policy support for economic recovery [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The Guanglian Expressway asset-backed special plan has successfully issued 15 billion, marking the largest single issuance scale and the first interbank REITs approved by policy banks [1] Group 1: Project Details - The issuance scale of the Guanglian Expressway project is 15 billion, with underlying asset valuation exceeding 40 billion [1] - This project serves as a strategic initiative for China Communications Group to deepen the integration of industry and finance [1] Group 2: Implications for the Industry - The project provides solid equity capital support for the "14th Five-Year Plan" development of China Communications Group [1] - It creates a replicable and promotable case for financial services to support the real economy and continuously promote infrastructure project investment and construction [1] Group 3: Key Participants - CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. acts as the plan manager [1] - China Communications Fourth Navigation Engineering Bureau Co., Ltd. and China Highway Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd. serve as the original rights holders [1] - China Communications Capital Holdings Co., Ltd. is the overall coordinator [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints - The allocation value of the Securities ETF is gradually becoming reasonable, but the rebound amplitude still depends on future market trends [4][18] - The formation of the phased high - point of the market is due to the fact that the predictable cumulative increase in fundamentals is less than the rebound amplitude [3][9] - The market's choice to correct in late August 2025 was a rational behavior as the stock price high had exceeded the expected fundamental value for 2027 at that time [4][14] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 1 Securities ETF Allocation Value Analysis - The Securities ETF (512880.SH) managed by Guotai Fund tracks the CSI All Index Securities Company Index (399975.SZ). From April 1, 2025, to December 3, 2025, its best convergent stock is CITIC Securities (600030) [3][9] - Since its rebound on July 8, 2024, CITIC Securities has experienced two price highs on November 8, 2024, and August 25, 2025, with increases of 104.34% and 91.46% respectively. The expected cumulative increase in the net profit attributable to the parent in 2027 compared to 2023 after the third - quarter report this year is 83%, which is less than the rebound amplitude [3][9] - In the previous bull market, the stock price of CITIC Securities increased by 129.24% from the low point on October 18, 2018, to the high point on July 8, 2020, and the expected increase in net profit in 2022 compared to 2018 was 109.71%, showing that the maximum increase in the stock price was basically consistent with the expected increase in fundamentals two years later [3][11] - The consensus expectation data of CITIC Securities in 2025 is lagging, underestimating its fundamental value. The report uses the net profit growth rate disclosed in the 2025 financial reports as a reference for the full - year net profit growth rate [13][14] - Taking the 13.2 - times PE of the bottom valuation in 2024 as the pricing basis, it is found that the stock price high of CITIC Securities in late August 2025 exceeded the expected fundamental value for 2027 at that time [14][18] - As of December 3, 2025, the closing price of CITIC Securities was 27.15 yuan per share, slightly higher than the expected fundamental value for 2025 of 26.18 yuan per share and lower than the expected fundamental value for 2026 of 29.03 yuan per share, indicating that market sentiment has gradually become rational [4][18]

招商银行 公告称，"25深圳特发MTN005"申购结束前一小时内出现投资人撤标， 中信证券 撤标规模 2000万元，申购价位2.32%，撤标时间17:59:27。 ...