Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has successfully put into production the Panyu 11-12 platform in the eastern South China Sea on May 3, marking China's first application of unmanned platform remote development for offshore heavy oil fields [1] Group 1 - The platform has achieved breakthroughs in typhoon production mode, remote resumption of production, and complex crude oil processing [1] - The successful operation of the platform enhances the standardization and intelligence level of China's marine oil and gas equipment design and construction [1]

内容概要：当前，中国海上制氢产业取得重要突破，正加速从示范验证向规模化商业应用转型，呈现多 维度突破的发展态势：在商业化应用方面，舟山氢能岛作为国内首个LOHC储运商业化项目已实现年产 5000吨氢的稳定运行；在技术创新领域，"海氢1号"全球首个深远海制氢平台即将试运行，其自主开发 的抗氯腐蚀技术达到国际领先水平；在产业链整合上，粤港澳氢走廊规划年产10万吨，致力于打造全球 首个集海上风电、制氢、管网输送于一体的全产业链示范工程。未来将通过技术迭代、场景拓展和产业 生态构建，实现从近海到远海的能源枢纽布局，最终形成全球领先的氢基能源网络。 上市企业：中国海油（600938.SH）、中国石化（600028.SH）、明阳智能（601615.SH）、深圳能源 （000027.SZ） 相关企业：国家能源投资集团有限责任公司、中国科学院大连化学物理研究所、烟台中集来福士海洋工 程有限公司、中国长江三峡集团有限公司、山东赛克赛斯氢能源有限公司、山东发展新能源有限公司 关键词：海水制氢、海上风电、电解槽、海水制氢产业链、海水制氢发展现状、海水制氢市场格局、海 水制氢发展趋势 一、海水制氢行业相关概述 海上制氢是指利用海洋环 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 106.9 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was RMB 36.6 billion, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was RMB 27.71 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of RMB 125-135 billion for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of USD 27.03, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately RMB 62.3 billion for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] - The report projects net profits of RMB 138.4 billion, RMB 141.8 billion, and RMB 146.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios for A shares of 8.6, 8.4, and 8.1 [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is RMB 416.609 billion, with a slight decline expected in 2025E to RMB 409.877 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 138.391 billion in 2025E, showing a marginal increase from 2024A [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be RMB 2.91 in 2025E, with a steady increase projected through 2027 [1] - The report indicates a decrease in capital expenditures and a focus on maintaining profitability through effective cost management [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year. However, the net oil and gas production increased steadily, and the decline in oil prices was less than the market average, indicating resilience in performance [2][6] - The company continues to focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a significant cost advantage per barrel of oil. The main cost per barrel was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, showcasing the company's ability to maintain competitiveness during periods of declining oil prices [12] - Looking ahead, the company anticipates a stable growth in production and a mid-range oil price forecast above 60 USD per barrel, supported by limited production increases in the U.S. and OPEC's production cuts [12] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of approximately 44.7% in 2024, with plans to continue this trend in the coming years [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. Domestic production rose by 6.2% to 130.8 million barrels, while overseas production increased by 1.9% to 58.0 million barrels [12] - The average Brent crude oil price for Q1 2025 was 74.98 USD per barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year, while the company's realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, a decline of 7.7%, indicating better performance relative to market trends [12] Cost Management - The company has integrated cost control throughout its exploration, development, and production processes, achieving a significant cost advantage over peers. The reduction in operating expenses and taxes contributed to the overall cost efficiency [12] Future Outlook - The company has set production targets for 2025-2027, aiming for net production of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.9%, 2.6%, and 3.8% for the following years [12] - The company plans to repurchase shares worth 20-40 billion yuan in the next 12 months, indicating confidence in its valuation and future performance [12] Valuation - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 2.93 yuan, 2.99 yuan, and 3.12 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8.58X, 8.40X, and 8.04X, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [6] - The company achieved a total revenue of 106.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 36.6 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of 125-135 billion yuan for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of 27.03 USD in Q1 2025, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately 62.3 billion yuan for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] Financial Forecasts - The report provides financial forecasts for CNOOC, projecting total revenue of 409.88 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.53% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 138.39 billion yuan for 2025, with a slight increase of 0.33% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 2.91 yuan for 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.59 for A shares and 5.32 for H shares [7][8]

截至4月29日，"三桶油"（中国石化、中国石油、中国海油）已相继披露2025年一季度经营业绩。财报 显示，三家企业实现净利润合计约966.34亿元，但营收均出现不同程度的下滑。 其中，按中国企业会计准则，2025年一季度，中国石油实现营收7531.08亿元，同比下滑7.3%，净利润 468.07亿元，同比增长2.3%。 相比之下，中国石化、中国海油的营收和净利润水平双双下滑。财报显示，2025年一季度，中国海油实 现营收1068.54亿元，同比下滑4.1%；净利润365.63亿元，同比下滑7.9%。中国石化则实现营收7353.56 亿元，同比下滑6.9%；净利润132.64亿元，同比下滑27.6%。 尽管营收下滑，但"三桶油"在2025年一季度的油气当量产量均实现了同比增长。其中，中国石油实现油 气当量产量4.67亿桶，同比增长0.7%；国内油气当量产量4.18亿桶，同比增长1.2%。中国石化实现油气 当量产量130.97百万桶，同比增长1.7%，其中，天然气产量3684.3亿立方英尺，同比增长5.1%。中国海 油实现净产量188.8百万桶油当量，同比增长4.8%。其中，中国净产量130.8百万桶油当量，同比 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price based on expected returns exceeding 20% over the next six months [7][16]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 36.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with revenues of 106.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% in revenue and 7.95% in net profit [1]. - Domestic oil production increased by 3.4% year-on-year, with domestic production growing by 4.4%, primarily due to contributions from the Bohai Zhong 19-6 oil and gas field [2]. - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, with a slight improvement in the discount to Brent crude [4]. Financial Performance - The main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, attributed to lower oil prices and changes in production structure [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 128.3 billion yuan, 133.1 billion yuan, and 135.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.3 and 5.8 times for A/H shares [4]. - The projected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.8% based on a 45% payout ratio [4]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is expected to decline by 3.44% in 2025, with a gradual recovery projected in subsequent years [5]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 2.70 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 9.27 [5]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with an asset-liability ratio of 28.74% and a net asset value per share of 16.49 yuan [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [2]. - Despite a decline in revenue and net profit, the company continues to demonstrate strong cost control, with a decrease in per barrel cost to $27.03, down 2.0% year-on-year [4]. - The company is advancing new projects that will support continued production growth, including several domestic and international projects with significant production capacities [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1068.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 365.6 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s oil price realization was $72.65 per barrel, a decline of 7.7% year-on-year, while natural gas prices increased by 1.2% to $7.78 per thousand cubic feet [2]. Production and Projects - The company achieved a net production of 1.89 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, with domestic and overseas production contributing 69.3% and 30.7% respectively [2]. - Seven new projects have been put into production, contributing to the overall production capacity, including significant contributions from the Bohai Zhong 26-6 oil field and the Brazil Buzios 7 project [3]. Cost Management - The company has effectively managed costs, with a reduction in operational expenses and taxes, leading to a lower cost per barrel [4]. - The report highlights the intention of the controlling shareholder to increase their stake in the company, indicating confidence in its future performance [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong dividend characteristics and benefit from a high oil price environment, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 1268.78 billion, 1306.44 billion, and 1345.41 billion yuan respectively [5][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][21] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36.53 billion yuan in Q1 2025, demonstrating strong earnings resilience and exceeding expectations. The total revenue for the same period was 106.86 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.1% [1][9] - The company’s oil and gas net production increased steadily, with a total net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. The domestic net production accounted for 69.3% of the total [2][12] - The company maintained stable capital expenditures, with Q1 2025 capital expenditures amounting to 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year. The total expected capital expenditure for 2025 is between 125 billion and 135 billion yuan [3][18] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 36.53 billion yuan, with a revenue of 106.86 billion yuan. The Brent crude oil futures average price was 75.0 USD per barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year [1][9] - The average realized price for crude oil was 72.7 USD per barrel, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.7%. The average realized gas price was 7.78 USD per thousand cubic feet, up 1.2% year-on-year [2][16] Production and Cost Management - The company’s oil and gas sales revenue was 88.27 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a net production of 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [2][12] - The main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2.0% year-on-year, indicating effective cost control [2][16] Capital Expenditure and Projects - The company completed capital expenditures of 27.71 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a total expected capital expenditure for the year of 125-135 billion yuan. Seven new projects have been successfully put into production [3][18] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures in Q1 2025, indicating a positive outlook for exploration [3][18] Shareholder Actions - On April 8, 2025, the company announced that its controlling shareholder plans to increase its holdings of the company's A-shares and H-shares by 2-4 billion yuan within 12 months to protect shareholder interests [3][21]

证券研究报告 中国海油 (883 HK/600938 CH) 天然气产量同比快速增长，提质降本成果卓越 Q1 公司油气净产量 188.8 百万桶油当量，同比+4.8%，其中石油液体/天然 气产量 145.5 百万桶/253.0 十亿立方英尺，同比分别+3.4%/+10.2%。Brent 期货 Q1 均价同比-8.3%至 75.0 美元/桶，公司实现油价同比-7.7%至 72.7 美元/桶，实现气价同比+1.2%至 7.78 美元/千立方英尺。公司桶油成本控制 良好，Q1 同比下降 0.56 美元/桶至 27.03 美元/桶，主要系产量结构调整叠 加油价下行带动其他税金降低。公司 Q1 油气销售收入同比-1.9%至 882.7 亿元，综合毛利率同环比+1.2/+3.9pct 至 54.6%。 港股通 油气产量创新高，重点项目有序推进 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 30 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 石油（天然气）开采 | 中国海油于 4 月 29 日发布一季报：Q1 实现营业收入 1069 亿元，同环比 -4.1%/+ ...