Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown strong performance in 2025, with significant gains in various sectors, particularly in the non-ferrous metals and military industries, indicating a positive outlook for 2026. Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector achieved the highest annual growth rate in 2025, with the non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) rising by 91.67%, significantly outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 18.41% [10][19]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous sector, such as Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and Luoyang Molybdenum, saw substantial price increases, with Zijin Mining up by 133.09% and Jiangxi Copper up by 176.92% [10][6]. - The sector's strong performance is attributed to a combination of global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, and improved domestic macroeconomic expectations [8][10]. Military Industry - The military sector, particularly the commercial aerospace segment, has gained significant traction, with the military ETF Huabao (512810) rising over 32% in 2025, marking its second-best annual performance since its inception [13][16]. - Major stocks in the military sector, including GuoBo Electronics and China Satellite, experienced notable gains, with several stocks hitting the daily limit [14][13]. - The military industry is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2026, driven by increased military demand and advancements in commercial aerospace [16][13]. Chemical Sector - The chemical sector also performed well, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a 41.09% increase in 2025, outperforming major indices [20][19]. - The lithium battery supply chain has seen a significant rise in both price and demand, with prices for lithium carbonate reaching 116,000 yuan per ton, indicating a robust market outlook [22][20]. - The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing macroeconomic recovery and supply-side policy advancements, with a focus on key areas such as phosphates and semiconductor materials [22][20].

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 510 billion to 520 billion in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of about 60% compared to RMB 320.51 billion in 2024, setting a historical record for the company [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The projected net profit for 2025 represents an increase of approximately RMB 189 billion to 199 billion, with a growth rate of about 59% to 62% year-on-year [3]. - The company's net profit per day in 2025 is estimated to be nearly RMB 1.4 million [3]. - The expected net profit excluding non-recurring items is projected to be around RMB 475 billion to 485 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately RMB 158 billion to 168 billion, or a growth rate of 50% to 53% [3]. Group 2: Production Growth - The significant increase in net profit is attributed to a rise in the production of key mineral products, with gold production expected to reach approximately 90 tons in 2025, up from 73 tons in 2024 [3][4]. - The production of copper and other major products also saw growth during the reporting period [3]. - The equivalent lithium carbonate production is projected to be about 25,000 tons in 2025, a substantial increase from 261 tons in 2024 [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2026, Zijin Mining has set production targets of 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 120,000 tons of equivalent lithium carbonate, and 520 tons of silver, although these figures are subject to change based on market conditions [5]. - Research institutions remain optimistic about the gold market in 2026, with expectations of continued price increases driven by factors such as declining real interest rates and central bank purchasing behavior [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown remarkable performance in 2025, with significant gains in leading companies and ETFs, indicating strong market confidence and potential for continued growth [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 31, 2025, the non-ferrous metals sector continued its strong performance, with Jiangxi Copper hitting the daily limit, Yunnan Copper rising over 5%, and Zijin Mining increasing by more than 3% [1][9]. - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) saw a price increase of over 2.5% during the day and closed up 1.01%, reaching a new high since its listing [1][9]. - The Huabao ETF received a net subscription of 3 million units on the same day, reflecting strong investor interest in the non-ferrous metals sector [1][9]. Group 2: Annual Performance Review - The non-ferrous metals sector topped the industry performance rankings in 2025, with the Huabao ETF's index rising 91.67%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (18.41%) and the CSI 300 (17.66%) [3][10]. - Several key stocks doubled in price over the year, with Zijin Mining up 133.09%, Luoyang Molybdenum up 210.27%, and Jiangxi Copper up 176.92% [3][10]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Factors - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates is expected to benefit non-ferrous metals, as a weaker dollar typically boosts metal prices and reduces holding costs [5][12]. - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by rising prices and volumes of core mineral products [5][12]. - The strong performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is attributed to multiple factors, including global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, enhanced monetary attributes, and improved domestic macroeconomic expectations [5][12]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - Different non-ferrous metals exhibit varying degrees of market conditions and drivers, suggesting a diversified investment approach through the Huabao ETF and its associated funds could be beneficial [6][12].

2025年，福建省A股上市公司市值增量为20048亿元，较年初市值增长54.10%。 其中，紫金矿业、宁德时代、华电新能为市值增长的核心驱动，其年内贡献的市值增量分别为5147亿 元、5047亿元、2624亿元，占全省市值增量的25.67%、25.18%、13.09%。而TOP5的其余两家企业，即 兴业银行、航天发展，市值增量均未超过500亿元，全省市值增长贡献率未超过3%。 福建省市值缩量最为严重的企业为片仔癀、永辉超市、星宸科技、建发股份、亿联网络，但其市值降幅 均未超过300亿元。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 2025年，福建省A股上市公司市值增量为20048亿元，较年初市值增长54.10%。 其中，紫金矿业、宁德时代、华电新能为市值增长的核心驱动，其年内贡献的市值增量分别为5147亿 元、5047亿元、2624亿元，占全省市值增量的25.67%、25.18%、13.09%。而TOP5的其余两家企业，即 兴业银行、航天发展，市值增量均未超过500亿元，全省市值增长贡献率未超过3%。 福建省市值缩量最为严重的企业为片仔癀、永辉超市、星宸科技、建发股份、亿联网络，但其市值降幅 均未超过300亿元 ...

Industry Overview - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance announced a large-scale equipment update and consumer goods replacement policy for 2026, providing a 15% subsidy for personal consumers purchasing specific electronic products, with a cap of 500 yuan per item [2] - The total subsidy amount of 625 billion yuan for 2026 is lower than the previous year's 800 billion yuan, indicating that the current subsidy policy does not exceed expectations [2] Company Insights - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects a net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62%, exceeding market expectations. The company plans to produce 105 tons of gold and 120 million tons of copper in 2026, with a continued positive outlook on long-term performance due to the demand for copper, silver, and lithium carbonate driven by the development of new energy and AI [3] - Changxin Technology Group reported a revenue of 32.08 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 97.79%. The company expects to turn a profit for the full year 2025, benefiting from rising storage prices. The IPO aims to raise 29.5 billion yuan for technology upgrades and capacity expansion [4] Advanced Manufacturing Sector - Sodium-ion batteries are primarily in the demonstration application stage domestically, with commercial orders and profit growth focusing more on overseas markets. The core competitiveness of sodium batteries lies in their thermal safety and stability rather than direct cost competition with lithium batteries [7] Consumer Sector - The duty-free industry is experiencing a boost from the Hainan closure policy and the establishment of core airport channel patterns, with significant sales growth observed in the first week of the Hainan Free Trade Port's operation. The sales amount reached 1.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 54.9% [9] - The New Year's holiday tourism market shows a trend of short trips dominating, with 73.4% of trips being within three days. Young consumers are driving demand, with a notable increase in spending on unique experiences and themed activities [10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.87% at 25,630.54 points, with a total trading volume of HKD 1,189.66 million. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.86%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.12% [1] - For the year 2025, the Hang Seng Index recorded a cumulative increase of 27.77%, marking its best performance since 2017. The China Enterprises Index rose by 22.27%, and the Tech Index increased by 23.45%, the best since its inception [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, under a backdrop of loose monetary policy, foreign and southbound capital are expected to continue net inflows, with potential for substantial improvement in the profitability of Hong Kong-listed companies [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Baidu Group-SW (09888) rose 1.39% to HKD 131.5, contributing 3.55 points to the Hang Seng Index, driven by growth in its AI business [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included Sunny Optical Technology (02382) up 1.16%, Zijin Mining (601899) up 0.85%, while Innovent Biologics (01801) fell 3.66%, and New Oriental-S (09901) dropped 2.49% [2] Sector Highlights - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Alibaba down over 1% and Tencent down 0.17%, while Baidu saw an increase [3] - The film sector remained active, with the total box office for the 2025 New Year holiday surpassing HKD 5 billion, marking a new high for the past eight years [3] - The aviation sector saw collective gains among major airlines, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) up 4.92%, China Southern Airlines (01055) up 4.3%, and Air China (00753) up 3.36% [4] Mining Sector - Zijin Mining Group reported a projected net profit of USD 1.5-1.6 billion for 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 212%-233%, while Zijin Mining expects a net profit of CNY 51-52 billion, up 59%-62% [5] - Zijin Mining's production targets for 2026 include 105 tons of gold and 120,000 tons of copper, indicating strong growth potential [5] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector showed mixed results, with Great Wall Motors (02333) up 3.24% and GAC Group (02238) up 0.74%, while Li Auto-W (02015) fell 1.44% [6] - New policies for 2026 regarding vehicle subsidies have been announced, which may stabilize consumer expectations for car purchases [6] Notable Stock Movements - InnoCare Pharma (03696) surged 23.88% to HKD 37.14, recognized for its advancements in AI-driven drug discovery [7] - Derin Holdings (01709) increased by 9.68% after announcing conditional approval for virtual asset trading services [8] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) reached a new high, up 5.36% to HKD 42.88, supported by rising copper prices [9] - KANAT Optical (02276) rose 4.25% following the announcement of new policies supporting digital and smart products [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant inflow of funds into the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly through the Huabao ETF, indicating strong market expectations for future performance in this industry [1]. Group 1: Fund Inflows and Market Sentiment - As of the report, the Huabao non-ferrous ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 3.6 million units, with an additional 85.71 million yuan attracted over the previous five days, reflecting positive investor sentiment towards the non-ferrous metal sector [1]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector is leading among 31 first-level sub-industries in the A-share market, driven by macroeconomic policies and structural supply-demand changes [3]. Group 2: Company Performance and Projections - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, with a non-recurring net profit forecast of 47.5 to 48.5 billion yuan, up 50% to 53% [2][3]. - The growth in Zijin Mining's performance is attributed to increased production and rising prices of core mineral products, including approximately 90 tons of gold, 1.09 million tons of copper, and 437 tons of silver for 2025 [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy - Analysts from Dongfang Securities and Guoxin Futures suggest that the upward trend in copper prices is driven by supply shortages and increasing demand, particularly in the context of global monetary easing and the rise of new demands in AI and renewable energy sectors [3]. - The article recommends a diversified investment approach through the Huabao ETF, which covers a wide range of non-ferrous metals, thereby mitigating risks associated with investing in single metal sectors [4].

今日（12月31日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘中涨超2.5%，现涨 0.81%，继续刷新上市以来的高点！ 成份股方面，江西铜业领涨超9%，宝钛股份涨逾7%，云南锗业、国城矿业涨超5%。权重股方面，紫 金矿业涨超3%，洛阳钼业涨逾2%，中国铝业涨钞1%。 | 序号 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 两日图 | 申万一级行业 | 申万二级行业 | 申万三级行业 | 总市值 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 江西铜业 | 9.43% | | 有色金属 | 工业金属 | 铜 | 1679亿 | 61.78亿 | | 2 | 宝林服务 | 7.57% | ------ | 有色全顾 | 小含厨 | 其他小全属 | 191亿 | 11.95亿 | | 3 | 云南接业 | | 5.42% mmm | 有色金属 | 小会属 | 其他小金属 | 207亿 | 12.86亿 | | ব | 国城市,亚 | 5.40% | Caroline of Children College of the ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF and the expected profit growth of Zijin Mining in 2025, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1][2] - As of December 31, 2025, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 0.31% with a turnover of 3.77%, totaling 784 million yuan [1] - The index tracking the non-ferrous metal sector, the Zhongzheng Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index, includes key stocks such as Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and Yunnan Copper, which have shown significant price increases [1][2] Group 2 - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of approximately 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, representing an increase of about 59% to 62% compared to the previous year [1] - The expected net profit excluding non-recurring gains is projected to be around 47.5 to 48.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 50% to 53% [1] - The sales prices of gold, copper, and silver are expected to rise year-on-year during the reporting period, contributing to the profit growth [1]

出品｜虎嗅商业消费组 作者｜柳柳 编辑｜苗正卿 题图｜AI生成 政策红利打开低价购金窗口，一场千里淘金盛宴正在海南上演。 12月18日海南自贸港正式启动全岛封关，到今天已超过10天，多项相关政策，相继实现了首批业务落地。海口海关数据显示，封关首周，海南新增外资备案 企业1972家，同比增长2.3倍。 封关后，海南将以"零关税、低税率、简税制"为重点核心政策。政策指出，"零关税"政策主要包括："一线"（国境线）全面放开：除极少数例外（如危害国 家安全、生态环境等特殊物品），绝大多数境外货物进入海南自贸港时，免征进口关税、进口环节增值税和消费税； "二线"（海南与内地之间）有限监管：海南与内地之间的货物流动视为"进口"，需按规定补税，但对岛内企业生产的货物加工增值超过30%（含）进入内地 时，免征进口关税（已在洋浦保税港区试点，封关后推广至全岛）；特定清单"零关税"则全覆盖。 一个重要变化在于，"零关税"商品税目比例从封关前的约21%大幅跃升至74%。企业进口自用的生产设备、运营所需的交通工具、原辅料，基本全部免征进 口关税、增值税和消费税。个人购物享受的免税额度也提升至每人每年10万元。 对于普通消费者来说，享 ...