值得关注的是，今日现货黄金开盘反弹，截至发稿，重回4800美元/盎司，日内涨超3%。分析指出，量 化基金去杠杆化、杠杆ETF和趋势跟踪策略头寸调整所引发的强制抛售潮，其主体部分可能已基本释 放。 消息面上，特朗普称正在与伊朗对话。当地时间2月2日，针对伊朗问题，美国总统特朗普表示，美方已 向相关地区调动大型军舰，同时与伊朗保持沟通，"将观察事态如何发展"。 新湖期货认为，黄金价格中长期支撑仍存，指出沃什获提名及由此引发的汇率波动属于短期扰动，中期 市场焦点仍将集中于地缘政治风险升温与特朗普政府政策的高度不确定性；而长期来看，全球债务可持 续性恶化与去美元化趋势的深化，是支撑黄金结构性走强的核心变量。目前，上述中长期逻辑并未发生 根本性逆转。 中信证券指出，在经历2025年的大涨行情后，有色金属价格与股票行情的上涨动能依然充足，供应扰 动、需求局部高景气和囤货行为为金属价格带来强支撑，流动性宽松带来的交易活跃度上升以及地缘冲 突带来的避险情绪升温有望放大金属的价格弹性。看好贵金属、工业金属、电池金属和战略金属板块的 配置价值。 今日（2月3日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）场内价格盘中涨超 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and outlook of the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting fluctuations in prices of precious metals like gold and silver, and the implications for investment strategies in related ETFs. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 3, 2026, the China Securities Index for non-ferrous metals (000811) decreased by 0.21%, with component stocks showing mixed results, including Hunan Gold rising by 4.35% and Xiyang Silver falling by 10.01% [1] - The non-ferrous ETF, Huatai-PineBridge (159652), increased by 3.57%, with a recent price of 1.88 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 8.66% over the past month [1] - The trading volume for the non-ferrous ETF was 1.95 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.17% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows and Leverage - The latest scale of the non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge reached 61.63 billion yuan, with a net outflow of 3.86 billion yuan recently [3] - Over the past five trading days, there were three days of net inflow totaling 30.47 million yuan, averaging 6.09 million yuan per day [3] - The latest margin buying amount for the non-ferrous ETF was 20.82 million yuan, with a margin balance of 89.63 million yuan [3] Group 3: Precious Metals Outlook - On February 3, 2026, gold and silver prices surged, with spot gold rising over 4% to above 4,800 USD and silver increasing over 5% [2] - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish mid-term outlook for gold, predicting prices could reach 6,300 USD per ounce by the end of 2026 due to strong demand from central banks and investors [4] - Citigroup holds a cautious view for the second half of 2026, expecting gold prices to drop to 4,000 USD per ounce by 2027, attributing the current bull market to significant capital inflows rather than central bank purchases [4] Group 4: Investment Demand - Global gold demand reached 4,999.4 tons in 2025, an 8% increase year-on-year, with investment demand soaring by 84% to 2,175.3 tons [5] - The total investment amount exceeded 240 billion USD, driven by geopolitical risks, a weakening dollar, and high stock valuations [5] - The fourth quarter's price correction provided a buying opportunity, with total purchases of ETFs, gold bars, and coins reaching a record high of 1,141 tons [5] Group 5: ETF Characteristics - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) offers comprehensive exposure to various metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, benefiting from a super cycle in non-ferrous metals [6] - The ETF has a leading "gold-copper content" of 46%, with copper at 34% and gold at 12%, indicating a strong focus on strategic and high-demand commodities [8] - The ETF has shown superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return leading its peers and a lower maximum drawdown, indicating a better investment experience [10]

截至2026年2月3日 09:30，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)上涨0.39%，成分股中钨高新上涨 4.98%，电投能源上涨3.71%，紫金矿业上涨3.36%，洛阳钼业上涨3.12%，中国铝业上涨2.99%。工业有 色ETF鹏华(159162)上涨2.84%，最新价报0.94元。 工业有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，中证工业有色金属主题指数选取市值较大的30 只业务涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀土金属等行业的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映工业有色金属主题上 市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、 北方稀土、中国铝业、兴业银锡、云铝股份、铜陵有色、江西铜业、厦门钨业、中金黄金、西部矿业， 前十大权重股合计占比55.71%。 消息面上，工业金属昨日大跌后筑底反弹，国内商品期货早盘开盘，氧化铝涨超1%。 东方证券指出，金融属性波动加剧，供需支撑价格底线。宽松叙事短期受挫，工业品跟随贵金属均有大 幅波动，但降息仍然是美联储的政策方向（而非加息），考虑近期特朗普试图通过提振地产市场来应对 支持率下降，海外地产修 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the copper industry and strategic metals, highlighting recent trends in pricing and demand dynamics [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Decline and Recovery in Orders**: - A significant drop in copper prices has led to a surge in downstream purchasing activity. According to a survey by Mysteel, 31 domestic copper rod manufacturers and 6 traders reported an order volume of 43,000 tons, an increase of 28,600 tons from the previous day, representing a 197.73% week-on-week growth [1]. - Specifically, the order volume for refined copper rods reached 41,700 tons, marking a historical high since the survey began, with a week-on-week increase of 29,000 tons, or 228.75% [1]. - This indicates that as copper prices fall, downstream demand is beginning to materialize, with companies moving to fulfill delayed orders from December [1]. - **Strategic Metals and Resource Stocks**: - The value of strategic resources will determine the positioning of resource stocks in the market. The external manifestation of this value is reflected in the pricing of strategic metals [2]. - There is confidence in the long-term prospects for strategic metals, particularly tin and nickel, with a strong outlook for these commodities through 2026 [3][4]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Opportunities in Resource Companies**: - Recommendations for bottom-fishing in quality companies include: - **Copper**: Zijin Mining (900 billion as a bottom), Western Mining (70 billion bottom), and Luoyang Molybdenum (around 450 billion bottom). Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining are noted for their low valuations [4]. - **Aluminum**: China Aluminum (200 billion bottom, 22 billion profit) based on a price assumption of 23,000 [4]. - **Tin**: Huaxi Nonferrous (300 billion, with profits expected around 2 billion) and Tin Industry Co. (already low valuation) based on a price assumption of 350,000 [4]. - **Nickel**: Huayou Cobalt with profits of 8 billion at a nickel price of 15,000, considered very cheap [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

Group 1 - On February 2, a total of 3,768 stocks in the A-share market received financing funds, with 447 stocks having a buying amount exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - The top three stocks by financing buying amount were Xin Yiseng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Zijin Mining, with amounts of 4.855 billion yuan, 4.535 billion yuan, and 2.178 billion yuan respectively [2] - Two stocks had financing buying amounts accounting for over 30% of the total transaction amount, with Chutian Expressway, Jibeier, and Hangdian Co. ranking highest at 35.31%, 34.17%, and 28.87% respectively [2] Group 2 - There were 23 stocks with a net financing buying amount exceeding 100 million yuan, with Hunan Gold, China Western Power, and Shenghong Technology leading at 814 million yuan, 282 million yuan, and 267 million yuan respectively [2]

2月2日共有3480只个股获融资资金买入，有447股买入金额超亿元。其中， 新易盛、 中际旭创、 紫金 矿业融资买入金额排名前三，分别获买入48.55亿元、45.35亿元、21.78亿元。 ...

Group 1 - Trump and Modi reached a trade agreement to reduce tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18% and cancel an additional 25% tariff on Indian purchases of Russian oil. India committed to purchasing over $500 billion worth of U.S. goods in sectors including energy, technology, agriculture, and coal [2] - SpaceX announced the completion of its acquisition of xAI, with SpaceX valued at approximately $1 trillion and xAI at around $250 billion, resulting in a combined valuation of $1.25 trillion [2] Group 2 - The U.S. Labor Statistics Bureau will not release the January non-farm employment report due to a partial government shutdown, and the December job openings report will also be postponed [4] - U.S. stock markets saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 1.05%, S&P 500 up 0.54%, and Nasdaq up 0.56%. Notable tech stocks like Intel rose nearly 5%, while Nvidia fell over 2% [5][6] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 0.65%, with significant declines in Chinese stocks such as XPeng down 8.2% and BYD down 6.7% [5] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.64%, while the offshore and onshore RMB showed slight fluctuations [8] - Gold and silver experienced significant volatility, with spot gold dropping over 4% and silver declining nearly 7%. WTI crude oil futures fell by approximately 4.71% [6][8] Group 4 - The Chinese manufacturing PMI for January rose to 50.3, indicating continued expansion, driven by improvements in employment and new orders [22] - Citigroup raised its GDP forecast for Hong Kong to 3.2% for the year, reflecting a more stable recovery in major industries [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [11]. Core Insights - The domestic copper inventory is beginning to decrease, which may lead to stronger prices [6]. - The gold market is expected to stabilize and rise further due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The aluminum supply remains rigid, supporting the investment outlook for the aluminum sector [11]. - Tin prices are expected to be supported by tight supply conditions [11]. - Antimony prices are rebounding after a six-month decline, indicating potential investment opportunities [11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) has shown significant performance with a 1-month increase of 22.6%, a 3-month increase of 35.7%, and a 12-month increase of 128.5% [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices reached $4981.85 per ounce, with a week-on-week increase of $35.60, or 0.72%. Silver prices were $103.19 per ounce, up $4.19, or 4.23% [4]. Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices closed at $13,440 per ton on the LME, up $460 per ton, or 3.54%. SHFE copper closed at ¥103,170 per ton, up ¥2,120, or 2.10% [6]. - Domestic aluminum prices were ¥24,640 per ton, with a week-on-week increase of ¥510 [7]. Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices were ¥423,630 per ton, down ¥110, or 0.03%. The supply and demand for tin are weak, leading to a price fluctuation around high levels [9]. - Antimony prices remain supported due to tight supply conditions, with current prices at ¥160,000 per ton [10]. Recommended Stocks - For the gold sector, recommended stocks include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold International. In the copper sector, recommended stocks include Zijin Mining and Western Mining. For aluminum, recommended stocks are Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, and Tianshan Aluminum [12].

2月2日，A股遭遇重挫，午后跌幅进一步扩大，沪指、创业板指均跌逾2%。市场呈现普跌格局，4652只个股收跌，有色、煤炭、石油、化工等资源类板 块成为下跌"重灾区"，科技板块亦集体走弱，仅白酒、银行等少数板块逆势护盘。 今日盘面板块大面积下挫，仅白酒饮料、输变电设备、特高压、银行等少数板块逆市护盘。相比之下，小金属概念、稀缺资源、黄金概念、化工原料、汽 车芯片、钢铁等板块跌幅居前。 | 东财概念指数 | | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | A股市场核心指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跨境支付 0.41% | | 超级品牌 0.55% | | | | | | 国证1000 -2.72% | | 沪深300 -2.13% | | | | | | | 银行 0.57% | | | 饮料 1.67% | | | | | | 小金属概念 | 白酒 | 智能电网 | | | | | | 中证A100 -2.68% | 深证成指 | FIFFSO -2.07% | | | -7. ...