Core Viewpoint - As of January 6, 2026, a total of 62 listed companies in the A-share market have released their annual performance forecasts for 2025, with a significant majority expecting profit increases, indicating a positive outlook for the market [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Among the 62 companies, 55 are forecasting profit increases, while 7 expect declines, with 58 companies predicting profits and 4 anticipating losses [2]. - Notably, 12 companies have projected net profits exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Zijin Mining leading the forecast at 51-52 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 59%-62% [5][6]. Group 2: Key Companies and Growth Drivers - Zijin Mining attributes its profit growth to increased production of key minerals, including gold, copper, silver, and lithium, alongside rising sales prices [5]. - Other notable companies include Luxshare Precision, which expects a net profit of 16.5-17.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 23.59%-28.59% [6]. - Salt Lake Industry forecasts a net profit growth rate of up to 90.65%, driven by stable business operations and rising prices for potassium chloride and lithium carbonate [6]. Group 3: Exceptional Growth Rates - Thirteen companies are projecting net profit growth rates exceeding 100%, with Zhongtai Co. leading at a forecasted increase of 715.7% [8]. - Zhongtai Co. cites the stabilization of its subsidiary's operations and increased overseas orders as key factors for its significant profit growth [10]. - Other companies like Chuanhua Zhili and Bai'ao Saitu are also expecting net profit growth rates above 300%, driven by strong operational performance and market expansion [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the gold industry is experiencing upward price movements, with domestic gold jewelry prices rising, suggesting a positive outlook for gold investments [1][2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks (931238) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with notable gains from companies like Zhuhai Group and Yimin Group, while Chifeng Gold leads the declines [1] - Tianfeng Securities believes that the logic behind gold's upward trend is deepening, particularly in light of events in Venezuela, positioning gold as a strong asset against disorder [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Index for gold industry stocks account for 63.58% of the index, highlighting the concentration of investment in a few key players [2] - The gold stock ETF fund closely tracks the performance of the China Securities Index for gold industry stocks, which includes 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales [1]

资金流向方面，近期有色金属板块备受青睐。2025年12月以来，该行业获融资净买入达109.7亿元，紫金矿业、赣锋锂业等龙头股融资净买入金 额均超过5亿元。从业绩预告来看，赤峰黄金、紫金矿业、华友钴业、中国铀业等4家公司已公布的2025年业绩预告均显示预增，其中紫金矿业预 计归母净利润达510亿元—520亿元，同比增长近六成。 分析人士指出，随着新一轮找矿行动的开启，国家层面对于战略性矿产资源的重视程度进一步提升，这为有色金属行业的长期发展提供了政策红 利。展望2026年，在美联储降息周期延续等宏观背景下，流动性宽松将继续利好贵金属和工业金属价格。供给端方面，全球矿山资本开支位于低 位，叠加地缘因素导致的供应紧张，供应紧约束特征明显。需求端则不仅有传统行业的韧性支撑，AI、储能等新兴领域的爆发也将驱动新一轮商 品周期。（文馨） 【环球网财经综合报道】近日，自然资源部发布重磅消息，宣布我国将开展新一轮找矿突破战略行动。这一举措进一步提升战略性矿产资源的安 全保障能力，为有色金属等关键行业的长期稳定发展筑牢资源基础。 据了解，"十四五"期间，我国新一轮找矿突破战略行动已取得显著成效，全面完成了既定目标。国家通过聚焦 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth and precious metals sectors are experiencing significant price increases, driven by supply constraints and strong demand, particularly in the context of China's regulatory measures and global economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.88%, with notable gains in individual stocks such as Rare Earth (600259) up 10.00%, Shengtun Mining (600711) up 9.01%, and Xingye Silver Tin (000426) up 7.57% [1]. - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) increased by 2.01%, marking its fifth consecutive rise, with the latest price reported at 2.13 yuan [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - On the supply side, domestic rare earth supply regulation is expected to smooth out the issuance of quotas, while overseas supply is projected to continue growing as new projects come online [2]. - Demand for rare earths is anticipated to remain strong, particularly from the electric vehicle sector and robotics, further emphasizing the scarcity of resources and potentially driving prices higher [2]. Group 3: Gold and Silver Market Insights - Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings, which supports the ongoing bullish trend in gold prices, especially during periods of interest rate cuts [2]. - Silver ETF holdings are expected to rise significantly by 2025, driven by its financial attributes, which will likely contribute to an increase in silver prices [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Northern Rare Earth (600111), collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the CSI 300 ETF managed by CICC, which saw a slight increase of 0.23% to 1.289 yuan with a trading volume of 4.0761 million yuan as of the midday close on January 7 [1] - The major holdings of the CSI 300 ETF include companies like CATL, which decreased by 0.87%, Kweichow Moutai down by 0.13%, and Ping An Insurance up by 0.16% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI 300 Index return, with a total return of 28.81% since its inception on April 16, 2025, and a one-month return of 4.58% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by CICC Fund Management Co., with Liu Chongjin as the fund manager [1] - Notable stock movements include Zijin Mining down by 1.22%, NewEase down by 0.46%, and Changjiang Electric down by 0.40%, while Zhongji Xuchuang increased by 2.54% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the optimistic outlook for the Chinese stock market in 2026, with a recommendation from Goldman Sachs to overweight Chinese stocks, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1][2] - The A500 index, representing core assets in China, has shown a strong performance with a 0.38% increase, driven by significant gains in stocks such as Wei股份 (up 12.26%) and 南大光电 (up 11.26%) [1] - The number of new A-share accounts opened in 2025 reached 27.44 million, a 9.75% increase from 2024, indicating growing investor interest [1] Group 2 - The A500 index is noted for its balanced representation of both traditional and emerging industries, with a focus on valuation, profitability, and dividends, suggesting an increasing demand for capital allocation towards it [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the A500 index as of December 31, 2025, include 宁德时代, 贵州茅台, and 中国平安, collectively accounting for 20.33% of the index [2] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by key sectors such as commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, and robotics, alongside cyclical sectors like oil and non-ferrous metals [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector, with the index rising by 1.08% and notable increases in individual stocks such as Rare Earth (up 7.25%) and Huayou Cobalt (up 6.25%) [1] - The non-ferrous ETF fund has also shown positive momentum, increasing by 1.01% and achieving five consecutive days of gains, with the latest price at 2.11 yuan [1] - The Federal Reserve's internal disagreements regarding future interest rate cuts are highlighted, with differing opinions on the appropriate path forward, particularly in light of upcoming employment data [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities notes that the gold market is driven by both cyclical and structural bull market factors, with expectations of continued demand for gold ETFs due to overseas interest rate cuts and concerns over the U.S. dollar's credit [2] - The silver market is expected to see a mid-term upward trend, supported by stable supply and growing industrial demand, particularly in photovoltaic and electrical electronics sectors [2] - The lithium industry is experiencing a downward trend in capacity growth following a peak in capital expenditure, but ongoing investment in global energy storage may improve supply-demand dynamics [2] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metals industry index account for 51.65% of the index, with significant players including Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Views of the Report - From a fundamental perspective, the lithium carbonate market in 2026 is expected to show a tight - balance pattern with strong supply and demand. The supply side will have a clear division in regions and resource types, with domestic growth led by salt - lake lithium extraction and overseas by ore - based lithium projects. The demand side will be driven by the booming energy - storage market and the rapid increase in the penetration rate of new - energy heavy trucks, along with the stable growth of new - energy vehicle production and sales [2]. - From a technical perspective, given the previous sharp rise and overall bullish market sentiment, the possibility of a rapid and reverse decline in lithium carbonate prices is low. The current price is close to the first important high after the rebound following the decline of lithium carbonate futures, and it may take time to break through this level [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2025 Lithium Carbonate Trend Analysis: V - shaped Reversal - In 2025, the lithium carbonate market showed a typical V - shaped trend, divided into a unilateral decline from January to June due to weak industry fundamentals and external policy shocks, and an upward - trending period after late June driven by policies and events [5]. - From January to June, the market was in a state of structural oversupply, with downstream new - energy vehicle growth slowing and energy - storage demand under - performing. Social inventory reached 96,000 tons by the end of April, the highest since 2021. After April, the market accelerated its decline due to the US tariff policy, and prices dropped below the break - even point [6]. - After late June, the market rebounded. In July, the "anti - involution" policy boosted sentiment. From late July to September, supply - side events strengthened the expectation of supply contraction, and prices first rose and then fell. After the National Day, the booming energy - storage demand drove prices above 100,000 yuan/ton, and in early December, a new round of upward trend began [7]. Lithium Carbonate Supply Side Capacity and Production - In 2026, the global new lithium carbonate production capacity is expected to be about 30 - 330,000 tons LCE, with a clear division in regions and resource types. Domestic capacity growth will mainly come from salt - lake lithium extraction, while overseas growth will be mainly from ore - based lithium projects. The actual capacity release depends on the price of lithium carbonate [9]. - In 2025, domestic lithium carbonate production increased strongly, with a cumulative output of 871,200 tons from January to November, a year - on - year increase of 44%. The growth was mainly driven by spodumene - based lithium extraction. In 2026, the domestic supply structure is expected to be further optimized, with salt - lake lithium extraction as the key incremental source, but the actual supply release still faces uncertainties [11][12]. Import - At the end of 2025, China's lithium carbonate imports remained stable, with an annual total of about 2.5 million tons. Imports from Argentina increased by 56%, while those from Chile decreased by 17%. In 2026, the import pattern is expected to shift from South - American dominance to diversified supply, with the total import volume expected to be between 2 - 2.5 million tons, but the growth rate may slow [14]. Inventory - Since August 2025, domestic lithium carbonate inventory has been continuously decreasing. In 2026, the market is expected to show a pattern of "both supply and demand increasing, with a tight balance", and the inventory center is expected to move down further and may show seasonal fluctuations [16]. Demand Side Energy Storage - From January to October 2025, the domestic energy - storage winning - bid capacity reached 148GWh, a year - on - year increase of 39%. In 2026, the energy - storage cell shipment is expected to reach 850GWh, and the annual demand for lithium carbonate in this field is expected to increase by more than 162,000 tons LCE. The global energy - storage demand is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 30% - 40% in 2026, with China contributing more than 40% [19]. New - energy Vehicles - From January to October 2025, China's new - energy vehicle market grew strongly, with production and sales increasing by more than 30% year - on - year, accounting for 46.7% of the total new - vehicle sales. Exports reached 2.65 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 54%. In 2026, new - energy vehicle production and sales are expected to continue to grow, driving up the demand for lithium carbonate [22][23]. New - energy Heavy Trucks - In 2025, the new - energy heavy - truck market in China grew strongly, with cumulative sales of 1.0423 million vehicles in the first 11 months, a year - on - year increase of 27%. In 2026, the market is expected to enter a stable development stage at a high level, and the penetration rate of new - energy heavy trucks is expected to exceed 30%, even reaching 35% - 40%, which will support the demand for lithium carbonate [24]. Cost Side - As of December 29, the forward spot price of Australian spodumene (5.5% - 6%) was $1680/ton, and the price of lithium - mica concentrate (2% - 2.5%) was 1850 yuan/ton, with monthly increases of over 45%. The weighted cost of lithium carbonate is about 82,000 yuan/ton, which further strengthens the bottom support [28][29]. Summary - The environmental rectification and shutdown of Jiangxi's mica mines in 2025 was the key turning point for the lithium carbonate market from oversupply to tight balance. In 2026, the core contradiction in domestic supply lies in the resumption rhythm and intensity of lithium - mica mines in Jiangxi. Meanwhile, the explosive growth of energy - storage demand requires close tracking of policy implementation and actual demand fulfillment [3][30]. - Historically, the probability of price increases in the second half of the year is higher than in the first half. However, the market may show two scenarios in 2026, especially in the first half: either range - bound at the current high level or form a double - top pattern and then enter an adjustment phase. The depth and timing of subsequent corrections depend on the resumption progress of leading manufacturers and the actual fulfillment of energy - storage demand [3][30].

恒生指数低开0.41%，恒生科技指数跌0.28%。盘面上，贵金属板块强势，紫金矿业涨超1%；半导体概 念活跃，华虹半导体涨近3%；科网股下挫，阿里巴巴跌超2%。 关于港股后市 银河证券表示，12月人工智能板块维持震荡走势，小幅微跌，成交量萎缩，12月受到国内外多重因素影 响，市场整体呈现出一定分歧，以短期内题材交易机会为主导，该行认为市场目前对日本央行加息、美 联储降息预期已经充分演绎，当前仍然在政策、业绩披露空窗期，资金仍然相对集中在业绩有望持续兑 现的AI硬件如光模块、PCB等领域，科技板块内部呈现分化结构，当然该行也看到部分AI应用公司三季 报业绩出现边际好转，当前节点该行仍然建议左侧布局人工智能板块中有业绩支撑细分领域及龙头公 司。 广发证券认为，本轮港股资产上涨具备基本面支撑，由于较A股更少的传统经济板块，自2024年下半年 开始，在内外需共同企稳、宏观政策发力托底的背景下，港股盈利已经出现结构性修复迹象，只是阶段 性被外卖补贴战打破。中美战略性关键科技领域中，绝大部分核心公司在港股有上市。高端制造业、科 技的成长正从"单点突破"迈向"多点爆破"。映射至资本市场，港股正从传统的顺经济周期，逐步转向A ...

Group 1: Interest Rate Adjustments - The three-year fixed deposit product with an interest rate of 2.2% was officially removed on January 5, with all deposit rates decreasing by 20 basis points [1] - Multiple small and medium-sized banks, including Wuding Xingfu Village Bank and Xuwen Rural Commercial Bank, have recently announced adjustments to their deposit rates, indicating a trend of flexible management based on individual bank conditions [1] Group 2: Currency and Asset Trends - The offshore RMB exchange rate against the USD rose again on January 6, remaining above the 7 yuan mark, continuing a trend of appreciation that has lasted nearly nine months [1] - Analysts believe that the strengthening of the RMB is beneficial for foreign capital inflow, improving liquidity and risk appetite in the A-share market, with three asset categories highlighted for investment: aviation, paper manufacturing, and high-growth sectors like computing and electronics [1] Group 3: Company Performance Forecasts - Eleven companies are expected to achieve their highest net profits in the past decade by 2025, with Zijin Mining and Luxshare Precision leading with lower limits of 51 billion yuan and over 16.5 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is expected to be strong due to supply constraints and structural demand growth, with companies like China Uranium Industry also anticipated to reach peak profits [2] Group 4: Lithium Carbonate Price Surge - Lithium carbonate prices have surged significantly, with a 7.74% increase on January 5 and an 8.99% increase on January 6, reaching 137,900 yuan per ton, driven by tightening supply expectations and rising demand [3] - The price increase is linked to uncertainties in lithium supply and growing demand for energy storage, with market analysts suggesting limited downside potential for lithium prices [3] Group 5: Corporate Developments - Yunnan Metallurgical Group is publicly offering a 3.18% stake in Cheng Tai Insurance for a base price of 184 million yuan, marking the third attempt to transfer this stake [6] - Four companies, including Suzhou Shangshun Technology, have initiated listing counseling as of January 6, indicating ongoing activity in the capital markets [6] Group 6: Stock Market Movements - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.99%, driven by AI-related demand, while the S&P 500 and Dow reached historical highs [17] - Commodity prices, particularly metals, have seen significant increases, with copper and nickel reaching record highs, reflecting strong market conditions [17]