Summary of China Shipping and Shipbuilding Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Shipping and Shipbuilding - **Key Companies**: Hengli Heavy Industry, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, COSCO Shipping Holdings, COSCO Shipping Energy, SITC Holdings Key Takeaways 1. New Shipbuilding Entrant and Impact - Hengli Heavy Industry (HHI) is a new entrant in the shipbuilding industry with a target of 2.3 million tons steel processing volume, potentially translating to 1.5-2x capacity compared to Yangzijiang, which holds 4-5% of global market share. This could imply a 3-4% upside to supply growth forecasts [5][9] - HHI's effective capacity will depend on production efficiency and recruitment of additional employees. The impact on newbuild ship prices is expected to be limited due to the time required for ramping up capacity and disciplined capacity expansion among other Chinese shipyards [5][6] 2. Pricing and Costs Outlook for Chinese Shipyards - Yangzijiang has observed limited further impact from USTR's port fees on China-built vessels, with a pricing gap between Korean and Chinese shipyards widening to 10%. They have regained market share for new ship orders since July and August [10][34] - Both Hengli and Yangzijiang expect stable steel prices in the medium term, which constitutes a significant portion of their operating costs [10][34] 3. Shipping Sub-segments and New Ship Orders Outlook - Positive outlook for tankers, with COSCO Energy expecting elevated freight rates driven by trade rerouting and low supply growth. The management sees improving supply-demand dynamics for crude tankers over the next two years [10][43] - Conservative outlook for container shipping, product tankers, and LNG carriers due to massive new ship deliveries. However, COSCO Shipping Holdings has fully booked slots for upcoming months on major routes, which may support spot rate hikes [10][39] - Rising new ship orders are anticipated for tankers and large-size bulkers, while container and LNGC new ship orders are expected to face pressure in the medium term [10][39] 4. Financial Performance and Projections - HHI reported a gross margin of 21% in 1H25, up from 10% in 1H24, with a net profit guidance of Rmb1.1 billion, Rmb1.6 billion, and Rmb2.1 billion for 2025-2027 [18] - Yangzijiang's management confirmed that most ships under construction are based on contracts signed in 2023, with no new builds from 2024 yet, indicating a favorable product mix [10][34] 5. Strategic Developments - HHI plans to ramp up its workforce from 40-50k to 60k to achieve its capacity target of delivering 80 ships annually [12] - Yangzijiang is set to increase its capacity by 20% with the opening of the Hongyuan Shipyard in 2H2026 [34] 6. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The merger of China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation aims to enhance order bidding coordination among subsidiaries [38] - The management of CSSC noted that the longer orderbook backlog is affecting new ship order shares, with a focus on environmental requirements driving future orders [38] 7. Risks and Challenges - Key risks include higher-than-expected steel prices, stricter USTR regulations, and potential declines in average selling prices [51][52] - The management expressed concerns about the sustainability of elevated freight rates in the container shipping sector due to massive new ship deliveries [46] Conclusion The shipping and shipbuilding industry in China is experiencing significant changes with new entrants like Hengli Heavy Industry, stable pricing outlooks, and varying projections across different shipping sub-segments. The competitive landscape is evolving with strategic mergers and capacity expansions, while risks related to pricing and regulatory challenges remain pertinent.

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the announcement of stock repurchase plans by companies, highlighting the trend of companies engaging in buybacks to enhance shareholder value [1] - On October 27, one company disclosed a stock repurchase plan for the first time, with Tian Di Digital planning to repurchase up to 178,100 yuan [1] - As of October 27, a total of 1,676 stock repurchase plans have been implemented this year, involving 1,260 companies, with 320 companies completing buybacks exceeding 100 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The companies with the highest completed repurchase amounts include Kweichow Moutai, with 6 billion yuan, Muyuan Foods, with 3 billion yuan, and COSCO Shipping Holdings, with 2.146 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from the招商中证红利交易型开放式指数基金 indicates a net value growth rate of 9.21% over the past year, with significant changes in the top ten holdings compared to the previous quarter [1]. Group 1: Fund Performance - The fund achieved a net value growth rate of 9.21% over the last year [1]. - The report highlights the addition of new stocks to the top ten holdings, including 潞安环能, 中谷物流, 农业银行, 南钢股份, and 建设银行 [1]. Group 2: Changes in Top Holdings - New entries in the top ten holdings include: - 潞安环能 (669709): 7.7764 million shares valued at 1.11 billion - 中谷物流 (603560): 10.0744 million shares valued at 1.1 billion - 农业银行 (601288): 161.424 million shares valued at 1.08 billion - 南钢股份 (600282): 199.957 million shares valued at 1.05 billion - 建设银行 (601939): 117.632 million shares valued at 1.01 billion [2]. - 宁波华翔 (002048) saw an increase in holdings by 56.7 thousand shares, making it the largest holding at 2.73 billion [1][2]. - Other stocks that exited the top ten holdings include 成都银行, 兴业银行, 大秦铁路, 江苏银行, and 交通银行 [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - A-share listed companies are increasingly implementing mid-term dividends, with a total of nearly 660 billion yuan distributed, approaching last year's total mid-term dividends [1][2] Group 1: Company Dividends - China Merchants Industry Holdings (中远海控) announced a cash dividend of 0.56 yuan per share, totaling nearly 8.7 billion yuan [1] - Changsha Bank plans to distribute over 800 million yuan in cash dividends, the highest among listed companies in Hunan [1][2] - Foxconn Industrial Internet and Beijing Yanjing Beer announced their first mid-term dividends of 6.551 billion yuan and 282 million yuan, respectively [2] Group 2: Company Performance - China Merchants Industry Holdings reported earnings per share of 1.12 yuan and a net profit of approximately 1.75 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.95% [1] - Kefu Medical reported earnings per share of 0.82 yuan and a net profit of approximately 167 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 9.51% [3] - Changsha Bank reported earnings per share of 1.08 yuan and a net profit of approximately 4.33 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.05% [3] Group 3: Industry Trends - Over 850 A-share listed companies have announced or implemented mid-term dividend plans, with over 442 companies having a total market value exceeding 10 billion yuan, accounting for over 50% of the total [2] - The trend of companies practicing multiple dividends a year is expected to attract long-term investment and enhance market resilience [3]

Market Overview - The shipping and port sector declined by 0.62% on October 22, with Haixia Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the shipping and port sector included: - Zhonggu Logistics (603565) with a closing price of 11.18, up 1.82% [1] - Tangshan Port (601000) at 4.00, up 1.01% [1] - COSCO Shipping Specialized (600428) at 7.21, up 0.84% [1] - Major decliners included: - Haixia Co. (002320) at 13.59, down 7.55% [2] - Antong Holdings (600179) at 4.29, down 6.94% [2] - Haitong Development (603162) at 10.63, down 6.01% [2] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The shipping and port sector experienced a net outflow of 752 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 708 million yuan [2][3] - The trading volume for Zhonggu Logistics was 177,100 shares, with a transaction value of 197 million yuan [1] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Zhonggu Logistics (603565) had a net inflow of 10.93 million yuan from retail investors, while institutional investors saw a net outflow of 54.53 million yuan [3] - COSCO Shipping Holdings (601866) had a net inflow of 73,040 yuan from retail investors, with a minor outflow from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The "International Seafarer Development Seminar" held on October 20 aims to plan precise pathways for building a high-quality seafarer workforce and to foster industry consensus for the future of maritime labor [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The seminar is part of the 2025 North Bund International Shipping Forum and focuses on creating dignified work and competency standards for seafarers [1]. - The event gathered over 110 participants, including leaders, shore management personnel, seafarers, pilots, educators, and students from various maritime organizations and institutions [19]. Group 2: Key Themes Discussed - The first topic addressed the role of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) and the International Labour Organization (ILO) in global employment and training regulations for seafarers, emphasizing the importance of these frameworks in safeguarding seafarer rights and promoting sustainable development in the shipping industry [6]. - The second topic focused on the recruitment and retention of high-quality seafarers, highlighting the need for innovative training methods, such as embedded mentorship and gamified interviews, to attract and retain talent in the maritime sector [9]. - The third topic discussed the challenges in seafarer training and development, including the shortage of skilled seafarers and the need for a new training system that incorporates digital tools and precise training methods [12]. Group 3: Industry Perspectives - Officials from the Shanghai Hongkou District expressed their commitment to supporting the development of the shipping industry in the North Bund area, aiming to create a collaborative platform for maritime partners [3]. - The Secretary-General of the International Chamber of Shipping emphasized the strategic importance of seafarers for the future of the shipping industry and the need for enhanced international cooperation to improve career pathways for seafarers [4]. - Leaders from COSCO Shipping highlighted the significance of building a high-quality seafarer workforce for the industry's future and the importance of establishing a competency standard system [4].

Core Insights - Shanghai Baoshan District's green low-carbon industry scale reached 100.369 billion yuan in 2024, marking its entry into the "billion club" for the first time [1] - The district is transforming from an old industrial base to a "new highland of green development" through supply chain innovation, industrial cluster breakthroughs, and accelerated enterprise aggregation [1] Group 1: Green Industry Development - Green manufacturing accounted for 48.266 billion yuan, nearly half of the total green low-carbon industry scale [1] - Green energy, green services, and circular economy sectors each surpassed 10 billion yuan in scale [1] Group 2: Supply Chain and Collaboration - The first green low-carbon supply chain public service platform in Shanghai was launched in Baoshan District, connecting 26 cross-provincial cooperative enterprises from Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui [2] - The platform aims to create a full-chain service network covering supplier access, product carbon footprint accounting, and low-carbon technology matching [2] Group 3: Ecosystem and Industry Attraction - The "Eight Ones" ecological system has been established to support the industry, including a carbon-neutral industrial park and a green low-carbon supply chain platform [3] - The CN100 Green Low-Carbon Supply Chain Alliance has attracted 35 leading enterprises from key industries, forming a cross-sector collaborative "green industry matrix" [3] Group 4: Agricultural Sector Initiatives - A dual-carbon information disclosure platform for the pesticide industry was co-established with the China Pesticide Industry Association to promote low-carbon transformation [4] - The district will host important events for the CN100 alliance, facilitating the launch of green products and technologies [4] Group 5: Future Goals and Strategies - By 2025, Baoshan aims to enhance its "aggregation, contribution, and visibility" in the green low-carbon industry [5] - The district plans to optimize public service platforms, develop carbon databases, and promote green trade transformation [5] Group 6: Vision for Leadership - Baoshan District aims to become a leader in green rules and a source of low-carbon technology, focusing on the development of a green low-carbon supply chain standard system [6]

Core Insights - The global shipping industry is facing unprecedented changes, necessitating technological breakthroughs and innovative resource allocation for high-quality development [1][2] - Digitalization is identified as the core engine for new productivity in shipping, with a focus on overcoming data silos to enhance efficiency [2] - The construction of a green shipping ecosystem requires collaboration across various sectors, including shipping, shipbuilding, technology, ports, energy, and finance [3] Group 1 - The world is experiencing significant changes, and the instability of supply chains is becoming more pronounced, requiring deep transformation in the shipping industry [1] - Industry chain collaboration is seen as a pathway to address external uncertainties, emphasizing long-term partnerships with supply chain stakeholders [2] - The company is developing a digital platform for integrated port and shipping trade, aiming for full visibility and smart decision-making across the supply chain [2] Group 2 - Artificial intelligence is recognized as a transformative force in the industry, enhancing operational efficiency and reshaping industry dynamics [2] - The company has achieved high coordination in its port operations, significantly improving the efficiency of smart terminals [2] - The company plans to strengthen innovative cooperation with domestic and international ports to create green shipping corridors and hubs [3] Group 3 - The company advocates for a global multilateral consultation mechanism to support the implementation of a net-zero emissions framework in international maritime organizations [3] - Future explorations will include smart autonomous navigation and blockchain-based bill of lading frameworks to establish fair and inclusive global shipping governance [3]

Group 1: Forum Overview - The "2025 North Bund International Shipping Forum" opened in Shanghai with a focus on "Collaborative Promotion of Global Shipping Sustainable Development" [1] - This year's forum is the fifth edition, co-hosted by the Ministry of Transport and the Shanghai Municipal Government, and aims to accelerate the construction of Shanghai as an international shipping center [1] - A record 30 new industry achievements were announced at the opening, with over 50 expected to be released during the forum [1] Group 2: Global Supply Chain Challenges - The global logistics supply chain is facing severe challenges due to rising unilateralism and protectionism [3] - Turkey's Deputy Minister of Transport emphasized the need for multi-modal transport to build a more resilient logistics network, highlighting Turkey's strategic role as a transit hub between China and Europe [3] - Turkey aims to operate 1,000 direct freight trains annually between China and Europe, focusing on infrastructure digitalization, sustainable transport, and enhancing industry resilience [3] Group 3: Aviation and Logistics Developments - Shanghai Pudong Airport has become the world's second-largest air cargo hub, with significant investments in multi-modal transport facilities [4] - The airport's new initiative aims to enhance its international air hub brand, focusing on comprehensive transformation in products, services, and efficiency [4] - China Eastern Airlines plans to open 23 new medium to long-haul international routes starting in 2024, enhancing its connectivity with Belt and Road countries [4] Group 4: Efforts Towards Net Zero Emissions - The shipping and air transport sectors are jointly responsible for about 6% of global greenhouse gas emissions, necessitating collaborative measures for sustainable development [7] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) aims for net-zero emissions in shipping by around 2050, with significant investments in zero-emission vessels [7] - Over 200 vessels designed for zero or net-zero emissions are currently in operation, with expectations to exceed 1,000 by 2030, representing an investment of over $150 billion [7] Group 5: China's Green Shipping Initiatives - China's shipping industry is making solid progress in green transformation, focusing on a full-chain transport model and reducing carbon intensity [8] - The development of green vessels is being accelerated, with over one-third of new ship orders in 2024 expected to use alternative clean fuels [8] - China is leading in the construction of a green fuel supply network, with ports implementing regular LNG and methanol refueling [8] Group 6: Collaborative Initiatives for Green Shipping - Several green shipping corridors are being established, including collaborations between Shanghai and European ports to facilitate decarbonization [12] - Initiatives are underway to create a green and digital shipping corridor between Shandong and Singapore, promoting low-carbon shipping practices [12] - The forum will feature discussions among international organizations, industry leaders, and experts on key issues and innovations in the shipping sector [12]

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - Over 80% of transportation companies have performed well in ESG scores, with 15 companies scoring above 80 and 12 above 90, representing 83% and 67% respectively [9][11] - 94% of the 18 central enterprises in the transportation sector have completed the required disclosures regarding importance assessment, but only 33% have disclosed third-party verification reports [11][13] - Companies in the high score range actively disclose climate change issues, while those in the lower range focus more on environmental issues, indicating a need for improvement in climate-related disclosures [16][17] - The report highlights the social responsibilities of transportation enterprises, particularly in rural revitalization and safety operations, with a 94% disclosure rate for safety operations [37][41] - Governance scores are generally high, with many companies integrating party building into their governance structures, showcasing a unique governance advantage [47][51] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - More than 80% of transportation companies have good overall ESG scores, with detailed financial importance disclosures and high scores in environmental, social responsibility, and governance aspects [9][16] Importance Assessment - 94% of companies have completed the required disclosures, with 17 out of 18 companies highlighting financial importance [11][13] Environmental & Climate - 83% of companies scored between 30-34 in environmental issues, with high disclosure rates for waste management (100%) and energy management (96%) [16][20] - Climate management disclosures show a high completion rate of 89%, but climate strategy disclosures need improvement, with only 56% of companies fully disclosing [32][35] Social Responsibility - Transportation enterprises have detailed their efforts in rural revitalization and social contributions, achieving a 100% disclosure rate for social responsibility [41][42] - Safety operations are a key focus, with 94% of companies disclosing relevant information [37][45] Governance - Governance scores are high, with 14 companies disclosing governance structures and mechanisms, and many integrating party building into their governance [47][51] - 94% of companies focus on safety risk management, with detailed disclosures on safety management systems [53][56]