Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home appliance sector, highlighting that the sector outperformed the CSI 300 index during the week [2][3]. Core Insights - The home appliance sector index fell by 2.3%, while the CSI 300 index dropped by 3.8%, indicating a relative strength in the sector [2][3]. - Key companies such as Aopu Technology, Zhejiang Meida, and Supor showed gains, while companies like Joyoung, Beiqi, and Biyi experienced significant declines [4]. - Haier Robotics and INDEMIND signed a strategic cooperation agreement to advance the application of embodied robots in home settings [8]. - Biyi Electric received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for a specific stock issuance [9]. Sales Data - In October, sales of cleaning appliances increased year-on-year, with robotic vacuum sales rising by 36.01% to 500,900 units and sales revenue increasing by 35.34% to 1.025 billion yuan [29]. - Sales of washing machines also saw a significant increase, with units sold rising by 60.11% to 429,300 and revenue increasing by 60.34% to 756 million yuan [29]. - Personal care products showed mixed results, with hairdryer sales slightly up by 0.31% but revenue down by 18.17%, while electric shaver sales rose by 29.12% with revenue up by 38.05% [34]. Industry Dynamics - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1. The potential of leading white and black appliance companies characterized by low valuations, high dividends, and stable growth [2]. 2. Upstream core component manufacturers are diversifying into emerging tech fields such as robotics and data center cooling [2]. 3. The increasing penetration of new consumer categories like cleaning appliances presents significant growth opportunities [2]. Macro Economic Environment - As of November 21, 2025, the USD to CNY exchange rate was reported at 7.0875, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 1.40% [40]. - In October 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.90% [42].

Group 1 - The core driving force behind the rapid growth of "AI + Education" comes from the resonance of policy, technology, and market factors. Policies since 2024 have emphasized the integration of AI technology into all aspects of education [2][5][8] - AI's core value in education lies in breaking the traditional "impossible triangle" of achieving scale, quality, and personalization simultaneously. AI can expand services at low cost while maintaining personalized and interactive teaching content [2][6][8] - Successful overseas examples, such as Duolingo, provide a replicable commercialization model for "AI + Education," demonstrating the dual potential of AI educational products in enhancing learning outcomes and achieving commercial monetization [2][15][16] Group 2 - The domestic "AI + Education" business model is primarily divided into To G, To B, and To C categories, each serving different scenarios and needs. The To G model focuses on educational equity and compliance governance, while To B aims to enhance teaching and management efficiency in schools, and To C directly targets students and parents [2][20][24] - The To G model emphasizes using AI to ensure educational fairness and compliance, with typical applications including "smart examination rooms" and "AI scoring systems." Companies deeply rooted in educational information technology are expected to have advantages in this area [2][24][25] - The To B model aims to improve internal teaching and management efficiency within schools. Traditional educational hardware companies are likely to dominate the "AI classroom" hardware segment, while publishing and media companies with close ties to teaching materials are expected to excel in "AI teaching assistant" software [2][26][27] Group 3 - The To C model focuses on providing highly personalized learning experiences directly to students and parents. Key product forms include "AI learning machines" and "AI tutoring" applications. Leading companies in the To C segment need to possess internet technology development capabilities to support real-time interaction and algorithm iteration [2][29][30] - Several listed companies have actively laid out in the To C "AI + Education" field, forming competitive product portfolios. For example, Visionox provides integrated AI teaching solutions through its "Xihuo" brand, while iFlytek has launched AI learning machines and smart blackboards based on self-developed large models [2][34][35] - Despite being in the early stages of development, "AI + Education" has vast application scenarios and strong future growth momentum. The industry still has room for improvement in technology integration depth and market penetration, but the speed of product adoption is expected to accelerate as costs decrease and user awareness increases [2][37]

证 券 研 究 报 告 商品型上市基金：折溢价探讨与产品投资策略分析 ——ETF兵器谱、金融产品每周见20251121 证券分析师：奚佳诚 A0230523070004 蒋辛 A0230521080002 邓虎 A0230520070003 联系人： 奚佳诚 A0230523070004 xijc@swsresearch.com 2025.11.21 投资要点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 1. 商品型上市基金总览：黄金ETF、白银LOF、商品期货ETF ◼ 商品型基金是一类特殊的公募基金产品类型 表：目前市面上的商品型基金 ◼ 商品型基金是一类特殊的公募基金产品类型：市场上共有18只商品型基金，追踪黄金、白银、商品期货等不同商品资产，且全为上市基金 除国投瑞银白银期货为LOF外，其余17只产品均为ETF产品。 ◼ 黄金ETF与上海金ETF的产品，其底层黄金资产存在区别：上海金合约采用集中定价交易，每日仅形成两个时点的价格。黄金现货合约则 为现货实盘交易。两类合约的价格日内变化曲线上，会存在非常明显的区别。底层黄金资产的区别导致上海金ETF可能出现日内短期"账 面折溢价"。不过，两 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pinduoduo (PDD) [2][12] Core Insights - Pinduoduo reported FY3Q25 revenue of RMB 108.3 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, exceeding consensus estimates of RMB 107.6 billion. Non-GAAP net profit increased by 14% year-over-year to RMB 31.4 billion, surpassing market expectations [5][6][12] - The "RMB 100 billion Merchant Support" program is driving transformation and high-quality development within the ecosystem, with significant growth in the number of young merchants and high-quality product SKUs [7][10][12] - The company is focusing on cost control, with total operating expenses accounting for 33.6% of revenue, down 2.0 percentage points year-over-year. R&D expenditure increased significantly, indicating a commitment to technological advancement [8][10][12] - Temu, a subsidiary, is experiencing strong growth in active users and market popularity, with cumulative global downloads exceeding 1.2 billion and a record high of 530 million monthly active users in August 2025 [11][12] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Pinduoduo are as follows: - 2023: RMB 247.639 billion - 2024: RMB 393.836 billion - 2025E: RMB 431.367 billion - 2026E: RMB 494.010 billion - 2027E: RMB 561.012 billion - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts have been adjusted to: - 2025E: RMB 109.029 billion (up from RMB 102.4 billion) - 2026E: RMB 128.155 billion (down from RMB 138.6 billion) - 2027E: RMB 155.770 billion (down from RMB 168.9 billion) [4][12]

Group 1 - The demand for home appliances has significantly improved, with the white goods sector showing a rebound in valuation. In the first nine months of 2025, air conditioning sales reached 90.81 million units, a year-on-year increase of 8.4% [2][3] - The "old-for-new" policy implemented in July 2024 has positively impacted sales, particularly in the kitchen appliance sector, where retail sales of range hoods and gas stoves saw year-on-year increases of 14.9% and 15.7%, respectively [2][3][24] - The overall valuation of the home appliance sector has declined, but it is currently at a near-bottom level, indicating high cost-effectiveness for investment [2][3][29] Group 2 - Three main investment themes are identified: 1. **Dividend**: Leading white and black goods companies exhibit low valuation, high dividends, and stable growth, making them attractive for investment [4] 2. **Technology**: Core component manufacturers are diversifying into emerging tech fields such as robotics and data center cooling, seeking cross-industry transformation [4] 3. **Overseas Expansion**: The penetration rate of new consumer categories, such as clean appliances, is increasing, indicating substantial growth potential [4][5] Group 3 - The white goods sector is expected to maintain stable growth due to the ongoing effects of the "old-for-new" policy, with head companies like Haier, Midea, and Gree being recommended for investment [4][5] - The kitchen appliance sector shows a clear division in performance, with traditional categories benefiting from government subsidies while new categories like integrated stoves face challenges [24][25] - The export market is experiencing a gradual decline in demand, with air conditioning exports dropping by 12.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, influenced by previous tariff policies and high base effects [3][9][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating a favorable investment rating due to the rising cost structure and expected increase in coal prices [2][6]. Core Insights - The coal industry is experiencing a structural change with a systematic increase in the cost base, driven by factors such as increased mining depth, stricter environmental compliance, and rising safety investments. This has led to a higher price floor for coal, making it unlikely to return to the low levels seen in 2015 [8][7]. - The report emphasizes that the rising costs are not a temporary phenomenon but are supported by rigid factors such as labor costs, safety investments, and environmental governance, which are expected to persist in the long term [7][8]. - The anticipated tightening of supply due to production constraints and limited new capacity is expected to support a steady increase in coal prices [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Cost Research Framework - The report outlines the components of coal production costs, including direct and indirect costs, with a focus on production costs as the most significant element [16][17]. 2. Thermal Coal: Cost Support and Price Floor - From 2015 to 2024, the average complete cost of thermal coal for sample enterprises increased from 216 CNY/ton to 306 CNY/ton, with a CAGR of 4%. The production cost rose from 161 CNY/ton to 231 CNY/ton [29][30]. - In 2024, benchmark companies like China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy have complete costs of 251, 294, and 310 CNY/ton respectively [29][30]. 3. Coking Coal: Rising Cost Support - The complete cost of coking coal for sample companies increased from 546 CNY/ton to 1051 CNY/ton from 2015 to 2024, with a CAGR of 7.6%. The production cost rose from 432 CNY/ton to 814 CNY/ton [5][6]. - The report indicates that the cost structure for coking coal is also expected to rise due to increased mining difficulty and regulatory pressures [5][6]. 4. Supply Tightening and Market Dynamics - The report notes that domestic coal production has been in negative growth since July, influenced by loss pressures and capacity checks, which are expected to tighten supply further [6][7]. - Import volumes have been declining for eight consecutive months, limiting the ability to supplement domestic supply [6][7]. 5. Key Conclusions and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends stable, high-dividend stocks such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, while also suggesting attention to more elastic stocks like Jinko Coal and Huayang Co. [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the overseas pharmaceutical sector, particularly focusing on innovative drugs and industry chain opportunities, with an investment rating of "Overweight" [1][6]. Core Insights - Multiple policies are supporting the development of the innovative drug industry, with domestic innovative drug transactions reaching historical highs in both value and quantity. The sector's valuation has rebounded from a low point, and leading companies are achieving profitability through increased commercial sales and licensing income [6][8]. - Companies like BeiGene are experiencing significant growth, with global sales exceeding $1 billion in Q3 2025, marking a 51% year-on-year increase. The company anticipates a positive GAAP operating profit for the full year 2025, raising its revenue guidance to $5.1-5.3 billion [1][6]. - Innovent Biologics is expanding its pipeline with a dual focus on oncology and non-oncology products, expecting to achieve positive non-IFRS net profit and EBITDA in 2024, with continued growth projected for 2025 [2][6]. - The report highlights the increasing R&D investments by leading pharmaceutical companies, which are enhancing their innovative pipelines and accelerating their transformation towards innovation [3][7]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Overseas Pharmaceuticals - The report emphasizes the focus on innovative drugs and the opportunities within the industry chain for 2026, noting the historical highs in transaction amounts and numbers for domestic innovative drugs going overseas [6][8]. - BeiGene's overseas sales are highlighted, with Q3 2025 global sales surpassing $1 billion and a significant year-on-year profit turnaround [1][6]. - Innovent Biologics is noted for its strategic partnerships and expected profitability in the coming years [2][6]. Section 2: Pharma Sector - Leading companies are rapidly increasing their R&D investments, which is expected to strengthen their innovative pipelines and global competitiveness [3][7]. - Companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products are projected to see substantial growth in their innovative product revenues, with significant contributions expected in the coming years [3][7]. Section 3: CXO Sector - The report indicates a recovery in investment and financing for innovative drugs, which is likely to drive early-stage R&D investments and boost demand [8]. - Emerging fields such as peptides and ADCs are expected to open new growth opportunities, with a recommendation to focus on companies like WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics [8].

Group 1: Macro Economic Outlook - The global economy is expected to operate smoothly in 2025, with convergence between the US and non-US economies, while asset bubbles and differentiation coexist [8] - The AI sector is anticipated to drive a "rigid bubble" narrative, reflecting strong expectations against weak realities, with risk assets and safe-haven assets moving upward together [8][9] - The macroeconomic foundation for the AI bubble includes stable global economic conditions, a low probability of a hard landing for the US economy, and a favorable liquidity environment due to ongoing interest rate cuts [8][11] Group 2: Hong Kong Stock Market Strategy - The Hang Seng Index has seen a 29.15% increase in the first ten months of the year, indicating a bull market driven by valuation expansion and upward revisions in earnings expectations [12] - The potential return for the Hang Seng Index in a neutral scenario is approximately 22.92%, with an optimistic scenario reaching 33.83% [12][13] - The structural changes in the Hong Kong market, including the increasing representation of technology and new economy sectors, suggest a systemic elevation in valuations [12] Group 3: Transportation Sector Investment Strategy - The investment focus for the transportation sector in 2026 will center on four main lines: long-cycle shipping and aviation, resource products in conjunction with the Belt and Road Initiative, technology-enabled new tracks, and high-dividend asset value reassessment [14][15] - The shipping sector is expected to experience a long-term upward cycle driven by supply constraints and inflation elasticity, with key stocks identified for investment [15][18] - The aviation sector is also projected to improve due to supply-side constraints and increased demand, with specific airlines highlighted as investment opportunities [15][18]

证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 非银会融/ 证券■ 时玩人分析 2025 年 11 月 20 日 相关研究 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 重申看好并购重组投资主线! ――中金公司拟换股吸收（中金公司 A 股）合并东兴证 券、信达证券点评 事件: 11 月 19 日，中金公司发布关于筹划重大资产重组的停牌公告，中金公司拟换股吸收（中金公司 A 股）合并东兴证券、信达证券，预计停牌时间不超过 25 个交易日。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 申万宏源研究微信服务号 童申看好 2026 年并购重组行业投资主线。我们 2026 年度策略提示 "并购重组仍是中期主线"之 o 一，总结 4 种投资思路：1）同一实际控制人旗下券商整合、2) 解决一参一控同业竞争、3) 区域 特色券商做大做强诉求、4）国资整合民营券商。本次中金公司拟整合信达证券、东兴证券可归属 于第 1 种思路。后续建议持续关注同一实控人下券商 ...

行 业 及 产 业 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 非银金融/ 证券Ⅱ 2025 年 11 月 20 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 - 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 重申看好并购重组投资主线！ 看好 ——中金公司拟换股吸收（中金公司 A 股）合并东兴证 券、信达证券点评 事件：11 月 19 日，中金公司发布关于筹划重大资产重组的停牌公告，中金公司拟换股吸收（中金公司 A 股）合并东兴证券、信达证券，预计停牌时间不超过 25 个交易日。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 ⚫ 重申看好 2026 年并购重组行业投资主线。我们 2026 年度策略提示"并购重组仍是中期主线"之 一，总结 4 种投资思路：1）同一实际控制人旗下券商整合、2）解决一参一控同业竞争、3）区域 特色券商做大做强诉求、4）国资整合民营券商。 ...