Investment Rating - The report maintains a preference for high-quality companies in the real estate sector, specifically recommending: 1) Development: A-Shares - China Vanke, Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, Gemdale; H-Shares - China Overseas Land & Investment; 2) Residential: Longfor Group; 3) Property Management: Onewo, China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services, China Overseas Property, Poly Property Services, China Merchants Property; 4) Cultural Tourism: Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town [63][70]. Core Insights - October data showed a significant decline due to high base effects, expected to continue until year-end. Both investment and demand sides exhibited accelerated declines, with development investment year-on-year growth at -23.2% and new construction area at -29.3%. Sales amount and area decreased by -25.1% and -19.6% respectively [63][71]. - The base effect is anticipated to narrow the year-on-year decline in 2026, but it cannot be linearly extrapolated for long-term industry judgments. Continuous tracking of industry trends and high inventory levels is necessary [64][72]. - The current inventory reduction trend persists, with a rapid decline in completed areas indicating a decrease in unsold projects. The proportion of unsold units in construction is rising, suggesting that the industry faces significant challenges in inventory reduction [64][73]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Decline and Sales - In the first ten months of 2025, real estate development investment decreased by 14.7% year-on-year, with a notable decline in new construction area by 19.8% [6][10]. - Sales figures also reflected a downturn, with total sales area down by 6.8% and sales amount down by 9.6% compared to the same period in 2024 [27][8]. 2. Funding Sources - Total funding sources for real estate reached 7.89 trillion yuan, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year. Domestic loans accounted for 15.42% of funding sources, with a decline of 1.8% year-on-year [47][49]. 3. Inventory and Sales Ratios - As of October 2025, the nationwide unsold housing area was 7.56 billion square meters, with a sales-to-completion ratio of 2.06, indicating ongoing inventory challenges [39][44]. 4. Market Outlook - The report suggests that while short-term new projects may drive sales, long-term inventory issues remain due to high debt levels among developers. The market is currently treating new and old projects separately, which may be feasible in the short term but poses long-term pressures [64][73].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the cosmetics industry, highlighting strong growth potential for specific companies [29]. Core Insights - The 2025 Double 11 event showed steady double-digit growth, with total GMV reaching RMB 1.695 trillion, a 14% increase from 2024. Instant retail demonstrated significant growth, with comprehensive e-commerce and community group buying also contributing positively [29][4]. - The beauty category maintained robust growth across multiple platforms, with skincare and makeup categories achieving growth rates between 5-15%. Domestic brands like PROYA and Winona performed particularly well, with PROYA maintaining the top position in Tmall's beauty rankings [29][14][17]. - The report emphasizes the trend of full-chain integration and one-stop services across platforms, with Tmall achieving its best growth in four years, driven by high-value user contributions from 88VIP [29][8]. Summary by Sections Double 11 Performance - The 2025 Double 11 event recorded a total GMV of RMB 1.695 trillion, marking a 14% increase from the previous year. Instant retail grew significantly, with GMV for comprehensive e-commerce at RMB 1.6191 trillion, and community group buying at RMB 90 billion [4][29]. - Tmall's performance was highlighted as the best in four years, with significant contributions from 88VIP and other platforms like JD.com and Douyin also showing strong growth [11][12]. Brand Performance - Companies such as Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Technology Co., Ltd. and Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd. reported impressive growth during Double 11, with Zhenjia's GMV increasing by 80% year-on-year and Feicui's GMV growing 35 times [25][29]. - The report notes that domestic brands excelled in the beauty category, with PROYA and other brands maintaining strong positions in the market [22][29]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-growth brands such as Ruoyuchen, Chicmax, and Mao Geping, as well as companies with stable fundamentals like Dentium and Shanghai Jahwa United. It also identifies companies expected to bottom out, such as PROYA and Lafang [29][38].

Group 1 - The report indicates that northbound capital may experience a slight net outflow in the recent week, with an estimated net outflow of 5.1 billion yuan, compared to a net outflow of 2.6 billion yuan in the previous week [3][6] - The report highlights that flexible foreign capital is estimated to have a net inflow of 0.9 billion yuan in the recent week, contrasting with a net outflow of 0.04 billion yuan in the previous week [3][6] - The top active stocks in the northbound trading include Ningde Times, with a total transaction amount of 17.6 billion yuan, accounting for 15% of the total trading amount for the week [3][6] Group 2 - In the Hong Kong stock market, total capital inflow was 16.4 billion HKD in the recent week, with stable foreign capital outflow of 13.9 billion HKD and flexible foreign capital inflow of 6.9 billion HKD [10][12] - The report notes that foreign capital is increasing its positions in technology sectors, while domestic capital is focusing on dividend stocks [10][12] - The report identifies significant inflows in software services, electrical equipment, and pharmaceutical sectors, while stable foreign capital saw outflows in hardware equipment and banking sectors [12][15] Group 3 - In the Asia-Pacific market, there was a net outflow of 321.4 billion yen from the Japanese stock market in the recent week, compared to a net inflow of 371.7 billion yen in the previous week [17][18] - The report mentions that in October, overseas institutional investors had a net inflow of 1.66 billion USD into the Indian stock market, reversing a net outflow of 2.7 billion USD in the previous month [17][18] Group 4 - In the US and European markets, there was a net inflow of 25.5 billion USD into the US equity market in September, compared to a net inflow of 3.6 billion USD in the previous month [20][21] - The report states that European equity markets saw mixed results, with net inflows of 0.4 million USD in the UK, 1.8 million USD in Germany, and 16.9 million USD in France [20][21]

策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.11.17 2025-11-17 每周海内外重要政策跟踪（25/11/14） 本报告导读： 覆盖国内宏观（中央及各部委政策及表态）、大类产业、地方政策、以及海外重要 政策和事件。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 国内宏观：11 月 7 日，商务部、海关总署发布公告，决定暂停实施 多项出口管制措施；财政部发布 2025 年上半年中国财政政策执行 情况报告。11 月 9 日，第三次中瑞部级金融会议在瑞士伯尔尼举行。 11 月 10 日，国家金融监督管理总局对银行保险机构许可证实行分 级管理；同日，国新办举行国务院政策例行吹风会，介绍加快场景 培育和开放推动新场景大规模应用有关情况；市场监管总局发布"双 十一"网络集中促销合规提示。11 月 11 日，国家发展改革委举行专 题新闻发布会，介绍进一步促进民间投资发展有关情况。11 月 12 日，2025 年上海证券交易所国际投资者大会在上海开幕。11 月 13 日，市场监督管理总局表示将推动经营异常企业有序退出市场。 风险提示：政策和资本市场存在不确定性。 海 外 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务 ...

策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.11.17 2025-11-17 投资要点： 证 券 研 究 报 告 策 略 研 究 港股、美股、A 股"淘汰"机制有何特点 ——股市制度比较研究系列 2 本报告导读： ①中国资产在选择融资地时往往首选 A 股，港股、美股也是备选，三地退出制度存 在不同的特点。②退市标准上，美股采用量化与定性结合、最明确，A 股次之，港 股以非量化为主、最为笼统。②退市执行力度上，美股出清机制高效、实现动态平 衡，港股、A 股年退市率仅在 1%左右，退市力度有待提升。③退出渠道上，美股以 主动退市为主，也提供畅通的强制转板退出渠道，港股、A 股在退市制度变革下， 其强制退市明显增长。 风险提示：对政策理解不到位。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 海 外 策 略 研 究 [Table_Summary] 退市标准：美股最明确、A 股次之、港股最笼统。美股采取量化＋ 非量化结合的退市标准，侧重市场表现和合规性。纽交所设股东数 量、公众持股市值等交易类指标及连续亏损、股东权益等财务类指 标的清晰量化底线，辅以信息披露等非量化标准。纳斯达克财务层 面更灵活且更重市场指标，允许有潜力公司 ...

研究报告 Research Report 17 Nov 2025 安踏体育 ANTA SPORTS (2020 HK) 近况更新：随着天气转冷运动鞋服流水压力明显缓解，2026 年行业增长或加速 Recent Updates: Update: Sportswear and Footwear Sell-Through Pressure Eases as Weather Cools; Industry Growth Could Accelerate in 2026 [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$82.10 目标价 HK$103.00 HTI ESG 0.7-1.6-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$230.47bn / US$29.66bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$135.10mn 发行股票数目 2,807mn 自由流通股 (% ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating, targeting a price of HKD 247.6, indicating a potential upside of 59.9% from the current price of HKD 154.90 [2][3][22]. Core Insights - Hesai Group is positioned as a global leader in LiDAR technology, with a strong market share in the ADAS sector, holding 46% of the market as of August 2025, which is 1.5 times that of the second-ranked competitor [3][7][13]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the adoption of Level 3 (L3) autonomous driving regulations, which will likely increase both volume and pricing for its products [5][24]. - The company has established partnerships with leading autonomous vehicle and robotics firms across North America, Asia, and Europe, indicating a robust growth trajectory in both the ADAS and robotics sectors [3][8][13]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the company forecasts revenues of RMB 3.037 billion, with a projected growth rate of 46% year-over-year [2][14][22]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenues of RMB 800 million, a 47.5% increase year-over-year, and achieved a GAAP net profit of RMB 260 million, surpassing its full-year profit target ahead of schedule [4][23]. - The total LiDAR shipments for 2025 are expected to reach 1.6 million units, with 610,000 units anticipated in Q4 2025 [22][23]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has launched the world's longest-range automotive-grade LiDAR, the ETX, which is expected to play a crucial role in the L3 market [5][24]. - The anticipated increase in the number of LiDAR units per vehicle for L3 models (3 to 6 units) presents significant market expansion opportunities, with each unit valued between USD 500 and 1,000 [5][24]. - The report highlights that Hesai's product mix, including the cost-effective ATX, is expected to contribute to revenue growth despite a projected decline in average selling price (ASP) by 8% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025 [3][14][22].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the healthcare sector, including BeiGene, JD Health, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks over the next 12-18 months [1]. Core Insights - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index rose by 6.8% during the week of November 10-14, 2025, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Index, which increased by 1.3%. Year-to-date, the healthcare index has surged by 80.5%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 48.0 percentage points [4][15]. - The strong performance of the healthcare sector is attributed to better-than-expected third-quarter results from JD Health and BeiGene, which have increased market attention. Additionally, prior corrections in the Hong Kong healthcare sector have attracted capital inflows from other sectors [4][28]. - Sub-sector performance for the week included internet healthcare (+12.7%), biotech (+9.5%), pharmaceuticals (+5.2%), and pharmaceutical distribution (+4.3%), while medical devices saw a slight decline of -0.2% [4][15]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - JD Health reported a revenue of CNY 17.1 billion for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.7%, exceeding expectations. The company also achieved a net profit of CNY 18.4 billion, reflecting a 97.2% increase year-on-year [11][33]. - Laekna entered into an exclusive licensing agreement for the AKT inhibitor LAE002, with potential payments totaling up to CNY 25.75 billion, including upfront and milestone payments [12][33]. - Rona Therapeutics presented positive Phase 1 clinical trial results for its siRNA drug RN0361, showing significant reductions in ApoC3 and triglyceride levels, with effects lasting at least six months [13][33]. - Insilico Medicine announced a collaboration with Eli Lilly for AI-driven drug discovery, with potential revenues exceeding USD 100 million from this partnership [14][33]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the healthcare sector's strong performance is expected to continue, particularly for internet healthcare and CXO/research service leaders, as well as top-tier biotech and pharmaceutical companies with robust fundamentals and successful overseas clinical trials [4][28].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the stock market may rebound after further corrections, with expectations of a choppy upward pattern in the short term as new catalysts are awaited [1][8] - The Hang Seng Index showed resilience, supported by the dividend and consumption sectors, while technology indices continued to face corrections [1][8] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has led to a decline in the probability of a rate cut in December, impacting market liquidity and causing declines in Bitcoin and gold [2][9] Group 2 - China's economy showed signs of accelerated weakening in October, with consumption and fixed-asset investment declining, while credit growth also slowed [2][10] - Recent policy signals from the Chinese government remain supportive, focusing on boosting consumption and effective investment [2][10] - Capital inflows into Chinese equities continued, with A-share equity ETFs recording a net inflow of RMB 8 billion, indicating ongoing investor interest [3][11] Group 3 - The technology sector has faced pressures due to external factors, including disappointing earnings from major companies and concerns over an "AI bubble" [4][12] - Despite short-term overvaluation in the tech sector, the report suggests that a significant downturn is unlikely without disruptive new technologies [4][12] - The report anticipates that if the tech sector stabilizes, it could lead to a broader market rebound, particularly benefiting underperforming sectors like brokerage firms [5][13]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies including Pop Mart, Anta Sports, and Haidilao, while Budweiser Asia is rated "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the food and beverage sector, including Luckin Coffee's preparation for relisting in the U.S. and the launch of new store formats by Jiumaojiu Group's hot pot brand [5][6]. - The retail sales data for October shows a total retail sales figure of 46,291 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, indicating a slight recovery in consumer spending [5]. Summary by Sections Company Ratings - Key companies rated "Outperform" include: - Pop Mart - Anta Sports - Haidilao - China Feihe - New Oriental Online - Others [1]. Weekly Performance - Top performers in the food and beverage sector include: - Auntea Jenny (+31.4%) - Haidilao (+7.0%) - Underperformers include: - Xiabuxiabu (-13.1%) [2][6]. Industry News - Notable industry news includes: - Luckin Coffee's plans for a U.S. relisting - Sony's production of a Labubu-themed movie - Jiumaojiu Group's new hot pot store opening - Xiabuxiabu's marketing activities leading to a 45% increase in repeat visits from existing members in certain cities [5][6].