Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the investment banking and brokerage industry, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% [6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the gradual standardization of derivative business regulation will lead to steady long-term development, favoring high-quality leading brokerages that benefit from scale effects [2][6]. - The recent public consultation on the "Derivatives Trading Supervision Management Measures (Trial) (Draft for Comments)" is aimed at implementing the new "National Nine Articles" and enhancing the regulatory framework for derivatives [6]. - The report highlights that the derivatives business remains a blue ocean, with significant growth potential as market activity increases and stable business models emerge [6]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Developments - The report discusses the recent public consultation on the derivatives trading supervision measures, which aims to promote a healthy and standardized development of the derivatives market [3][6]. - Key modifications in the draft include clearer regulations on counter-cyclical adjustments, risk management, and cross-border trading cooperation with foreign regulatory bodies [6]. Market Outlook - The derivatives business is expected to grow steadily due to increased market activity and the advantages of scale, particularly for leading brokerages with strong customer bases and professional capabilities [6]. - The report suggests that the evolution of brokerage self-operated models and the growth certainty provided by derivatives will be critical for differentiation in the future [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading brokerages such as China International Capital Corporation (CICC) and Huatai Securities, which are expected to benefit from the regulatory changes and market dynamics [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [12] Core Insights - The military industry is expected to have a long-term positive trend, supported by the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which emphasizes achieving the centenary goal of building a strong military and advancing the modernization of national defense and the military [7][8] - The military sector has recently experienced a decline, with the defense and military index dropping by 5.66%, underperforming the market by 5.21 percentage points [12][13] - Major aerospace state-owned enterprises have set goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on advancing aerospace defense industries and internationalization [8][9] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The military sector index fell by 5.66% from January 12 to January 17, 2026, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.45% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.0% [12][13] - The China Securities National Security Index performed the best among military indices, with a decline of 1.77% [15] Major News in the Military Industry - Internationally, Russia has conducted large-scale strikes on Ukrainian military and energy facilities using precision-guided weapons and drones [21][22] - Domestically, the aerospace industry is focusing on key tasks for the 14th Five-Year Plan, including advancements in manned lunar missions and deep space exploration [8][9] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, Aero Engine Corporation of China 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Zhimin Technology, Shaanxi Huada, Ruichuang Micro-Nano, Unisoc 3. Subsystems: Aerospace Electronics, Guorui Technology, Guobang Electronics, AVIC Avionics, Northern Navigation, Aerospace Nanhu 4. Materials and Processing: Jiachih Technology, AVIC High-Tech, Western Materials, Aviation Materials, Hangya Technology, Guangwei Composite, Filihua, Huayin Technology, Bolite [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Buy" [11] Core Insights - The military industry is expected to have a long-term positive trend, supported by the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which emphasizes achieving the centenary goal of building a strong military and modernizing national defense [7][8] - The military sector has recently experienced a decline, with the defense and military index dropping by 5.66%, underperforming the market by 5.21 percentage points [12][13] - Major aerospace state-owned enterprises have set goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on advancing defense capabilities and technological independence [8][9] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The military sector index fell by 5.66% from January 12 to January 17, 2026, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.45% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.0% [12][13] - The China Securities National Security Index performed the best among military indices, with a decline of 1.77% [15] Major News - Internationally, Russia has conducted large-scale strikes on Ukrainian military and energy facilities using precision-guided weapons and drones [21][22] - Domestically, the China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation and the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation have outlined their key tasks for the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on space defense and technological advancements [8][9] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, Aero Engine Corporation of China 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Zhimin Technology, Shaanxi Huada, Ruichuang Micro-Nano, Unisoc 3. Subsystems: Aerospace Electronics, Guorui Technology, Guobang Electronics, AVIC Avionics, Northern Navigation, Aerospace Nanhu 4. Materials and Processing: Jiachitech, AVIC High-Tech, Western Materials, Aviation Materials, Huayi Technology, Platel [8][9][10]

Group 1 - The report suggests a tactical overweight in A/H shares, US stocks, and gold, while recommending an underweight in US Treasuries and crude oil due to geopolitical tensions exacerbated by the Trump administration's policies [1][4][14]. - Multiple factors support the performance of Chinese equities, including expectations of expanded fiscal deficits and more proactive economic policies as the 14th Five-Year Plan begins [14][15]. - The report highlights the resilience and safe-haven attributes of gold amid rising geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank purchases, suggesting a tactical overweight in gold [16][14]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the US labor market is cooling, and the decline in energy prices along with slower wage growth may provide the Federal Reserve with more room to adjust monetary policy, leading to a cautious outlook on US Treasuries [15][14]. - The report notes that the geopolitical situation surrounding oil is expected to intensify, recommending an underweight in crude oil due to consistent supply-demand expectations and the Trump administration's inclination towards lower oil prices [16][14]. - The tactical asset allocation model suggests a 45% allocation to equities, 45% to bonds, and 10% to commodities, with specific weights assigned to various asset classes [18][20].

Group 1 - The report highlights that funds with a "negative duration" characteristic achieved an average excess return of approximately 1.42% during the year-end period [1] - The negative duration strategy is not merely a hedging approach but an active directional interest rate strategy, adjusting the overall duration of the portfolio to zero or negative to gain returns during rising interest rate cycles [6][7] - A typical operation involves holding short-duration credit bonds or interest rate bonds as the base and selling longer-duration government bond futures, allowing for a negative correlation between the portfolio's net value and interest rate changes [6][7] Group 2 - The analysis identified 64 funds that significantly diverged from their benchmark index for more than 10 days, representing a market size of approximately 116.2 billion, accounting for 2% of the total size of medium to long-term bond funds [7] - Among these, 5 funds diverged for over 20 trading days, with a total size of about 6.4 billion, achieving a weighted average return of 0.88%, resulting in an excess return of 1.42% compared to the total return index [7] - Funds that diverged for over 30 days, although only 2 in number, achieved an average excess return of 1.51%, indicating that systematic use of the negative duration strategy can create excess returns in a clearly defined rising interest rate environment [7][8] Group 3 - The report provides a weekly overview of bond funds, noting that the ETF market pressure has eased, with funds favoring short-duration credit and high-elasticity varieties [10] - Since January 12, the bond ETF market sentiment has improved, with significant net inflows observed in short-term credit bond ETFs, which turned into a net inflow of 3.59 billion, a 104.4% increase compared to previous periods [10] - Trading activity has concentrated on high-elasticity sectors, with convertible bond ETFs seeing a 36.9% increase in weekly trading volume [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the second half of 2025 due to a low base in 2024, various market initiatives, and favorable pricing of polyester bottle materials, maintaining optimistic profit levels [2][3] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 42,915.64 million RMB in 2023 to 69,446 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% [4] - Gross profit is expected to increase from 25,407 million RMB in 2023 to 42,709 million RMB in 2027, with gross margin improving from 58.08% to 61.50% [4] - Net profit is forecasted to rise from 12,080 million RMB in 2023 to 21,677 million RMB in 2027, indicating a CAGR of about 16% [4] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 43 in 2023 to 24 in 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation over time [4] Revenue Growth Drivers - In the first half of 2025, the company's packaged water revenue grew by 10.7%, with market share expected to continue recovering in the second half due to low base effects and ongoing channel efforts [9] - The tea beverage segment saw a revenue increase of 19.7% in the first half of 2025, driven by promotional activities and an expanding product range [9] - Juice revenue increased by 21.3% in the first half of 2025, with continued positive performance anticipated in the second half [9] Cost and Profitability Outlook - The price of polyester bottle materials is expected to decline, which will positively impact the company's gross margin in the second half of 2025 [9] - The absence of significant marketing expenses in the second half of 2025, compared to the previous year, is expected to support sustained profitability [9]

Investment Rating - The report rates the coal industry as "Overweight" [4]. Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has confirmed its cyclical bottom in Q2 2025, with a reversal in supply-demand dynamics and sufficient release of downward risks [2]. - The report anticipates that demand for coal and downstream thermal power will enter a new upward cycle starting in 2026, driven by a projected increase in electricity consumption [3][4]. - The report highlights the importance of coal's role in the global energy landscape, particularly in light of electricity shortages in the U.S. and the need for reliable power supply amidst rising electricity demand due to AI and extreme weather [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report continues to recommend core dividend stocks such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, along with Yanzhou Coal Mining and Jinneng Holding [4]. Electricity Consumption Forecast - By 2025, total electricity consumption in China is expected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [4]. - The first industry is projected to consume 149.4 billion kilowatt-hours, up 9.9% year-on-year; the second industry is expected to consume 66,366 billion kilowatt-hours, up 3.7%; the third industry is forecasted to consume 19,942 billion kilowatt-hours, up 8.2% [4]. Coal Price Trends - As of January 16, 2026, the price of Q5500 coal at Huanghua Port is 707 RMB/ton, up 1 RMB/ton (0.1%) from the previous week [7]. - The price of Q5000 coal at Huanghua Port is 623 RMB/ton, up 2 RMB/ton (0.3%) from the previous week [10]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Domestic coal supply is stable, while imports are expected to continue declining, leading to a stable overall supply decrease [4]. - The report notes that the demand side shows significant improvement, with expectations for a rebound in Q3 profitability [4]. Market Tracking - The report tracks coal price increases across various ports, with notable price rises in both domestic and international markets [6][7][10]. - The report also highlights inventory increases at major ports, indicating a tightening supply situation [22][28].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the controlled nuclear fusion industry [26]. Core Insights - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is experiencing significant growth, with increasing procurement demands and notable financing activities, such as the completion of a 1 billion RMB Series A funding round by Star Ring Fusion [3][22]. - The 2026 Nuclear Fusion Technology and Industry Conference highlighted advancements in plasma technology, including the successful operation of the "Xuanlong-50U" hydrogen-boron plasma high-confinement mode discharge, marking a significant milestone in fusion research [16][19]. - The establishment of the Fusion Financial Institutions Alliance aims to facilitate the transition of nuclear fusion from laboratory research to engineering and commercialization, involving 130 financial and technology service institutions [24][25]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - During the week of January 12-16, the nuclear fusion index fell by 3.22%, underperforming the broader market indices [8][11]. Tender and Bid Information - Significant procurement activities were reported, focusing on superconducting materials and structural components, with total procurement amounts nearing 100 million RMB [10][13]. Domestic and International News - The 2026 Nuclear Fusion Technology and Industry Conference, held in Hefei, attracted over 1,500 participants and featured major procurement projects and collaborations [14][19]. - Japan announced the opening of three top fusion research facilities to private enterprises, marking a shift towards public-private collaboration in fusion technology [19][20]. Investment Dynamics - Star Ring Fusion's 1 billion RMB Series A financing is one of the largest in the domestic fusion energy sector, indicating strong confidence in the commercialization of next-generation energy technologies [22]. - The Fusion Financial Institutions Alliance was formed to enhance capital efficiency and support the commercialization of nuclear fusion technologies [24][25]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key components of controlled nuclear fusion, including magnets, power supplies, and structural components, with specific companies highlighted for potential investment [26].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - Electricity demand continues to rise, with a long-term positive outlook for thermal power generation [2] - The implementation of the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on January 1 will significantly impact China's exports, particularly in steel and aluminum, which constitute about 3.5% of total exports to the EU [4] - The "West-to-East Power Transmission" capacity has reached 340 million kilowatts, expected to exceed 420 million kilowatts by 2030, supporting a 30% share of renewable energy generation [4] - In January, renewable energy generation in Inner Mongolia reached a record high, contributing over 25% of the adjustment load, with significant increases in new energy storage capacity [4] - The electricity spot market in Qinghai shows a price difference of 376 yuan per megawatt-hour between energy storage and other generation sources, indicating market dynamics [4] Summary by Sections - **Investment Rating**: The industry is rated as "Accumulate," indicating a potential increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][9] - **Electricity Demand**: The report highlights a sustained increase in electricity demand, particularly benefiting thermal power in the long term [2][4] - **CBAM Impact**: The CBAM will create barriers for high-carbon products, necessitating companies to enhance their carbon tracking and develop green products [4] - **Power Transmission Capacity**: The "West-to-East Power Transmission" initiative is projected to grow significantly, enhancing inter-provincial power exchange capabilities [4] - **Renewable Energy Performance**: Inner Mongolia's renewable energy generation has reached new highs, showcasing the growth of new energy storage systems [4] - **Market Dynamics**: The electricity spot market reflects significant price variances, indicating the competitive landscape among different energy sources [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [6][11]. Core Viewpoints - The company has established itself in the high-end skincare market, pioneering the oil-based skincare segment. It is expected to experience rapid growth driven by its flagship products and ongoing expansion in both online and offline channels [2][11]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of RMB 805 million in 2023, increasing to RMB 4.274 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.3% [4]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 85 million in 2023 to RMB 767 million by 2027, with a significant increase of 121.1% in 2024 [4]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 27.93 in 2025 to 13.98 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [4]. Company Overview - The company has been deeply involved in the oil-based skincare segment for many years, showcasing strong growth and profitability. It was founded in 2003 and has evolved its product offerings to focus on high-end anti-aging solutions [23][11]. - The flagship product, Camellia Oil, has been a market leader in the facial oil category for 11 consecutive years, demonstrating its effectiveness and market acceptance [11][23]. Industry Insights - The oil-based skincare segment is experiencing high demand, with the market for facial oils expected to reach RMB 5.3 billion in 2024, growing at a rate of 43% year-on-year [45][48]. - The overall anti-aging skincare market is projected to reach RMB 119.9 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 11% [45][46]. Growth Drivers - The company is leveraging social media platforms like Douyin to drive sales of its flagship products, with online revenue expected to grow significantly [11][35]. - The expansion of offline retail channels is also anticipated to contribute to revenue growth, with over 554 stores established by mid-2025 [11][35].