融资融券周报 主要指数多数上涨，两融余额继续上升 ――融资融券周报 | 分析师：王雪莹 | SAC NO：S1150525020001 2026 年 1 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师 | 核心观点： | | 王[Table_IndInvest] 雪莹 | | |  022-23839121 | 市场概况 | | wangxy4430@bhzq.com | | |  | 上周（1 月 21 日-1 月 27 日）A 股市场主要指数多数上涨，其中科创 50 | | | 涨幅最大，上涨了 4.92%；上证 50 跌幅最大，下跌了 0.59%。此外， | | | 上证综指上涨 0.64%，深证成指上涨 1.23%，创业板指上涨 1.97%，沪 | | | 深 300 下跌 0.28%，中证 500 上涨 3.65%。 | |  | 1 月 27 日，沪深两市两融余额为 27,144.35 亿元，较上周增加 140.53 | | | 亿元。其中融资余额为 26,969.49 亿元，较上周增加 139.05 亿元；融 | | | 券余额为 174.86 亿元，较上周增加 1.48 亿 ...

业 研 究 行 行业周报 Optimus 3 发布在即，关注近期事件催化 | | | | | ——机械设备行业周报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师： | 宁前羽 | SAC NO： | S1150522070001 | 2026 | 年 1 月 | 28 | 日 | | 机械设备 | | | | | | | | | | | 投资要点： | | | | | | | 证券分析师 | | | | | | | | | 宁前羽 | |  行业要闻 | | | | | | | ningqy@bhzq.com | | （1）2025 年 12 | 月份塔机台天利用率 55.1%。 | | | | | | 022-23839174 | | | | | | | | | | | （2）2025 | 年全国规模以上工业企业利润增长 0.6%。 | | | | | | | | 公司公告  | | | | | | | 重点品种推荐 | | | | | | | | | 中联重科 | 增持 | （1）捷昌驱动发布 | 2025 年年度业绩预 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The profit growth of industrial enterprises in 2025 is supported by new momentum and anti-involution policies, with a marginal increase in profit growth rate by 0.5 percentage points to 0.6% year-on-year [2][3] - In December 2025, the profit of industrial enterprises increased by 5.3% year-on-year, reversing from negative to positive with an 18.4 percentage point recovery [3] - The industrial added value in December 2025 grew by 5.2% year-on-year, driven by resilient exports and high-tech industries [3] - The revenue profit margin for industrial enterprises in 2025 was 5.31%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5%, but the decline was less severe than in the previous months [3] - Among 41 industrial sectors, 16 sectors achieved positive profit growth in 2025, with notable growth in black metal smelting, non-ferrous metal mining, and high-tech manufacturing [4] - The end of three consecutive years of negative profit growth for industrial enterprises is attributed to support from new momentum sectors and the implementation of anti-involution policies [4] Fixed Income Research - The issuance scale of credit bonds increased, with corporate bonds remaining stable and other types of bonds seeing growth [6][8] - Credit bond yields generally declined, with credit spreads for medium and short-term notes narrowing [8] - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with a focus on adjusting strategies in response to market fluctuations and maintaining a cautious approach to ticket strategies [8] Fund Research - The number of equity funds increased to 7,583 by the end of Q4 2025, with a total scale of 94,572.12 billion, a decrease of 277.04 billion from the previous quarter [11] - Active equity funds saw a slight decrease in positions, with a notable decline in mixed and flexible allocation funds [11][12] - The allocation in the main board decreased significantly, while the allocation in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and Growth Enterprise Market increased [12] - The top five industries with increased holdings included non-ferrous metals and communications, while electronics and biomedicine saw a decrease [12] Industry Research - The geopolitical situation has led to strong performance in gold prices, with expectations for continued upward pressure due to uncertainties [14][15] - The steel industry is expected to see improved profitability due to steady growth policies and demand in shipbuilding and construction [15] - The copper industry is anticipated to maintain a favorable outlook, supported by supply constraints and demand from key sectors like electric power and new energy vehicles [16] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from improved supply dynamics and demand from the new energy vehicle sector [16] - The rare earth industry is projected to see a revaluation of related companies due to China's export control upgrades and strategic importance [17]

宏观数据点评报告 新动能及反内卷支撑下，全年工企利润实现增长 ――2025 年 1-12 月工业企业效益数据点评 分析师： 严佩佩 SAC NO： S1150520110001 2026 年 1 月 27 日 [Table_Summary] [Table_Author] 证券分析师 事件：2026 年 1 月 27 日，统计局公布了 2025 年 12 月的规模以上工业企业 效益数据。 点评： SAC NO:S1150520110001 宋亦威 022-23861608 SAC NO:S1150514080001 songyw@bhzq.com 研究助理 靳沛芃[Table_IndInvest] 022-23839160 SAC NO：S1150124030005 jinpp@bhzq.com 2025 年 1-12 月规模以上工业企业利润同比增速边际回升 0.5 个百分点至 0.6%；其中，12 月规模以上工业企业利润同比增长 5.3%，由负转正回升 18.4 个百分点。从量、价、利润率三因素来看，首先，受出口韧性以及高技术产 业和装备制造业的拉动，2025 年 12 月规模以上工业增加值同比增长 5.2% ...

基金季报 sHuangjin 权益仓位小幅下降，增配有色金属、通信；减配电子、医药生物 ――公募权益类基金 2025 年四季报持仓分析 分析师：宋旸 SAC NO：S1150517100002 2026 年 1 月 27 日 证券分析师 宋旸 songyang@bhzq.com 022-28451131 张笑晨 SAC NO：S1150525070001 zhangxc@bhzq.com 022-23839033 相关研究报告 《公开募集证券投资基金业 绩比较基准指引》正式发布 —公募基金周报 2026.01.26 首只千亿黄金 ETF 诞生，宽 基指数资金大幅流出―公募 基金周报 2026.01.19 市场成交火热，华泰柏瑞沪 深 300ETF 分红创历史新高 ——公募基金周报 2026.01.12 券 研 究 报 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 14 基 金 研 究 证 告 基 金 季 报 核心观点： ⚫ 规模方面：被动指数基金增速放缓。截至 2025 年四季度末，全市场共有权益类基 金（不含 ETF 联接基金和 FOF 基金）7583 只，较 202 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [6][6][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over the independence of U.S. Federal Reserve policies are expected to boost gold prices in the short term [6][6]. - The copper market is facing supply constraints due to incidents at major mines, which is likely to support copper prices despite high prices potentially suppressing actual consumption [36][36]. - The aluminum sector is expected to see price support due to downstream inventory demand, while the lithium market is anticipated to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply expectations [6][6][6]. Summary by Sections Steel - The steel industry is expected to improve profitability as growth policies are implemented, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3][3]. - Current steel prices are showing seasonal trends, with expectations of price fluctuations following raw material prices [19][19]. - As of January 23, 2026, the total steel inventory has increased by 0.79% compared to the previous week, indicating a potential accumulation ahead of the Spring Festival [26][26]. Copper - The copper market is experiencing a tightening supply due to strikes affecting production at key mines, which may provide price support [36][36]. - The copper smelting processing fees remain negative, indicating pressure on the supply side, while demand is expected to rise in sectors like electric power and new energy vehicles [36][36]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is characterized by stable supply and high operating rates at alumina plants, with expectations of price support from downstream inventory needs [46][46]. - As of January 23, 2026, the average price of alumina is reported at 2,657.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [50][50]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions and economic data are influencing gold prices, with a notable increase in prices observed recently [54][54]. - As of January 23, 2026, gold prices have risen by 8.30% on COMEX and 8.07% on SHFE compared to the previous week [54][54]. Lithium and Cobalt - The lithium market is expected to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply conditions, with battery-grade lithium prices increasing by 12.46% recently [58][58]. - Cobalt supply is constrained due to limited export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand is driven by the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [6][6].

固定收益周报 成交金额继续增长，收益率整体保持下行 ――信用债周报 分析师：李济安 SAC NO：S1150522060001 2026 年 1 月 27 日 核心观点： 本期（1 月 19 日至 1 月 25 日）交易商协会公布的发行指导利率多数上 行，整体变化幅度为-2 BP 至 6 BP。本期信用债发行规模环比增长，企业债 发行金额较上期持平，公司债、中期票据、短期融资券发行金额增加，定向 工具发行金额减少；信用债净融资额环比增加，各品种净融资额增加，企业 债、定向工具净融资额为负，公司债、中期票据、短期融资券净融资额为正。 二级市场方面，本期信用债成交金额继续环比增长，中期票据、定向工具成 交金额减少，其余品种成交金额增加。收益率方面，本期信用债收益率多数 下行。信用利差方面，本期中短期票据信用利差整体收窄；企业债 7 年期信 用利差收窄，其余期限多数走阔；城投债 3 年期信用利差收窄，长期限多数 走阔。分位数来看，多数品种利差均处于历史低位，7 年期品种分位数相对 较高。绝对收益角度来看，供给不足和相对旺盛的配置需求将推动信用债延 续修复行情，尽管多空因素影响下震荡调整难以避免，但总体而言，信用债 ...

证券分析师 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.27） 基金研究 《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准指引》正式发布——公募基金周报 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 5 晨会纪要（2026/01/27） 晨会纪要（2026/01/27） 基金研究 《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准指引》正式发布——公募基金周报 行业研究 头部纸企白卡纸提价，去年国内消费市场稳增长——轻工制造&纺织服饰行 业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 宋 旸（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150517100002） 张笑晨（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150525070001） 1、本周市场回顾 上周统计区间为 2026 年 1 月 19 日至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，权益市场主要指数涨跌不一，其中，涨幅最大的 是中证 500，上涨 4.34%。31 个申万一级行业中 24 个行业上涨，涨幅前五的行业是建筑材料、石油石化、 钢铁、化工和有色金属；跌幅前五的 ...

行 行业周报 业 头部纸企白卡纸提价，去年国内消费市场稳增长 研 ——轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 | 究 | 分析师： | 袁艺博 | SAC | NO： | S1150521120002 | 2026 年 | 01 | 月 | 26 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 轻工制造 | | 投资要点： | | | | | | | | | | 纺织服饰 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 行业要闻  | | | | | | | | | | 证券分析师 | | （1）200 | | 元/吨，多家白卡纸巨头将在春节后涨价。 | | | | | | | | 袁艺博 | | | | | | | | | | | | yuanyb@bhzq.com 022-23839135 | | （2）泡泡玛特本周连续回购股份，累计金额近 | | 3.5 | 亿港元。 | | | | | | | 研子究行助业理评级 | | 重要公司公告  | | | | | | | | | | 家居用品 | 中性 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The US economy shows strong internal momentum with a 0.3% month-on-month increase in personal consumption expenditures adjusted for inflation in November 2025, marking the highest growth rate since the second half of 2025 [2] - In Europe, inflation dropped below 2% year-on-year in December 2025, indicating easing pressure, supported by labor costs and year-end consumption [3] - Domestic economic growth in China for 2025 is expected to meet targets despite a slowdown in the fourth quarter, with net exports providing structural support in early 2026 [3] Fixed Income Research - The bond market continues to show signs of recovery, with mid- to long-term bonds performing well, driven by a strong equity market and manageable bank liability pressures [5][7] - The issuance of special bonds increased significantly, with a total of 56 bonds issued, amounting to 619.1 billion yuan during the reporting period [7] - The overall bond market is characterized by a recovery trend, with the yield on 7-year government bonds declining the most [7] Industry Research - Nine departments in China have issued opinions to promote high-quality development in the pharmaceutical retail industry, indicating potential benefits for leading chain pharmacies and an expected operational turning point [10][12] - The SW pharmaceutical industry index shows a price-to-earnings ratio of 52.01, with a valuation premium of 266% relative to the CSI 300 index [11] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in innovative drugs, CXO, and upstream life sciences, while also monitoring segments like small nucleic acids [12]