晨会纪要（2026/01/16） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.16） 宏观及策略研究 出口强势有望延续——2025 年 12 月进出口数据点评 市场需阶段性整固，题材活跃范围将收缩——A 股市场 2026 年 1 月投资策略 报告 行业研究 DeepSeek V4 蓄势待发，AI 应用场景加速渗透——计算机行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 晨会纪要（2026/01/16） 宏观及策略研究 出口强势有望延续——2025 年 12 月进出口数据点评 周 喜（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150511010017） 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、数据 海关总署发布最新贸易数据显示，2025 年 12 月美元计价中国出口同 ...

晨会纪要（2026/01/15） 编辑人 主要指数多数上涨，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 行业研究 2025 年挖掘机销量为 23.53 万台，同比增长 17%——机械设备行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.15） 金融工程研究 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 5 晨会纪要（2026/01/15） 金融工程研究 主要指数多数上涨，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 王雪莹（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150525020001） 1、市场概况 上周（1 月 7 日-1 月 13 日）A 股市场主要指数多数上涨，其中中证 500 涨幅最大，上涨了 4.21%；上证 50 跌幅最大，下跌了 0.82%。此外，上证综指上涨 1.35%，深证成指上涨 1.05%，创业板指上涨 0.08%，科创 50 上涨 2.82%，沪深 300 下跌 0.62%。 1 月 13 日，沪深两市两融余额为 26,738.8 ...

Fixed Income Research - The issuance rates for credit bonds have generally increased, with changes ranging from 0 BP to 8 BP, leading to a significant increase in credit bond issuance volume due to a low base effect [2] - The net financing amount for credit bonds has increased, while the net financing for targeted tools has decreased; corporate bonds have a negative net financing amount, while other types have positive net financing [2] - The secondary market saw an increase in transaction amounts for credit bonds, with most types experiencing growth [2] - Credit spreads have narrowed for most mid-term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds, as credit bonds continue to perform better than interest rate bonds [2] - The overall conditions for a bear market in credit bonds are insufficient, with a long-term downward trend in yields expected [2] Company Research: WuXi AppTec (药明康德) - WuXi AppTec expects to achieve a revenue of approximately 45.456 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 15.84%, with continuous operating business revenue expected to grow by approximately 21.40% [6][7] - The adjusted non-IFRS net profit is projected to be around 14.957 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 41.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach approximately 19.151 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of about 102.65% [6][7] - The strong growth is attributed to the advantages of the CRDMO model, with a focus on integrated services and continuous optimization of production processes [7] - The company plans to focus on its CRDMO business model and has sold parts of its equity in joint ventures, contributing to its profit growth [7] Industry Research: Metal Industry - The steel industry is expected to maintain production levels due to acceptable profit margins, although demand is in a seasonal decline [13] - Copper prices are influenced by market sentiment and resource competition, with potential for high volatility [13] - Aluminum prices are supported by high copper prices and strategic resource concerns, while supply remains ample [13] - Gold prices are expected to remain strong due to geopolitical risks and mixed U.S. employment data [13] - The rare earth market is anticipated to strengthen due to export control measures and strategic importance [14]

晨会纪要（2026/01/13） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.13） 基金研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 5 晨会纪要（2026/01/13） 基金研究 市场成交火热，华泰柏瑞沪深 300ETF 分红创历史新高——公募基金周报 行业研究 美国关税政策迎变化，我国情绪消费市场将超 4 万亿——轻工制造&纺织服 饰行业周报 市场成交火热，华泰柏瑞沪深 300ETF 分红创历史新高——公募基金周报 宋 旸（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150517100002） 张笑晨（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150525070001） 1、本周市场回顾 上周统计区间为 2026 年 1 月 5 日至 2026 年 1 月 9 日，权益市场主要指数全部上涨，其中，涨幅最大的是 科创 50，上涨 9.80%。31 个申万一级行业中仅银行一个行业下跌，涨幅前五的行业是综合、国防军工、传 媒、有色金属和计算机 ...

晨会纪要（2026/01/12） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.12） 宏观及策略研究 国内前瞻指标趋势强于海外——宏观经济周报 固定收益研究 区间震荡格局不变，关注 5-7Y 品种机会——利率债 1 月投资策略展望 行业研究 瑞博生物港股上市，关注小核酸板块进展——医药生物行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 晨会纪要（2026/01/12） 宏观及策略研究 国内前瞻指标趋势强于海外——宏观经济周报 周 喜（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150511010017） 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、外围环境而言 美国方面，2025 年 12 月 ISM 制造业 PMI 在收缩区间进一步下滑，环比降幅为 2024 年以来最大 ...

行 行业月报 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 行 业 月 报 "人工智能+制造"政策发布，AI 应用迎发展良机 ——计算机行业 1 月投资策略展望 分析师： 连天龙 SAC NO： S1150525070002 2026 年 01 月 08 日 计算机 证券分析师 连天龙 liantl@bhzq.com 022-23861563 重点品种推荐 虹软科技 增持 近半年行业指数走势图 相关研究报告 智谱、MiniMax 冲刺港股，大 模型资本化进程提速——— 计算机行业周报 2025.12.25 小米发布开源大模型，AI 应用 布局有望深化———计算机 行业周报 2025.12.18 H200 获批对华出口，AI 算力 与应用产业链共振向上—— —计算机行业周报 2025.12.11 投资要点： 行业要闻 （1）八部门联合部署"人工智能+制造"专项行动； （2）算力领先企业超聚变启动上市辅导； （3）英伟达宣布 Rubin 芯片平台全面投产。 行业数据 2025 年 11 月计算机工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比下降 0.2%，同比 下降 0.5%。2025 年 1-11 月，我国软件业业务收入 1397 ...

渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.09） 宏观及策略研究 央行 2026 年工作会议召开，行情将围绕主题性机会展开——A 股市场投资策 略周报 金融工程研究 晨会纪要（2026/01/09） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 主要指数全部上涨，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 行业研究 "人工智能+制造"政策发布，AI 应用迎发展良机——计算机行业 1 月投资 策略展望 晨会纪要（2026/01/09） 宏观及策略研究 央行 2026 年工作会议召开，行情将围绕主题性机会展开——A 股市场投资策略周报 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、市场回顾 近 4 个交易日（1 月 5 日-1 月 8 日），重要指数纷纷收涨；其中，上证综指收涨 ...

Fixed Income Research - The core viewpoint indicates a divergence in the issuance guidance rates for credit bonds, with medium to high ratings increasing and low ratings decreasing, resulting in an overall change of -6BP to 4BP [2] - In December, the issuance scale of credit bonds decreased month-on-month, with only short-term financing bonds seeing an increase; net financing for credit bonds decreased while company bonds saw an increase [2] - The secondary market saw an increase in transaction volume for credit bonds in December, with yields showing low volatility; the overall credit spread widened, with most varieties at historical low levels [2] - The report suggests that the supply shortage and strong demand for allocation will continue to drive a recovery in credit bonds, with a long-term downward trend in yields expected [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of adjusting strategies in response to market fluctuations and highlights the need to focus on the trends in interest rate bonds while considering the value of individual bonds [2] Financial Engineering Research - The report notes that all major indices rose, with the margin balance continuing to increase, indicating a recovery in valuations and trading opportunities [4] - For the week of December 24-30, all major A-share indices increased, with the CSI 500 showing the largest rise of 2.79% [5] - The margin balance in the two markets reached 25,472.93 billion yuan, an increase of 236.17 billion yuan from the previous week, with the average daily number of investors participating in margin trading rising by 17.70% [5][6] Industry Research - Pharmaceutical and Biological Industry - The report highlights the ongoing trend in the innovative drug industry, with significant developments in regulatory frameworks and a notable increase in the number of approved innovative drugs [12] - In November, the medical care CPI was 101.6, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, while the pharmaceutical manufacturing PPI was 96.1, down 3.9% year-on-year [12] - The report indicates that the innovative drug industry in China is expected to continue its long-term growth trajectory, with a focus on strategic developments in related sectors [12][13] Industry Research - Metals Industry - The report outlines that the steel industry is expected to continue facing weak demand in January 2026, with prices likely to remain low [16] - For copper, the supply is expected to be sufficient, but high prices may suppress downstream demand, leading to a phase of high price fluctuations [16] - The report suggests that the aluminum industry may see improved profitability due to low prices of alumina and strong demand from sectors like new energy vehicles [18] - The report emphasizes the strategic value of rare earth resources and suggests that the industry is poised for future growth, particularly in new energy and robotics sectors [20]

Group 1: Fund Research - The equity market indices showed mixed performance, with the ChiNext Index experiencing the largest decline of 1.25%. Among 31 Shenwan first-level industries, 12 sectors rose, with the top five gainers being oil and petrochemicals, defense and military, media, automotive, and machinery equipment. The sectors with the largest declines included utilities, food and beverage, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [2] - The public fund market saw a total scale exceeding 37 trillion yuan, with the implementation of new regulations on fund sales expenses [2] - Most funds performed poorly due to market adjustments, with equity funds, particularly those focused on stocks, experiencing an average decline of 0.60%. The positive return ratio for equity funds was 21.62% [3] Group 2: ETF Market Overview - The ETF market experienced a net inflow of 20.852 billion yuan, with bond ETFs seeing the largest inflow of 25.099 billion yuan. The average daily trading volume reached 406.118 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 7.05% [3] Group 3: Industry Research - The "old-for-new" policy is set to continue smoothly, with smart glasses included in the subsidy range, which is expected to lower prices and stimulate market growth [5][6] - In the period from January to November 2025, the retail sales of furniture reached 189.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.90%. Retail sales for clothing, shoes, hats, and textiles totaled 1,359.67 billion yuan, growing by 3.50% year-on-year [6] - The light industry manufacturing sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.48 percentage points, while the textile and apparel sector underperformed by 3.31 percentage points [6] - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to improve profitability in the paper industry, as it reduces the cost of purchasing pulp, which is heavily relied upon by the industry [7]

Macro and Strategy Research - The manufacturing PMI for December 2025 is reported at 50.1%, indicating a return to the expansion zone after 8 months, with improvements in both production and demand [2][3] - The production index increased by 1.7 percentage points to 51.7%, attributed to reduced uncertainties from the external trade environment [3] - The new orders index rose by 1.6 percentage points to 50.8%, marking the first return to expansion in the second half of the year [3] - New export orders increased by 1.4 percentage points to 49.0%, showing a significant slowdown in contraction, while the import index continued to contract [3] - The December non-manufacturing business activity index rose by 0.7 percentage points to 50.2%, returning to the expansion zone, driven significantly by the construction sector [4] - The comprehensive PMI output index increased by 1.0 percentage point to 50.7%, reflecting a rebound in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors [4] - The outlook for January 2026 suggests continued expansion in manufacturing due to a stable external trade environment and the gradual implementation of incremental policies [4] U.S. Monetary Series - The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is crucial for understanding changes in dollar liquidity, primarily through "bilateral accounting" methods [6][7] - The Fed's balance sheet has been in an expansion trend since its inception, influenced by economic development and institutional changes [7] - The historical changes in the Fed's balance sheet can be divided into four phases, with the most recent phase (2020-present) seeing accelerated expansion due to the pandemic [7] Financial Engineering Research - Company governance is identified as a critical component of corporate competitiveness, directly affecting resource allocation efficiency, profitability sustainability, and risk management [9] - A well-governed company enhances operational quality and market profitability expectations, leading to a steady increase in stock prices [9][10] - The report outlines six dimensions of corporate governance that impact stock pricing, including shareholder behavior, debt management, and ESG scores [10][11] - Future research will focus on the interaction effects of governance indicators, heterogeneity across different scenarios, and the development of a multidimensional governance evaluation system [11]