Group 1: U.S. Economic Overview - U.S. retail sales unexpectedly stagnated in December 2025, with the control group retail sales showing a negative month-on-month growth, indicating high living costs suppressing consumption among low- and middle-income groups[1] - Non-farm employment rebounded unexpectedly, reversing the weak trend seen at the end of 2025, with private sector jobs supported mainly by education and healthcare, while financial and information sectors continued to decline due to AI substitution effects[1] - The unemployment rate decreased despite an increase in labor participation rate, with a slight rise in hourly wage growth, although the overall employment data may still be overestimated[1] Group 2: Domestic Economic Conditions - In January, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) month-on-month growth remained flat, with food prices slowing down but pork prices turning positive; core CPI continued to rise due to the upcoming Spring Festival[3] - Producer Price Index (PPI) showed an upward trend, with price changes in crude oil and non-ferrous metals causing a divergence in PPI growth across industries, while "anti-involution" policies positively impacted sectors like photovoltaics and lithium batteries[3] - Real estate transactions remained at a low point, with wholesale agricultural prices declining, and prices for steel and cement slightly decreasing, while upstream prices for coking coal and coking fell, and prices for non-ferrous metals and gold generally declined[3]

固 定 收 益 研 究 固定收益周报 债市延续偏强震荡 ――利率债周报 | | 分析师： 王哲语 | SAC NO： S1150524070001 2026 年 2 月 13 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 研 | [Table_Author] | 统计区间：2026 年 2 月 6 日至 2026 年 2 月 12 日 | | | | 证券分析师 | | | | | [Table_IndInvest]  王哲语 | 重要事件点评 | | | 究 | | | | | | 022-23839051 | 通胀数据：1 月核心 CPI 环比涨幅扩大至近 6 个月最高，主要源于节假 | | | | wangzheyu@bhzq.com | 日出行需求升温、国际金价上行等；PPI 环比涨幅扩大，主要源于"反 | | | | | 内卷"与新质生产力发展并进。展望来看，春节因素有望带动 月 2 | CPI | | | 周喜 | 同环比涨幅扩大，PPI 环比涨幅或与 1 月接近，同比降幅进一步收窄。 | | | |  | 资金价格：节前资金面平稳 | | | 证 | SAC NO：S1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Neutral" rating, with specific company ratings of "Buy" for Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (600276) and "Increase" for WuXi Biologics (603259) [46] Core Insights - The recent national drug procurement has been stable, with active participation from companies and continued benefits for patients [8][9] - The issuance of the "National Basic Drug Directory Management Measures" aims to enhance the management of essential medicines [10][11] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical reported positive top-line results for its GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist, indicating significant weight loss in clinical trials [12] - The approval of Mu Feng Da® for the treatment of adult type 2 diabetes marks a significant development in the market [12] Industry News - The national drug procurement involved 316 commonly used drugs across 26 therapeutic areas, with a high participation rate from over 5,100 medical institutions and 1,091 companies [8][9] - The procurement process has been standardized, allowing companies to bid online once for nationwide sales, significantly reducing costs [9] - The management measures for the national basic drug directory have been revised to include legal policy bases and optimize the directory structure [10][11] Company Announcements - Innovent Biologics has entered a global strategic partnership with Eli Lilly to advance new drug development in oncology and immunology [26] - Kelun Pharmaceutical's TROP2 ADC has received approval for a fourth indication from the NMPA [27] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical's drug has been included in the list of breakthrough therapy products, and its application for marketing approval has been accepted for priority review [28] - WuXi Biologics has forecasted a positive earnings outlook, expecting a revenue increase of approximately 16.7% [30] Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.43%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.37%, with the SW Pharmaceutical and Biotech Index up by 0.23% [36] - The industry’s price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 51.17, with a valuation premium of 259% compared to the CSI 300 [40] Weekly Strategy - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in innovative drugs, CXO, and upstream life sciences, while also monitoring performance recovery indicators [46]

Macro and Strategy Research - The PPI year-on-year decline continues to narrow, with a January PPI decrease of 1.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.4, indicating improvements in supply-demand structures in key sectors and rising prices in some industries due to international metal prices [4][7] - The CPI for January increased by 0.2% both year-on-year and month-on-month, with a marginal decline in the year-on-year growth rate attributed to high base effects from the previous year and falling energy prices [3][4] - The central bank's monetary policy report emphasizes continued implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on stabilizing economic growth and reasonable price recovery, with no immediate expectations for rate cuts or reserve requirement ratio reductions [4] Industry Research - Significant capital expenditure growth is observed among overseas cloud vendors, with projected capital expenditures reaching $660 billion in 2026, a 60% increase from 2025, indicating strong demand for AI computing power [11] - The AI application sector is approaching a commercialization inflection point, with notable advancements in products like ByteDance's AI video generation model Seedance 2.0, which shows significant improvements in core metrics and is expected to enhance content production efficiency [11] - The computer industry saw a 1.72% increase in the week from February 5 to February 11, with all sub-sectors experiencing growth, highlighting a positive market trend [9]

宏观经济分析报告 "反内卷"与新质生产力发展并进 ――2026 年 1 月物价数据点评 展望来看，（1）生猪供给仍较充足，猪价或延续低位震荡；春节前鲜菜 价格或再度上涨。（2）油价对 CPI 同环比将转为上拉；（3）春节因素或 带动核心通胀同环比涨幅扩大。综上预计 2026 年 2 月 CPI 同环比涨幅均 扩大。 PPI："反内卷"与新质生产力发展并进 2026 年 1 月 PPI 同比降幅收窄，环比涨幅扩大。国际定价商品中，输入 性因素继续拖累国内石油相关行业价格；受铜矿供应持续紧缺、AI 投资 扩张等因素影响，有色金属产业链价格继续上行。国内定价商品中，（1） 上游原材料中，"反内卷"持续显效，基础化学原料制造、黑色金属加工 价格由降转涨，煤炭产业链则暂时降温。（2）中游制造业中，除"反内 卷"带动锂离子电池、光伏设备制造等价格由降转涨外，人工智能等数 字化技术加快发展、算力需求增长带动电子设备制造业价格环比上涨。 （3）下游消费品制造业中，春节提振效应明显，礼品和食品等备货需求 增加带动工艺品制造、农副食品加工价格上涨。 展望来看，2 月输入型通胀或有升温；国内定价商品价格的积极因素仍然 是两大方向， ...

Investment Strategy - The report indicates that the PPI year-on-year decline continues to narrow, and trading activity is expected to return after the holiday [1][3] - The A-share market is currently experiencing a consolidation phase, with a focus on the upcoming policy expectations as the market approaches the Two Sessions [3][32] Market Review - In the past five trading days (February 6 to February 12), major indices have risen, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.43% and the ChiNext Index up 2.08% [4] - The average daily trading volume has decreased to 2.13 trillion yuan, down 399 billion yuan from the previous five trading days [10][21] Inflation Trends - In January, the CPI increased by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month, while the PPI decreased by 1.4% year-on-year but increased by 0.4% month-on-month [27][30] - The narrowing of the PPI decline is attributed to improvements in supply-demand structures in key sectors and rising international metal prices [27][30] Monetary Policy - The central bank's fourth-quarter monetary policy report emphasizes the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on stabilizing economic growth and reasonable price recovery [30] - There is an expectation that short-term adjustments in reserve requirements and interest rates are unlikely, with future policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing prices [30] Sector Analysis - The report highlights that in the recent trading period, sectors such as comprehensive, non-ferrous metals, and building materials have shown strong performance, while food and beverage, beauty care, and retail sectors have lagged [21][32] - Investment opportunities are identified in the TMT sector and robotics due to ongoing AI capital expansion and domestic computing power replacement [32] - The power equipment industry is also noted for potential investment opportunities driven by overseas photovoltaic expansion plans and significant investments from the State Grid [32]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the computer industry and an "Accumulate" rating for Hongsoft Technology (688088) [2][28] Core Insights - The report highlights that overseas cloud vendors such as Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta are expected to have capital expenditures reaching $660 billion in 2026, a year-on-year increase of approximately 60% compared to 2025. This indicates a robust growth phase for global AI computing demand despite concerns over cash flow pressures for these companies [27] - The AI application sector is witnessing multiple catalysts, with ByteDance's AI video generation model Seedance 2.0 showing significant improvements in core metrics, which is expected to enhance its application in areas like AI short dramas and industry reports, thereby reducing costs and increasing efficiency in content production [27] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies that possess strong AI technology implementation capabilities and scene adaptability as the industry approaches a commercialized inflection point [27] Industry News - ByteDance's latest video generation model Seedance 2.0 has entered internal testing, supporting multi-modal input and intelligent scene segmentation, significantly reducing the cost of traditional film IP development [14] - Anthropic has released its new AI model Claude Opus 4.6, which enhances autonomy and focus, improving capabilities in code planning, debugging, and review [14][15] Company Announcements - Unisplendour announced a plan to issue A-shares to specific targets, aiming to raise up to 5.57 billion yuan for acquiring a 6.98% stake in H3C, R&D equipment purchases, and repaying bank loans [17] - Parallel Technology plans to purchase GPU computing servers for up to 117 million yuan to expand its computing resource pool [18] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation announced an investment of 153 million yuan for construction projects in its consumables industrial park [20] Market Review - From February 5 to February 11, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.32%, while the Shenwan Computer Industry Index increased by 1.72%, with all sub-sectors showing positive growth [21]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Positive" [2] - The specific companies recommended for "Increase" rating are Zoomlion (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [2] Core Insights - In January 2026, the sales of various excavators reached 18,708 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,723 units (including 24 electric excavators), up 61.4%, while exports totaled 9,985 units (including 11 electric excavators), up 40.5% [9] - The sales of various loaders in January 2026 reached 11,759 units, with a year-on-year increase of 48.5%. Domestic sales were 5,293 units (including 2,701 electric loaders), up 42.8%, and exports were 6,466 units (including 289 electric loaders), up 53.4% [9] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in January 2026 was 72.5 hours, a year-on-year increase of 23.9% [9] - The average operating rate for major construction machinery products in January 2026 was 48.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.63 percentage points [10] - The steel composite price index (CSPI) was 90.93 as of February 6, 2026 [11] - As of February 11, 2026, the price of WTI crude oil was $63.96 per barrel, and Brent crude oil was $68.80 per barrel [12] Summary by Sections Industry News - The construction machinery sector is expected to continue its recovery due to the rollout of key projects and favorable policies for equipment upgrades. Domestic leading manufacturers are accelerating their overseas expansion, indicating strong competitiveness in technology and cost-effectiveness [28] Company Announcements - Tianjin Jinrong Tianyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. announced an investment in an industrial fund to enhance its strategic development and industry insight [18] - Aidi Precision reported an expected revenue of 3.14 billion to 3.26 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.24% to 19.64% [19] Market Review - From February 5 to February 11, 2026, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 0.32%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.31%, underperforming the broader index by 0.01 percentage points [20] - As of February 11, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry was 51.67, with a valuation premium of 262.02% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [21] Weekly Perspective - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost interest in humanoid robots, with several companies participating in the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, which may enhance brand visibility and commercialization opportunities [28]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw most major indices rise last week (February 4 to February 10), with the Shanghai 50 index experiencing the largest increase of 1.74%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.49%, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.59%. The ChiNext index fell by 0.13%, and the CSI 300 rose by 1.38% [3]. - As of February 10, the margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 26,517.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 459.93 billion yuan from the previous week. The financing balance was 26,350.49 billion yuan, down by 460.03 billion yuan, while the securities lending balance increased slightly to 167.34 billion yuan [3]. Industry Insights - The media, comprehensive, and environmental protection industries saw significant net buying in financing, while the non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and non-bank financial sectors experienced lower net buying. The industries with higher financing buy-in ratios relative to transaction volumes included non-bank financials, telecommunications, and electronics, whereas textiles, light manufacturing, and construction materials had lower ratios [4]. - In terms of securities lending, the media, coal, and machinery equipment sectors had higher net selling amounts, while non-ferrous metals, food and beverage, and defense industries had lower net selling amounts [4]. ETF and Stock Performance - As of February 10, the financing balance for ETFs was 1,124.56 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.48 billion yuan from February 3, while the securities lending balance increased by 0.60 billion yuan to 75.45 billion yuan. The top five ETFs by net buying were E Fund CSI Overseas China Internet 50 (QDII-ETF), Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Hang Seng Technology, GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Medicine (QDII-ETF), and Huabao CSI Medical ETF [4]. - The top five stocks by net buying in financing last week were Zhongwen Online (300364), Cambricon (688256), Kingsoft Office (688111), Kunlun Wanwei (300418), and Hengtong Optic-Electric (600487). The top five stocks by net selling in securities lending were Yanzhou Coal (600188), Jiangbolong (301308), Hengyi Petrochemical (000703), Changchuan Technology (300604), and Yinlun Machinery (002126) [4].

Content: --------- <doc id='2'>金 融 工 程 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 融 资 融 券 周 报</doc> <doc id='9'>1. 市场数据概览 上周（2 月 4 日-2 月 10 日）A 股市场主要指数多数上涨，其中上证 50 涨幅最大， 上涨了 1.74%；创业板指跌幅最大，下跌了 0.13%。此外，上证综指上涨 1.49%， 深证成指上涨 0.59%，科创 50 上涨 0.03%，沪深 300 上涨 1.38%，中证 500 上 涨 0.24%。</doc> <doc id='10'>表 1：A 股市场主要指数上周表现 | 指数名称 | 2 月 3 日收盘价 | 2 月 10 日收盘价 | 周涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 4067.74 | 4128.37 | 1.49 | | 深证成指 | 14127.11 | 14210.63 | 0.59 | | 创业板指 | 3324.89 | 3320.54 | -0.13 | | 科创 50 | 1471.07 | 1471.50 | 0.03 | | 沪深 300 | 4660.11 | 4724.30 | 1.38 | | 上证 50 | 3034.58 | 3087.41 | 1.74 | | 中证 500 | 8286.70 | 8306.44 | 0.24 | 资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 图 1：近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例</doc> <doc id='12'>资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 2 月 10 日，沪深两市两融余额为 26,517.83 亿元，较上周减少 459.93 亿元。其 中融资余额为 26,350.49 亿元，较上周减少 460.03 亿元；融券余额为 167.34 亿 元，较上周增加 0.10 亿元。</doc> <doc id='13'>表 2：三市融资融券余额 | 日期 | 沪深京三市余额 | 沪深两市余额 | 沪市余额 | 深市余额 | 京市余额 | 融资余额 | 融券余额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （亿元） | （亿元） | （亿元） | （亿元） | （亿元） | （亿元） | （亿元） | | 2026-02-04 | 26,928.72 | 26,841.25 | 13,598.65 | 13,242.60 | 87.47 | 26,671.51 | 169.74 | | 2026-02-05 | 26,808.60 | 26,721.87 | 13,547.70 | 13,174.17 | 86.73 | 26,553.94 | 167.93 |</doc> <doc id='15'>| 2026-02-06 | 26,636.60 | 26,549.98 | 13,470.36 | 13,079.62 | 86.62 | 26,383.84 | 166.14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-02-09 | 26,644.00 | 26,556.13 | 13,475.12 | 13,081.01 | 87.87 | 26,387.82 | 168.31 | | 2026-02-10 | 26,604.75 | 26,517.83 | 13,459.14 | 13,058.69 | 86.92 | 26,350.49 | 167.34 | 资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 图 2：近期融资业务情况（亿元） 图 3：近期融券业务情况（亿元）</doc> <doc id='24'>2 月 10 日，融资融券个人投资者数量为 798.23 万名，较上周增长 0.24%；融资 融券机构投资者数量为 51,114 家，较上周增长 0.11%。有融资融券负债的投资者 数量为 1,901,935 名，较上周下降 0.97%。户均融资融券余额为 1,398,825 元， 较上周减少 10,417 元。有融资融券负债的投资者数量占全体融资融券投资者数 量的占比为 23.68%，较上周减少 0.29 个百分点。2 月 4 日-2 月 10 日每日平均 参与融资融券交易的投资者数量为 432,017 名，较前一周下降 17.79%。</doc> <doc id='28'>2. 行业融资融券特征 从申万一级行业来看，煤炭、综合和轻工制造等行业涨幅较大，有色金属、通信 和国防军工等行业跌幅较大。</doc> <doc id='29'>资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 融资方面，传媒、综合和环保行业融资净买入额较多，有色金属、通信和非银金 融行业融资净买入额较少。</doc> <doc id='32'>资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 融券方面，上周传媒、煤炭和机械设备行业融券净卖出额较多，有色金属、食品 饮料和国防军工行业融券净卖出额较少。</doc> <doc id='35'>上周融资买入额占成交额比例较高的行业为非银金融、通信和电子，较低的行业 为纺织服饰、轻工制造和建筑材料；融资余额占流通市值比例较高的行业为计算 机、通信和国防军工，较低的行业为石油石化、银行和煤炭。</doc> <doc id='37'>行业名称 融资买入额占成交额(%) 较上周变化(pct.) 融资余额占流通市值(%) 较上周变化(pct.) 非银金融 11.13 0.10 3.04 -0.11 通信 10.57 -0.46 3.42 -0.13 电子 9.17 -0.14 3.13 -0.03 国防军工 8.73 -0.02 3.28 -0.03 计算机 8.63 -0.05 4.09 -0.02 电力设备 8.50 0.06 2.95 -0.07 有色金属 8.40 -1.14 2.76 -0.05 钢铁 8.13 -0.47 1.71 -0.08 银行 7.94 -1.01 0.82 -0.05 传媒 7.89 0.14 3.07 -0.04 煤炭 7.78 -0.79 0.88 -0.10 公用事业 7.74 -0.30 1.73 -0.02 美容护理 7.72 1.11 2.56 -0.12 汽车 7.72 0.01 2.97 -0.08 家用电器 7.67 0.32 2.01 -0.12 医药生物 7.61 -0.37 2.74 -0.11 机械设备 7.38 0.03 2.51 -0.07 建筑装饰 7.35 -0.83 2.37 -0.03 房地产 7.27 -0.45 3.05 -0.17 基础化工 7.25 -0.36 2.31 -0.09 综合 7.17 0.20 2.84 -0.14 农林牧渔 6.84 -0.46 2.73 -0.08 表 3：上周标的券所属行业融资情况</doc> <doc id='39'>| 交通运输 | 6.64 | -1.07 | 1.38 | -0.09 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 食品饮料 | 6.62 | -0.13 | 1.16 | -0.05 | | 石油石化 | 6.40 | -0.70 | 0.66 | -0.03 | | 环保 | 6.32 |