公 公司深度报告 PCB 微钻领先者，钨矿资源注入可期 ——中钨高新(000657)深度报告 分析师： 张珂 SAC NO： S1150523120001 2026 年 3 月 3 日 有色金属-------钨 投资要点： 中国五矿旗下上市公司，业绩受益于钨价上涨 公司是中国五矿旗下的钨行业上市公司，业务覆盖钨产业链的多个环节。2024 年中国五矿旗下的优质钨矿资源开始注入公司，公司利润规模和盈利能力得 到明显提升。2025 年前三季度受益于钨价上涨，公司业绩表现继续向好。 钨行业：供给刚性强，需求有支撑 钨在高科技和国防领域具备重要的战略价值，我们看好钨行业未来景气度。 供给端，短期产量增长有限：我国拥有全球 80%以上钨矿供应和 50%以上钨 矿储量，而我国对钨矿开采严格管控，短期国内钨矿供应难有明显增长；海外 钨矿项目面临资金和成本压力，实际产能增量较小。需求端，多领域有望支撑 未来需求：工厂自动化和技术进步、主要经济体进入降息周期、我国建设雅下 水电工程、我国设备以旧换新政策等因素将支撑硬质合金的钨需求，光伏钨 丝渗透率提升将带动钨丝需求，全球军费增长趋势将带动钨特钢需求，数据 中心发展将带动电子领域 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - In February, the main indices of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showed mixed performance. The CSI 500 and the Small and Medium - cap Board Index led the gains with increases of over 3%, while the STAR 50 Index had the largest decline of 1.42%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries rose, with the top 5 gainers being comprehensive, steel, building materials, environmental protection, and machinery and equipment, and the top 5 decliners being media, commercial trade, non - banking finance, banking, and pharmaceutical biology [1][14]. - In January 2026, the total number of new individual investor accounts opened in the market reached 4.9058 million, and the number of new institutional investor accounts was 10,600. Individual investor enthusiasm further increased, while institutional investor activity declined [2][21]. - In February, 28 new funds were issued with a total scale of 17.847 billion yuan. The issuance of active equity funds and passive equity funds was 3.354 billion shares and 2.928 billion shares respectively, and the issuance of active equity funds decreased significantly compared to the previous month. Overall, affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the overall issuance rhythm slowed down [3][35]. - In February, except for QDII and commodity - type funds, other types of funds rose to varying degrees. The average increase of equity - biased funds was the largest, at 1.15%. Among different - style funds, the small - cap value style had the largest increase of 4.41%, and the large - cap growth style had the smallest increase of about 0.31% [3][41]. - By calculating the average returns of equity - biased public funds of different scales last month, it can be seen that the mini - funds with a scale of 50 - 100 million yuan had the largest average increase of 1.31%, with a positive - return ratio of 64.75%. Only the super - large funds with a scale of over 10 billion yuan declined, with a decline of 0.33% and a positive - return ratio of 38.71% [3][49]. - Through the calculation of the industry positions of active equity funds, in February, the industries with the highest increase in positions were media, building materials, and comprehensive, and the industries with the highest reduction in positions were electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and non - ferrous metals. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 3.13 percentage points from the previous month [4][52]. - In February, the net outflow of funds from ETFs was 21.106 billion yuan. At the individual - bond level, many broad - based index ETFs showed a trend of capital outflow. Among the most actively traded targets on a daily - average basis, the Grid Equipment ETF, Machine Tool ETF, Rare Earth ETF E Fund, Shipbuilding ETF, and Oil and Gas ETF Huatai - PineBridge had the highest increases of 10.1% - 14.5%; the E Fund China Concept Internet ETF, Huatai - PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF, Puyin Game and Media ETF, Artificial Intelligence 50 ETF, and Silver Fund New Economy ETF had the highest declines of 7.3% - 14.0%. In terms of capital flow, the Hang Seng Tech ETF, Satellite ETF, Cathay Gold ETF, Grid Equipment ETF, and Securities ETF had the highest net inflows, and the Southern CSI 500 ETF, Huatai - PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Non - Ferrous Metals ETF Fund, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF had the highest net outflows [5][60]. - In February, the risk - parity model declined by 0.23%, and the risk - budget model declined by 0.48%. Since 2015, the annualized return of the risk - parity model has been 6.32% with a maximum drawdown of 1.29%, and the annualized return of the risk - budget model has been 8.08% with a maximum drawdown of 2.35%. Next month, the asset - allocation weights of the models remain unchanged [6][70]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Domestic Market Situation - In February, the main stock indices in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showed mixed performance. The CSI 500 and the Small and Medium - cap Board Index led the gains with increases of over 3%, and the STAR 50 Index had the largest decline of 1.42%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries rose, with the top 5 gainers being comprehensive, steel, building materials, environmental protection, and machinery and equipment, and the top 5 decliners being media, commercial trade, non - banking finance, banking, and pharmaceutical biology [1][14]. - The ChinaBond Composite Total Return Index rose 0.01%, the ChinaBond Treasury Bond, Financial Bond, and Credit Bond Total Return Indices ranged from a decline of 0.02% to an increase of 0.14%, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.89%, and the Nanhua Commodity Index fell 1.32% [14]. - In January 2026, the total number of new individual investor accounts opened in the market reached 4.9058 million, and the number of new institutional investor accounts was 10,600. Individual investor enthusiasm further increased, while institutional investor activity declined [2][21]. - The new - filing scale of private securities investment funds in December increased month - on - month to 54.174 billion yuan, and the existing scale continued to expand, reaching 22.15 trillion yuan as of that month, remaining at a historically high level [22]. 3.2 European, American, and Asia - Pacific Market Situation In February, most of the main indices in the European, American, and Asia - Pacific markets rose. In the US stock market, the S&P 500 declined by 2.13%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.13%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index declined by 3.38%. In the European market, the French CAC 40 rose by 5.59%, and the German DAX rose by 3.04%. In the Asia - Pacific market, the Hang Seng Index declined by 2.76%, and the Nikkei 225 rose by 10.37% [27]. 3.3 Market Valuation Situation - In February, the valuations of the main market indices showed mixed trends. In terms of the historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio, the CSI All - Share Index led the increase with a rise of 5.4 percentage points. In terms of the historical percentile of price - to - book ratio, the CSI 1000 Index led the increase with a rise of 5.2 percentage points [30]. - Among industries, the top five industries with the highest historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio of the Shenwan primary index last month were real estate, electronics, building materials, comprehensive, and chemical. The price - to - earnings ratio percentile of the real estate industry was at a high level, and that of the electronics industry reached 96.9%. The bottom five industries with the lowest historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio were non - banking finance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, food and beverage, beauty care, and pharmaceutical biology, where the valuation of the non - banking finance industry was close to its historical low since 2013 [30]. 3.4 Public Fund Overall Situation 3.4.1 Fund Issuance Situation In February, 28 new funds were issued with a total scale of 17.847 billion yuan. Affected by holidays, the issuance rhythm slowed down. Among them, 10 equity funds were issued with a scale of 2.939 billion yuan, 9 hybrid funds were issued with a scale of 3.344 billion yuan, 3 bond funds were issued with a scale of 2.459 billion yuan, and 6 FOF funds were issued with a scale of 9.106 billion yuan. The issuance of active equity funds and passive equity funds was 3.354 billion shares and 2.928 billion shares respectively, and the issuance of active equity funds decreased significantly compared to the previous month [35]. 3.4.2 Fund Market Return Situation - In February, except for QDII and commodity - type funds, other types of funds rose to varying degrees. The average increase of equity - biased funds was the largest, at 1.15% [39]. - Different - style funds showed differentiated performance. The value style outperformed the growth style, and the small - and medium - cap styles outperformed the large - cap style. The small - cap value style had the largest increase of 4.41%, and the large - cap growth style had the smallest increase of about 0.31% [41]. - By calculating the average returns of equity - biased public funds of different scales last month, it can be seen that the mini - funds with a scale of 50 - 100 million yuan had the largest average increase of 1.31%, with a positive - return ratio of 64.75%. Only the super - large funds with a scale of over 10 billion yuan declined, with a decline of 0.33% and a positive - return ratio of 38.71% [49]. 3.4.3 Active Equity Fund Position Situation - In February, the industries with the highest increase in positions of active equity funds were media, building materials, and comprehensive, and the industries with the highest reduction in positions were electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and non - ferrous metals [52]. - As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 3.13 percentage points from the previous month [54]. 3.5 ETF Fund Situation - In February, the net outflow of funds from ETFs was 21.106 billion yuan. Among them, the net outflow of equity ETFs was 90.586 billion yuan, the net inflow of cross - border ETFs was 47.433 billion yuan, and the net inflow of bond ETFs was 7.818 billion yuan. In terms of liquidity, the average daily trading volume of the overall ETF market this period reached 518.894 billion yuan, and the average daily trading volume reached 186.344 billion shares. The average daily turnover rate was 8.12%, a decrease of 1.05 percentage points from January [59]. - At the individual - bond level, many broad - based index ETFs showed a trend of capital outflow. Among the most actively traded targets on a daily - average basis, the Grid Equipment ETF, Machine Tool ETF, Rare Earth ETF E Fund, Shipbuilding ETF, and Oil and Gas ETF Huatai - PineBridge had the highest increases of 10.1% - 14.5%; the E Fund China Concept Internet ETF, Huatai - PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF, Puyin Game and Media ETF, Artificial Intelligence 50 ETF, and Silver Fund New Economy ETF had the highest declines of 7.3% - 14.0%. In terms of capital flow, the Hang Seng Tech ETF, Satellite ETF, Cathay Gold ETF, Grid Equipment ETF, and Securities ETF had the highest net inflows, and the Southern CSI 500 ETF, Huatai - PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Non - Ferrous Metals ETF Fund, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF had the highest net outflows [60]. 3.6 Model Operation Situation - Four types of large - asset allocation models were constructed using stocks, bonds, commodities, and QDII assets. Among them, the first two are fixed - ratio models, and the ratios of the latter two models are adjusted monthly based on 24 - month data [66]. - In February, the risk - parity model declined by 0.23%, and the risk - budget model declined by 0.48%. Since 2015, the annualized return of the risk - parity model has been 6.32% with a maximum drawdown of 1.29%, and the annualized return of the risk - budget model has been 8.08% with a maximum drawdown of 2.35% [6][70]. - Next month, the asset - allocation weights of the models remain unchanged. For the risk - parity model, the ratio of stocks: bonds: commodities: QDII is 7%: 69%: 11%: 13%; for the risk - budget model, the ratio is 14%: 49%: 8%: 28% [71].

Group 1 - The report indicates a downward trend in credit bond yields, with the overall change in issuance guidance rates ranging from -6BP to 1BP [1][15] - In February, the issuance scale of credit bonds decreased month-on-month due to holiday factors, with all varieties showing a decline in issuance amounts [1][12] - The net financing amount for credit bonds decreased month-on-month, with corporate bonds and targeted instruments showing an increase, while other varieties saw a decrease [1][12][13] Group 2 - The secondary market saw a decline in transaction volume for credit bonds, with a total transaction amount of 22,665.99 billion, down 39.05% month-on-month [1][17] - Credit spreads for most varieties narrowed in February, with many varieties' spreads at historical low levels [1][20][26] - The report suggests that the absolute yield perspective indicates a continuation of the recovery trend for credit bonds, driven by insufficient supply and relatively strong demand [1][62] Group 3 - The report highlights the recent policy adjustments in Shanghai's real estate market aimed at promoting stable and healthy development, including easing purchase restrictions and increasing public housing loan limits [2][63] - Continuous optimization of real estate policies by central and local governments is expected to support the stabilization of the real estate market, transitioning from a phase of large-scale expansion to one focused on quality improvement [3][65] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality development in the real estate sector, with an expectation of further policy announcements to support this transition [3][65][66]

Group 1: Market Overview - The equity market indices showed an overall increase, with the largest gain seen in the CSI 500, which rose by 4.32% during the week from February 24 to February 27, 2026 [2] - Among the 31 Shenwan first-level industries, 25 experienced gains, with the top five performing sectors being steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, environmental protection, and coal [2] - The public fund market saw a strong performance, particularly in quantitative funds, which averaged a rise of 2.22%, with a positive return ratio of 92.26% [2] Group 2: Fund Performance - The average return for equity market funds was notable, with solid performance across various fund types, including a 0.30% increase for fixed income + funds and a 0.93% increase for pension target FOFs [2] - The average return for pure bond funds was minimal at 0.01%, while QDII funds saw a slight decline of 0.11% [2] Group 3: ETF Market Dynamics - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 228.28 billion yuan, with stock-type ETFs accounting for a significant portion of this outflow at 362.86 billion yuan [3] - The average daily trading volume in the ETF market reached 4,768.04 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 7.40% [3] Group 4: Industry Insights - The light industry manufacturing sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.67 percentage points, while the textile and apparel sector lagged behind by 0.13 percentage points during the period from February 2 to February 27, 2026 [9] - The domestic consumption market showed steady growth during the Spring Festival, with a total of 5.96 billion domestic trips made, generating a total expenditure of 8,034.83 billion yuan, an increase of 1,264.81 billion yuan compared to the previous year [9][11] - Shanghai's new real estate policy aims to optimize housing demand, which is expected to positively impact the real estate market and related industries [10][11]

- The financing balance of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets as of February 27 was 2,660.588 billion yuan, a decrease of 45.886 billion yuan from the end of the previous month[12] - The financing balance of the main board and the ChiNext board decreased, while the financing balance of the STAR Market increased[19] - The financing balance of the CSI 300 was 951.082 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.447 billion yuan from the end of the previous month[20] - The financing balance of the CSI 500 was 503.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.689 billion yuan from the end of the previous month[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 1000 was 544.918 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.049 billion yuan from the end of the previous month[22] - The financing balance of other sectors was 644.235 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.436 billion yuan from the end of the previous month[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The number of individual investors in margin trading and securities lending was 8.0051 million, an increase of 0.63% from the end of the previous month[26] - The number of institutional investors in margin trading and securities lending was 51,201, an increase of 0.39% from the end of the previous month[26] - The number of investors with margin trading and securities lending liabilities was 1,893,816, a decrease of 1.31% from the end of the previous month[26] - The average daily number of investors participating in margin trading and securities lending transactions from February 1 to February 27 was 453,113, a decrease of 24.51% from the previous month[26] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and other sectors accounted for 35.98%, 19.03%, 20.62%, and 24.37% respectively[22] - The financing balance of the CSI 300, CSI

Group 1: Industry Overview - The consumption during the Spring Festival was robust, with domestic travel reaching 596 million trips, an increase of 95 million trips compared to the previous year, and total spending of 803.48 billion yuan, marking a historical high for both visitor numbers and spending [10][20]. - The Shanghai government has implemented measures to optimize real estate policies, which are expected to boost the real estate market and support the recovery of related industries [3][69]. - The retail sales of social consumer goods in the furniture category for 2025 is projected to be 209.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.62% [4][21]. Group 2: Key Company Announcements - Sun Paper Industry reported a 5.05% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, with total revenue of approximately 39.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.79% from the previous year [6][58]. - Mengjie Home Textile announced that major shareholder Li Jianwei plans to reduce his holdings by 3.2 million shares, which is about 0.43% of the company's total shares [6][59]. Group 3: Market Performance - From February 2 to February 27, the light industry sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.67 percentage points, with a growth of 2.76% compared to the CSI 300's 0.09% [8][60]. - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points, with a slight decline of 0.04% [8][65]. Group 4: Monthly Strategy - The report maintains a "neutral" rating for the light industry and textile sectors, while recommending "buy" ratings for companies such as Oppein Home, Sophia, and others [11][71]. - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the real estate sector and related industries due to recent policy optimizations in major cities [69].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - From February 24 to February 27, 2026, all major equity market indices rose, with the CSI 500 having the largest increase of 4.32%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries rose, with the top five gainers being steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, environmental protection, and coal; the top five decliners were media, commercial trade, food and beverages, non-bank finance, and banks [1][12]. - The CSRC issued the "Administrative Measures for the Supervision of Information Disclosure of Private Investment Funds", which takes effect on September 1, 2026. The Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced the adjustment of constituent stocks of key indices such as the STAR 50, to be implemented after the close on March 13, 2026 [2][31][33]. - In terms of fund performance, quantitative funds had the largest increase, with an average increase of 2.22% and a positive return ratio of 92.26%. Fixed - income + funds rose 0.30% on average, with a positive return ratio of 73.12%. Pure - bond funds rose 0.01% on average, with a positive return ratio of 60.51%. Pension target FOFs rose 0.93% on average, with a positive return ratio of 99.50%. QDII funds fell 0.11% on average, with a positive return ratio of 58.16% [2][34]. - The top three sectors with the largest increase in positions of active equity funds last week were media, commerce and retail, and real estate; the top three sectors with the largest decrease in positions were electronics, non - ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical biology. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 0.81 pct from the previous period [2][40][42]. - Last week, the overall ETF market had a net capital outflow of 22.828 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs had a relatively large net outflow of 36.286 billion yuan. The daily average trading volume of the overall ETF market reached 476.804 billion yuan, the daily average trading volume reached 168.72 billion shares, and the daily average turnover rate was 7.40%. The Hang Seng Technology, power grid equipment, securities, and Internet sectors had net capital inflows, with the Hang Seng Technology having a capital inflow close to 10 billion yuan. Broad - based indices such as the CSI 1000, CSI A500, CSI Small Cap 500, CSI 300, and SSE STAR 50 were the main varieties with capital outflows [3][46][49]. - Last week, 36 new funds were issued, an increase of 28 from the previous period; 5 new funds were established, a decrease of 59 from the previous period. New funds raised a total of 1.451 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.879 billion yuan from the previous period [4][54][59]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review 3.1.1 Domestic Market Situation - From February 24 to February 27, 2026, all major equity market indices rose, with the CSI 500 rising 4.32%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries rose, and 6 industries fell. The top five gainers were steel, non - ferrous metals, chemicals, environmental protection, and coal; the top five decliners were media, commercial trade, food and beverages, non - bank finance, and banks. In the bond market, the ChinaBond Composite Full - Price Index fell 0.14%, and the total full - price indices of ChinaBond Treasury bonds, financial bonds, and credit bonds fell between 0.01% and 0.31%. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 0.23%. In the commodity market, the Nanhua Commodity Index rose 3.56% [12]. 3.1.2 European, American, and Asia - Pacific Market Situation - Last week, most major indices in European, American, and Asia - Pacific markets rose. In the US stock market, the S&P 500 rose 0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.34%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.18%. In the European market, the French CAC40 rose 0.98%, and the German DAX rose 1.17%. In the Asia - Pacific market, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.67%, and the Nikkei 225 rose 3.56% [20]. 3.1.3 Market Valuation Situation - Last week, the valuation quantiles of most major market indices rose. In terms of the historical quantile of price - to - earnings ratio, the CSI All - Share Index had the largest increase of 8.6 pct. In terms of the historical quantile of price - to - book ratio, the CSI 1000 had the largest increase of 5.4 pct. Among industries, the top five industries with the highest historical quantiles of price - to - earnings ratio of the Shenwan primary index were real estate, electronics, building materials, comprehensive, and chemicals. The price - to - earnings ratio quantile of real estate remained at a high level, and that of electronics reached 96.9%. The bottom five industries with the lowest historical quantiles of price - to - earnings ratio were non - bank finance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, food and beverages, beauty care, and pharmaceutical biology. The valuation of the non - bank finance industry was close to its historical low since 2013 [23]. 3.2 Active Public - Offering Fund Situation - Market hotspots: The CSRC issued the "Administrative Measures for the Supervision of Information Disclosure of Private Investment Funds", which takes effect on September 1, 2026. The Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced the adjustment of constituent stocks of key indices such as the STAR 50, to be implemented after the close on March 13, 2026 [31][33]. - Fund performance: Quantitative funds had the largest increase, with an average increase of 2.22% and a positive return ratio of 92.26%. Fixed - income + funds rose 0.30% on average, with a positive return ratio of 73.12%. Pure - bond funds rose 0.01% on average, with a positive return ratio of 60.51%. Pension target FOFs rose 0.93% on average, with a positive return ratio of 99.50%. QDII funds fell 0.11% on average, with a positive return ratio of 58.16% [34]. - The top three sectors with the largest increase in positions of active equity funds last week were media, commerce and retail, and real estate; the top three sectors with the largest decrease in positions were electronics, non - ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical biology. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 0.81 pct from the previous period [40][42]. 3.3 ETF Fund Situation - Last week, the overall ETF market had a net capital outflow of 22.828 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs had a relatively large net outflow of 36.286 billion yuan. The daily average trading volume of the overall ETF market reached 476.804 billion yuan, the daily average trading volume reached 168.72 billion shares, and the daily average turnover rate was 7.40%. The Hang Seng Technology, power grid equipment, securities, and Internet sectors had net capital inflows, with the Hang Seng Technology having a capital inflow close to 10 billion yuan. Broad - based indices such as the CSI 1000, CSI A500, CSI Small Cap 500, CSI 300, and SSE STAR 50 were the main varieties with capital outflows [3][46][49]. 3.4 Fund Issuance Statistics - Last week, 36 new funds were issued, an increase of 28 from the previous period, including 15 active equity - biased funds and 10 passive index funds. The 10 passive index funds were all stock - type, mainly tracking indices such as the CSI Battery Theme, Hang Seng Biotechnology, ChiNext 50, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery. Currently, the issuance share of active equity funds is still at a historical low, but there has been an obvious upward trend since this year. - Five new funds were established last week, a decrease of 59 from the previous period. New funds raised a total of 1.451 billion yuan, a decrease of 56.879 billion yuan from the previous period. The E Fund CSI Battery Theme ETF managed by Li Xu had the largest raised scale of about 859 million yuan [54][59].

Group 1: Overseas Economic and Policy Environment - The US economy faces stagflation risks, with Q4 2025 GDP growth below expectations due to government shutdown impacts[13] - Non-farm employment data showed unexpected rebound, but the unemployment rate remains a concern as it may adjust after March[14] - The Eurozone is experiencing weak recovery, with February manufacturing PMI entering expansion territory for the first time since mid-2025[21] Group 2: Domestic Economic Performance - During the Spring Festival, national consumption-related industries saw a daily average sales increase of 13.7% compared to last year[30] - Smart products like smart glasses and intelligent robots saw sales growth of 47.3% and 32.7% respectively during the holiday[30] - Manufacturing investment growth is expected to be strong, with key product operating rates exceeding January averages[38] Group 3: Domestic Policy Environment - The central bank's monetary policy remains cautious, focusing on structural tools to support key sectors while maintaining liquidity stability[5] - Fiscal policy is actively supporting economic stability, with over 1.5 trillion yuan in new local special bonds issued by February 26, 2026[46] - The government is expected to prioritize spending on technology innovation and social welfare in the first quarter[46] Group 4: Risks and Outlook - Geopolitical risks and unexpected economic changes pose significant threats to domestic economic stability[6] - Inflation concerns are rising, with the Fed's rate cut window likely closed in the first half of 2026, impacting future monetary policy decisions[15]

固定收益周报 固 定 收 益 研 究 楼市新政冲击债市，利率曲线转为熊陡 ――利率债周报 | | 分析师： 王哲语 | | SAC NO： 年 月 日 S1150524070001 2026 2 27 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 研 | [Table_Author] 证券分析师 | | 统计区间：2026 年 2 月 13 日至 2026 年 2 月 26 日 | | | | [Table_IndInvest] |  | 重要事件点评 | | | 究 | 王哲语 | | | | | | 022-23839051 | | 金融数据：2026 年 1 月社融同比多增主要来自政府债券融资支撑，信 贷"开门红"成色一般，居民和企业的中长期融资需求相对偏弱。展望 | | | | wangzheyu@bhzq.com | | | | | | 周喜 | | 来看，1 月结构性降息有望逐步显效，但春节错月影响下，预计 2 月社 融存量同比增速、M1 及 M2 同比增速将有所回落。 | | | | SAC NO：S1150511010017 |  | 资金价格：央行超量 亿元 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - The market showed a mild recovery in consumption during the Spring Festival, with significant capital inflow observed in the A-share market. Major indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.58% and the ChiNext Index by 2.11% during the first three trading days post-holiday [2] - The average daily trading volume reached 2.40 trillion yuan, an increase of 308.83 billion yuan compared to the average daily trading volume in the five trading days before the holiday [2] - The average daily sales revenue in consumption-related industries during the 2026 Spring Festival increased by 13.7% compared to the same period in 2025, driven by an increase in holiday duration and supportive policies [2] - Domestic tourism during the Spring Festival reached 596 million trips, with total spending of 803.48 billion yuan, both setting historical records [2] Policy Insights - The State Council meeting on February 24 emphasized the need to achieve annual economic targets, with nearly 60% of provinces lowering their GDP growth targets for 2026, indicating a focus on "high-quality" economic development [3] - The meeting also discussed advancing the silver economy and elderly care services, highlighting the importance of this sector in building a robust domestic market [3] Strategy Outlook - Post-holiday, the market exhibited signs of capital inflow, with an increase in trading volume and financing scale. The upcoming Two Sessions are expected to shift market focus towards new policy expectations, maintaining a generally oscillating market trend [3] - The performance of precious metals and resource products indicates heightened market attention to geopolitical risks and resource security. The TMT sector is experiencing growth due to the rapid penetration of AI large models, reflecting concerns about AI disrupting traditional software and rising costs in the computing sector [3] Industry Research - The computer industry saw a decline of 0.61% from February 12 to February 25, with most sub-sectors experiencing downturns. The overall market sentiment remains cautious despite ongoing capital expenditure growth in AI computing from major cloud providers [6] - Recent financing events for large model companies are expected to accelerate infrastructure development and model iteration. Domestic model providers are leveraging open-source models and low token costs to attract global developers [6] - Major domestic tech companies have invested over 4.5 billion yuan during the Spring Festival to promote AI applications, indicating a strong push towards consumer adoption [6] Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities are identified in the communication and electronics sectors due to ongoing capital expansion by domestic and foreign cloud vendors, as well as the acceleration of domestic computing power substitution [4] - The power equipment industry is poised for growth driven by overseas photovoltaic expansion plans and a 4 trillion yuan investment from the State Grid [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector presents investment potential amid frequent geopolitical risks and the weakening status of the US dollar [4]