2025 年 5 月 1 日 公司研究 25Q1 业绩短期承压，看好公司长期发展 ——迈瑞医疗（300760.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：迈瑞医疗发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年公司实现营业收入 367.26 亿元，同比增长 5.14%；归母净利润 116.68 亿元，同比增长 0.74%；扣 非归母净利润 114.42 亿元，同比增长 0.07%。2025 年一季度实现营收 82.37 亿元，同比下滑 12.12%；归母净利润 26.29 亿元，同比下滑 16.81%；扣非归 母净利润 25.31 亿元，同比下滑 16.68%。 点评： 24 年业绩微增，25Q1 业绩短期承压：2024 年公司从业务结构来看，体外诊断 业务收入 137.65 亿元，同比增长 10.82%，首次超越生命信息与支持业务，成 为第一大业务板块；生命信息与支持业务收入 135.57 亿元，同比下降 11.11%； 医学影像业务收入 74.98 亿元，同比增长 6.60%。25Q1 业绩承压，主要原因包 括海外业务去年同期基数较高，以及国内业务因从招投标到确认收入的时间拉长 ...

2025 年 5 月 1 日 公司研究 挖机相关业务有望受益于国内工程机械行业景气度复苏 2024 年公司挖掘机泵阀产品份额实现持续提升。挖掘机市场在经历初始的 下滑后，逐渐恢复增长，特别是国内市场显示出较强的增长动力，而出口市场也 在年末实现正增长，国内工程机械市场周期拐点确立。随着未来国内工程机械行 业景气度持续复苏，公司作为工程机械零部件龙头企业有望深度受益。 "多元化"布局持续推进，非挖业务持续突破 公司持续推进"多元化"布局。在非工程机械领域，公司还开发了基于音圈 电机的工业比例伺服阀，以 4ms 行业最快响应速度。同时，公司还开展了风电 轴承测试、汽车行业 CDC 阀测试、斗轮挖掘机液压系统、布缆机、石油行业、 液压机械臂、船用风帆液压系统等项目的研发，高效推进下游领域的多元化进程。 线性驱动器项目开始量产，有望打造公司新增长极 业绩稳步增长，线性驱动器项目有望打造新增长极 ——恒立液压（601100.SH）2024 年报、2025 年一季报点评 要点 业绩稳步增长，25Q1 扣非归母净利润大幅增长 恒立液压 2024 年实现营业收入 93.9 亿元，同比增长 4.5%；归母净利润 25.1 亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [3][5][12]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance was impacted by declining coal prices, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 15.4% and a net profit decline of 20.0% [1]. - Despite the challenges in the coal sector, the company is expected to maintain stable operations and has plans for a mid-term cash dividend of at least 30% of net profit [3]. - The company’s non-coal business showed resilience, with improved profitability in products like polyethylene and methanol, despite a slight decline in overall revenue [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 38.39 billion yuan, down 15.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.98 billion yuan, down 20.0% year-on-year [1]. - Coal production slightly increased by 1.9% to 33.35 million tons, while coal prices fell significantly, affecting overall profitability [1]. - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 492 yuan per ton, a decrease of 17.7% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit margin decline [1]. Non-Coal Business - The non-coal business generated revenue of 7.142 billion yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year, but with a gross profit of 2.01 billion yuan, reflecting a smaller decline of 6.6% [2]. - The profitability of polyethylene and methanol improved, with methanol turning profitable with a gross profit of 380 yuan per ton [2]. Dividend and Shareholder Confidence - The company plans to continue its mid-term cash dividend policy, with a minimum payout ratio of 30% based on net profit [3]. - The controlling shareholder, China Coal, plans to increase its stake in the company, demonstrating confidence in its future performance [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of 17.3 billion yuan for 2025, with corresponding EPS of 1.31 yuan [3]. - The company is valued at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of less than 1, indicating it is undervalued relative to its assets [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [3][5]. Core Views - The company reported a robust performance in 2024, achieving a revenue of 1.828 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 435 million yuan, up 34.50% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company continued its growth trajectory with a revenue of 449 million yuan, reflecting a 20.81% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 108 million yuan, which is an 8.20% increase compared to the previous year [1]. - The growth in 2024 is attributed to a gradual recovery in the industry, driven by increased demand in downstream sectors, particularly in power semiconductors, and a shift towards domestic sourcing by clients [2]. - The company has effectively responded to market changes by expanding its customer base and optimizing its product structure, leading to increased sales in high-end markets such as electric vehicles, AI servers, and renewable energy [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 524 million yuan for 2025 and 651 million yuan for 2026, with a new projection of 791 million yuan for 2027 [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 2.322 billion yuan in 2025 to 3.370 billion yuan by 2027, with corresponding profit growth rates of 20.49% and 21.59% [4][8]. Profitability and Valuation - The report highlights an improvement in profitability metrics, with a projected gross margin of 33.5% in 2025 and a net profit margin of 22.5% [10]. - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 24 in 2025 to 16 by 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation as earnings grow [11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of power devices in China, with a focus on expanding its influence in high-end applications [3][2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of adapting to market demands and enhancing product offerings to maintain competitive advantages amid increasing competition in the semiconductor industry [2].

2025 年 5 月 1 日 要点 公司 1Q2025 营收同比下降 39.71%，归母净利润同比下降 62.96% 公司公布2025年一季报：1Q2025实现营业收入110.03亿元，同比下降39.71%， 实现归母净利润 1.35 亿元，同比下降 62.96%，实现扣非归母净利润 1.33 亿元， 同比下降 63.91%。 2024 年，公司实现营业收入 604.64 亿元，同比增长 7.27%，实现归母净利润 8.18 亿元，同比下降 15.93%，实现扣非归母净利润 7.90 亿元，同比下降 10.33%。 公司 1Q2025 综合毛利率增长 1.55 个百分点，期间费用率增长 0.29 个百分点 1Q2025 公司综合毛利率为 5.65%，同比增长 1.55 个百分点。2024 年公司综合 毛利率为 4.32%，同比增长 0.20 个百分点。 1Q2025 公司期间费用率为 1.28%，同比增长 0.29 个百分点。其中，销售/管理 /研发/财务费用率分别为 0.87%/0.38%/0.03%/-0.01%，同比分别变化+0.17 /+0.18/+0.02/-0.08 个百分点。2024 年公司期间 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [4][15]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with operating income of 28.42 billion yuan, down 51.95% year-on-year, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 9.82 billion yuan, down 387.42% year-on-year [1][5]. - Despite facing substantial pressure on profitability due to industry price declines, the company is expected to benefit from its advantages in the photovoltaic silicon supply chain and non-silicon cost advantages, alongside its global expansion strategy [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a silicon wafer shipment of 125.8 GW, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, maintaining the industry's highest market share at 18.9%. However, revenue from the photovoltaic silicon wafer segment fell by 61.98% to 16.65 billion yuan, with a gross margin decrease of 42.32 percentage points to -20.53% [2]. - The company reported a total asset impairment of 5.2 billion yuan in 2024, impacting total profit by 1.47 billion yuan [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 6.10 billion yuan, down 38.58% year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.91 billion yuan, showing a reduction in loss compared to the previous quarter [1][3]. Business Segments - The semiconductor materials business showed steady growth, with 12-inch semiconductor silicon wafer capacity reaching 700,000 pieces per month by the end of 2024, and revenue from this product increasing by 70% year-on-year to 2.33 billion yuan [4]. - The company is actively pursuing a global strategy, collaborating with Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund to establish a large-scale overseas crystal chip factory and restructuring its operations in the U.S. market [4]. Profitability and Forecast - The company’s profitability is under pressure due to industry oversupply, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to be -4.12 billion yuan, -1.26 billion yuan, and 1.82 billion yuan respectively [4][5]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability, with gross margins expected to improve from -9.1% in 2024 to 17.5% by 2027 [13].

2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 费用投入加大致业绩下滑，期待多品牌高质量发展 ——报喜鸟（002154.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：3.82 元 作者 分析师：姜浩 执业证书编号：S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师：孙未未 执业证书编号：S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师：朱洁宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 14.59 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 55.75 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 3.12/6.05 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 141.70% | 股价相对走势 -39% -24% -9% 6% 21% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 报喜鸟 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The home furnishing industry continues to undergo deep adjustments, with the company's performance under pressure in 2024, but profitability is expected to improve significantly in Q1 2025 [1][6] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.79 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 22.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -220 million yuan [1][4] - The company is actively transitioning from direct sales to franchising and expanding its overseas presence, with overseas revenue increasing by 39% year-on-year to 16.86 million yuan in 2024 [4][6] Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company generated revenue of 3.79 billion yuan, down 22.7% year-on-year, with Q4 2024 revenue at 1.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.8% [1][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 740 million yuan, a decline of 4.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of -38.86 million yuan [1][4] Product and Regional Performance - Revenue from customized home furnishings and supporting home furnishings in 2024 was 2.72 billion yuan and 490 million yuan, respectively, down 22.5% and 31.3% year-on-year [4] - Revenue by region in 2024 showed declines in South China (-8.4%), East China (-35.2%), North China (-27.5%), and Central China (-32.7%) [4] Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's gross margin in 2024 was 33.1%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with customized furniture and supporting home furnishings gross margins at 31.8% and 21.2%, respectively [5] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 35.2%, an increase of 7.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio was 39.1%, down 2.1 percentage points [5] Future Projections - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 4.01 billion yuan and 4.27 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 15% and 18% [6] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 78 million yuan and 152 million yuan, respectively, with EPS projections of 0.35 yuan and 0.68 yuan [6][8]

公司研究 单位租金稳步上涨，分红派息保持稳定 ——上海临港（600848.SH）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报 2024 年，公司实现营业总收入 111.03 亿元，（调整后）同比增长 57.2%；实 现归母净利润 10.97 亿元，（调整后）同比增长 3.1%。 2025 年一季度，公司实现营业总收入 15.81 亿元，（调整后）同比下降 17.1%； 实现归母净利润 1.72 亿元，（调整后）同比下降 16.5%。 点评：经营业绩略超预期，单位租金稳步上涨，分红派息保持稳定 2025 年 4 月 30 日 经营业绩略超预期：2024 年公司实现营业收入 111.03 亿元（我们预测为 82 亿 元），实现归母净利润 10.97 亿元（我们预测为 9.5 亿元），略超预期。原因主 要为 2024 年园区销售业务实现营收 74.77 亿元（同比增长 100.97%），实现结 转面积 35.41 万平方米（同比增长 159.2%）。 单位租金稳步上涨：2024 年公司出租房地产的建筑面积约为 269.9 万平方米（同 比下降 13.9%）， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was impacted by macroeconomic conditions, with a revenue of 5.26 billion yuan, down 14% year-on-year, and a net profit of 390 million yuan, down 35.2% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, down 27.7%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, down 51.5%. In the first quarter of 2025, revenue was 820 million yuan, down 0.3%, with a net profit of 42.08 million yuan, down 10.9% [5][6][10] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In 2024, the revenue from kitchen cabinets, wardrobes, and wooden doors was 2.39 billion, 2.12 billion, and 370 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year declines of 15.6%, 15.3%, and 9.1%. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenues of 730 million, 620 million, and 130 million yuan for these segments, with declines of 32.5%, 25.7%, and 22.4% respectively [6][10] Channel Performance - Revenue from direct sales, distribution, bulk, and overseas channels in 2024 was 470 million, 2.53 billion, 1.68 billion, and 210 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -0.8%, -18.9%, -16.2%, and +37.3% respectively. In Q4 2024, these channels generated revenues of 210 million, 620 million, 580 million, and 70 million yuan, with changes of +26.8%, -35.3%, -36.7%, and +41.0% respectively [6][10] Overseas Expansion - The company accelerated its overseas expansion, extending its business from engineering integration to retail franchises. By the end of 2024, the overseas business covered over ten countries and regions, including Australia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East [6][10] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 36.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margins for kitchen cabinets, wardrobes, and wooden doors were 40.2%, 39.0%, and 17.7%, with changes of -0.7, +1.0, and -3.3 percentage points respectively. The gross margin for overseas channels was 28.0%, an increase of 9.8 percentage points year-on-year [8][9] Financial Forecasts - The revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 5.693 billion and 6.296 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 422 million and 494 million yuan. The report also includes a new forecast for 2027, projecting revenue of 6.857 billion yuan and net profit of 552 million yuan [10][11]