Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Views - Shanghai Superconductor is the global leader in high-temperature superconducting (HTS) wire, with a unique annual shipment exceeding 1,000 kilometers. The company achieved a revenue of 240 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 187.40%, and a net profit of 72.94 million yuan, successfully turning a profit after previous losses. The market for HTS materials is expected to exceed 10.5 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 53.91% from 2024 to 2030, particularly driven by the controllable nuclear fusion sector, which is projected to grow from 30 million yuan in 2024 to 4.9 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 59.29% [3][71]. Group 1: Company Overview - Shanghai Superconductor was established in 2011 and has developed a comprehensive production process for second-generation HTS wire, covering equipment development, raw material formulation, coating technology, cutting and packaging, and quality control monitoring [3][10]. - The company has maintained a domestic market share of over 80% for second-generation HTS wire, ranking first for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024 [4][86]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's revenue increased from 36 million yuan in 2022 to 240 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate exceeding 100% for two consecutive years [18][24]. - The net profit improved from a loss of 26 million yuan in 2022 to a profit of 72.94 million yuan in 2024, marking a successful turnaround [18][24]. - The gross margin rose from 24.28% in 2022 to 60.72% in 2024, primarily due to cost reductions driven by economies of scale [24][38]. Group 3: Market Potential - The global market for HTS materials is projected to exceed 10.5 billion yuan by 2030, with significant growth in applications such as controllable nuclear fusion and superconducting cables [71][67]. - The controllable nuclear fusion market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase from 30 million yuan in 2024 to 4.9 billion yuan by 2030 [71][67]. Group 4: Competitive Advantages - The company’s core competencies include technology, equipment, and delivery capabilities, with its production technology reaching international advanced levels [4][76]. - Shanghai Superconductor is one of only two companies globally capable of producing over 1,000 kilometers of HTS wire annually, highlighting its leading position in the industry [86][4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scarcity of orbital spectrum drives competition, and the construction of domestic low - orbit constellations has entered an accelerated phase. With limited low - orbit space and spectrum resources and strict deployment time requirements from the ITU, competition for resource locking is intensifying. China is expected to see an accelerated launch of low - orbit satellites from 2025 - 2030. Representative constellations include "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3". Shanghai Harbor, with its satellite energy system products, is expected to benefit from the accelerated development of low - orbit satellites [5]. - Leading waterproofing companies such as Yuhong, Beixin, and Keshu have raised prices on both civil construction and engineering products. In the context of the industry's "anti - involution", the collective price increase by leading enterprises may promote price recovery, but the degree of price repair remains to be seen due to weak demand [5]. - Investment suggestions include paying attention to companies like Honglu Steel Structure, China Jushi, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering, China State Construction, Shanghai Harbor, Sinoma Science & Technology, and Keda Manufacturing [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - Specific Topic: Orbital Spectrum Scarcity Drives Competition, and Domestic Low - Orbit Constellation Construction Enters an Accelerated Phase - **Satellite Orbit Types**: Communication satellite orbits are mainly divided into GEO, MEO, and LEO. LEO can reduce power attenuation and communication delay, simplify terminal design, and is suitable for multi - satellite networking. Compared with GEO, LEO/MEO has smaller delay, and satellites are smaller and lighter, facilitating multi - satellite launches and reducing constellation construction costs and cycles [5][7]. - **Resource Scarcity and Competition**: Low - orbit space and frequency spectrum resources are scarce. The total capacity of low - orbit satellites is about 60,000, and Starlink plans to send 42,000 satellites into low - orbit by 2027, accounting for about 70%. The L, S, C frequency bands are almost exhausted, and the Ku, Ka bands are difficult to coordinate. According to ITU rules, operators need to complete satellite deployment within a specified time to lock resources, intensifying competition [5][11]. - **Policy Support**: Since 2014, China has successively introduced policies to encourage private capital to participate in commercial space activities. In 2023, commercial space was included in strategic emerging industries, and it has been mentioned in the government work reports of 2024 and 2025, indicating strong policy support [16]. - **Global and Domestic Constellation Construction Status**: Globally, SpaceX leads in low - orbit constellation construction, with other countries' enterprises following. In China, constellations like "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3" have formulated phased launch plans. Although the number of launches in 2024 did not meet expectations, the launch rhythm is expected to accelerate from the second half of 2025 [5][17][23]. 3.2 Profit Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies The report provides profit forecasts, valuations, and investment ratings for multiple companies, including Hainan Huatie, Punan Co., Ltd., China Jushi, etc. EPS, P/E, P/B, and other indicators for 2024 - 2027 are presented, and most investment ratings are maintained [33]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: In the week from June 28th to July 4th, 2025, the building and building materials industries showed certain fluctuations. Among building sub - sectors, the garden engineering index had the highest increase at 2.20%, while among various industries, the steel index had a relatively large decline [38][40]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The report lists the closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, weekly, monthly, year - to - date, 250 - day, and IPO - since price changes of multiple infrastructure public REITs. The average weekly increase was 1.07%, the average monthly increase was 1.31%, and the average year - to - date increase was 20.99% [46][47]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: The report presents data on real estate new construction, construction, completion, sales area cumulative year - on - year growth, land transaction area, and real estate transaction data from 2022 - 2025 [49][58][68]. - **Social Financing Data**: Data on monthly new social financing, new RMB loans, new corporate bond financing, etc., from 2022 - 2025 are provided [78]. - **Infrastructure Investment Data**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of narrow - sense and broad - sense infrastructure investment, as well as investment in power, transportation, and water conservancy industries from 2022 - 2025, are shown. The new contract signing data of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 - 2025Q1 are also presented [88][94]. - **Special Bond Issuance Data**: Data on monthly and cumulative new and replacement special bond issuance from 2022 - 2025 are provided [96]. 3.5 High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: Information on national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price, cement - coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate is presented [107][114]. - **Float Glass Data**: Data on glass spot price, futures price, inventory, and daily melting volume are provided [115][117][119][122]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: Information on soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, inventory, and daily melting volume is presented [122][123][125]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: Prices of SMC roving, winding direct roving, injection roving, G75 electronic yarn, and glass fiber inventory are shown [128][129][132][134][138]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: Data on carbon fiber average price, raw silk price, inventory, production, capacity utilization rate, gross profit margin, cost, and gross profit are provided [135][139][142][146][148][151][152]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Price Data**: Prices of large - crystal fused magnesia and alumina are presented [153][156]. - **Upstream Raw Material Price Data**: Prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE are shown [159][160][162][163]. - **Physical Workload Data**: Prices of titanium dioxide and acrylic acid, high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average capacity utilization rate are presented [167][168][170][173].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recent increase in the price of electrolytic cobalt, which reached 250,000 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.8% week-on-week increase. The price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt powder is 0.93, also up by 0.8% [1][10]. - The lithium carbonate price has seen a rise, with the Li2O 5% lithium concentrate CIF price at 582.5 USD/ton, marking a 6.88% increase [2]. - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for the metal new materials sector, particularly in lithium and cobalt, with specific companies recommended for investment [4]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Electrolytic cobalt price is 250,000 CNY/ton, up 0.8% week-on-week. The price ratio of electrolytic cobalt to cobalt powder is 0.93, up 0.8% [1][10]. - Carbon fiber price remains stable at 83.8 CNY/kg, with a gross profit of -8.51 CNY/kg [1]. - Beryllium price remains unchanged [1]. New Energy Vehicle Materials - The price of lithium carbonate has increased to 582.5 USD/ton, reflecting a 6.88% rise [2]. - The prices for electric carbon, industrial carbon, and battery-grade lithium hydroxide are 61,300 CNY/ton, 59,800 CNY/ton, and 57,700 CNY/ton, respectively, with week-on-week changes of +1.6%, +1.91%, and -1.1% [2][29]. - The price of lithium iron phosphate and 523-type cathode materials are 30,500 CNY/ton and 105,600 CNY/ton, respectively, with a week-on-week increase of 0.50% and no change [2]. Nuclear Power Materials - Uranium price has risen to 57.31 USD/lb, up 8.8% [3]. - Prices for zirconium-related materials remain stable, with no significant changes reported [3]. Consumer Electronics Materials - The price of cobalt tetroxide has increased to 194,500 CNY/ton, up 0.52% [3]. - Silicon carbide price remains stable at 5,400 CNY/ton [3]. Other Materials - Platinum price has decreased to 326 CNY/g, down 2.1% [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel and non-ferrous metals sectors [6] Core Insights - In May 2025, the electrolytic aluminum capacity utilization rate reached a record high since 2012 [3] - The report highlights a positive correlation between the M1 and M2 growth rate differential and the Shanghai Composite Index [21] - The steel sector's profitability is expected to recover to historical average levels due to recent policy adjustments [5] Summary by Sections Liquidity - The M1 and M2 growth rate differential in May 2025 was -5.6 percentage points, with a month-on-month increase of 1.1 percentage points [12][21] - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index for June 2025 was 49.12, up 0.07% from the previous month [21] Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - In late June, the average daily crude steel production of key enterprises decreased by 0.88% [24] - The national average capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 90.29%, down 0.54 percentage points [42] - The average price of rebar was 3180 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 2.91% [42] Industrial Products Chain - The PMI new orders index for June was 50.20%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points month-on-month [2] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 20750 CNY/ton, down 0.91% from the previous week [11] Export Chain - The PMI new export orders for China in June 2025 was 47.70%, up 0.2 percentage points [4] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates was 1342.99 points, down 1.92% [4] Valuation Metrics - The CSI 300 index increased by 1.54%, with the best-performing sector being ordinary steel, which rose by 6.52% [4] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the CSI 300 PB ratio was 37.44% and 69.40%, respectively [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the steel sector's profitability is likely to recover to historical average levels following the recent revisions to the "Steel Industry Normative Conditions" [5]

The provided content does not include any quantitative models or factors related to the quantitative theme. The report primarily focuses on fund market performance, ETF flows, ESG products, and other financial market observations. There are no specific quantitative models, factor construction methodologies, or backtesting results mentioned in the content.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [6] Core Insights - The central government has reiterated the need to combat "involution" in the industry, particularly in the photovoltaic sector, aiming to optimize the market structure and eliminate low-efficiency production [1][22][23] - The photovoltaic industry has experienced a surge in installed capacity due to a "rush to install" phenomenon, with a significant increase in new installations expected to taper off in the latter half of the year [2][24] - Industrial silicon prices have shown a downward trend but have recently seen a slight recovery due to production cuts in major factories [3][25][26] - The organic silicon market has faced price fluctuations, with limited new capacity expected in the future, indicating potential stabilization [4][31][34] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The central government emphasizes the need for market mechanisms to phase out inefficient capacities and prevent price wars in the photovoltaic sector [1][22] - The photovoltaic industry has seen a cumulative installed capacity exceeding 1.08 billion kilowatts, accounting for 30% of China's total power generation capacity [2][24] 2. Price Trends - As of July 4, 2025, industrial silicon prices are at 0.90 million yuan per ton, down 21.9% year-to-date but have recently increased from a low of 0.85 million yuan per ton [3][25] - The average price of organic silicon is 1.08 million yuan per ton, reflecting a 16.9% decrease since the beginning of the year [4][31] 3. Investment Recommendations - Suggested investments include upstream oil and gas companies, leading chemical firms, and new materials related to semiconductors, OLEDs, wind power, and lithium batteries [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an updated target price of 37.03 CNY, corresponding to an 18x PE for 2025E [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has significantly exceeded expectations with core customer orders, particularly benefiting from its relationship with Xiaomi's automotive supply chain, which is expected to contribute 9.57% to the company's revenue in 2024 [1]. - The company's stamping business is experiencing new opportunities due to the growth in the new energy sector, with a projected revenue increase of 35.01% in 2025E [2]. - The company is expanding its production capabilities with a new project in Langfang, which is expected to enhance customer retention and attract new clients [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 600 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22%, with a gross margin of 28% [2]. - The forecast for net profit is adjusted upwards by 9% for 2025E, reaching 503 million CNY, with continued growth expected in subsequent years [3][5]. Business Development - The company has established a comprehensive production network across multiple locations, enhancing its ability to serve major clients like Xiaomi and Li Auto [3]. - The stamping business is set to expand further as sales from key clients like SAIC and Tesla recover, with SAIC's sales increasing by 12.35% in the first half of 2025 [2]. Financial Metrics - The company’s projected revenue growth rates are 32.65% for 2023, 9.23% for 2024, and 35.01% for 2025E, with net profit growth rates of 242.63% for 2023 and 33.13% for 2025E [5][11]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to reach 17.7% by 2025E, indicating strong profitability [13].

Overall Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the "anti-involution" policy investment strategy, prioritizing recommendations for the wind power complete machine segment [3][4] - The government is focusing on regulating low-price disorderly competition in industries such as photovoltaics, energy storage, and new energy vehicles, with a significant emphasis on the orderly exit of backward production capacity [3][4] - The report suggests that the recent policies aim to combat deflation through price increases and assist local governments in debt reduction, while the exit of backward production capacity will be gradual rather than rapid [3] Photovoltaics - The report highlights that the prices of photovoltaic glass and silicon materials are relatively elastic, but profitability after price increases is generally moderate. It suggests focusing on policy and price catalysts [3] - Integrated companies with low price-to-book ratios are expected to benefit from overall valuation increases in the sector. New technologies like BC and perovskite have certain price elasticity, with better profitability in overseas markets [3] - Recommended companies include Tongwei Co., Ltd., TBEA Co., Ltd., Xinte Energy (H), GCL-Poly Energy (H), Aiko Solar Energy, JA Solar Technology, Trina Solar, Jinjing Technology, and Juhua Group [3] Wind Power - Wind power complete machine prices are stabilizing and will benefit from the "anti-involution" policy. The complete machine segment has significant earnings elasticity, with larger units and cost reductions in components expected to improve profitability in 2026 [4] - The report notes that the 136 document reshapes the logic of new energy installations, with expectations for wind power development and power station sales to recover [4] - Key companies to watch include Windar Photonics, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Goldwind (A+H). The report also highlights investment opportunities in the bearing segment and European offshore wind products [4] Energy Storage - The market has a generally positive outlook for large-scale energy storage in Europe and overseas commercial storage, but there are still divergences regarding profitability improvements in domestic large-scale storage post-136 document [5] - The report indicates that the good bidding data for large-scale storage in May-June is related to the "531" rush installation and independent storage competition [5] - Companies to focus on include Haibo Sichuang, Sungrow Power Supply, Goodwe, and Deye [5] Solid-State Batteries - The report mentions a potential pullback risk in the solid-state battery sector, with some companies in the copper foil segment experiencing stock price rebounds following the "anti-involution" policy [4] - It suggests that while there are risks in the materials sector related to solid-state batteries, mid-term capital expenditures are expected to rise due to manufacturers actively advancing semi-solid and all-solid experimental lines [4] - Recommended companies include Honggong Technology, Naconor, Winbond Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten [4] Public Utilities - The report states that as of July 4, 2025, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 622 RMB/ton, a slight increase from the previous week [35] - The maximum national power load reached 1.465 billion kilowatts, a historical high, with significant increases in regions like Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, Henan, and Hubei [35]

Macro Analysis - The recovery in U.S. non-farm employment in June 2025 shows concerns as government jobs contributed nearly half of the new jobs, raising doubts about sustainability [1] - Private sector employment weakened, with service sector job additions dropping from 141,000 to 68,000, indicating potential economic pressure from tariffs [1] - The probability of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of the year remains significant [1] Tax Policy Impact - The successful implementation of the tax reduction bill may partially offset economic pressures from tariffs, but its limited impact suggests it will not provide strong stimulus [2] - The tax bill is expected to increase the U.S. government deficit by approximately $4 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating supply-demand mismatches in U.S. Treasury bonds [2] Trade Agreements - The U.S. is focusing on negotiating 10 trade agreements with Asian countries, with preliminary agreements reached with Vietnam and potential agreements with India, Malaysia, and Indonesia [3] - The deadline for negotiations has been extended to September 1, indicating a flexible approach from the U.S. government [3] REITs Market - As of June 30, 2025, the number of public REITs in China reached 68, with a total issuance scale of 177.06 billion yuan [4] - The secondary market for public REITs experienced a price correction but still achieved a positive return of 1.95% for the month [4] Credit Bonds - The total outstanding credit bonds in China reached 29.96 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, with a monthly issuance of 1,316.36 billion yuan, reflecting a 62.65% increase month-on-month [5] - Credit spreads for various levels of local government bonds widened slightly compared to the previous month [5] Automotive Industry - In Q2 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume showed a recovery, while domestic competitors like Li Auto and NIO stabilized [12] - The Xiaomi YU7 has seen a surge in orders, prompting new energy vehicle companies to enhance their purchasing incentives [12] Chemical Industry - MXD6, a special nylon, exhibits high gas barrier properties and rigidity, with significant application potential in food packaging and automotive sectors [13] - The increasing production capacity of domestic manufacturers is expected to enhance the cost-effectiveness of MXD6 composite materials, expanding its market applications [13] Company Analysis - The report highlights the investment value of YUEJIANG (2432.HK), a leading global collaborative robot manufacturer, emphasizing its strong market position and technological advantages [14] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 500 million, 670 million, and 890 million yuan from 2024 to 2027, respectively, with an "accumulate" rating assigned [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the banking industry, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to the market benchmark index [1]. Core Insights - The liquidity environment in July is characterized by self-driven easing, with market liquidity expected to remain stable despite potential fluctuations at month-end due to stock and bond market interactions [4]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has shifted its monetary policy stance to a more flexible approach, indicating a reduced necessity for further monetary easing in the short term [4]. - The banking sector is facing challenges in balancing volume, price, and risk due to insufficient demand, leading to a decline in net interest margins [5]. - The likelihood of restarting government bond purchases in the short term is low, as the current liquidity conditions do not necessitate such actions [6]. - New structural monetary policy tools are being introduced to support sectors like technology innovation and consumption, which may enhance demand in the banking sector [7][8]. Summary by Sections Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The PBOC's recent meetings suggest a cautious approach to monetary policy, with a focus on utilizing existing policies effectively rather than introducing new easing measures [4]. - The liquidity situation is expected to remain stable in July, with a decrease in government bond supply and reduced reserve requirement pressures benefiting the funding environment [17]. Banking Sector Performance - The banking sector's net interest margin has reached historical lows, with state-owned banks showing particularly low margins, which continues to impact revenue and profitability [5]. - The demand for loans is expected to remain subdued, with banks needing to focus on both demand recovery and cost control to stabilize operations [5]. Government Bond Market - The report anticipates a net financing of approximately 1.1-1.2 trillion yuan in government bonds for July, with a peak in supply expected in August and September [6]. - The current yield curve for government bonds is considered favorable, reducing the urgency for the PBOC to initiate bond purchases [6]. Policy Tools and Investment - The introduction of new policy tools aims to stimulate investment in infrastructure and other key areas, potentially leading to increased credit expansion in the banking sector [7][8]. - Historical data indicates that previous rounds of policy-driven credit expansion have effectively boosted infrastructure investment, suggesting a similar outcome may occur with the new tools [7][8].