证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 增持（维持） 行业走势 -20% -8% 4% 16% 28% 40% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 传媒 沪深300 作者 传媒 国 家 将 全 力 推 动游 戏 出 海战 略 升 级 ，OpenAI 发布轻量版 DeepResearch 行情概览：本周（4.21-4.25）中信一级传媒板块上涨 0.14%。本周传媒板 块在市场带动下上涨。2025 年传媒弹性方向看好 AI 应用、IP 变现及并购重 组，AI 应用聚焦新应用的映射投资及部分较成熟应用的数据跟踪，重点关注 多模态产业方向。IP 变现聚焦有 IP 优势及全产业链潜力的公司，潮流玩具、 影视内容等方向有机会。并购重组重点关注国企方向，在国资委明确国企市值 考核的背景下，传媒国企诉求明显提升，部分国企资金优势明显。 板块观点与关注标的：1）资源整合预期：中视传媒、国新文化、广西广电、 唐德影视、吉视传媒、游族网络等；2）AI：荣信文化、奥飞娱乐、汤姆猫、 盛天网络、中文在线、易点天下、视觉中国、盛通股份、焦点科技、豆神教育、 世 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 周观点：相关标的见尾页。 风险提示：下游需求不及预期、研发进展不及预期、地缘政治风险。 电子 周观点：海外算力维持高景气，持续重视算力产业链 从 25Q1 海外 AI 算力公司业绩来看，Vertiv、安费诺等业绩均表现强劲， 且都展望 Q2 营收能保持较好的增长。从超预期的业绩表现中，能看到海 外 AI 投资的向上趋势；从 Vertiv 25Q1 亚太地区营收高增速中，可以看 到国产算力的高需求。具体来看： 1）Vertiv：25Q1 业绩表现强劲，营收超预期，上调全年营收指引 2.5 亿美元。VERTIV 25Q1 实现营收 20.36 亿美元，yoy+24.2%，qoq-13.2%， 超出指引 1.11 亿美元。分地区来看，亚太地区营收同比增长 35%，中国 的需求为带动市场持续增长的主要动力。展望 25Q2，公司预计营收中值 为 23.5 亿美元，yoy+20.3%，qoq+15.4%；展望 2025 全年，预计营收 中值为 94.50 亿美元，中值 yoy+17.9%。 2）安费诺：25Q1 营收远超指引上限，25 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 电力 迎峰度夏将至，重视煤价后置下的火电机会 本周行情回顾：本周（4.21-4.25）上证指数报收 3,295.06 点，上涨 0.56%， 沪深 300 指数报收 3786.99 点，上涨 0.38%。中信电力及公用事业指数 报收 2894.72 点，上涨 2.06%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.68pct，位列 30 个 中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 8 位。 本周行业观点： -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 电力 沪深300 作者 分析师 张津铭 执业证书编号：S0680520070001 邮箱：zhangjinming@gszq.com 分析师 高紫明 执业证书编号：S0680524100001 邮箱：gaoziming@gszq.com 投资建议：电力公司业绩陆续发布，基本面支撑与市场风格共振，重视电 力投资机会布局。迎峰度夏将至，本周煤价下跌至 665 元/吨附近，成本 超预期下跌支撑度电盈利改善，重视火电超额机会，建议关注重点火电标 的 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 欧普照明（603515.SH） 国内知名照明企业，具备品牌、渠道优势 国内知名照明企业，不断拓展多元渠道。欧普照明为国内知名照明企业， 定位于绿色节能智慧照明企业，主要从事家居照明灯具、商用照明灯具、 光源及控制类产品的研发、生产和销售，并逐步转型为智能照明系统综合 解决方案的提供商。公司具有丰富的产品类型，以"自制+OEM"结合的 生产模式，加强研发投入，满足市场需求，从销售模式来看，公司采用经 销为主、直销为辅的模式，以下沉式渠道拓展销售网络，以照明解决方案 体现增值服务，线上线下融合打造多元渠道网络，同时公司也积极拓展海 外渠道，品牌影响力不断扩大。 公司 2024 年前三季度营收业绩下滑，预计 2024 年全年承压。公司 2024Q1-Q3 实现营业总收入 50.68 亿元，同比增长-8.09%；实现归母净 利润 6.21 亿元，同比增长-5.68%。其中，2024Q3 单季营业总收入为 17.02 亿元，同比增长-13.62%；归母净利润为 2.37 亿元，同比增长-9.69%。 考虑到当前地产情况及消费景气度现 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 增持（维持） 行业走势 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 建筑材料 沪深300 作者 分析师 沈猛 执业证书编号：S0680522050001 邮箱：shenmeng@gszq.com 分析师 陈冠宇 执业证书编号：S0680522120005 邮箱：chenguanyu@gszq.com 分析师 张润 建筑材料 持续关注二手房对建材需求的影响 2025 年 4 月 21 日至 4 月 25 日建筑材料板块（SW）上涨 1.27%，其中 水泥（SW）下跌 0.94%，玻璃制造（SW）上涨 1.36%，玻纤制造（SW） 上涨 3.70%，装修建材（SW）上涨 2.48%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益 0.90%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-2.36 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周政治局会议指出"要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，用好用足更 加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。加快地方政府专项债券、超长 期特别国债等发 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 银行 本周聚焦—25Q1 不良贷款转让：银行加快个人不良处置，消费贷为主要 品种 一、25Q1 不良贷款转让业务统计 银登中心披露《25Q1 不良贷款转让业务统计》，25Q1 不良贷款转让挂牌 规模达 742.7 亿元（未偿本息口径，下同），同比大幅增加 190.5%，实 际成交规模 483 亿元，同比增幅达 138.8%，以成交规模/挂牌规模计算的 成交比例达 65.0%，环比下降 14pc。 1）参与主体结构：25Q1 股份行仍为主要的不良贷款出让方，成交规模达 203.6 亿元，占全部不良贷款的 42.2%，25Q1 股份行明显加大不良处置 力度，占比较上季度提升 6.7pc，国有行及消金公司成交规模占比分别为 8.6%、29.8%，国有行占比较上季度下降 10.1pc，处置力度放缓。 2）业务类型：25Q1 个人业务为主要的不良贷款类型，成交规模达 370.4 亿元，占比 76.7%，较上年同期规模显著提升，增幅达 761%。其中，分 产品类型来看，个人消费贷款、个人经营类贷款、信用卡透支在个人业务 不良中的占比分 ...

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 量化分析报告 择时雷达六面图：本周打分无显著变化 择时雷达六面图：基于多维视角的择时框架。权益市场的表现受到多维度 指标因素的共同影响，我们尝试从流动性、经济面、估值面、资金面、技 术面、拥挤度选取二十一个指标对市场进行刻画，并将其概括为"估值性 价比"、"宏观基本面"、"资金&趋势"、"拥挤度&反转"四大类，从而生成 [-1,1]之间的综合择时分数。 本周综合打分。本周市场的估值性价比有所下降，宏观基本面中性，市场 的资金&趋势信号有所弱化信号偏空，拥挤度&反转指标显著偏多，综合打 分位于[-1,1]之间，当前的综合打分为 0.08 分，整体为中性偏多观点。当 前六面图各个维度的观点如下： 流动性。本周货币方向、货币强度、信用方向均发出看空信号，信用强 度发出看多信号，当前流动性得分为-0.50 分，综合来看发出看空信号。 经济面。本周增长方向、通胀方向与通胀强度指标发出看多信号，而增 长强度发出看空信号，当前经济面得分为 0.50 分，综合来看发出看多信 号。 估值面。由于市场上行，本周席勒 ERP、PB 与 AIAE ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The banking sector is expected to benefit from policy catalysts, with a focus on cyclical stocks such as Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Changshu Bank [3] - The report highlights that personal non-performing loans (NPLs) are a significant concern, with a notable increase in the disposal of personal loans, particularly consumer loans [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Non-Performing Loan Transfer Statistics - In Q1 2025, the total transfer of non-performing loans reached 74.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 190.5%, with actual transaction volume at 48.3 billion yuan, up 138.8% year-on-year [1] - Joint-stock banks were the primary sellers of non-performing loans, accounting for 20.36 billion yuan, or 42.2% of the total [1] - Personal loans represented the majority of non-performing loans, with a transaction volume of 37.04 billion yuan, making up 76.7% of the total [2] 2. Sector Insights - Short-term impacts from tariff policies may affect exports, but long-term domestic policies aimed at stabilizing real estate and promoting consumption are expected to support economic growth [3] - The report suggests that the banking sector will see a sustained benefit from these policies, with a focus on cyclical strategies and dividend strategies for investment [3] 3. Key Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume in the stock market was 1,146.755 billion yuan, an increase of 37.99 billion yuan week-on-week [4] - The balance of margin financing was 1.80 trillion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous week [4] - The issuance of non-monetary funds reached 24.579 billion units, an increase of 4.103 billion units week-on-week [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit of 657 million yuan, up 32.00% year-on-year. The net profit margin reached 7.03%, close to the previous cycle's high point [1][3] - The company has a strong market position in the loader segment and significantly outperformed the industry growth rate in the excavator business, with a sales growth rate exceeding the industry by 27 percentage points [2][3] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with notable growth in emerging markets and a diversified regional market structure [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit margin of 7.03%, an increase of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year, nearing the previous cycle's high of 7.33% in Q2 2020 [1] - The company plans to increase its shareholding by 250 to 500 million yuan within six months, reflecting confidence in future growth [1] Market Position - The company maintained the largest domestic market share in loaders in 2024, with a significant increase in global sales of electric loaders by 194% [2] - The excavator business saw a sales growth rate that outpaced the industry by 27 percentage points, with export sales growth exceeding the industry by 15 percentage points [2] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 2.8 billion yuan, and 3.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.7, 7.3, and 5.5 [3] - The report suggests that the company can command a higher profit reversal premium and overseas growth premium due to anticipated domestic market recovery and strong overseas performance [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Bosideng [5][11][24]. Core Insights - Adidas is expected to achieve a revenue of €6.153 billion in Q1 2025, representing a 13% year-on-year growth, with a 17% growth for the Adidas brand excluding Yeezy [1][16]. - The textile and apparel sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in demand in 2025, supported by government policies and increased participation in sports activities [3][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and quality brands for potential investment opportunities [3][22]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - Adidas forecasts a 13% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 2025, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points to 52.1% [1][16]. - The company expects double-digit growth across all consumer markets [1][16]. Market Trends - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China grew by 3.4% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, with the sportswear segment expected to outperform overall textile consumption [3][22]. - The report suggests a volatile recovery in demand for the textile sector throughout 2025 [3][22]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 11x and 15x [4][23]. - Key companies highlighted for investment include Anta Sports, with a projected 2025 PE of 18x, and Bosideng, expected to deliver strong performance in 2025 [24][25]. Company Performance - Anta Sports reported significant growth in Q1 2025, with terminal sales increasing by high single digits, and other brands showing a 65%-70% year-on-year increase [24]. - For the home textile sector, Luolai Life expects a 20% growth in 2025, with a net profit of CNY 520 million [24][41].