Group 1: Service Consumption in China - The report highlights the importance of developing service consumption as a key driver for domestic demand and economic transformation in China, as indicated by the Politburo's emphasis on this area [6] - China's service consumption and service industry value-added ratio are relatively low compared to the US and Japan, suggesting significant room for growth [6] - The report identifies that cultural entertainment and financial insurance sectors have a lower share in China's service consumption, while housing, education, and transportation sectors are relatively high [6] Group 2: Real Estate Market Trends - The report notes that new home sales have decreased by 11.3% year-on-year, while second-hand home sales have increased by 3.7% [26] - It emphasizes that real estate serves as an early economic indicator, making it crucial for investors to monitor this sector as it reflects broader economic trends [26] - The report suggests that the policy environment is expected to strengthen, with a focus on major state-owned enterprises and quality real estate companies benefiting from improved market conditions [26] Group 3: Automotive Industry Insights - Zhejiang Rongtai, a leading mica insulation material manufacturer, is experiencing significant growth driven by the demand for insulation components in new energy vehicles, with a global market share of 4.4% in 2022 [17] - The company is expanding into new product areas, including lightweight safety structural components and robotics, which are expected to enhance its competitive advantage [17][18] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit growth of 42% for 2025 and 2026, reflecting strong market positioning and expansion strategies [18] Group 4: Coal Industry Outlook - The report indicates that the coal market is currently facing downward pressure, with a focus on the need for potential production cuts as prices decline [33] - It highlights the importance of monitoring iron and steel demand, which could impact coal prices and supply dynamics [33] - Recommendations include investing in major coal enterprises like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, which are expected to perform well despite current market challenges [33] Group 5: Textile and Apparel Sector - The textile and apparel sector is projected to see stable growth, with a focus on companies with strong fundamentals and brand strength [29] - The report suggests that the sportswear segment is expected to grow significantly, benefiting from increased consumer participation in sports and supportive government policies [29] - Key recommendations include companies like Anta Sports and Tabo, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming fiscal year [29]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 18 年 月 日 建筑材料 预计需求延续旺季不旺，淡季不淡 2025 年 5 月 12 日至 5 月 16 日建筑材料板块（SW）下跌 0.49%，其中 水泥（SW）下跌 0.96%，玻璃制造（SW）下跌 0.88%，玻纤制造（SW） 上涨 2.01%，装修建材（SW）下跌 0.92%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益-0.45%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为 0.76 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 根据 wind 统计，2025 年 4 月地方政府债总发行量 6932.91 亿元，发行金 额同比 2024 年 4 月增长 101.6%，截至目前，2025 年一般债发行规模 0.65 万亿元，同比-0.04 万亿元，专项债发行规模 3.18 万亿元，同比+1.71 万亿元。化债下加码政府财政压力有望减轻，企业资产负债表也存在修复 的空间，市政工程类项目有望加快推进，市政管网及减隔震实物工作量有 望加快落地，关注龙泉股份、青龙管业、中国联塑、震安科技。玻璃需求 季节性环比改善，但供需仍有矛盾：2025 年后玻璃需求持续下滑，3 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electric equipment industry [6] Core Views - The report highlights the ongoing decline in silicon wafer prices, with significant reductions in production rates due to weak downstream demand. The industry operating rate has dropped to approximately 55% [15][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-side adjustments and the potential for price stabilization in the future, particularly focusing on companies like Xiexin Technology, Tongwei Co., and Flat Glass Group [15] - The report also discusses the growth opportunities in new technologies, recommending companies such as Aiko Solar and Juhe Materials [15] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: The average transaction price for N-type G10L monocrystalline silicon wafers is 0.95 RMB/piece, with a week-on-week decline of 5.94%. The N-type G12R and G12 wafers have also seen price drops of 1.79% and 3.70%, respectively [15][16] - **Wind Power & Grid**: The report notes the commencement of wind turbine bidding for the Huaren Shantou Honghai Bay project, with a total capacity of 500MW. The report also highlights the successful installation of the first wind turbine for the 800MW offshore wind project in Jiangsu [16] - **Hydrogen Energy**: A green hydrogen project in Gansu is set to produce over 10,000 tons annually, aiming to reduce CO2 emissions by approximately 300,000 tons [17] Energy Storage - The average bidding price for energy storage systems in May is reported to be between 0.422 RMB/Wh and 2.29 RMB/Wh, with a focus on companies with high growth certainty in large-scale storage [18][23] New Energy Vehicles - The report discusses the launch of solid-state battery solutions by Better Ray, which includes high-nickel cathode materials and silicon-based anodes. The company has developed a high-performance three-dimensional framework material for solid-state batteries [27][30] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery sector, such as CATL and BYD, as well as those involved in the composite materials industry [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Chemical [4] Core Views - The domestic production of adiponitrile is accelerating, and the demand for civilian silk is expected to be released, indicating a broad growth space in the future. The nylon 66 (PA66) is one of the most widely used nylon products, with advantages such as high strength, good wear resistance, and excellent lubrication. However, the domestic demand for nylon 66 has not been fully released due to the influence of domestic civilian wire drawing technology. Currently, the application ratio of nylon 66 in civilian silk is low (13%). If breakthroughs in civilian silk technology are achieved, it is expected to partially replace the nylon 6 market [12][19]. Summary by Sections Production and Cost Analysis - The current production cost of adiponitrile is approximately 11,600 yuan/ton, with the main raw materials being butadiene, natural gas, and liquid ammonia. As of May 16, 2025, the prices are 11,000 yuan/ton for butadiene, 3.91 yuan/cubic meter for natural gas, and 2,430 yuan/ton for liquid ammonia [2][16][17]. Profitability and Financial Projections - The profitability of the adiponitrile project is expected to be good after reaching full production, with high profit elasticity anticipated. The report estimates the break-even price for the product under different capacity utilization scenarios. At 150% design capacity utilization (30,000 tons/year), the break-even price is 17,700 yuan/ton; at 100% (20,000 tons/year), it is 19,000 yuan/ton; and at 50% (10,000 tons/year), it is 22,900 yuan/ton. The average price of domestic adiponitrile since May is approximately 22,200 yuan/ton, close to the break-even line at 50% utilization [3][19]. Future Earnings Estimates - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 6.4 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8.1 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.7%, 13.4%, and 11.2%. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 7.5, 6.6, and 6.0 for the respective years [19]. Investment Recommendation - Given the significant earnings elasticity of the company's industrial projects, accelerated execution of overseas orders, benefits from the acceleration of coal chemical investments, high profitability quality, ample cash flow, and potential for increased dividends, the report continues to recommend a "Buy" rating [19].

择时雷达六面图：信用指标弱化，拥挤度分数下行 择时雷达六面图：基于多维视角的择时框架。权益市场的表现受到多维度 指标因素的共同影响，我们尝试从流动性、经济面、估值面、资金面、技 术面、拥挤度选取二十一个指标对市场进行刻画，并将其概括为"估值性 价比"、"宏观基本面"、"资金&趋势"、"拥挤度&反转"四大类，从而生成 [-1,1]之间的综合择时分数。 证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 05 17 年 月 日 量化分析报告 本周综合打分。本周市场的估值性价比、宏观基本面、资金&趋势、拥挤 度&反转这四个维度分数均有所下降，综合打分位于[-1,1]之间，当前的综 合打分为 0.18 分，整体为中性偏多观点。当前六面图各个维度的观点如 下： 流动性。本周货币强度、信用方向、信用强度发出看空信号，货币方向 发出看多信号，当前流动性得分为-0.50 分，综合来看发出看空信号。 经济面。本周增长方向、通胀方向与通胀强度指标发出看多信号，当前 经济面得分为 0.75 分，综合来看发出看多信号。 估值面。本周席勒 ERP、PB 与 AIAE 指标的打分均下降，当前市场的 估值面得分为 0.28 分 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for companies to strengthen their internal capabilities while actively seeking new growth avenues. It highlights three main investment themes in the liquor segment: leading brands, sustained dividends, and recovery beneficiaries [1]. - In the consumer goods sector, the focus is on identifying high-growth and strong recovery opportunities, with specific companies recommended for investment based on their growth potential and market positioning [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections Liquor Segment - Leading brands such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Gujing Gongjiu are expected to continue gaining market share [1]. - Companies like Yingjia Gongjiu and Jinshiyuan are highlighted for their high certainty in regional markets, while flexible stocks benefiting from recovery include Luzhou Laojiao and Shui Jing Fang [1]. Consumer Goods Segment - Companies like Salted Fish, Haoxiangni, and Dongpeng Beverage are noted for their high growth potential, while Qingdao Beer and Haitian Flavor Industry are expected to benefit from policy support and recovery improvements [1]. - The report mentions that companies are actively exploring new growth curves while maintaining their operational advantages [1]. Company-Specific Insights - Unified Enterprises China is launching new products in both beverages and food, indicating a stable operational performance [2]. - Haitian Flavor Industry is set to benefit from domestic demand stimulation and has clear overseas expansion goals, positioning it well for future growth [2]. - Good Idea is expanding its product categories while improving its core business, indicating a positive trend in operational performance [2]. - Zhou Hei Ya is focusing on enhancing store efficiency and exploring new markets, which may lead to a new growth trajectory [3]. - Hengshun Vinegar Industry is strengthening brand marketing and expanding distribution channels, which is expected to support steady growth [3]. - Qiaqia Food is under short-term cost pressure but is innovating in product categories to explore new opportunities [3]. - Guyue Longshan is increasing product prices and focusing on cross-industry innovations, aiming for sales growth of over 6% in 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [4][7]. Core Insights - The coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, with prices generally returning to levels before the recent uptrend. The market is now aware of the price decline, indicating that the bottom may be near. It is essential to understand the industry's fundamental attributes and maintain confidence and determination [3]. - As of April 2025, Australian coal exports totaled 104 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%. In April alone, exports were 26.53 million tons, down 3.7% year-on-year and 12.3% month-on-month [2][6]. - Domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) reporting losses as of March 2025. This trend may lead to both passive and active production cuts as prices continue to decline [3]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining Exports - In the first four months of 2025, Australian coal exports decreased by 8.1% year-on-year, totaling 104 million tons. April's exports were 26.53 million tons, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year decline and a 12.3% month-on-month decline [2][6]. Price Trends - As of May 16, 2025, coal prices showed mixed trends: Newcastle port coal (6000K) was priced at $99.0 per ton (up 0.1), while European ARA port coal was at $94.5 per ton (down 2.6) [35]. The IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $87.60 per ton (down 1.4) [35]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several coal companies, including: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) - Buy - Yancoal (600188.SH) - Buy - New Hope Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [7].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical industry, particularly focusing on innovative drugs and potential treatments for cancer cachexia [1][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights the complexity of cancer cachexia and the limited treatment options currently available, emphasizing the importance of developing targeted therapies [17][18]. - It identifies key companies to watch, including Changchun High-tech, Kexing Pharmaceutical, Sunshine Nuohuo, Shiyao Group, and Jinfang Pharmaceutical, which are involved in promising drug candidates [1][17]. - The report anticipates a structural bull market in the pharmaceutical sector, driven by innovative drugs and new technologies [3][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical index increased by 1.27% during the week of May 12-16, underperforming the ChiNext index but outperforming the CSI 300 index [1][12]. 2. Cancer Cachexia Insights - Cancer cachexia affects 60%-80% of cancer patients, with approximately 20% of these patients dying from it, highlighting the critical need for effective treatments [17]. - The report discusses the mechanisms of cancer cachexia, including metabolic abnormalities and inflammatory responses, which complicate treatment options [18][21]. 3. Potential Drug Targets - The report identifies GDF15/GFRAL and GHSR as key potential drug targets for cancer cachexia, with several companies developing therapies targeting these pathways [27][35]. - Notable drug candidates include ponsegromab by Pfizer, which has shown promising results in clinical trials [33]. 4. Investment Strategies - The report outlines investment strategies focusing on innovative drugs, including overseas big pharma, early-stage research, and undervalued generics [15][16]. - It emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency and restructuring the supply chain within the pharmaceutical industry [5][14]. 5. Future Outlook - The report predicts a favorable trading atmosphere for the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, with a high likelihood of structural growth driven by innovative drugs and new technologies [3][14].

证券研究报告 | 行业点评 gszqdatemark 2025 05 17 年 月 日 工业金属 铝土矿：几内亚政策导致供给扰动加剧，铝土矿资源价值凸显 事件：2025 年 5 月 14 日，几内亚总统马马迪·敦布亚（Mamadi Doumbouya）采取了强硬措施。根据总统令，政府将撤销 40 多家矿业公 司的工业和半工业采矿经营许可证，其中包含 7 家铝土矿企业。被撤销的 授权和证书将无偿归还国家。 几内亚政府撤销铝土矿经营许可证或影响产能超 4,000 万吨/年。几内亚 撤销经营许可证的 7 家铝土矿企业分别为几内亚铝业公司（Société des Bauxites de Guinée）、金博铝土矿公司（Bauxites de Kimbo）、非洲前进 资源公司（Société Forward Africa Ressources）、特丽莎矿业物流公司 （Société Teresa Mining Logistics）、兴荣矿业开发公司（Société Xing Rong Mining Development）、法科几内亚铝土矿公司（（Société Faco Guinea Bauxite）和阿克西斯矿产公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the blockchain industry, specifically focusing on stablecoins [4]. Core Insights - Stablecoins have emerged as essential tools in the cryptocurrency market, serving as a bridge between traditional finance and Web3.0, facilitating transactions and providing liquidity [7][30]. - The demand for stablecoins is driven by their ability to act as a "fiat currency" on the blockchain, enabling seamless integration with decentralized finance (DeFi) projects [8][12]. - The report highlights the increasing adoption of stablecoins by traditional financial institutions, indicating a trend towards institutionalization in the Real World Assets (RWA) sector [51][52]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights - Stablecoins originated in the early days of Web3.0 as a means to facilitate cryptocurrency transactions and have evolved into foundational tools for exchanges, DeFi, and RWA ecosystems [7]. - The success of stablecoins hinges on market trust, which is closely tied to their credit transmission mechanisms [7]. 2. The Necessity of Stablecoins - Stablecoins serve as a digital representation of fiat currencies on the blockchain, allowing for deeper integration with DeFi projects [8]. - The need for stablecoins arose from the limitations of traditional fiat currencies in the blockchain space, particularly regarding transaction speed and interoperability [9][10]. 3. RWA as a Key Application Area - RWA has become a significant driver for the cryptocurrency market, with traditional financial institutions increasingly adopting stablecoins to facilitate transactions [51]. - The report notes that the RWA market has shown resilience and growth, even amid fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices [49]. 4. Regulatory Considerations for Stablecoins - The report discusses the ongoing evolution of stablecoin regulation, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that fosters innovation while ensuring consumer protection [5]. 5. Credit Transmission Models for Stablecoins - There are three primary models for credit transmission in stablecoins: centralized issuance backed by reserves, decentralized issuance through collateralized assets, and algorithmic stablecoins [32]. - USDT, as a centralized stablecoin, relies on traditional market mechanisms for credit transmission, while DAI and USDS utilize decentralized models [33][39]. 6. Market Dynamics and Trends - As of May 3, 2025, the total issuance of stablecoins exceeded $240 billion, with USDT and USDC dominating the market [26][23]. - The report highlights the growing importance of decentralized stablecoins in the DeFi ecosystem, although centralized stablecoins still hold a significant market share [20][24].