Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 269.42 billion in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of RMB 23 billion, up 5.5% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations [1] - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.18 per share, with a payout ratio of 72%, reflecting an 8.4% increase in dividends year-on-year [1] - The report highlights the company's strong growth potential in digitalization and AI-related services, particularly through its Tianyi Cloud business, which is transitioning towards intelligent cloud services [1][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, mobile communication service revenue grew by 1.3% to RMB 106.6 billion, with mobile users reaching 433 million, a net increase of 25 million from the end of 2024 [2] - Fixed-line and smart home revenue increased by 0.2% to RMB 64.1 billion, with fixed broadband users growing to 199 million, a net increase of 9 million [2] Digital Transformation - The company's digitalization revenue rose by 1.5% to RMB 74.85 billion in 1H25, with Tianyi Cloud revenue increasing by 4% to RMB 57.3 billion [3] - AI-related revenue saw a remarkable growth of 89.4%, with the company's self-owned and accessed intelligent computing capacity reaching 77 EFLOPS [3] Capital Expenditure and Profitability - Capital expenditure in 1H25 was RMB 34.2 billion, with a projected decrease of 10.6% to RMB 83.6 billion for the full year [4] - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.2 percentage points to 5.0%, and net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 9.2% [4] Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 34.8 billion, RMB 36.7 billion, and RMB 38.4 billion respectively, with a slight downward adjustment of 2%-4% from previous estimates [5] - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 9.11 based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025, compared to a global average of 1.51x [5][11]

证券研究报告 港股通 网易云音乐 (9899 HK) 盈利超预期，经营杠杆持续释放 2025 年 8 月 15 日│中国香港 互联网 | 华泰研究 | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 8 月 | 15 日│中国香港 | 互联网 | 目标价(港币): | 360.42 | | | | | 夏路路 | 研究员 | SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 +(852) 3658 6000 詹博 研究员 zhanbo@htsc.com SAC No. S0570523110002 SFC No. BUS698 郑裕佳 研究员 SAC No. S0570524070002 SFC No. BTB676 zhengyujia@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 基本数据 | 目标价 (港币) | 360.42 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (港币 截至 8 月 14 日) | 270.20 | | 市值 (港币百万) | 58,849 | | 6 个月 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 22.09 billion for 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 43.48 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared was HKD 18.39 billion, representing 42.3% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a corresponding DPS of HKD 0.73 [1][2][4]. - The company is expected to see an increase in profit due to the anticipated adjustment in return rates for several assets in 2025/26, which will enhance earnings stability [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The UK business contributed a profit of HKD 22.23 billion in 1H25, up 19.2% year-on-year, driven by the robust operation of regulated assets and a strong GBP exchange rate. The contribution from the Australian business was HKD 7.93 billion, down 8.2% year-on-year, primarily due to contract expirations and declining market electricity prices. The Canadian business reported a profit of HKD 2.75 billion, down 8.6% year-on-year, due to reduced generation and pricing at gas plants [2][4]. Regulatory Environment - Several regulated assets that entered the previous regulatory period during the low-interest rate environment of 2020/21 are expected to enter a new regulatory period in 2025/26, which is anticipated to lead to an increase in allowed return rates, supporting future earnings growth [3][4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of HKD 81.2 billion, HKD 87.9 billion, and HKD 92.9 billion respectively. The corresponding EPS for 2025 is projected at HKD 3.22. The target price is set at HKD 64.62, based on a price-to-book ratio of 1.32x for 2025 [4][10].

证券研究报告 京东集团-SW (9618 HK/JD US) 零售板块稳健增长带动收入超预期 华泰研究 中报点评 2025 年 8 月 15 日│中国香港/美国 互联网 京东 2Q25 营收同增 22.4%至 3,567 亿元，优于 VA 一致预期/华泰预测的 +15.0/+15.6%，非 GAAP 归母净利润 74 亿元，同比-48.9%，优于一致预 期/华泰预测的-58.8/-69.9%，主因零售板块经营利润释放好于预期和非经常 性损益及所得税情况好于预期。在外卖行业激化的竞争中，我们预计京东的 投入或在 3Q25 起进入效率优化阶段，但整体投入量级受季度总订单量环比 增长明显影响或继续维持在较高水平（2Q 估算为 130-140 亿元）。展望后 续，京东如何长效留存其通过国补行动与外卖业务探索获得的新用户并提升 核心客户的活跃度，将是其核心零售业务下一阶段增长的关键，建议持续关 注。维持"买入"评级。 活跃买家增长迅速，国补利好下带电品类延续加速增长 2Q25 京东零售总收入 3,101 亿元，同增 20.6%，经营利润 139 亿元，同增 37.9%，优于一致预期的同增 17.5%，主因国补带动的经营 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase (NTES US) with a target price of $153.19, reflecting a 17.9x PE for the year 2025 [7][27]. Core Insights - NetEase's total revenue for Q2 2025 increased by 9% year-on-year to 27.9 billion RMB, slightly below consensus expectations by 1% [1][2]. - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 22% year-on-year to 9.53 billion RMB, aligning with consensus expectations [1][2]. - The gaming segment's revenue showed a 15% year-on-year increase to 22.1 billion RMB, although it was slightly below expectations [2][3]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new games, including "Destiny: Stars" and "Diablo II" remastered, which are expected to drive future growth [1][4][13]. Revenue and Profitability - Q2 gaming and value-added services revenue rose by 14% year-on-year to 22.8 billion RMB, with gaming revenue specifically increasing by 15% [2][3]. - Deferred revenue for Q2 exceeded expectations, decreasing by 4% quarter-on-quarter to 17 billion RMB [2]. - The gross margin for gaming and value-added services improved by 1.4 percentage points to 70.2% [2][12]. Game Development and Market Position - The company launched nine new games in May 2025, with significant titles in the pipeline, including "Destiny: Stars" and "Diablo II" remastered [3][4][13]. - The online peak for "Fantasy Westward Journey" reached 2.93 million users, marking a historical high [3]. - The mobile gaming segment is expected to see a recovery due to a low base in the second half of the year, with anticipated growth driven by summer activities and new releases [4][23]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards, with total revenue expected to be 115.5 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 0.9% decrease [6][23]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised to 38.9 billion RMB, 43 billion RMB, and 48 billion RMB respectively [6][23]. - The adjusted operating profit margin is projected to be 35.8% for Q2 2025, indicating a healthy profitability outlook [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.79 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 600 million RMB, up 71.0% year-on-year, driven by the increased proportion of medium and high-power inverter products and rapid growth in energy storage revenue [3][5]. - The company is positioned in the first tier of inverters, with strong product capabilities, and is expected to benefit from the recovery in energy storage demand, which has exceeded previous expectations [7][9]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.276 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 407 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 109.3% [4]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 38.06%, up 6.00 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the increased proportion of high-margin customers and products [4]. Product Performance - In the first half of 2025, inverter revenue was 2.613 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16.6%. The sales volume was 466,200 units, down 7.0% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.38%, up 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - Energy storage inverters saw a significant revenue increase of 313.5% year-on-year, reaching 570 million RMB, with a gross margin of 30.3% [5]. Future Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts upward, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.251 billion RMB, 1.369 billion RMB, and 1.592 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting increases of 80.95%, 9.45%, and 16.32% [7][12]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 75.36 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 24 times for 2025 [7][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 5.16 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 53% year-on-year to RMB 38.2 billion in H1 2025, but net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 86% to RMB 1.7 billion due to low profit margins on delivered projects and inventory impairment provisions [1][2]. - The company is actively promoting the liquidation of idle assets and optimizing inventory structure, which may impact land acquisition and sales performance [1][3]. - The company has successfully obtained approval for the issuance of convertible bonds, which is expected to enhance liquidity and optimize asset structure [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 38.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 53%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 86% to RMB 1.7 billion [1][2]. - The gross profit margin declined by 2.6 percentage points to 14.2%, and investment income turned negative at RMB -1.4 billion [2]. Sales and Asset Management - The company focused on sales liquidation, achieving a total sales amount of RMB 50.2 billion, which is an 11% increase year-on-year, outperforming the top 100 real estate companies [3]. - The company is expected to continue prioritizing inventory reduction and structural adjustment, with cautious land acquisition strategies [3]. Financing and Capital Structure - The company issued RMB 2.85 billion in domestic bonds at historically low interest rates, and it has received approval for a RMB 4.8 billion convertible bond issuance [4]. - The average financing cost in H1 2025 decreased by 46 basis points to 4.76% compared to 2024 [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is RMB 0.30, RMB 0.42, and RMB 0.52 respectively, with a book value per share (BPS) of RMB 7.37 for 2025 [5][10]. - The company is valued at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7, corresponding to the target price of RMB 5.16 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million RMB, a decrease of 26.6% year-on-year. The profit pressure is attributed to the adjustment in the revenue structure of submarine cables and the sale of land use rights in the same period last year. However, with key offshore wind projects like Fanshi No. 1 and Qingzhou No. 5 starting turbine hoisting, the company is expected to see a gradual increase in submarine cable deliveries in H2 2025 [1][2][3] - The company has a robust order backlog, reaching approximately 19.6 billion RMB as of August 12, 2025, with significant contributions from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, marine equipment, and engineering operations. The company is expected to enter a peak delivery season in the second half of the year, which will drive profit recovery [3][4] - The domestic and international offshore wind markets are experiencing high demand, with many projects yet to be tendered. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend due to its leading technology and delivery experience [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.29 billion RMB, a decrease of 17.1% year-on-year and an increase of 6.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 190 million RMB, down 49.6% year-on-year and down 31.6% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 16.3%, a decrease of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year and 4.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The revenue from submarine cables and high-voltage cables was 760 million RMB, down 46.9% year-on-year and 36.4% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from marine equipment and engineering operations was 210 million RMB, up 48.4% year-on-year and 223.1% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from power engineering and cable equipment was 1.31 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year and 48.1% quarter-on-quarter [2] Order Backlog and Future Outlook - The company’s order backlog reached a new high of approximately 19.6 billion RMB, with 11 billion RMB from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 3.6 billion RMB from marine equipment and engineering operations, and 5 billion RMB from power engineering and cable equipment. The backlog reflects a decrease of 4% for submarine cables and high-voltage cables but increases of 20% and 14% for marine equipment and power engineering, respectively [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming tendering of offshore wind projects in China and supportive policies in Europe, which will likely drive high growth in submarine cable orders [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains the profit forecast for the company, expecting EPS of 2.81, 3.24, and 3.41 RMB for 2025-2027. The target price is set at 56.20 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025, reflecting the company's strong market position and order backlog [5][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been downgraded to "Hold" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 20.55 billion for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 52.15 million, down 84.3% year-on-year and 90.1% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to weak demand in the logistics industry, strategic investments in transportation resources to ensure timely delivery, and an increase in high freight, low labor product ratios, which negatively impacted gross margins [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing concentration of market share towards leading players in the industry, despite current weak freight demand and the need for time to adjust product structures [1][5] Revenue and Business Performance - The express delivery business achieved a revenue of RMB 18.61 billion in the first half, with a year-on-year growth of 11.9%. Excluding the integration project with JD Logistics, the revenue growth was 13.5% [2] - The overall logistics industry is facing downward price pressure, with upstream manufacturing and trading companies controlling costs [2] - The company has been upgrading its core product timeliness and launching competitive economy products, which has contributed to the rapid growth of express delivery revenue [2] Cost Structure and Profitability - The company's operating costs reached RMB 19.46 billion in the first half, a year-on-year increase of 14.2%, with a gross margin of 5.3%, down 2.3 percentage points [3] - The increase in operating costs outpaced revenue growth, primarily due to a 30.2% year-on-year increase in transportation costs, which amounted to RMB 9.77 billion, accounting for an increase of 6.9 percentage points in revenue share [3] - The rapid growth in transportation costs is attributed to strategic investments in transportation resources to ensure product delivery timeliness and changes in business structure, with a higher proportion of high freight, low labor products [3] Integration Projects and Future Outlook - The integration project with JD Logistics is progressing, with the number of transfer centers reduced from 153 to 133 by the end of 2024 [4] - The company expects to provide RMB 8.05 billion in services to JD Group and its controlled enterprises in 2025, having completed RMB 2.62 billion in the first half, which is 33% of the expected amount [4] - The company anticipates that the integration project will enter a harvest period in the second half of the year, contributing to performance growth [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 down by 14.9%, 4.4%, and 4.9% to RMB 760 million, RMB 1.01 billion, and RMB 1.28 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.74, RMB 0.99, and RMB 1.25 [5] - The target price has been set at RMB 16.92, reflecting a valuation premium of 35% over comparable companies in the express delivery sector [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 16.00, up from the previous HKD 15.30, reflecting a 4.4% increase [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a 1QFY26 revenue of USD 18.83 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.0%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates by 7.2%. The Non-HKFRS net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 389 million, also up 22.0% year-over-year, driven by strong demand from global mixed AI developments [1][5]. - The gross margin for 1QFY26 was 14.7%, a decline of 1.9 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to the suspension of H20 shipments in the infrastructure segment and changes in product mix [1]. Summary by Segment IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) - IDG revenue grew by 18.0% year-over-year in 1QFY26, with operating profit increasing by 15.0% year-over-year. The global PC market share reached a record high of 24.6%, with AI PC penetration exceeding 30% [2]. - The PC business revenue increased by 20.0% year-over-year, maintaining a leading position in the Windows AI PC sector [2]. ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - ISG revenue rose by 36.0% year-over-year in 1QFY26, driven by continued capital expenditures from global CSP customers in AI and traditional servers. However, the segment recorded an operating loss of USD 85.52 million due to the suspension of H20 shipments and increased R&D investments [3]. - Future improvements in revenue and profitability are expected with the launch of new products and the resumption of H20 sales [3]. SSG (Solution Services Group) - SSG revenue increased by 20.0% year-over-year in 1QFY26, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of growth. The segment's revenue from support services and AI solutions showed strong performance, particularly in manufacturing and supply chain sectors [4]. - The overall contribution of these services to SSG's total revenue increased by 3 percentage points to 58% [4]. Financial Projections - The company expects revenue growth of 0.7%, 2.3%, and 3.8% for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively. Non-HKFRS net profits are projected to be USD 1.69 billion, USD 1.89 billion, and USD 2.12 billion for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 17.6%, 11.3%, and 12.4% [5][9].