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裕同科技(002831):Q1经营稳健向好,25年期待利润修复
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 11:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.157 billion (up 12.71% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.409 billion (down 2.05%) for 2024 [1] - The first quarter of 2025 showed stable operations with a revenue of 3.699 billion (up 6.42%) and a net profit of 241 million (up 10.26%) [1] - The company is expected to recover profits in 2025, with projected revenues of 18.917 billion (up 10.26%) and net profits of 1.684 billion (up 19.56%) [11] Summary by Sections Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.157 billion and a net profit of 1.409 billion, with a gross margin of 24.80% [1][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 4.898 billion, but a significant drop in net profit to 294 million, primarily due to strategic asset disposals and employee stock plan costs [1] Business Segments - The 3C business remains solid, with a stable revenue contribution from major clients, accounting for 38.26% of total revenue [2] - The company has successfully upgraded its tobacco packaging business and is expanding its global footprint [2][3] Environmental Initiatives - Revenue from eco-friendly packaging reached 1.271 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth of 19.45% [3] - The company is actively involved in sustainable packaging initiatives and has received industry recognition for its innovations [3] Financial Metrics - The company’s expense ratio decreased by 0.43 percentage points in 2024, attributed to lower loan rates and increased foreign exchange gains [5] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 1.81, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.54 [11][13] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a growth trajectory with projected revenues of 20.825 billion in 2026 and 22.939 billion in 2027, alongside net profits of 1.867 billion and 2.079 billion respectively [11][13] - The company is enhancing its global supply chain capabilities with new smart factories in both domestic and overseas markets [4]
欧派家居(603833):25Q1评报告:25Q1盈利能力超预期,合同负债靓丽
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 11:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a strong Q1 2025 performance with revenue of 3.447 billion (down 4.8% year-on-year) and a net profit of 307 million (up 41.29%) [1] - The increase in profitability is attributed to a 4.31 percentage point rise in gross margin and a reduction in management and R&D expense ratios [1] - The company's contract liabilities reached 2.9 billion, significantly up from 1.964 billion at the end of 2024, indicating strong market share gains [1] Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - Q1 2025 revenue from distribution stores was 2.586 billion (down 1%), while direct stores saw revenue of 164 million (up 10%) [2] - The total number of stores was 7,729, with a focus on optimizing inefficient stores [2] - The bulk business revenue was 496 million (down 28.61%), primarily due to construction pressures [2] Product Segments - Cabinet revenue was 977 million (down 8.49%), while wardrobe and related products generated 1.8 billion (down 5.56%) [3] - Bathroom and wooden door segments turned positive, with revenues of 223 million (up 9.66%) and 220 million (up 0.98%) respectively [3] Operational Strategy - The company employs a localized operation model to assist distributors in developing tailored home furnishing transformation plans [4] - The integration of AI in e-commerce has led to a nearly 10% year-on-year increase in online traffic, benefiting over 4,000 distributors [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 19.881 billion (up 5.05%), 21.411 billion (up 7.70%), and 22.919 billion (up 7.04%) respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 2.854 billion (up 9.81%), 3.064 billion (up 7.36%), and 3.329 billion (up 8.59%) [5] - The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 13.86X, 12.91X, and 11.89X [5]
OSL集团(00863):香港首家上市合规数字资产交易所,内生外延全球化增长可期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 11:12
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for OSL Group, marking the first coverage of the company [6] Core Insights - OSL Group has achieved profitability for the first time since its strategic transformation in 2018, with a revenue increase of 78.6% year-on-year to HKD 375 million in 2024, and a net profit of HKD 54.8 million, reversing a loss of HKD 250 million from the previous year [1][4] - The company is accelerating its global expansion, particularly in Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, with recent acquisitions including CoinBest, now OSL Japan, and a target company in Italy [2] - A new PayFi business line has been introduced, with an investment of up to USD 30 million to develop a global PayFi ecosystem, bridging traditional finance and Web3 [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for OSL Group's net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected at HKD 60 million, HKD 82 million, and HKD 681 million, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.59%, 36.72%, and 728.29% respectively [4][10] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are HKD 0.10, HKD 0.13, and HKD 1.09, with a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10x for 2025, leading to a target price of HKD 11.98 [4][10]
赛轮轮胎(601058):24年及25Q1点评:产销稳健增长,盈利能力彰显韧性
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 09:21
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 汽车零部件 赛轮轮胎(601058) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 30 日 产销稳健增长,盈利能力彰显韧性 ——赛轮轮胎 24 年及 25Q1 点评 报告导读 公司发布 2024 年报,实现营收 318.0 亿元,同比增 22.42%,实现归母净利润 40.6 亿 元,同比增 31.42%。其中 24Q4 营收 81.7亿元,同比增 17.33%,环比降 3.54%;归母 净利润 8.2 亿元,同比降 23.18%,环比降 25.00%。 公司发布 2025 一季报,实现营收 84.1 亿元,同比增 15.29%,环比增 2.90%;实现归 母净利润 10.4 亿元,同比增 0.47%,环比增 26.79%。 投资要点 ❑ 25Q1 销量同环比增长,盈利能力强劲 24 年公司轮胎产量 7481 万条,同比增 27.59%,其中半钢、全钢、非公路产量同 比分别增 31%、14%、9%。24 年公司轮胎销量 7216 万条,同比增 29.34%。原材 料方面,24年公司主要原材料天然胶、合成胶、钢帘线、炭黑采购价格同比分别 变动+28.23%、+11.57%、-7.42%、- ...
滨江集团(002244):点评报告:营收同比高增,拿地力度加大
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 08:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 64.27% in Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 22.508 billion yuan and a net profit of 976 million yuan, up 47.88% year-on-year [2] - The company has increased its land acquisition efforts, with new land payments amounting to 19.58 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 56.9% increase year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to expanding its market presence [3] - The company maintains a stable market share with a sales market share of 1.11%, despite a 12.3% decline in total sales amounting to 23.08 billion yuan in the same period [3] Financial Summary - The company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.8 billion, 2.9 billion, and 3.1 billion yuan respectively, with an expected EPS of 0.90 yuan for 2025 [4] - The company has a contract liability of 113 billion yuan, covering 1.6 times its 2024 revenue, suggesting a solid revenue base for 2025 [2] - The company's sales gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were reported at 10.99% and 5.21%, respectively, showing slight declines from the previous year [2]
荣昌生物(688331):收入高增利润减亏,看好MG数据催化
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 08:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company has achieved continuous loss reduction for three consecutive quarters, driven by the commercialization of Tai'tasip and Vidi'sitom, with expectations for profitability improvement [1][2] - The company reported a revenue of 526 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.17%, primarily driven by the sales of Tai'tasip and Vidi'sitom [2] - The company is optimistic about the ongoing clinical trials and market potential of Tai'tasip for generalized Myasthenia Gravis (gMG) and other indications [3][4] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net loss of 254 million yuan, a reduction of 95 million yuan year-on-year, indicating a trend of continuous loss reduction [2] - The R&D expense ratio decreased by 37.7 percentage points to 62.53%, while the sales and management expense ratios also saw significant declines, contributing to the loss reduction [2] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.407 billion, 3.269 billion, and 4.185 billion yuan respectively, with expectations of continued loss reduction in 2025-2026 and profitability in 2027 [5][12] Pipeline and Market Potential - Tai'tasip has received breakthrough therapy designation in China and orphan drug status in the US, indicating strong market potential [3] - The company is advancing multiple products through clinical trials, with several indications expected to enter commercialization, supporting revenue growth [4] - The company is optimistic about the commercialization prospects of Tai'tasip in both domestic and international markets, particularly in the US [3][4]
苏州银行(002966):2024年年报和2025年一季报点评:分红率提升
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 07:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [9] Core Views - Suzhou Bank's performance remains positive, with revenue growth of 0.8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, although the growth rate has slowed by 2.3 percentage points compared to 2024. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.8% year-on-year, with a slowdown of 3.4 percentage points compared to 2024. The bank's non-performing loan generation has improved, and the decline in interest margin has narrowed [2][4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Suzhou Bank's revenue grew by 0.8% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.8%. The growth rates have slowed compared to 2024, primarily due to fluctuations in non-interest income, which saw an 8% year-on-year decline [2][3]. - The bank's interest income decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, while non-interest income from fees increased by 22.5% [2][14]. Loan and Deposit Growth - In Q1 2025, Suzhou Bank's loans increased by 12.7% year-on-year, although the growth rate has decreased by 1 percentage point compared to Q4 2024. The majority of the loan growth was from corporate loans, which accounted for 95% of the increase [3]. - Deposits saw a slight increase of 1.2 billion, with personal deposits decreasing by 4.7 billion year-on-year, while corporate deposits increased by 3.5 billion [3]. Interest Margin - The interest margin for Q1 2025 narrowed by 18 basis points to 1.31% year-on-year, with the decline in margin narrowing by 11 basis points compared to Q4 2024. This improvement is attributed to a larger reduction in funding costs [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.83% as of Q1 2025, with a coverage ratio of 447%, which is still considered high among listed banks. The true non-performing loan generation rate decreased by 14 basis points year-on-year to 0.65% [5]. - The bank's corporate loan non-performing rate improved, while the personal loan non-performing rate increased, particularly in personal business loans [5]. Dividend Policy - Suzhou Bank's dividend payout ratio for 2024 was 34%, an increase of 2 percentage points from 2023, with an estimated dividend yield of 4.85% based on the current price [6]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to grow by 7.04%, 5.58%, and 5.89%, respectively. The target price is set at 9.79 yuan per share, corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.85 for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 19% [7].
中国人寿(601628):营业支出减少驱动盈利超预期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 07:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Life Insurance is "Buy" [8] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, China Life's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 28.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.5%, exceeding expectations primarily due to a significant reduction in insurance service expenses [1] - The company's operating revenue was 110.177 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year, while the weighted ROE was 5.53%, an increase of 1.22 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The new business value (NBV) showed a slight growth of 4.8% year-on-year, which was slightly below expectations [1][2] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, China Life's net profit was 28.802 billion yuan, a 39.5% increase year-on-year, driven by a significant decrease in insurance service expenses [1] - Operating revenue decreased to 110.177 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year [1] - The weighted ROE improved to 5.53%, up 1.22 percentage points year-on-year [1] New Business Value (NBV) - The NBV experienced a slight increase, primarily attributed to a small improvement in the new business value rate [2] - New single premium income was 107.434 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a strong push for the sale of floating income products, which accounted for 51.72% of the first-year premium income, a significant increase year-on-year [2] Agent Workforce - As of the end of Q1 2025, the number of individual insurance agents was 596,000, a decrease of 3.1% compared to the end of the previous year, maintaining overall stability [3] - The quality of the workforce improved, with effective increases in the agent retention rate and growth rate [3] - The new marketing model "Seed Plan" is being implemented, focusing on professionalization and comprehensive transformation of the sales team [3] Investment Performance - As of the end of Q1 2025, China Life's investment assets totaled 6.82 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.1% from the end of the previous year [4] - Total investment income was 53.767 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.8%, with annualized net investment yield and total investment yield at 2.6% and 2.75%, respectively [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company expects stable growth in NBV, supported by a stable workforce and enhanced productivity, with contributions from the bancassurance channel anticipated to increase [5] - The forecasted net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are -60.5%, 13.5%, and 29.3%, respectively [5] - The target price is set at 56.63 yuan, corresponding to a PEV of 1.0 times for 2025 [5]
亚星锚链(601890):25Q1扣非归母净利润同比增长36%,周期与成长共振
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 07:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is experiencing a growth phase driven by the shipbuilding and offshore oil service cycles, alongside expansion into floating wind power [3] - The company reported a 19% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.989 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.98%, and a net profit of 282 million, up 19.21% year-on-year [2][11] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 588 million, a year-on-year increase of 30.88%, while net profit decreased by 22.77% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was approximately 31.41%, an increase of 0.82 percentage points year-on-year [2] Market and Industry Insights - The shipbuilding industry is entering a period of increased demand due to a replacement cycle and environmental regulations, which is expected to boost orders [3] - The offshore oil and gas sector is recovering, with increased capital expenditure anticipated, benefiting the company's mooring chain products [3] - The floating offshore wind power market is growing, and the company has secured multiple contracts in this area, positioning it well for future growth [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 318 million, 402 million, and 495 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 27%, and 23% [4][11] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 26, 20, and 17 times respectively [4][11]
天承科技:年报和一季报点评:PCB业务定成长基调,半导体业务拓进阶空间-20250430
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 07:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 102 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.77%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 18.97 million yuan, up 5.76% year-on-year [1] - The PCB materials business has optimized its structure, enhancing profitability and demonstrating clear growth attributes, with a gross margin of 42.19% in Q1 2025 [2] - The semiconductor business is poised for growth, having developed key electroplating products for advanced packaging, with recognition from leading packaging manufacturers [3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 381 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.32%, and a net profit of 74.68 million yuan, up 27.50% [9] - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 484.4 million yuan, 675.28 million yuan, and 939.34 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 121.29 million yuan, 179.35 million yuan, and 275.46 million yuan [9] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 0.89 yuan in 2024 to 3.28 yuan in 2027 [9]