Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao (06862.HK) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with expectations for revenue and profit growth driven by operational optimizations and new brand incubations [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with 11 new restaurant brands and 74 new stores established by the end of 2024, indicating a potential second growth curve for the company [8] - The company is implementing a strict selection mechanism for franchisees to ensure quality and service standards, with 13 franchise stores already operational by the end of 2024 [8] - Digital upgrades and supply chain optimizations are being pursued through AI technology and data analysis, enhancing customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million RMB in 2023 to 47,244 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million RMB in 2023 to 5,269 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 RMB in 2023 to 0.95 RMB in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 17.21 to 14.70 over the same period [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) [1] Core Views - The company continues to focus on the "people, vehicles, and home" ecosystem, launching new products such as the YU7 SUV and the Xuanjie chips, which are expected to drive growth [7] - The YU7 SUV is positioned as a high-performance luxury vehicle with impressive specifications, including a maximum horsepower of 690 PS and a range of 835 km, which is the highest for mid-to-large electric SUVs [7] - The self-developed Xuanjie O1 chip marks Xiaomi as the fourth company globally to design a 3nm process mobile SoC, enhancing its product capabilities [7] - The company has seen a 15.7% year-on-year increase in total smartphone shipments, with a growing market share in both global and domestic markets [7] - The report forecasts significant revenue growth, with total revenue expected to reach 691.16 billion yuan by 2027, and net profit projected to reach 59.31 billion yuan in the same year [1][8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for Xiaomi Group-W are as follows: - 2023: 270.97 billion yuan - 2024: 365.91 billion yuan - 2025: 483.50 billion yuan - 2026: 608.29 billion yuan - 2027: 691.16 billion yuan - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 17.48 billion yuan - 2024: 23.66 billion yuan - 2025: 34.31 billion yuan - 2026: 46.73 billion yuan - 2027: 59.31 billion yuan [1][8] - The report indicates a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS), projected to reach 2.29 yuan by 2027 [1][8] Market Position - Xiaomi's market share in the high-end smartphone segment has increased, with a 3% year-on-year rise to 23.3% in 2024 [7] - The company plans to expand its retail presence internationally, aiming to open approximately 10,000 new Xiaomi stores overseas in the next five years [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) [1] Core Views - The company continues to focus on the "people, vehicles, and home" ecosystem, launching new products such as the YU7 SUV and the Xuanjie chips, which are expected to drive growth [7] - The YU7 SUV is positioned as a high-performance luxury vehicle with impressive specifications, including a maximum horsepower of 690 PS and a range of 835 km, which is the highest for mid-to-large electric SUVs [7] - The self-developed Xuanjie O1 chip marks Xiaomi as the fourth company globally to design a 3nm process mobile SoC, enhancing its product capabilities [7] - The company is expanding its high-end product offerings, with a 15.7% year-on-year increase in total smartphone shipments in 2024, and a 3% increase in the domestic high-end smartphone market share [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from CNY 270.97 billion in 2023 to CNY 691.16 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly from CNY 17.48 billion in 2023 to CNY 59.31 billion in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 26.93% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from CNY 0.67 in 2023 to CNY 2.29 in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 73.19 in 2023 to 21.56 in 2027, indicating improving valuation [1] Market Position - Xiaomi's market capitalization is approximately CNY 1,043.39 million, with a closing price of HKD 53.00 [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 6.47 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 53.07% [6] - The company aims to expand its retail presence internationally, planning to open around 10,000 new Xiaomi stores overseas in the next five years [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with a strong emphasis on optimizing its operational model and expanding its store network [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with the company successfully incubating new brands and expanding its market presence [8] - The company is leveraging digital upgrades and supply chain optimization to enhance customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million in 2023 to 47,244 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million in 2023 to 5,269 million by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 in 2023 to 0.95 by 2027, indicating a steady growth trajectory [1] Operational Strategy - The company is implementing a bottom-up site selection mechanism and strict standards for franchisee entry, focusing on product, scene, and management optimization [8] - The company has initiated a franchise model with a rigorous selection process, ensuring quality and standardization across its outlets [8] - The company has launched multiple new restaurant brands under the "Red Pomegranate" initiative, aiming to create a second growth curve [8] Digital and Supply Chain Enhancements - The company is utilizing big data and AI technologies to improve customer feedback processing and enhance service quality [8] - The proprietary "HiHi System" app has achieved over 20,000 monthly clicks, indicating strong user engagement [8] - The deployment of over 50 AI robots across various operational areas is aimed at improving efficiency and customer service [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Tongcheng Travel with a 12-month price target of HK$24.50, implying a potential upside of 19.5% from the current price of HK$20.50 [7][29]. Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel's 1Q25 earnings were in line with revenue expectations, with a margin beat. The management highlighted improving pricing trends in domestic hotel average daily rates (ADR) and airfare, expecting this momentum to continue due to resilient travel demand and a low base effect [2][3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing monetization through improved value-added services (VAS) sales, effective cross-selling between transportation and hotel products, and optimized subsidies, which could sustain high take rates of approximately 4% for transportation and 9.5% for accommodation in 2Q [2][3]. - Core OTA revenue is expected to slow down temporarily in 2Q with a year-over-year growth estimate of 13.4%, but is projected to return to high-teens growth in the second half of the year as the base effect normalizes [2][4]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Total revenue estimates for 2Q and 2025 remain unchanged at 9.9% and 12.1% year-over-year growth, respectively. The core OTA business is expected to maintain healthy growth at 13.4% for 2Q and 16.4% for FY25E [4][11]. - The adjusted net margin is projected to remain stable at 15.9% for 2Q and 17.2% for 2025E [4]. Business Updates - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) is estimated to have experienced negative year-over-year growth in 1Q due to weakness in domestic airfare, while domestic hotel GMV is expected to show healthy double-digit room night growth [3]. - Outbound air ticketing and hotel room nights saw robust growth of 40-50% year-over-year in 1Q, with management targeting to improve this mix to high-single digits by 4Q [3]. - The company currently manages 2,500 hotels, with over 1,400 in the pipeline, and expects the addition of Wanda Hotel Management to enhance its brand portfolio and profitability [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a DCF-based price target of HK$24.50, which implies a P/E ratio of 15x for 2025 and 13x for 2026 [5][12]. - The company is trading at a P/E of 13.3x for 2025, which is considered undemanding with a PEG ratio of 0.8x [2][5]. Financial Highlights - Revenue projections for Tongcheng Travel show significant growth from Rmb6,585 million in 2022 to an estimated Rmb19,447 million in 2025, with net earnings expected to rise from Rmb646 million in 2022 to Rmb3,364 million in 2025 [6]. - The adjusted diluted EPS is projected to increase from Rmb0.29 in 2022 to Rmb1.46 in 2025, with a dividend per share expected to grow from Rmb0.00 in 2022 to Rmb0.20 in 2025 [6][8].

研究报告 Research Report 25 May 2025 特海国际 Super Hi International Holding (9658 HK) 点评报告：一季度同店翻台率同比提升，经营利润率短期承压 Review Report: Q1 Same-store Turnover Rate Improves YoY, Operating Margins Under Short- Term Pressure [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$15.60 目标价 HK$19.10 HTI ESG 4.0-4.5-4.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$10.14bn / US$1.30bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$2.39mn 发行股票数目 650.30mn 自由流通股 (%) 20% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$23.35-HK ...

一脉阳光是行业领先的医学影像服务供应商。截至 2024 年末，一脉阳光已 运营 106 个影像中心，覆盖全国 16 个省，是中国唯一一家为整个医学影像 产业链提供全面医学影像服务及价值的平台运营商。一脉阳光形成了"医学 影像中心服务+影像解决方案服务＋一脉云服务"三部分业务的服务能力输 出。公司通过四类影像中心提供影像检查及诊断、运营管理服务，其中区域 共享型和旗舰型中心贡献主要收入。公司计划构建多层次、全周期的医学影 像生态服务体系，锚定不同客户的差异化需求，提供远程诊断支持、信息化 流程重构、影像技术中心标准化建设等轻量化影像服务包。2024 年公司组建 了海外事业部，开启国际化业务元年。公司在医学影像信息化上已前瞻布局， 2015 年开始研发一脉云平台，2024 年参股孵化的影禾医脉正式发布全球首 个全模态全流程医学影像基座大模型，2025 年"CT 胸部病变标注数据"正 式通过上海数据交易所合规审核并成功上架，打造医学影像 AI 的完整闭环。 风险提示：放射和超声检查收费降价风险；市场竞争加剧风险；政策风险； 扩张不及预期的风险；财务风险。 投资建议：一脉阳光是国内医学影像服务龙头，扩张步伐稳健。AI ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a net operating revenue of 13.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16%, in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations. The adjusted EBITDA was 4.2 billion yuan, with an EBITDA margin of 30%. The Non-GAAP net profit was 4.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3%, which is better than Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - The international business continues to grow significantly, with outbound travel maintaining stable growth. The cross-border flight capacity has recovered to 83% of pre-pandemic levels, and hotel and flight bookings for outbound travel have exceeded 120% of the same period in 2019, outperforming the market by 30%-40% [7] - Domestic tourism demand remains strong, with inbound tourism also experiencing robust growth. In Q1, the number of inbound travelers increased by 40% year-on-year, with 75% coming from visa-free regions. The company's platform saw a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in inbound bookings, with hotel bookings in major visa-free countries in the Asia-Pacific region surging over 240% [7] - The company continues to focus on enhancing its international business through better product experiences and customer service, with a sales expense ratio of approximately 21% in Q1, which is better than expected [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with the adjusted net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 17.6 billion, 19.7 billion, and 22 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 18, 16, and 15 times [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 44.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 122.12%. For 2024, revenue is expected to reach 53.29 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.73% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 9.92 billion yuan, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 606.91%. The forecast for 2024 is 17.07 billion yuan, indicating a growth of 72.08% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is projected at 13.90 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 32.27 times [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a net operating revenue of 13.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16%, in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations. The adjusted EBITDA was 4.2 billion yuan, with an EBITDA margin of 30%. The Non-GAAP net profit was 4.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3%, which is better than Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - The international business continues to grow significantly, with outbound travel maintaining stable growth. The cross-border flight capacity has recovered to 83% of pre-pandemic levels, and hotel and flight bookings for outbound travel have exceeded 120% of the same period in 2019, outperforming the market by 30%-40% [7] - Domestic tourism demand remains strong, with inbound tourism also experiencing robust growth. In Q1, the number of inbound travelers increased by 40% year-on-year, with 75% coming from visa-free regions. The company's platform saw a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in inbound bookings, with hotel bookings in major visa-free countries in the Asia-Pacific region surging over 240% [7] - The company continues to focus on enhancing its international business through better product experiences and customer service, with a sales expense ratio of approximately 21% in Q1, which is better than expected [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with the adjusted net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 17.6 billion, 19.7 billion, and 22 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 18, 16, and 15 times [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 44.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 122.12%. For 2024, revenue is expected to reach 53.29 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.73% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 9.92 billion yuan, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 606.91%. The forecast for 2024 is 17.07 billion yuan, indicating a growth of 72.08% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is projected at 13.90 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 32.27 times [1]

证券研究报告 赤子城科技 (9911 HK) 社交出海先锋，创新&多元业务助力 | 华泰研究 | | 深度研究 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 5 月 | 24 日│中国香港 | 互联网媒体 | 维持"买入"评级，双轮驱动有望推动业绩和估值提升，给予公司 25 年 17X PE，对应目标价 12.24 港币。赤子城科技是我国领先的社交出海公司，社 交业务已打造多款优质社交产品，其中 MICO/YoHo/Blued 贡献业绩基本盘， TopTop/SUGO 显现高成长性；创新业务中旗舰游戏业务取得突破，社交电 商快速成长，有望进入盈利周期。 社交业务：先发产品稳定贡献，后发产品成长喜人 泛人群社交业务已形成以 MICO/YoHo/TopTop/SUGO 等为代表的社交产品 "灌木丛"。其中 MICO/YoHo 运营多年，产品进入成熟期，贡献业绩基本 盘。通过持续开拓本地社交娱乐场景和 AI 赋能，后发产品成长喜人。24 年 SUGO 营收同增超 200%，平均月流水突破 1000 万美元，成为公司第 2 款 月流水千万美元级别的产品；TopTop 全年营收同增超 100%；多元人群 ...