[Table_StockInfo] 2026 年 01 月 26 日 证券研究报告•公司动态跟踪报告 新 大 正（002968）房地产 目标价：17.76 元（6 个月） 买入 （维持） 当前价：13.76 元 经营提效与并购增利并进，迈入发展新阶段 | 指标/年度 [Table_MainProfit] | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 3387.20 | 3719.76 | 7470.47 | 8070.84 | | 增长率 | 8.32% | 9.82% | 100.83% | 8.04% | | 归属母公司净利润（百万元） | 113.77 | 119.24 | 251.27 | 298.31 | | 增长率 | -28.95% | 4.80% | 110.72% | 18.72% | | 每股收益 EPS（元） | 0.50 | 0.53 | 1.11 | 1.32 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 10.12% | 9.84% | 11.97% | 12.85% | | PE ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company has successfully delivered export orders for panel-level laser micro-hole equipment used in glass substrate semiconductor packaging, marking a significant step in the industrialization of TGV (Through-Glass Via) technology [1] - The glass substrate is expected to be applied in advanced packaging due to its superior properties, supporting high-density interconnects and large-size chip packaging, thus meeting the stringent requirements of applications like artificial intelligence and high-performance computing [9] - The TGV laser micro-hole equipment enhances the electrical and thermal performance of glass substrates, facilitating subsequent metallization processes, and has received high recognition in both domestic and international markets [9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 2,014 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.2%. By 2027, revenue is expected to grow to 3,290 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 19.9% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 528 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 14.4%, and is expected to reach 888 million yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 20.9% [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is estimated to be 1.94 yuan in 2024, increasing to 3.24 yuan by 2027 [3] - The company maintains a gross margin of approximately 46.6% from 2025 to 2027, with a return on equity (ROE) around 15% [3] Valuation and Comparison - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 34 in 2025, 31 in 2026, and 26 in 2027, which is below the average PE of 49X for comparable companies in the photovoltaic and advanced packaging sectors [9] - The company is expected to benefit from strong competitiveness in the photovoltaic sector and is actively expanding into consumer electronics, new displays, and integrated circuits, indicating potential growth in non-photovoltaic areas [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The price of hafnium has rapidly increased, reaching $11,556.10 per kg as of January 26, 2026, with a growth of 21.64% since the beginning of 2026 and 164.76% since 2025. This surge is driven by demand in the semiconductor, industrial gas turbine, aerospace, and nuclear energy sectors, which has outstripped current supply capabilities, indicating a potential structural shortage of hafnium in the medium term [1][5] - The company is progressing steadily with its zirconium-hafnium separation production line, which is expected to contribute significantly to its earnings. The project aims to produce over 250 tons of hafnium oxychloride and more than 11,740 tons of ultra-pure zirconium oxychloride annually. The company has completed pilot testing, achieving a zirconium purity of 99.999% and hafnium purity of over 99.99%, meeting electronic-grade standards. Some products have already received recognition and orders from downstream semiconductor clients [3][4] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.23 billion, 4.01 billion, and 5.89 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of +62.0%, +226.8%, and +46.8%. The corresponding EPS is expected to be 0.29, 0.95, and 1.39 yuan [3][4] - Revenue is forecasted to reach 1.221 billion, 1.850 billion, and 2.345 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 15.9%, 51.5%, and 26.7% respectively [4][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the company, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [6]. Core Insights - The company's performance in 2025 is expected to meet forecasts, with a projected net profit of 60-66 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.0-54.0% [6]. - Demand recovery is driving simultaneous growth in revenue and profit, particularly in various application fields such as culture media and nutritional products [6]. - Cost structure optimization is contributing positively to profit margins, with a reduction in certain expenses alleviating cost pressures [6]. - The company is set to release new production capacity and establish overseas subsidiaries to support market expansion [6]. - Long-term performance is expected to remain stable, with revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 404 million, 506 million, and 622 million yuan respectively, and corresponding net profits of 63 million, 83 million, and 108 million yuan [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 404 million yuan in 2025 to 622 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22.9% [5]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 63 million yuan in 2025 to 108 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [5]. - The company's gross margin is forecasted to remain stable around 31% to 32% over the next few years [5].

[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 域控新品顺利放量，全年业绩扭亏为盈 [Table_Summary] 事件：公司发布 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告，预计 2025 年与上年同期相 比将实现扭亏为盈，实现归母净利润 7500.00 万元到 11000.00 万元，实 现扣除非经常性损益的归母净利润 2750.00 万元到 4100.00 万元。 点评：Q4 业绩超预期，规模效应显现。预计 25Q4 公司实现归母净利润 1.5~1.85 亿元，较去年同期大幅增长 2.9~3.3 亿元、实现扭亏为盈，环比 +1159%~1453%、盈利能力进一步提升。公司盈利能力显著改善的主要原 因在于两个方面：一方面，研发成果有效释放，以域控制器为代表的新 产品收入快速放量，叠加原有产品持续升级迭代、收获了更多客户和项 目机会，推动公司收入规模进一步扩大，前三季度实现营收 44.64 亿元， 同比+25.88%；另一方面，公司将降本增效作为重要经营指引，通过 AI 工具应用、国产替代、智能制造等方式，使各项成本、费用都得到了有 效控制，毛利率有所提升、期间费用率显著下降，前三季度销售/管理/研 发/财务 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion to 1.1 billion yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in previous years [8] - The fourth quarter of 2025 showed better-than-expected performance, with a net profit of 1.50 to 1.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.90 to 3.25 billion yuan [8] - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 7.32 billion yuan in 2025, 9.04 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.75 billion yuan in 2027, representing growth rates of 32.2%, 23.5%, and 18.9% respectively [2][9] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024 is estimated at 5.54 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.5% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 94 million yuan in 2025, 416 million yuan in 2026, and 651 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 117.1%, 341.7%, and 56.6% respectively [2][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.78 yuan in 2025, 3.47 yuan in 2026, and 5.43 yuan in 2027 [2][9] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is actively involved in the commercial aerospace sector, providing comprehensive technical systems and solutions throughout the lifecycle of commercial aerospace projects [8] - The company has established partnerships in satellite payload development and is contributing to the domestic C919 aircraft's avionics system integration, breaking foreign monopolies in this field [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from advancements in high-level intelligent driving technologies, with a focus on domain controllers, perception, and safety compliance [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company Berteli (603596) with a target price based on the last closing price of 54.85 [1][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that 2026 will be the year of commercialization for L3 autonomous driving, with Berteli positioned as a core supplier through its "XYZ + Intelligent Driving Assistance" intelligent chassis solution [4][10]. - Berteli's human-shaped robot screw and motor business is expected to create a second growth curve, leveraging its expertise in electric drive and precision transmission technologies [6][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Berteli focuses on its main business, integrating products such as electronic mechanical brakes (EMB), redundant line control braking systems (WCBS 2.0H), and electric power steering (DP-EPS) [5][10]. - The company has secured a second EMB project with a major domestic automaker, enhancing its position in the market [5][10]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 125 billion, 156 billion, and 201 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 14.5 billion, 18.9 billion, and 24.9 billion [10][11]. - The report anticipates a revenue growth rate of 32.95% in 2024, followed by 25.45% in 2025, and 25.39% in 2026 [11]. Market Position - Berteli is recognized as a leader in the intelligent chassis market, with significant market share in the auxiliary intelligent driving front-view integrated machine segment [5][10]. - The company has achieved over 20 million units in cumulative production for its electronic parking brake (EPB) system, solidifying its leadership in the domestic line control market [7][10]. Strategic Initiatives - Berteli is expanding its global production capacity, with projects in Mexico and Germany aimed at enhancing its market reach [9][10]. - The company is focusing on domestic substitution of core components, reducing reliance on foreign key chips [9][10].

证券研究报告 Q4 自有品牌业务延续高增 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 电子商务 公司发布业绩预告，预计 25 年归母净利润 1.76~2.00 亿，yoy66.6%~89.3%。 公司 Q4 自有品牌延续高增表现，绽家持续拓品类/合作新 IP，高基数下仍 有亮眼同增；斐萃强化抗衰科研能力，高客单进阶产品快速放量中；纽益倍 26M1 以来达播发力下品牌起量显著，布局 AKK 菌单品，AKK 菌 24 年市场 规模 3.25 亿美元，原料端集群效应助推成分持续高热，品牌后续增长潜力 可期。近期取得口服美容品牌美斯蒂克中国区独家总代，继续拓展品牌矩阵。 我们预计公司在强势品牌运营孵化能力赋能下，有望持续捕捉高端家清与口 服美容行业红利。维持增持评级。 绽家：持续拓品类，多 IP 强化香氛心智 25H2 以来陆续上新羽绒服清洁慕斯/极光彩漂粉等单品，持续拓展家清细分 品类。IP 联名方面，奥黛丽赫本 IP 上新护衣喷雾/精油香挂/除臭精油，继 续夯实品牌香氛心智；26M1 新 IP 联名落地，上新 Hello Kitty 系列衣物喷 雾/内衣洗衣液，热门 IP 为大单品持续注入活力。25Q4 绽家延续高 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 184.61 RMB [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion and 1.1 billion RMB, which exceeds previous forecasts [1]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the release of prior R&D investments, particularly in core electronic products like domain controllers and 5G TBOX, alongside cost reduction and efficiency improvements [2]. - The company is transitioning from a research-driven phase to a product scaling phase, with expectations for revenue and profit recovery in 2026, supported by stable production phases with key clients [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue increase to 7.51 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.49% compared to the previous year, and further growth to 9.77 billion RMB in 2026 [10]. - The net profit is projected to reach 0.88 billion RMB in 2025, with significant growth to 3.76 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a 328% increase [10]. Product and Market Development - The company is focusing on high-level intelligent driving products, with collaborations with key clients like Geely and Xiaomi expected to stabilize production and contribute to revenue growth [3]. - The international expansion is ongoing, with partnerships with global manufacturers like Stellantis and Scania, aiming for production deliveries in 2026 [3]. Valuation and Estimates - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 7.51 billion, 9.77 billion, and 12.02 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding gross margin estimates of 24.3%, 24.9%, and 26.9% [4]. - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating a net profit of 2.64 billion RMB from hardware and 1.1 billion RMB from software in 2026, leading to a target price adjustment from 145.23 RMB to 184.61 RMB [4].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 61.3106% stake in Chunhui Instrument to achieve 100% ownership, focusing on the SOFC and commercial aerospace sectors [2][3]. - Chunhui Instrument is a leading domestic temperature sensor manufacturer, significantly contributing to the aerospace sector and collaborating with Bloom Energy in the SOFC field for nearly 20 years [3]. - The demand for temperature sensors is expected to surge due to Bloom Energy's recent $2.65 billion SOFC procurement order, which will drive revenue growth for the company [3]. - The company is also expanding into the commercial aerospace market with its satellite release devices, which have shown advantages in satellite deployment [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 529 million, 591 million, and 713 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 53 million, 66 million, and 87 million yuan [4]. - The company’s PE ratios for the same years are projected to be 113.03, 91.91, and 69.26 times [4]. - The expected revenue growth rates are 3.68% for 2025, 11.86% for 2026, and 20.59% for 2027 [4].