港股公司报告 | 公司点评 五菱汽车（00305） 证券研究报告 业绩稳健增长，新能源及智能化布局开启新篇章 截至2025年6月30日止中报，公司实现营业收入40.3亿元，同比+2.0%； 盈利能力显著增强，净利润达到 8580.9 万元，同比+306.2%；归母净利 润为 3941.6 万元，同比+2385.2%。我们认为，公司整体业绩表现亮眼， 盈利能力的提升主要得益于产品结构优化、成本管控成效以及研发投 入的增加，未来伴随产品结构的继续优化，公司有望实现业绩的进一 步提升。 分部业务表现：核心业务稳固，动力系统扭亏，商用车创新驱动。 汽车零部件及其他工业服务作为公司核心收入来源，实现收入 28.4 亿 元，同比+5.2%。该业务稳步开拓市场，上半年累计获得 46 个客户的 125 个项目定点。在稳固上汽通用五菱、长城汽车等存量客户的同时， 成功开拓了上汽乘用车、郑州宇通等新客户。 汽车动力系统业务实现重大突破，经调整 EBIT 扭亏为盈，实现 661 万 元。主要系公司改善产品结构，铸造件等高附加值产品收入实现快速增 长。 盈利能力与费用控制：毛利率提升，费用结构优化。 2025 年上半年，公司毛利率提 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Aux Electric with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 17.67, based on an 8x PE for 2025 [5][4]. Core Insights - Aux Electric is the fifth largest air conditioning provider globally and the fourth largest in China, with a market share of 7.1% globally and 7.3% in China for 2024 [1][18]. - The company has a robust presence in over 150 countries, focusing on both domestic and international markets through a dual strategy of ODM and OBM [1][18]. - The report highlights Aux's historical adaptability and strategic positioning, capturing market opportunities across different eras, from cost-effective products in the early 2000s to leveraging e-commerce in the 2010s and expanding globally in the 2020s [1][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Aux Electric entered the air conditioning industry in 1994 and has since developed a multi-brand strategy, including the main brand Aux and sub-brands like ShinFlow, HuaSuan, and Aufit, to cater to various market segments [23][1]. - The company has maintained a strong growth trajectory, with a projected revenue of RMB 29.8 billion in 2024 and a CAGR of 30% in air conditioning sales from 2023 to 2024 [23][18]. Market Outlook - The global air conditioning market is expected to grow from RMB 1.31 trillion in 2024 to RMB 1.53 trillion in 2028, with a CAGR of 4.0% [2]. - Aux is actively expanding in emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East and Southeast Asia, with significant contributions from both ODM and OBM business models [2][18]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts Aux's net profit attributable to shareholders to be RMB 3.167 billion, RMB 3.661 billion, and RMB 4.073 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 1.99, RMB 2.31, and RMB 2.56 [4][12]. - Revenue from overseas sales is expected to reach RMB 188.9 billion, RMB 234.6 billion, and RMB 281.8 billion from 2025 to 2027, accounting for 54.3%, 58.5%, and 62.6% of total revenue [2][4]. Competitive Positioning - Aux Electric's manufacturing efficiency is highlighted, with a capacity utilization rate of 91.3% compared to the industry average of 74.4% in 2024, which enhances its bargaining power [3][22]. - The company has diversified its customer base, reducing dependency on any single client, with the largest customer accounting for only 6.3% of revenue in Q1 2025 [22][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong sales performance, achieving a signed sales amount of 98.0 billion yuan in September 2025, with a total of 806.9 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.3% [1][3] - The brand value of the company has been a significant driver of its development, with a brand value of 742 billion yuan in 2025, marking an increase of nearly 8 billion yuan from the previous year [2] - The company has seen a notable decrease in expense ratios, with management and sales expense ratios dropping to 4.8% and 3.3% respectively for the first half of 2025, indicating improved operational efficiency [4] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The company reported monthly signed sales amounts of 84.6 billion yuan, 90.8 billion yuan, and 98.0 billion yuan for July, August, and September 2025 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 49.5%, 46.5%, and 39.9% [3] - For the third quarter of 2025, the signed sales amount reached 273.4 billion yuan, up from 188.6 billion yuan in the same period of 2024, with a signed sales area of 128.1 million square meters [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 1.25 billion yuan, 1.43 billion yuan, and 1.58 billion yuan respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 13.7, 12.0, and 10.8 for the years 2025-2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with a 21.8% year-on-year increase in total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, amounting to 10.21 billion yuan [8] - The HNB (Heated Not Burned) products are gradually being promoted, with positive feedback from customers and plans for expansion into new markets [8] - The company is expected to benefit from stricter regulations in the electronic vaporization market, leading to a recovery in its business [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 11,168 million yuan, 11,799 million yuan, 13,722 million yuan, 16,166 million yuan, and 18,395 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -8.04%, 5.64%, 16.30%, 17.81%, and 13.79% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is projected to be 1,645 million yuan, 1,303 million yuan, 1,331 million yuan, 2,219 million yuan, and 2,893 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -34.47%, -20.78%, 2.11%, 66.75%, and 30.37% [1] - The latest diluted EPS (Earnings Per Share) is forecasted to be 0.27 yuan, 0.21 yuan, 0.21 yuan, 0.36 yuan, and 0.47 yuan for the years 2023A to 2027E [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 15.77 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 89.18 billion HKD [5] - The price-to-book ratio is 3.97 [5] - The company has a total share capital of 6,193.04 million shares [6]

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 我们认为，公司作为提供雾化科技解决方案的全球领导者，壁垒优势不断 凸显，在监管不断趋严的背景下，预计产业链集中度或将加速提升。HNB 业务作为第二增长曲线预计 2026 年起对收入和利润有显著贡献，由于公司加 大自有品牌市场开拓力度，销售费用显著增长，我们调整公司2025-2027 年经 调整净利润为 13.92/20.23/27.59 亿元（前值为 14.72/19.79/26.63 亿元），26/27 年同比+45.33%/36.39%。基于公司的技术和龙头优势，维持"买入"评级。 思摩尔国际（06969） 证券研究报告 25Q3 收入创单季历史新高，HNB 业务出货量大幅增加 事件：公司发布 2025Q3 财务更新，经初步审核，25Q1-Q3 公司实现营收 102.10 亿元，同比增加 21.8%，实现净利润 8.09 亿元，同比下降 23.8%， 加回以股份为基础的非现金开支后，实现经调整净利 11.82 亿元，同比增加 0.1%；25Q3 实现营收 41.97 亿元，环比增加 27.5%，同比增加 27.2%，实 现净利润 3.17 亿元，环比增加 5.7%，同比下降 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Smoore International (6969.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on revenue growth and market opportunities [1]. Core Insights - Smoore International reported a record high revenue of 10.21 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.8%. The total comprehensive income for the period was 785 million yuan, down 25.5% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 4.196 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.5% and a year-on-year increase of 27.2% [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from stringent global regulations, particularly in the vaping sector, with steady growth anticipated in the U.S. and high growth in Europe due to the introduction of compliant products [2]. - The HNB (Heated Not Burned) segment is gradually contributing to revenue growth, with expectations for increased shipments and market expansion in key regions like Poland and Italy [2]. - The adjusted net profit margin for Q3 2025 was approximately 10.6%, down from 13.0% in Q3 2024, primarily due to changes in product mix affecting gross margins. However, the company is optimizing its expense ratios, which are expected to decline as HNB product sales increase [3]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2024 to 2027, the projected total revenue is as follows: - 2024: 11.799 billion yuan - 2025: 14.610 billion yuan - 2026: 17.669 billion yuan - 2027: 21.253 billion yuan - The expected growth rates year-on-year are 6% for 2024, 24% for 2025, 21% for 2026, and 20% for 2027 [4]. - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company is: - 2024: 1.303 billion yuan - 2025: 1.088 billion yuan - 2026: 2.040 billion yuan - 2027: 3.050 billion yuan - The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 57.75X for 2024, 83.46X for 2025, 44.52X for 2026, and 29.78X for 2027 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][4][9] Core Insights - The company reported a retail performance for Q3 2025 with approximately 10% growth in both the main brand's offline retail and children's clothing, and around 20% growth in e-commerce [3][4] - The company continues to innovate products to meet diverse consumer needs and has expanded its super stores to 93 locations, maintaining stable inventory levels and slightly increasing discounts [4][6][9] - The company is expected to maintain a resilient growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.48 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 8.5%, 8.7%, and 9.4% [4][10][11] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In Q3 2025, the adult apparel segment saw approximately 10% growth, the children's apparel segment also grew by about 10%, and e-commerce experienced around 20% growth, with growth rates remaining stable compared to previous quarters [4][5][6] Product Innovation - The company has launched new products across various categories, including running shoes with enhanced waterproof technology, basketball shoes with advanced design features, and children's shoes tailored for young athletes [6][7] Channel Expansion - The number of super stores has increased to 93, with 44 new stores opened in Q3. These stores focus on a comprehensive product range and a self-service shopping model [6][7][9] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth of 21% in 2023, 19.6% in 2024, and 11% in 2025, with net profit growth of 28.7% in 2023 and 19.5% in 2024 [10][14]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Bilibili (9626 HK) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 316.5, corresponding to a 2025E PS of 4.1x [1][7]. Core Insights - Bilibili has evolved from a niche community to a comprehensive video ecosystem, establishing a strong competitive moat through its unique community atmosphere and high user retention [2][18]. - The advertising business has transitioned into a systematic growth phase, with a projected revenue increase of 27.7% year-on-year in 2024, driven by a 40% growth in performance advertising [3][19]. - The gaming segment has shown robust recovery, with revenues reaching RMB 5.6 billion in 2024, a 40% year-on-year increase, supported by the successful launch of new games [4][22]. - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth, with adjusted net profits projected at RMB 2.31 billion, RMB 3.18 billion, and RMB 3.99 billion for 2025-2027 [6][20]. Summary by Sections Community Ecosystem - Bilibili's community has a high retention rate, with over 80% for formal members and 84% for users registered for over ten years, indicating a deep user-platform bond [2][21]. - The platform's user base is predominantly young, with over 80% of users under 35 years old, showcasing a strong generational engagement [2][21]. Advertising Business - The advertising infrastructure has been fully established, enabling comprehensive coverage across various platforms, including long and short videos, PC, and search [3][19]. - AI technology integration is enhancing advertising efficiency, with a 10% year-on-year increase in eCPM in the first half of 2025 [3][19]. Gaming Business - The gaming revenue for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 5.6 billion, with a 40% year-on-year growth, driven by the successful launch of new titles [4][22]. - The strategy focuses on long-term operations and the introduction of younger game genres, with the upcoming release of "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card" expected to continue this trend [4][22]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 30.03 billion, RMB 32.72 billion, and RMB 35.09 billion, respectively, with adjusted net profits expected to rise significantly [6][20]. - The overall gross margin is anticipated to improve from 17.6% in 2019 to 32.7% in 2024, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin advertising and gaming revenues [20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong resilience in the retail environment, achieving approximately 10% year-on-year growth in both its main brand and children's clothing lines, with e-commerce sales growing around 20% [8]. - The company is expanding its offline presence through innovative channel strategies, including the rapid rollout of "super stores," which have shown significant growth potential [8]. - The product matrix continues to evolve with new iterations in core categories, showcasing technological advancements and innovation [8]. - The One Way brand is being revitalized with a focus on the mid-to-high-end outdoor market, with new store openings and a refreshed product line [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 12.6 billion, 13.9 billion, and 15.1 billion RMB for FY2025E, FY2026E, and FY2027E respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 8, and 7 [8]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections are as follows: - FY2023: 84.23 billion RMB - FY2024: 100.7 billion RMB - FY2025E: 111.8 billion RMB - FY2026E: 121.4 billion RMB - FY2027E: 130.8 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 21% for FY2023, 20% for FY2024, and gradually decreasing to 8% by FY2027 [7][18]. - The net profit forecast is as follows: - FY2023: 9.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 11.5 billion RMB - FY2025E: 12.6 billion RMB - FY2026E: 13.9 billion RMB - FY2027E: 15.1 billion RMB - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 41.1% in FY2023 to 41.9% in FY2027 [7][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company 361 Degrees (01361.HK) [1][6] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated healthy growth in retail sales across both offline and online channels, with a notable 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for its main brand and children's clothing in Q3 2025, and a 20% increase in e-commerce sales [3][4][6] - The company is expanding its premium store count, reaching 93 stores by the end of Q3 2025, and aims to exceed 100 stores by year-end [5][6] - The company is actively participating in the marathon sector, becoming a top partner for the 2025 Tangshan Marathon and a sponsor for the 2025 Taishan Marathon, which is expected to drive sales growth in the running category [4][6] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 11,367 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.8% [10][11] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1,285 million HKD, with a year-on-year growth of 11.9% [10][11] - The company's EPS is forecasted to be 0.62 HKD for 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of approximately 8.7, 7.8, and 7.1 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][10]