Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted from 140 HKD to 125 HKD, corresponding to a projected P/E ratio of 22.9 times for 2026 [1][3][6]. Core Insights - The company's August sales were 29,000 units, representing a year-on-year decline of 39.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.2%. Cumulatively, sales for the first eight months reached 263,000 units, down 8.6% year-on-year. The management expects third-quarter deliveries to be between 90,000 and 95,000 units, with September sales projected at 31,000 to 36,000 units, driven by the new i8 model [2][3]. - The second-quarter performance met expectations, with revenue of 30.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%. The gross margin was 20.1%, with automotive sales gross margin at 19.4%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.7 percentage points [2][3]. - The company is set to launch the i6 model, with several strategic adjustments aimed at boosting sales, including optimizing product SKUs, adjusting channel strategies, and increasing investment in AI technology, with an expected expenditure of over 6 billion RMB in 2025 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - August sales were 29,000 units, down 39.7% year-on-year and 7.2% month-on-month. Cumulative sales for the first eight months were 263,000 units, down 8.6% year-on-year. The management anticipates third-quarter deliveries of 90,000 to 95,000 units, with September sales expected to be between 31,000 and 36,000 units, primarily driven by the i8 model [2][3]. Financial Performance - The second-quarter revenue was 30.2 billion RMB, a 5% decline year-on-year but a 17% increase quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 20.1%, with automotive sales gross margin at 19.4%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.7 percentage points [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to launch the i6 model and has made several strategic adjustments to enhance sales, including optimizing product SKUs, adjusting channel strategies, and increasing AI investment, with a projected expenditure of over 6 billion RMB in 2025 [3][4].

证券研究报告 公用事业 | 燃气Ⅱ 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 02 日 投资评级： 买入（维持） ——业绩短期承压 分红回购彰显信心 投资要点： 风险提示：上游气价格波动风险、售气量增长不及预期、双综业务增长低于预期、接驳户数低于预期等。 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邹佩轩 SAC：S1350524070004 zoupeixuan01@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 联系人 秦雨茁 qinyuzhuo@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 08 | 29 | | 日 | 月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | | 20.02 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 58.8 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%. However, the core and attributable net profits were 1.4 billion and 3.2 billion RMB, showing a decline of 71% and 45% respectively, which aligns with the earnings forecast. The profit drop is attributed to the ongoing adjustment phase in the development business, but operational business has become a crucial support for core profits, demonstrating strong resilience [1][2] - The company’s development business is still in a bottoming phase, focusing on digesting existing assets. The revenue from project handovers increased by 35% year-on-year to 45.5 billion RMB, but the gross margin decreased by 7.2 percentage points to 0.2%, indicating low profitability levels. The sales amount dropped by 30% to 24.5 billion RMB, and the land acquisition amount fell by 71% to 1.5 billion RMB, reflecting a decline in both sales and land acquisition activities [3][4] - The company has successfully reduced its debt scale, with interest-bearing liabilities decreasing by 9% to 169.8 billion RMB. The short-term debt ratio also decreased, and the cash-to-short-debt ratio improved to 1.74 times. The average financing cost dropped by 42 basis points to 3.58%, indicating an optimization in financing structure [4] Summary by Sections Operational Performance - The operational business maintained stable growth with a revenue increase of 2% year-on-year, accounting for 23% of total revenue by the end of 2024. The commercial segment saw a same-store sales growth of 3%, and rental income increased by 5% to 5.5 billion RMB. The company plans to open 10 new shopping malls in the second half of 2025, which is expected to further drive growth [2] Development Business - The development business is primarily focused on liquidating existing assets, with a significant amount of unsold land reserves valued over 200 billion RMB. The company anticipates a saleable value of 120 billion RMB in the second half of 2025, indicating a relatively abundant supply [3] Financial Outlook - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 to 0.83, 0.93, and 1.06 RMB respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 14%, 5%, and 2%. The target price is set at 13.86 HKD, based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.53 times [5][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) due to its considerable commercialization momentum and steady progress in its pipeline [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 950 million for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 31.3%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 145 million [7]. - The company has made significant strides in commercialization, having obtained marketing approvals for several products and initiated their commercialization processes [7]. - The existing product indications are being expanded, and the potential pipeline is actively advancing, providing ample space for future growth [7]. - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of RMB 20.30 billion, RMB 32.77 billion, and RMB 53.63 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 1,540.49 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 91.6%. For 2024, revenue is expected to be RMB 1,933.05 million, reflecting a growth rate of 25.5% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be a loss of RMB 560.39 million in 2025, with a significant recovery expected in 2027, reaching a profit of RMB 876.84 million [6]. - The company's cash and financial assets totaled RMB 4.528 billion as of June 30, 2025, an increase of 47.2% compared to the end of 2024 [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 253 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.4%, but incurred a loss of 762 million yuan [7] - The gross margin decreased to 24.8%, down by 25.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the selling expense ratio decreased by 8.0 percentage points to 20.4% [7] - The company has made significant progress in autonomous driving and robotics solutions, collaborating with major clients like Geely and Dongfeng [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is -900 million, -447 million, and 203 million yuan respectively, with a PE ratio of 51.49 for 2027 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 312 million yuan in 2023, 474 million yuan in 2024, 888 million yuan in 2025, 1,493 million yuan in 2026, and 3,487 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 88.82%, 51.81%, 87.21%, 68.14%, and 133.56% respectively [6] - The company is expected to have a gross margin of 50.27% in 2025, increasing to 60.81% in 2026, before slightly declining to 59.24% in 2027 [8] - The company's net profit margin is projected to improve significantly by 2027, with a return on equity (ROE) of 20.39% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Li Ning, with a target price of HKD 21.00, indicating a potential upside of 12.1% from the current price of HKD 18.77 [2][15]. Core Insights - Li Ning's operating profit for 1H25 exceeded market expectations, with revenue reaching RMB 14.82 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%. The growth was driven by the wholesale and e-commerce channels, while the self-operated channel saw a decline due to store closures [3][12]. - The company continues to implement a single-brand, multi-category strategy, focusing on professional product expansion, which has led to revenue growth in footwear and accessories [4][13]. - Olympic marketing is a central theme in Li Ning's mid-term strategy, with increased marketing expenses expected in the second half of the year [6][14]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 29.13 billion, RMB 30.64 billion, and RMB 32.30 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.6%, 5.2%, and 5.4% respectively [7][16]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be RMB 2.49 billion, RMB 2.84 billion, and RMB 3.17 billion for the same period, with a notable decline of 17.3% in 2025, followed by growth in subsequent years [7][16]. - The gross margin for 1H25 was reported at 50%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by deeper discounting and changes in channel contributions [3][12]. Category and Channel Adjustments - The company has concluded its category and channel adjustments, with a focus on enhancing brand equity and consumer engagement through Olympic marketing initiatives [15][16]. - Li Ning's footwear and apparel categories have shown mixed performance, with footwear revenue growing by 5% while apparel declined by 3% [4][13]. - The basketball category experienced a significant decline of 20% in revenue, attributed to proactive order control to maintain brand equity [4][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) with a target price of HKD 38.8 [2][8] Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of HKD 949.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 118.8 billion, up 16.2% year-on-year [2][8] - The core net profit contribution from recurring business is 60.2%, with a gross margin recovery in the development and sales business [8] - The company actively acquired land, maintaining a strong investment intensity, ranking among the top three in the industry [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 278.8 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.6%. However, a slight decline is expected in 2025 with a revenue forecast of HKD 277.8 billion, reflecting a decrease of 0.4% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease to HKD 24.4 billion in 2025, down 4.7% from 2024 [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at HKD 3.42, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.4 [4][8] Business Segment Analysis - The development and sales business accounted for 78% of total revenue, with a settlement income of HKD 743.6 billion, up 25.8% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 15.6%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points [8] - The recurring business generated revenue of HKD 205.6 billion, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, contributing 60.2% to the core net profit [8] - The shopping center segment showed stable growth, with retail sales reaching HKD 1,101.5 billion, a 20.2% increase year-on-year, and an operating profit margin of 65.9% [8] Investment Strategy - The company focuses on high-energy cities for land acquisition, with a projected increase in shopping center rental income to HKD 270 billion by 2028 [8] - The report adjusts the EPS forecast for 2025-2027 to HKD 3.42, HKD 3.72, and HKD 3.89 respectively, reflecting a cautious outlook on commercial operations [8]

计算机/软件开发 黑芝麻智能（02533.HK） 2025H1 亏损收窄，出海&机器人领域带来高成长性 2025 年 09 月 02 日 投资评级：增持（维持） | 日期 | 2025/9/1 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 18.520 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 43.850/14.500 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 117.47 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 117.47 | | 总股本(亿股) | 6.34 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 6.34 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 97.09 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 黑芝麻智能 恒生指数 相关研究报告 《自动驾驶产品及解决方案龙头，自 动驾驶&跨域计算双轮驱动成长—港 股公司首次覆盖报告》-2025.5.13 张可（分析师） 周勃宇（联系人） 风险提示：消费复苏不及预期、竞争加剧、监管变动、新业务拓展不及预期。 | 财务摘要和估值指标 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway [2][7][17] Core Views - The company's performance slightly underperformed expectations due to changes in the dividend cycle of Jiangsu Bank, with a reported revenue of RMB 9.406 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [7] - The toll revenue for H1 2025 showed a stable increase, amounting to approximately RMB 4.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 1.65% [7] - The ongoing expansion projects are expected to significantly improve regional traffic flow, with the completion of key infrastructure projects by the end of 2025 and mid-2026 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 15.192 billion - 2024: RMB 23.198 billion - 2025E: RMB 23.935 billion - 2026E: RMB 24.730 billion - 2027E: RMB 25.436 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 15% for 2023, 53% for 2024, and 3.2% for 2025E [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: RMB 4.413 billion - 2024: RMB 4.947 billion - 2025E: RMB 5.447 billion - 2026E: RMB 5.790 billion - 2027E: RMB 6.049 billion - The projected PE ratios are 10 for 2023, 9 for 2024, and 8 for 2025E [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 5.42 billion and a net profit of 750 million, representing year-on-year growth of 46% and 93% respectively [2][4]. - The company experienced substantial growth in overseas markets, with overall sales volume increasing by 23.6% to 10.82 million tons, while aggregate sales volume rose by 39.4% to 2.23 million tons [4]. - The company is actively pursuing capacity integration, including the acquisition of 1.2 million tons of cement capacity in Congo and the sale of its Xinjiang operations, totaling 3.5 million tons of cement capacity [4]. - The company anticipates continued expansion in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, which presents significant growth potential and higher profitability compared to domestic markets [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.42 billion, with 3.07 billion from the Chinese market and 2.35 billion from overseas markets. The overall gross profit was 1.63 billion, with domestic gross profit at 680 million and overseas gross profit at 950 million [4]. Sales Volume Analysis - Domestic sales volume decreased by 8.3% to 6.65 million tons, while the average selling price increased by 4.1% to 280 per ton, resulting in a gross profit of 64 per ton. In contrast, overseas sales volume surged by 178% to 4.17 million tons, with an average selling price of 486 per ton, leading to a gross profit of 181 per ton [4]. Capacity Expansion - The company has a total domestic cement production capacity of 28.5 million tons across 17 production lines, with significant capacities in Shaanxi, Guizhou, and Sichuan. The overseas production capacity stands at 13.6 million tons across 7 production lines, with ongoing projects expected to increase this capacity to 14.8 million tons [4]. Future Outlook - The company projects earnings of 1.4 billion and 1.9 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 9 and 7 times, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4].