Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Views - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are expected to boost the safe-haven appeal of precious metals like gold and silver [2]. - Despite inventory accumulation in copper, prices remain strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve considerations from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is anticipated to experience price fluctuations as the consumption season approaches, supported by macroeconomic factors [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong amid renewed concerns over supply disruptions from Myanmar [8]. - Lithium prices are rising due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are showing strength as demand recovers with the resumption of production [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions are driving up demand for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, with specific companies recommended for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Despite a significant increase in global copper inventories, prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and expectations of domestic demand recovery [3]. - **Aluminum**: The market is expected to see price volatility as downstream production resumes post-holiday, with macroeconomic conditions remaining favorable [4]. - **Nickel**: Prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel manufacturers [5]. - **Tin**: Prices are expected to experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns stemming from Myanmar's political situation [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, influenced by export restrictions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: The price of cobalt has risen by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, supported by recovering demand as production resumes [10]. Key Companies - Recommended companies for investment include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao, among others, reflecting strong growth potential in the non-ferrous metals sector [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Insights - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are driving increased demand for precious metals as a safe haven, suggesting a strong long-term investment value in this sector [2]. - Despite a significant increase in copper inventories, the price remains strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve initiatives from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations, but overall demand is anticipated to recover as downstream production resumes [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills, indicating a positive outlook for the nickel market [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong due to ongoing supply concerns from Myanmar and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [8]. - Lithium prices are rising sharply due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are also showing strength as demand from precursor companies increases, with expectations of a stable recovery in the market [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the benefits of precious metals in times of geopolitical uncertainty, recommending companies such as Xinyi Silver and Zijin Mining for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: The report notes a 32,200-ton increase in global copper inventories but emphasizes that prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and ongoing demand [3]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum market is experiencing a significant inventory build-up, but demand is expected to recover as production resumes post-holiday [4]. - **Nickel**: Nickel prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel mills [5]. - **Tin**: The report indicates that tin prices may experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns from Myanmar [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Lithium prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, driven by supply disruptions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: Cobalt prices have increased by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, with demand from precursor companies showing signs of recovery [10].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨金属、非金属与采矿 [Table_Title] 中东风险升温，贵金属、战略金属价值再重估 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周随中东局势骤然恶化，避险情绪回升，周内金价震荡上行突破 5200 美元/盎司。2 月下旬， 以色列对德黑兰的预防性打击打破了市场的脆弱平衡。尽管美伊在日内瓦的核谈判据称有所进 展，但实际军事行动的升级直接导致了月末的"避险潮"。当前三重维度下，重视贵金属板块的 弹性。国内刺激政策，海外中东风险，推涨工业金属。商品端，短期中东风险升温，催化铜铝 涨价，中长期经济底部与逆全球化促进供需结构优化，弹性可期。权益端，重视板块节后机会。 碳酸锂供给扰动也现，重视权益第二轮行情。全面重视战略金属配置价值。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 肖勇 叶如祯 王筱茜 肖百桓 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490519080004 SAC：S0490 ...

本周行情综述 铜：本周 LME 铜价+1.99%到 13259.0 美元/吨，沪铜+3.53%到 10.39 万元/吨。供应端，据 SMM，进口铜精矿加工费周 度指数升至-50.43 美元/吨；截至本周四，全国主流地区铜库存环比周二增加 4.56%，总库存同比去年同期增加 15.56 万吨。冶炼端，节后国内废产阳极板企业陆续复工但产量尚未恢复，本周 SMM 废产阳极板企业开工率为 7.45%，预计 下周随企业陆续正常生产，开工率恢复至 54.09%。消费端，据 SMM，铜线缆企业开工率 27.72%，环比增加 12.52 个百 分点。节后正月初八起，多数线缆企业已陆续复工，但受终端复苏滞后影响，尚未完全进入满产状态，生产以执行节 前在手订单为主。元宵节后终端行业将逐步复工，订单释放节奏有望加快，预期下周铜线缆开工率环比增加 30.64 个 百分点至 58.36%，同比去年复工第二周增加 1.25 个百分点；本周漆包线行业已全面复工，但终端消费复苏偏缓，企 业普遍反馈需求恢复至正常水平需待元宵节后，符合往年节奏。 铝：本周 LME 铝价+1.16%到 3141.5 美元/吨，沪铝+2.76%到 2.38 万元/ ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 3 月 1 日 节后多数金属价格继续回暖，后续仍看好关键 金属全面行情 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ►印尼供应扰动提升市场供给偏紧预期，对镍矿价格或 有支撑 截止到 2 月 27 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 17685 美元/ 吨，较 2 月 20 日上涨 3.09%，LME 镍总库存为 287976 吨， 较 2 月 20 日增加 0.09%；沪镍报收 14.15 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 1.05%，沪镍库存为 60,791 吨，较 2 月 13 日增加 0.03%；截止到 2 月 27 日，硫酸镍报收 33 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 0.30%。根据 SMM，政策端，市场正密切关注印 尼 ESDM 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日发布 2026 年镍矿 RKAB 配 额，司长 Tri Winarno 确认本年度获批产量仅为 2.6 亿至 2.7 亿 吨。这一紧缩趋势在重点项目中尤为显著：据 Eramet 官方消 息，WBN 收到的最初配 ...

本周行情综述 铜：本周 LME 铜价+1.99%到 13259.0 美元/吨，沪铜+3.53%到 10.39 万元/吨。供应端，据 SMM，进口铜精矿加工费周 度指数升至-50.43 美元/吨；截至本周四，全国主流地区铜库存环比周二增加 4.56%，总库存同比去年同期增加 15.56 万吨。冶炼端，节后国内废产阳极板企业陆续复工但产量尚未恢复，本周 SMM 废产阳极板企业开工率为 7.45%，预计 下周随企业陆续正常生产，开工率恢复至 54.09%。消费端，据 SMM，铜线缆企业开工率 27.72%，环比增加 12.52 个百 分点。节后正月初八起，多数线缆企业已陆续复工，但受终端复苏滞后影响，尚未完全进入满产状态，生产以执行节 前在手订单为主。元宵节后终端行业将逐步复工，订单释放节奏有望加快，预期下周铜线缆开工率环比增加 30.64 个 百分点至 58.36%，同比去年复工第二周增加 1.25 个百分点；本周漆包线行业已全面复工，但终端消费复苏偏缓，企 业普遍反馈需求恢复至正常水平需待元宵节后，符合往年节奏。 铝：本周 LME 铝价+1.16%到 3141.5 美元/吨，沪铝+2.76%到 2.38 万元/ ...

证券研究报告 小金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 03 月 01 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈婉妤 SAC：S1350524110006 chenwanyu@huayuanstock.com 项祈瑞 SAC：S1350524040002 xiangqirui@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 供给收缩下游提价，产业链上下游联动推动钨价新高 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——小金属双周报（2026/2/16-2026/2/27） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 | | | 稀土：供给格局紧张下游补库，氧化镨钕突破新高。近两周，氧化镨钕上涨 4.71% 至 89 万元/吨，氧化镝上涨 9.83%至 162 万元/吨，氧化铽上涨 1.56%至 652.5 万元 / ...

节后多数金属价格继续回暖，后续仍看好关键 金属全面行情 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ►印尼供应扰动提升市场供给偏紧预期，对镍矿价格或 有支撑 截止到 2 月 27 日，LME 镍现货结算价报收 17685 美元/ 吨，较 2 月 20 日上涨 3.09%，LME 镍总库存为 287976 吨， 较 2 月 20 日增加 0.09%；沪镍报收 14.15 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 1.05%，沪镍库存为 60,791 吨，较 2 月 13 日增加 0.03%；截止到 2 月 27 日，硫酸镍报收 33 万元/吨，较 2 月 13 日价格上涨 0.30%。根据 SMM，政策端，市场正密切关注印 尼 ESDM 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日发布 2026 年镍矿 RKAB 配 额，司长 Tri Winarno 确认本年度获批产量仅为 2.6 亿至 2.7 亿 吨。这一紧缩趋势在重点项目中尤为显著：据 Eramet 官方消 息，WBN 收到的最初配额仅为 1200 万湿吨，较去年的 4200 万湿吨大幅缩减。整体市场将维持供需紧平 ...

Group 1 - The market is expected to maintain a balanced growth and value style as it approaches the "Two Sessions" in March, with sectors sensitive to macro policies like real estate and cyclical industries showing potential for marginal improvement [1] - The market is projected to transition from a policy-driven phase to a fundamental-driven phase by mid to late April, with potential pressure on market sentiment if corporate earnings reports fall short of expectations [1] - Current market conditions indicate ample liquidity and rising policy expectations, making it suitable to moderately position in sectors with safety margins and high sensitivity to policy changes while awaiting new catalysts [1] Group 2 - The recommended stocks for March 2026 include Huaxi Nonferrous Metals, which is expected to benefit from rising tin and antimony prices due to its strong resource endowment and clear growth path [18] - Lu'an Huanneng is highlighted for its high proportion of spot coal sales, which provides good earnings elasticity during coal price upcycles, alongside low current industry inventory levels [18] - Industrial Fulian is noted for its deep ties with leading clients and its role as a core manufacturer for AI server OEMs, with expected high growth rates in earnings [18] Group 3 - Key financial data for the recommended stocks includes Huaxi Nonferrous Metals with an EPS forecast of 2.45 yuan for 2026 and a PE ratio of 26, indicating a strong growth outlook [21] - Lu'an Huanneng is projected to have an EPS of 1.01 yuan for 2026 with a PE ratio of 15, reflecting its favorable valuation [21] - Ningde Times is expected to achieve an EPS of 19.99 yuan for 2026 with a PE ratio of 17, indicating significant growth potential in the power equipment sector [21]

行业主要上市公司：湖南黄金(002155);华锡有色(600301);华钰矿业(601020)等 贸易顺差转为逆差 行业出口金额及数量大幅下滑 从中华人民共和国海关总署统计数据来看，2020-2024年锑产品出口金额呈现波动态势，2024年为5.26 亿美元，同比上涨22%;此外，由于海关总署的禁令影响，中国锑出口量快速下滑，2024年出口量下降 至3.44万吨，2025年1-10月仅剩0.56万吨。 据海关数据显示，2020-2024年中国锑行业进出口总额波动上升，2024年上升至8.2亿美元。行业长期处 于贸易顺差，2024年行业贸易顺差2.32亿美元。2025年，受海关禁令的影响，行业贸易顺差转为逆差， 为0.65亿美元。 注：2025年统计时间段为1-10月，下同。 锑原料产量持续上涨 根据中国有色金属工业协会披露的数据，2020-2024年，我国锑原料产量从2020年的4.22万吨下降至 20201年的3.58万吨后，逐年递增，2024年中国锑原料产量为4.62万吨，同比上升13.1%。 三氧化二锑产量回落 与受技术的提高以及下游需求的影响，三氧化二锑产量在2021年大幅度上升，但随后受锑原料及锑锭 ...