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LPG:短期供应偏紧,地缘扰动偏强,丙烯:现货供需收紧,趋势偏强
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-13 02:00
2026 年 1 月 13 日 LPG:短期供应偏紧,地缘扰动偏强 丙烯:现货供需收紧,趋势偏强 陈鑫超 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0020238 chenxinchao@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 LPG 基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货价格 | PG2602 | 4,239 | 0.43% | 4,213 | -0.61% | | | PG2603 | 4,155 | 0.46% | 4,123 | -0.77% | | | PL2602 | 5,978 | 1.10% | 5,887 | -1.52% | | | PL2603 | 6,071 | 1.13% | 5,980 | -1.50% | | | PL2604 | 6,098 | 1.13% | 6,032 | -1.08% | | 持仓&成交 | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | | PG2602 | 52,187 | 4843 | 29,464 | -3998 | | | P ...
《能源化工》日报-20260113
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-13 01:48
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Polyolefins - LLDPE: HD - LLD spread is narrowing, with marginal supply increase of LLDPE expected, demand in seasonal off - peak, and downstream开工率 weakening. Attention should be paid to demand sustainability [2]. - PP: Supply - demand is weak. There are many maintenance plans in January, with inventory reduction expected. PDH plants in South China coastal areas have new maintenance plans, and the balance has improved significantly. Pay attention to the implementation of later maintenance plans [2]. Methanol - Futures fluctuate narrowly, and spot is purchased on - demand. Inland prices are expected to fluctuate, and port prices are restricted by factors such as low MTO profits and potential maintenance of coastal MTO plants [4][6]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure Benzene: Short - term supply - demand is weak, with high inventory pressure. It is expected to fluctuate in the range of 5300 - 5600. - Styrene: Short - term supply - demand is in tight balance, but there is inventory accumulation expectation around the Spring Festival. It is not advisable to chase long in the short - term, and opportunities to short EB03 and shrink processing fees at high levels can be considered [9]. LPG No overall view is provided in the report, only data on price, inventory, and开工率 are presented [11]. Glass and Soda Ash - Soda Ash: Affected by macro - sentiment and short - term demand expectations, it fluctuates upward. The supply remains high, and the demand is slightly weak. It is expected to continue the oscillatory pattern in the short - term [13]. - Glass: After the previous rise, it oscillates and falls back. The supply decreases, and the demand shrinks. It is recommended to wait and see, paying attention to the winter storage situation [13]. Crude Oil - Affected by geopolitical risks such as the situation in Iran, oil prices rise, but the increase is limited due to the weak supply - demand expectation. Brent crude oil should pay attention to the pressure around $65 per barrel [14]. Natural Rubber - Supply in Southeast Asia is increasing during the high - yielding tapping period, but overseas raw material prices may remain high. Demand recovery is limited, and inventory in Qingdao increases. It is expected that rubber prices will oscillate in the range of 15500 - 16500 [15]. Urea - Supply remains high, and demand is weak. There is no substantial improvement in supply - demand, and prices are expected to be weak and oscillatory. Attention should be paid to the resumption rhythm of plants and downstream demand [18]. PVC and Caustic Soda - Caustic Soda: Futures oscillate and fall, supply increases slightly, demand lacks improvement, and prices are expected to be stable and weak [19]. - PVC: Affected by export policies, prices fluctuate emotionally. The fundamentals are still under pressure, and short - term short positions should be on hold [19]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX: Supply is high, demand is weak, and it is expected to oscillate at a high level before the Spring Festival. It is recommended to go long at low levels in the medium - term and conduct long - spread arbitrage on PX5 - 9 at low levels [20]. - PTA: Supply - demand is expected to weaken, with limited inventory accumulation in January and greater pressure in February. It is recommended to oscillate in the range of 5000 - 5300 in the short - term, go long at low levels in the medium - term, and conduct long - spread arbitrage on TA5 - 9 at low levels [20]. - MEG: Supply is high, demand is weakening, and there is a large - scale inventory accumulation expectation in January - February. Pay attention to the pressure around 4000 for EG2605, conduct reverse - spread arbitrage on EG5 - 9 at high levels, and sell out - of - the - money call options EG2605 - C - 4100 at high levels [20]. - Short - fiber: Supply - demand is weak, and prices follow raw materials to oscillate. Unilateral trading is the same as PTA, and the processing fee on the PF plate is recommended to be shrunk at high levels [20]. - Bottle - chip: Supply and demand both decrease, and prices and processing fees follow the cost end. Unilateral trading is the same as PTA, and the processing fee on the PR main - contract plate is expected to fluctuate in the range of 300 - 450 yuan/ton [20]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Polyolefins - **Price and Spread**: Futures and spot prices of LLDPE and PP increase, and spreads such as L15, PP15, and LP01 change [2]. - **Inventory and开工率**: PE企业 inventory and社会库存 increase, PP企业 inventory decreases, and PP贸易商 inventory increases. PE装置开工率 and下游加权开工率 increase slightly, while PP装置开工率 and downstream开工率 decrease [2]. Methanol - **Price and Spread**: Futures prices of MA2605 and MA2609 decrease slightly, and spreads and basis change [4]. - **Inventory**: Methanol企业 inventory,港口库存, and社会库存 all increase [5]. - **开工率**: Upstream domestic企业开工率 increases, and some downstream开工率 decreases [6]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Upstream Price and Spread**: Prices of upstream products such as Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil, and CFR Japan naphtha increase [9]. - **Benzene - Styrene Price and Spread**: Prices of pure benzene and styrene increase, and spreads and basis change [9]. - **Inventory and开工率**: Pure benzene江苏港口库存 increases slightly, and styrene江苏港口库存 decreases.开工率 of some industries in the industrial chain changes [9]. LPG - **Price and Spread**: Futures and spot prices of LPG increase slightly, and spreads and basis change [11]. - **Inventory and开工率**: LPG炼厂库容比,港口库存, and港口库容比 all decrease slightly. Upstream主营炼厂开工率 increases, and some downstream开工率 changes slightly [11]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Price and Spread**: Glass and soda ash prices are relatively stable, and spreads and basis change [13]. - **Supply and Demand**: Soda ash开工率 and周产量 increase, while浮法日熔量 decreases slightly. Glass厂库库存 decreases, and soda ash厂库库存 increases [13]. - **Real Estate Data**: New - start area, construction area, completion area, and sales area of real estate all change [13]. Crude Oil - **Price and Spread**: Prices of Brent, WTI, and SC crude oil increase, and spreads and basis change [14]. - **Refined Oil Price and Spread**: Prices of refined oil products such as NYM RBOB and NYM ULSD change, and spreads and basis change [14]. Natural Rubber - **Spot Price and Basis**: Prices of natural rubber spot products change slightly, and basis and non - standard spreads change [15]. - **Fundamental Data**: Production in some countries in November changes,开工率 of tire industries changes, and import and export volumes increase [15]. - **Inventory Change**:保税区库存 increases, and上期所厂库期货库存 decreases [15]. Urea - **Futures and Spot Price**: Futures prices oscillate and rise, and spot prices decline slightly [18]. - **Supply and Demand**: Domestic urea日产量 and周产量 increase,装置检修损失量 decreases,厂内库存 increases slightly, and港口库存 decreases [18]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Price and Spread**: Prices of PVC and caustic soda products change slightly, and spreads and basis change [19]. - **Supply and Demand**:开工率 of the chlor - alkali industry and some downstream industries changes, and inventory of PVC and caustic soda increases [19]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Upstream Price**: Prices of upstream products such as Brent crude oil, CFR Japan naphtha, and CFR China MX increase [20]. - **Downstream Polyester Product Price and Cash - flow**: Prices and cash - flows of polyester products such as POY, FDY, and DTY change [20]. - **PX, PTA, MEG Price and Spread**: Prices and spreads of PX, PTA, and MEG change, and inventory and开工率 of MEG change [20]. - **开工率**:开工率 of industries in the polyester industrial chain changes [20].
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20260113
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-13 01:42
日期 动力煤期 货 江苏现货 华南现货 鲁南折盘 面 西南折盘面 河北折盘 面 西北折盘 面 CFR中国 CFR东南 亚 进口利润 主力基差 2026/01/0 801 2275 2248 2350 - 2345 2450 266 322 22 10 - 2026/01/0 801 2285 2250 2350 - 2345 2443 268 322 8 0 - 2026/01/0 801 2230 2220 2340 - 2345 2448 264 322 -19 -10 - 2026/01/0 801 2250 2235 2340 - 2345 2430 267 322 -20 -10 - 2026/01/1 801 2260 2250 2340 - 2345 2438 - - - -10 - 日度变化 0 10 15 0 - 0 8 - - - 0 - 观点 内地见底,港口交易大去库,但需注意到大去库前提是MTO开工高,目前MTO利润一般,压制甲醇高度;委内船月 度预计2-3船,8 -10w月均,关注后续发酵,短期可能仍正常发货,另一边关注油的变化,甲醇现在高度有限是因为 其他下游不行,如果油把其他东 ...
沪银主力合约收涨7.23%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 19:03
转自:智通财经 【沪银主力合约收涨7.23%】智通财经1月13日电,沪金主力合约收涨1.31%,报1030元/克。沪银主力合 约收涨7.23%,报21268元/千克。SC原油主力合约收跌0.07%,报435元/桶。 ...
黑色金属日报-20260112
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 11:08
| | | | 11/11/11 | コメデリン | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2026年01月12日 | | 螺纹 | 女女女 | 曹颖 首席分析师 | | 热卷 | ななな | F3003925 Z0012043 | | 铁矿 | ☆☆☆ | 何建辉 高级分析师 | | 焦炭 | ★☆☆ | F0242190 Z0000586 | | 焦煤 | ★☆☆ | | | 鐵硅 | ★★☆ | 韩惊 高级分析师 | | 硅铁 | ★★☆ | F03086835 Z0016553 | | | | 李啸尘 高级分析师 | | | | F3054140 Z0016022 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【焦煤】 【钢材】 今日盘面有所反弹。淡季螺纹表需继续下滑,产量小幅回升,库存开始累积。热卷需求回落,产量继续小幅回升,库存缓慢去 化,压力仍有待缓解。钢厂利润边际修复,高炉逐步复产,铁水短期继续回升,持续性有待观察。从下游行业看,地产投资降 幅继续扩大,基建、制造业投资增速持续回落,内需整体依 ...
碳酸锂日报:碳酸锂强势运行-20260112
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 10:03
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate market is strongly operating. The main contract LC2605.GFE in the futures market closed at 156,060 yuan/ton, up 12,640 yuan/ton from the previous day, showing an upward trend in the past 10 trading days. The spot price of lithium carbonate was 152,120 yuan/ton, up 8.63% from the previous day, also showing an upward trend in the past 10 trading days. The current basis is -3300 points, a negative basis (spot discount), 160 points weaker than the previous day, and the basis has strengthened overall in the past 10 trading days. The registered warehouse receipt volume of lithium carbonate is 25,970 lots, an increase of 610 lots (+2.41%) from the previous day, and the warehouse receipts have increased overall in the past 10 trading days. The reduction of the tax refund rate has led to the front - loading of short - term demand for lithium carbonate [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - **Futures Market**: The closing price of the main contract was 156,060 yuan/ton, up 12,640 yuan/ton from the previous day and 26,080 yuan/ton from 5 trading days ago; the settlement price was 155,420 yuan/ton, up 12,240 yuan/ton from the previous day and 28,860 yuan/ton from 5 trading days ago [6]. - **Lithium Ore Prices**: The prices of lithium spodumene and lithium mica from different origins have changed to varying degrees. For example, the price of Australian CIF6 Chinese lithium spodumene concentrate is 2040 - 2150 US dollars/ton, with an increase of 85 - 105 US dollars/ton from the previous day and 470 - 500 US dollars/ton from 5 trading days ago. The average price of lithium mica in the Chinese market has also increased [6]. - **Lithium Salt Prices**: The price of domestic 99.5% electric lithium carbonate was 152,120 yuan/ton, up 12,080 yuan/ton from the previous day and 32,590 yuan/ton from 5 trading days ago; the price of domestic 56.5% lithium hydroxide was 143,030 yuan/ton, up 10,990 yuan/ton from the previous day and 32,140 yuan/ton from 5 trading days ago [6]. - **Downstream Product Prices**: The prices of some downstream products such as ternary precursors, ternary materials, and cobalt acid lithium have changed. For example, the price of the ternary precursor (523) was 106,500 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day but up 10,000 yuan/ton from 5 trading days ago [6]. 3.2 Related Charts - **Ore and Lithium Prices**: There are charts showing the price changes of lithium mica, lithium carbonate futures, lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate basis, and the price difference between lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate [8]. - **Cathode & Ternary Materials**: There are charts presenting the prices of manganese acid lithium, lithium iron phosphate, cobalt acid lithium, ternary precursors, and ternary materials [10][13][15]. - **Other Related Data of Lithium Carbonate Futures**: There are charts showing the changes in the trading volume, open interest, and registered warehouse receipt volume of the main lithium carbonate contract [18][19].
甲醇:港口库存预期下降,震荡偏强
Ning Zheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 09:58
期货研究报告 2026年1月12日 周报 甲醇:港口库存预期下降,震荡偏强 蒯三可 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015369 kuaisanke@nzfco.com 报告导读: 1、市场回顾与展望:上周港口甲醇市场继续走强运行为主,其中江苏价格波动区间在2210-2310元/吨, 广东价格波动在2190-2280元/吨。外轮卸货速度顺畅,加之部分库区提货减弱,港口甲醇库存继续累积,但 在进口预期减量及国际形势不稳对市场情绪的提振下,周期内港口甲醇市场走强运行为主。内地甲醇价格先 涨后跌,主产区鄂尔多斯北线价格波动区间在1843-1858元/吨;下游东营接货价格波动区间2123-2140元/吨。 受港口价格上行、烯烃外采增加及下游节后补库支撑,周内多地价格走高;但随后港口烯烃装置停车、下游 原料库存高企的利空因素显现,高价货源成交乏力,市场价格随之回落。 展望:甲醇企业整体利润不佳,国内甲醇开工预期高位维持,中东季节性限气落地,1月份港口到货预 期下降,本周甲醇下游整体需求预计较稳。甲醇供应充裕,港口库存高位上升,本周预期有所下降。预计甲 醇价格近期震荡略偏强运行,05合约下方支撑2220一线。 关注因素:1.甲醇 ...
有色日报:有色普涨-20260112
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 08:55
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 投资咨询证号:Z0014648 电话:0571-87006873 有色金属 姓名:龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号:F3035632 邮箱:longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书,期货投 资咨询资格证书,本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度,独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 有色金属 | 日报 2026 年 1 月 12 日 有色日报 专业研究·创造价值 有色普涨 核心观点 沪铜 今日沪铜高开,主力期价一度逼近 10.4 万关口,随后呈现高位震 荡态势,日内持仓量上升明显,沪铜持仓量已逼近 70 万张。周末归 来,市场宏观氛围依旧较好,日内无论是商品还是股市呈现普涨态 势。产业端,SMM 报道,铜价持续高位运行,对下游采购情绪形成显 著压制出库节奏疲软,国内电解铜社会库存已连续六周累库。 沪铝 今日沪铝冲高回落,持仓量上升明显。周一宏观氛围较好,有色 板块普涨,但铝日内表现较 ...
格林大华期货早盘提示:棉花-20260112
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 08:08
Morning session notice 早盘提示 Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 01 月 12 日星期一 重要事项: 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料,格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证,也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正,但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价,投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关,格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失,敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 研究员: 王子健 从业资格:F03087965 交易咨询资格:Z0019551 联系方式:17803978037 | 板块 | 品种 | 多(空) | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | ICE3 月合约结算价 64.41 ...
广发期货日报-20260112
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-12 07:37
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Steel Industry - The current demand for steel is weak, and prices have fully priced in the weak demand. Before the holiday, attention should be paid to the impact of policies on the expected demand for steel. In December, steel prices fluctuated with the rhythm of raw material prices and maintained a sideways trend. With significant steel production cuts, the downward driving force is not strong, but the weak demand expectation for the May contract restricts the upward price space. The upward elasticity depends on changes in the raw material supply side. Overall, it is expected to fluctuate within a range in January. The reference range for the May contract of rebar is 3050 - 3250 yuan, and for hot - rolled coils is 3200 - 3350 yuan [1]. Iron Ore Industry - The fundamental pattern of iron ore has shifted to a situation of weak supply and demand. The price ceiling is suppressed by high inventories, and there is support from the expected restocking of steel mills below. In terms of supply, the global iron ore shipment volume decreased this period, and the mine's fiscal year impulse is basically over. Future focus should be on the weather in the Southern Hemisphere. On the demand side, the hot - metal production continued to resume, and the resumption speed accelerated. The iron ore inventory in ports increased significantly this week, and it is expected to continue to accumulate in the short term. In the future, iron ore will gradually transition from a situation of loose supply - demand to weak supply - demand. During the off - season, attention should be paid to macro - sentiment and policy expectations. It is expected that iron ore prices will fluctuate widely in the short term [4]. Coke and Coking Coal Industry - For coking coal, last week, the coking coal futures fluctuated upward. The spot prices of Shanxi increased more than decreased, and the Mongolian coal quotes rebounded following the futures. The supply side has entered the resumption stage, with improved shipments but still inventory accumulation. The demand side has seen a decrease in steel mill losses and an increase in hot - metal production, and the restocking demand has improved. For coke, last week, the coke futures also fluctuated upward. After the fourth round of price cuts on January 1st, the coke market is currently weakly stable. The supply side has a lag in coke price adjustment compared to coking coal, with pressured coking profits and increased production starts. The demand side has seen an increase in hot - metal production and a rebound in steel prices. In terms of inventory, the overall inventory has slightly increased. For both, the one - sided strategy suggests going long on dips, and the arbitrage strategy is to go long on coking coal and short on coke [6]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry - For ferrosilicon, the supply - demand situation has marginally improved, and there is support from the cost side. The supply is at a relatively low level in the same period of history, and the production in Inner Mongolia is stable with new capacity put into operation at the end of last year, so there is still room for short - term production growth. The demand for steelmaking has support, and the demand for ferrosilicon from the metal magnesium industry is also strong. It is expected that the price will fluctuate within the range of 5500 - 6200 yuan, and short - term attention should be paid to macro, policy expectations, and cost - side changes. For ferromanganese, it is in a state of self - oversupply but overall balance of manganese elements. The manganese ore provides support for the price, and there is also support from off - season demand. It is expected that the price will fluctuate widely, and the strategy suggests range - bound operations with a reference range of 5800 - 6300 yuan [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Steel Industry Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar and hot - rolled coil prices in various regions and contract prices all decreased compared to the previous day. For example, the spot price of rebar in East China decreased from 3320 yuan to 3290 yuan, and the 05 - contract price of hot - rolled coils decreased from 3332 yuan to 3294 yuan [1]. Cost and Profit - The prices of steel billets and slabs remained unchanged. The cost of Jiangsu's electric - arc furnace rebar increased by 3 yuan, while the cost of converter rebar decreased by 17 yuan. The profits of hot - rolled coils in East and North China decreased, while the profit of rebar in North China increased by 28 yuan [1]. Production - The daily average hot - metal production increased by 1.6 to 229.0, a 0.7% increase. The production of the five major steel products increased by 3.4 to 818.6, a 0.4% increase. The production of rebar increased by 2.8 to 191.0, a 1.5% increase, with the electric - arc furnace production increasing by 6.6% and the converter production increasing by 0.5%. The production of hot - rolled coils increased by 1.0 to 305.5, a 0.3% increase [1]. Inventory - The inventory of the five major steel products increased by 21.8 to 1253.9, a 1.8% increase. The rebar inventory increased by 16.1 to 438.1, a 3.8% increase, while the hot - rolled coil inventory decreased by 2.8 to 368.1, a 0.8% decrease [1]. Transaction and Demand - The building materials trading volume increased by 0.5 to 8.9, a 6.6% increase. The apparent demand for the five major steel products decreased by 44.2 to 796.8, a 5.3% decrease. The apparent demand for rebar decreased by 25.5 to 175.0, a 12.7% decrease, and the apparent demand for hot - rolled coils decreased by 2.4 to 308.3, a 0.8% decrease [1]. Iron Ore Industry Prices and Spreads - The warehouse - receipt costs of various iron ore powders increased slightly, and the 05 - contract basis of some powders changed slightly. The 5 - 9 spread increased by 0.5 to 21.5, a 2.4% increase, and the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 7.5 to 37.5, a 16.7% decrease [4]. Supply - The 45 - port arrival volume increased by 155.0 to 2756.4, a 6.0% increase, while the global shipment volume decreased by 463.4 to 3213.7, a 12.6% decrease. The national monthly import volume decreased by 76.9 to 11054.0, a 0.7% decrease [4]. Demand - The 247 - steel - mill daily average hot - metal production increased by 2.1 to 229.5, a 0.9% increase. The 45 - port daily average ore - removal volume decreased by 1.9 to 323.3, a 0.6% decrease. The national monthly pig - iron production decreased by 320.6 to 6234.3, a 4.9% decrease, and the national monthly crude - steel production decreased by 212.6 to 6987.1, a 3.0% decrease [4]. Inventory Changes - The 45 - port inventory increased by 304.4 to 16275.26, a 1.9% increase. The 247 - steel - mill imported ore inventory increased by 43.0 to 8989.6, a 0.5% increase, and the inventory - available days of 64 steel mills decreased by 1.0 to 19.0, a 5.0% decrease [4]. Coke and Coking Coal Industry Prices and Spreads - The prices of coke and coking coal contracts decreased slightly. The coking profit decreased by 11, and the sample coal - mine profit decreased by 26, a 5.14% decrease [6]. Supply - The daily average production of all - sample coking plants increased by 0.9 to 63.6, a 1.4% increase, and the 247 - steel - mill daily average production increased by 0.1 to 46.9, a 0.1% increase. The raw - coal production decreased by 2.7 to 853.4, a 0.3% decrease [6]. Demand - The 247 - steel - mill hot - metal production increased by 2.1 to 229.5, a 0.9% increase [6]. Inventory Changes - The total coke inventory increased slightly. The coke inventory of all - sample coking plants decreased by 5.5 to 86.1, a 6.0% decrease, and the 247 - steel - mill coke inventory increased by 1.7 to 645.7, a 0.3% increase. The coking - coal inventory of 247 steel mills decreased by 4.5 to 797.7, a 0.64% decrease [6]. Supply - Demand Gap - The calculated coke supply - demand gap decreased from - 0.6 to - 0.7, a 15.1% decrease [6]. Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry Prices and Spreads - The spot prices of ferrosilicon and ferromanganese decreased. The ferrosilicon main - contract closing price decreased by 36.0 to 5632.0, a 0.6% decrease, and the ferromanganese main - contract closing price increased by 12.0 to 5904.0, a 0.24% increase [7]. Cost and Profit - The production costs of ferrosilicon in some regions remained unchanged, and the production profit in Inner Mongolia decreased. The production costs of ferromanganese in some regions changed slightly, and the manganese - ore supply indicators such as shipment volume, arrival volume, and removal volume increased [7]. Supply - The ferrosilicon production enterprise's operating rate increased slightly, and the weekly ferromanganese production decreased by 0.3 to 19.1, a 1.4% decrease [7]. Demand - The demand for ferrosilicon and ferromanganese from the steel - making industry has support. The 247 - steel - mill daily average hot - metal production increased by 2.1 to 229.5, a 0.9% increase [7]. Inventory Changes - The ferrosilicon inventory of 60 sample enterprises increased by 0.5 to 6.9, a 7.1% increase, and the inventory of 63 sample enterprises of ferromanganese decreased by 1.1 to 38.3, a 2.8% decrease [7].