Core Viewpoint - The decline in commodity and oil prices is significantly impacting tax revenues in Brazil [1] Group 1 - The Brazilian Finance Minister highlighted that the drop in prices for commodities and oil has led to a reduction in tax income [1] - The government is facing challenges in maintaining fiscal balance due to these declining revenues [1] - The situation underscores the vulnerability of Brazil's economy to fluctuations in global commodity prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in commodity prices, if permanent, may offset the negative impact of recent foreign exchange fluctuations on inflation [1] Group 1 - The Turkish central bank governor highlighted the potential benefits of stable commodity prices on inflation management [1]

4月中国大宗商品价格指数为109.9点，环比下跌3.1%。从指数运行情况来看，主要是受美对等关税政策 加剧全球经济下行担忧，以及国际大宗商品价格下跌的输入性传导影响。从国内外比较来看，我大宗商 品价格指数的环比跌幅，远小于西方国家CRB指数(-6.6%)和S&P GSCI指数(-8.8%)水平，充分反映我国 大宗商品市场的韧性和优势，能够有效抵御外部冲击，保障经济相对稳定运行。截至4月30日，受中央 政治局会议提振，多数大宗商品价格和指数止跌反弹，脱离月内低点，表明企业对未来市场预期总体稳 定。后市随国家系列稳经济政策的加快推出，以及国内需求的稳定释放，我国大宗商品市场具备继续平 稳向好运行基础。(智通财经) ...

Core Viewpoint - The focus is on the current state of the gold market, with a specific mention of gold bulls returning to a price level of 3350, and an analysis of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting's impact on commodity futures [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The live broadcast will feature insights from a senior futures researcher, Leo, who will analyze the current market trends for gold and other popular futures [1] - The discussion will include an examination of the fundamental aspects of futures commodities and a forecast of the future direction of the commodity market [1]

Energy - Petrobras, the Brazilian state oil company, has lowered diesel prices [2] - EU officials announced that the European Commission will propose a legal ban on imports of natural gas and LNG from Russia by the end of 2027 [2] - Saudi Arabia set the official selling price for June Arab Light crude oil to the US at a premium of $3.40 per barrel over the Argus sour crude benchmark, and to Asia at a premium of $1.40 per barrel over the Oman/Dubai average [2] - Apollo Global Management's economist Torsten Slok indicated that the significant drop in oil prices may lead US producers to cut production and potentially seek layoffs [2] Precious Metals and Mining - Goldman Sachs reiterated its bullish structural outlook on gold, forecasting a price of $3,700 per ounce by the end of the year and $4,000 by mid-2026 [3] - The Reserve Bank of India reported holding 879.59 tons of gold as part of its foreign exchange reserves as of March 31, with domestic holdings at 511.99 tons [3] - The government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo has initiated a new round of dialogue with rebel groups [3] - The President of Peru announced a curfew in areas where miners were killed, leading to a 30-day suspension of all mining activities in the Pataz region [3] Agriculture - Russian agricultural consultancy IKAR reported that the FOB price for Russian wheat with a protein content of 12.5% fell by $2 to $247 per ton from late March to early April [4] - Kazakhstan plans to increase sunflower planting area by 9.5% by 2025 to diversify its crops [4] - The Thai Ministry of Commerce aims to achieve a rice export target of 7.5 million tons this year [4] Trade Policy - India proposed to implement reciprocal zero tariffs on a certain quantity of US auto parts and steel [5] - Sources revealed that the US recently rejected Japan's request for a comprehensive exemption from the 10% reciprocal tariffs and tariffs targeting specific countries [5]

6. 美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）：截至4月29日当周，WTI原油期货投机性净多头头寸增加2,716 手至116,599手。 7. 美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）：截至4月29日当周，NYMEX、ICE市场的天然气期货净多头寸 减少14,904手至185,432手。 金十数据整理：每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递（5月5日） 能源： 6. 美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）：截至4月29日当周，COMEX黄金期货投机性净多头头寸减少 9,857手至115,865手。 1. 欧佩克+同意6月继续加速增产后，可能在6月批准7月再次加速增产41.1万桶/日。 2. 基于欧佩克+供应增加的假设，高盛下调油价预估。 3. 巴克莱下调今明两年布油价格预期，因欧佩克+加速增产。 4. 贝克休斯油服：美国钻井公司三周来首次削减石油和天然气钻机数量。 5. 6个月布伦特原油价差自2023年12月以来首次转为期货溢价。 1. 全球央行3月净购入黄金17吨。 2. 美银：黄金自1月来首次出现周度资金流出。 3. 中国限制出口后稀土价格暴涨超210%。 4. 欧盟对美钢铁出口骤减100万吨 损失20亿欧元。 5. 印度矿业部： ...

五一期间大事速览，黄金方向怎么看？期市节后首日机会在哪？期货资深研究员Leo正在为您深度剖析 当前市场格局，洞察期货品种基本面，并展望大宗商品的未来走向。立即进入直播间。 相关链接 金十期货正在直播 ...

文 | 吴先兴 来源 | 晓策佬 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 摘 要 长期以来，大宗商品一直被视为投资领域中的另类资产。与股票不同，大宗商品不提供所谓的市场beta，价格随经济活动和时间的推移而上 涨，它们提供了一组独特的价格回报，反映了作为全球经济基石的实物资产的潜在供求变化。本文对大宗商品作为一种资产类别及其在投资 组合中的用途进行了重新审视，这些商品在历史上一直是分散投资和通胀保护的工具。我们分析了不同的商品市场beta配置方法，并确定了 商品的其他投资用途。此类用途包括表达特定投资主题的模块构建，战术交易工具以及作为多资产风险溢价配置的一部分。 简介 0 1 我们说"大宗商品是一种资产类别"是什么意思？它们具体有哪些分类？作为投资工具的表现如何？对这种另类资产有哪些普遍的批评和误 解？ 大宗商品具有独特的特征，主要体现在：它们是 即使单个商品具有这些重要特征，商品之间也不是同质的。商品市场beta的概念是微不足道的，可能是三十多年前倡导商品市场金融化的 人们的构想。商品之间的低相关性是各个商品市场之间为数不多的共同点之一。但是，在构成同一生产过程的一部分或可以替代的商品之 间，存在重要的例 ...

Core Viewpoint - The CEO of Sumitomo Corporation indicated that the impact of U.S. tariffs may include economic slowdown, weakened demand, and a decline in commodity prices, including nickel [1] Group 1 - The potential economic slowdown is a significant concern for the industry as it may affect overall market dynamics [1] - Weakened demand could lead to reduced sales and profitability for companies reliant on commodity markets [1] - The decline in commodity prices, particularly nickel, could impact the financial performance of companies involved in mining and resource extraction [1]

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.04.30」 硅铁市场周报 关税扰动情绪偏弱，需求不足厂家减产 研究员：徐玉花 期货从业资格号F03132080 期货投资咨询从业证书号 Z0021386 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业链情况 「 周度要点小结2」 行情回顾及展望 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 业 务 咨 询 添 加 客 服 3 来源：瑞达期货研究院 1. 宏观方面，江苏省和浙江省的部分制造商已接到沃尔玛等美国主要零售商的通知，要求其近日恢复发货，新进口关税的成本将 由美国客户承担；中国钢铁工业协会党委常委、副会长骆铁军表示，在当前需求下滑、市场下行的背景下，减产已是行业共识， 亟须转化为统一行动；煤炭运销协会召开会议要求，加强行业自律，规范煤炭进口秩序，维护国内煤炭市场价格平稳运行。 2. 海外方面，世界银行预测，部分由贸易动荡造成的全球经济增长放缓将导致全球大宗商品价格在2025年下跌12%，2026年再 下跌5%，标志着由新冠疫情后经济复苏和俄罗斯2022年入侵乌克兰推动的价格上涨期结束。 3. 供需方面，需求方面，板块承压运行，铁合金目前生产利润为负，铁水产量延续回升，大方向跟随钢 ...